USD/CHF Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9535; (P) 0.9559; (R1) 0.9590; More….

USD/CHF’s break of 0.9527 minor support suggests that fall from 0.9679 is going to extend lower. Intraday bias is turned back to the downside for 0.9427 low. Break of 0.9427 will resume whole decline from 1.3042. On the upside, above 0.9594 minor resistance will turn intraday bias neutral again. Also, noted that USD/CHF is close to to 0.9443 key support, consolidation from 0.9427 might extend further. But still, break of 0.9772 resistance is needed to confirm near term reversal. Otherwise, outlook stays bearish for another decline.

In the bigger picture, current development suggests that 0.9443 key support (2016 low) could be taken out firmly as down trend form 1.0342 extends. There are various interpretation of the price actions. But in any case, medium term outlook will stay bearish as long as 0.9772 resistance holds. Current down trend could extend to 38.2% retracement of 0.7065 (2011 low) to 1.0342 (2016 high) at 0.9090. However, break of 0.9772 will indicate that USD/CHF has successfully defended 0.9443 again and turn outlook bullish for 1.0099 resistance.

USD/CHF 4 Hours Chart

USD/CHF Daily Chart

USD/CHF Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9213; (P) 0.9238; (R1) 0.9272; More

USD/CHF rebounds notably today and break of 0.9341 resistance suggests short term bottoming at 0.9199, on bullish convergence condition in 4 hour MACD. Intraday bias is back on the upside for 55 day EMA (now at 0.9473). For now, rise will stay mildly on the upside as long as 0.9199 support holds, in case of retreat.

In the bigger picture, rise from 0.8756 (2021 low) has completed at 1.0146, well ahead of 1.0342 long term resistance (2016 high). Based on current downside momentum, fall from 1.0146 might be a medium term down trend itself. Sustained break of 61.8% retracement of 0.8756 to 1.0146 at 0.9287 will pave the way to 0.8756. In any case, risk will stay on the downside as long as 0.9545 resistance holds.

USD/CHF Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9893; (P) 0.9919; (R1) 0.9941; More….

No change in USD/CHF’s outlook as it’s staying in the corrective fall from 1.0337. Intraday bias remains neutral. On the upside, firm break of 1.0037 resistance will extend the rise from 0.9420 and target 1.0342 high. However, sustained break of 0.9835 resistance turned support will argue that whole rebound form 0.9420 is completed and turn outlook bearish. In that case, USD/CHF should target 61.8% retracement of 0.9420 to 1.0037 at 0.9565 and possibly below.

In the bigger picture, current development suggests that USD/CHF has defended 0.9443 (2016 low) key support level again. Rise from 0.9420 could be a medium term up move and should target a test on 1.0342 high. This represents the upper end of a long term range that started back in 2015. On the downside, break of 0.9736 support is now needed to indicate completion of the rise from 0.9420. Otherwise, further rally will remain in favor in medium term.

USD/CHF 4 Hours Chart

USD/CHF Daily Chart

USD/CHF Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9390; (P) 0.9414; (R1) 0.9440; More

Intraday bias in USD/CHF stays neutral and outlook is unchanged. On the upside, break of 0.9439 will resume the rise from 0.9058 for 38.2% retracement of 1.0146 to 0.9058 at 0.9474. Decisive break there will carry larger bullish implications. On the downside, break of 0.9284 will turn bias back to the downside for retesting 0.9058 low instead.

In the bigger picture, decline from 1.0146 is seen as part of a long term sideway pattern. As long as 38.2% retracement of 1.0146 to 0.9058 at 0.9474 holds, another fall is in favor through 0.9058. However, sustained trading above 0.9474 will indicate that the medium term trend has reversed, and open up further rally to 61.8% retracement at 0.9730 and above.

USD/CHF Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9227; (P) 0.9267; (R1) 0.9314; More….

USD/CHF’s correction from 0.9374 could have completed at 0.9212. Intraday bias is mildly on the upside for retesting 0.9374 first. Break there will resume larger rise from 0.8756, for 61.8% retracement of 0.9901 to 0.8756 at 0.9464 next. On the downside, break of 0.9212 will resume the correction to 38.2% retracement of 0.8869 to 0.9374 at 0.9181.

In the bigger picture, current development argues that fall from 1.0237 has completed at 0.8756, on bullish condition in daily and weekly MACD. Current rally from 0.8756 should target 0.9901 resistance first. Break there will target 1.0237/0342 resistance zone in the medium term. This will now remain the favored case as long as 0.9044 resistance turned support holds.

USD/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.8842; (P) 0.8872; (R1) 0.8892; More….

Intraday bias in USD/CHF remains on the downside for the moment. Current down trend should target 61.8% projection of 0.9901 to 0.8998 from 0.9304 at 0.8746 next. On the upside, though, break of 0.8914 minor resistance will turn intraday bias neutral again and bring more consolidations first, before staging another decline

In the bigger picture, decline from 1.0237 is seen as the third leg of the pattern from 1.0342 (2016 high). There is no clear sign of completion yet. Next target will be 138.2% projection of 1.0342 to 0.9186 from 1.0237 at 0.8639. In any case, break of 0.9304 resistance is needed to signal medium term bottoming. Otherwise, outlook will remain bearish in case of rebound.

USD/CHF Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9585; (P) 0.9605; (R1) 0.9631; More

Intraday bias in USD/CHF is turned neutral with 4 hour MACD crossed above signal line. Further decline will remain in favor as long as 0.9736 resistance holds. Corrective pattern from 0.9901 could still extend lower and break of 0.9573 will target 0.9502 support. But downside should be contained by 61.8% retracement of 0.9181 to 0.9901 at 0.9456 to rebound. On the upside, break of 0.9736 resistance will turn bias back to the upside instead.

In the bigger picture, decline from 1.0237 is seen as the third leg of the pattern from 1.0342 (2016 low). It could have completed at 0.9181 after hitting 0.9186 key support (2018 low). Break of 0.9901 will extend the rebound form 0.9181 through 1.0023 resistance. After all, medium term range trading will likely continue between 0.9181/1.0237 for some more time.

USD/CHF Weekly Outlook

USD/CHF’s rebound from 0.9478 extended higher last week. Initial bias stays on the upside this week for 0.9868 resistance. Firm break of 0.9868 resistance will argue that larger up trend is ready to resume through 1.0063. Overall, the corrective pattern from 1.0063 high could still extend. Below 0.9619 minor support will turn bias back to the downside for 0.9478 and below.

In the bigger picture, current development suggests that up trend from 0.8756 (2021 low) is still in progress. Sustained break of 1.0063 will target 100% projection of 0.9149 to 1.0063 from 0.9369 at 1.0283, and then 1.0342 (2016 high). For now, this will remain the favored case as long as 0.9369 support holds, even in case of deep pull back.

In the long term picture, outlook is mixed with deeper than expected fall from 1.0063, but some support is seen from 55 week EMA (now at 0.9460). Overall, though, USD/CHF is seen as in sideway pattern from 1.0342 (2016 high). Range trading should continue until further development.

USD/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9265; (P) 0.9307; (R1) 0.9328; More

Intraday bias in USD/CHF remains neutral at this point. On the downside, break of 0.9214 will resume the fall and target 61.8% projection of 1.0146 to 0.9355 from 0.9545 at 0.9056. However, break of 0.9378 resistance will indicate short term bottoming and turn bias back to the upside for 0.9545 resistance instead.

In the bigger picture, rise from 0.8756 (2021 low) has completed at 1.0146, well ahead of 1.0342 long term resistance (2016 high). Based on current downside momentum, fall from 1.0146 might be a medium term down trend itself. Sustained break of 61.8% retracement of 0.8756 to 1.0146 at 0.9287 will pave the way to 0.8756. In any case, risk will stay on the downside as long as 0.9545 resistance holds.

USD/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9778; (P) 0.9819; (R1) 0.9853; More

While USD/CHF is losing some upside momentum as seen in 4 hour MACD, further rise is still expected. Triangle correction from 1.0063 could have completed at 0.9369 already. Break of 0.9884 resistance will argue that larger up trend is ready to resume through 1.0063 high. On the downside, break of 0.9691 minor support will mix up the outlook and turn intraday bias neutral first.

In the bigger picture, current development suggests that up trend from 0.8756 (2021 low) is still in progress. Sustained break of 1.0063 will target 100% projection of 0.9149 to 1.0063 from 0.9369 at 1.0283, and then 1.0342 (2016 high). For now, this will remain the favored case as long as 0.9369 support holds, even in case of deep pull back.

USD/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9281; (P) 0.9320; (R1) 0.9350; More

USD/CHF is still bounded in range trading above 0.9288 temporary low at this point. And intraday bias remains neutral. Another recovery could be seen as consolidation extends. But after all, as long as 0.9448 minor resistance holds, near term outlook stays bearish. Break of 0.9288 will extend larger down trend to next key fibonacci level at 0.9115. Nonetheless, break of 0.9448 will indicate short term bottoming and bring stronger rebound.

In the bigger picture, the strong break of 0.9420 support suggests that fall from 1.0342 is developing into a medium term down trend. Deeper fall should be seen to 100% projection of 1.0342 to 0.9420 from 1.0037 at 0.9115. Break will target 161.8% projection at 08545. In any case, break of 0.9640 resistance is needed to be the first sign of medium term bottoming. Otherwise, outlook will stay bearish even in case of strong rebound.

USD/CHF 4 Hours Chart

USD/CHF Daily Chart

USD/CHF Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9757; (P) 0.9803; (R1) 0.9891; More….

Intraday bias in USD/CHF remains neutral for now. As noted before, fall from 1.0128 is seen as correcting whole rise from 0.9186. Deeper fall is in favor. ON the downside, break of 0.9716 will target 0.9541 cluster support (61.8% retracement of 0.9186 to 1.0128 at 0.9546). Nevertheless, firm break of 0.9963 will suggest that the pull back is completed. Near term outlook will be turned bullish for 1.0128 .

In the bigger picture, current development suggests that rise from 0.9186 has possibly completed with three waves up to 1.0128 already. Decline from 1.0128 could either be correcting this move, or reversing the trend. As long as 0.9541 support holds, we’d slightly favor the former scenario, and expect another rise through 1.0128 at a later stage. However, sustained break of 0.9541 will confirm trend reversal and bring deeper fall back to 0.9186 low.

USD/CHF Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.8952; (P) 0.8999; (R1) 0.9024; More….

Break of 0.8959 suggests resumption of fall from 0.9471. Intraday bias is back on the downside to retest 0.8756 low. On the upside, break of 0.9046 resistance, however, will indicate short term bottoming. Intraday bias will be turned back to the upside for stronger rebound.

In the bigger picture, rejection by 61.8% retracement of 0.9901 to 0.8756 at 0.9464 argues that rebound from 0.8756 was probably just a corrective move. That is, larger down trend from 1.0237 might be still in progress. Medium term bearish is also affirmed as the pair is now far below falling 55 week EMA. Firm break of 0.8756 low will target 61.8% projection of 1.0237 to 0.8756 from 0.9471 at 0.8556 next.

USD/CHF Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9233; (P) 0.9268; (R1) 0.9290; More

USD/CHF’s fall from 0.9901 is still in progress and intraday bias remains on the downside. Deeper decline would be seen to 0.9181 low. We’ll look for bottoming around there. However, break of 0.9362 support turned resistance is needed to indicate short term bottoming. Otherwise, near term outlook will stay bearish in case of recovery.

In the bigger picture, USD/CHF is still staying in long term range pattern from 1.0342, (2016 high). While deeper fall could be seen, we do not expect a firm break of 0.9181/86 support zone (2018 and 2020 low). Hence, we’d look for bottoming signal as it approaches this zone. However, sustained break there will carry long term bearish implications for next key support at 0.8336.

USD/CHF Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9745; (P) 0.9780; (R1) 0.9801; More

Intraday bias in USD/CHF remains neutral for the moment. In case of another recovery, upside should be limited by 0.9854 support turned resistance to bring fall resumption. On the downside, break of 0.9695 will resume the fall from 1.0237 to 0.9587 fibonacci level. Nevertheless, break of 0.9854 will indicate short term bottoming and target 1.0014 resistance instead.

In the bigger picture, current development confirms that up trend from 0.9186 (2018 low) has completed at 1.0237 already. With 38.2% retracement of 0.9186 to 1.0237 at 0.9836 taken out, deeper fall should be seen to 61.8% retracement at 0.9587 and below. We’d pay attention to bottoming signal below 0.9587.

USD/CHF Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9187; (P) 0.9274; (R1) 0.9329; More….

Intraday bias in USD/CHF stays mildly on the downside at this point. Current fall from 0.9372 would target 0.9084 support first. Firm break there will argue that choppy rise from 0.8925 has completed, and fall from 0.9471 is resuming. Deeper decline would be seen through 0.8925. For now, risk will stay mildly on the downside as long as 0.9372 resistance holds, in case of recovery.

In the bigger picture, the corrective structure of the rebound from 0.8925 argues that fall from 0.9471 is not complete yet. It could either be the second leg of pattern from 0.8756 (2021 low), or resuming larger down trend from 1.0237 (2018 high). We’d pay attention to the downside momentum and assess the odds later. But for now, medium term outlook will be neutral at best as long as 0.9471 resistance holds.

USD/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.8919; (P) 0.8961; (R1) 0.9007; More

Further decline is expected in USD/CHF with 0.9000 resistance intact. Deeper decline would be seen to 0.88825 support. Fall from 0.9223 should be in progress with near term channel intact. Break of 0.8825 will target 50% retracement of 0.8332 to 0.9223 at 0.8778 next. However, break of 0.9000 will turn bias back to the upside for 0.9049 resistance instead.

In the bigger picture, focus remains on 0.9223/9243 resistance zone. Decisive break there would suggest larger bullish trend reversal and turn outlook bullish. Nevertheless, rejection by 0.9223/43 will keep medium term outlook neutral at best, for more range trading between 0.8332/9243 first.

USD/CHF Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9007; (P) 0.9018; (R1) 0.9029; More….

USD/CHF is staying below 0.9070 resistance despite current recovery. Intraday bias remains neutral first. Nevertheless, further rally is expected as long as 0.8964 support holds. Firm break of 0.9070 will resume larger rise from 0.8332 towards 0.9243 key resistance next.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 0.8332 medium term bottom as tentatively seen as developing into a corrective pattern to the down trend from 1.0146 (2022 high). Further rise would be seen as long as 0.8728 support holds. But upside should be limited by 0.9243 resistance, at least on first attempt.

USD/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9733; (P) 0.9761; (R1) 0.9814; More

Intraday bias in USD/CHF stays on the upside and outlook is unchanged. Further rally is in favor to retest 1.0063 high first. Firm break there will resume larger up trend. However, break of 0.9567 will extend the correction from 1.0063 with another leg, and turn bias to the downside for 61.8% retracement of 0.9193 to 1.0063 at 0.9525.

In the bigger picture, down trend from 1.0342 (2016 high) should have completed with three waves down to 0.8756 (2021 low) already. Rise from 0.8756 is likely a medium term up trend of its own. Next target is 1.0237/0342 resistance zone. This will remain the favored case as long as 0.9471 resistance turned support holds. However, sustained break of 0.9471 will extend long term range trading with another falling leg.

USD/CHF Weekly Outlook

USD/CHF dived sharply to as low as 0.9535 last week but recovered. Initial bias is neutral this week first. Near term outlook will stay bearish as long as 0.9698 resistance holds. Below 0.9535 will extend the fall from 1.0037 and target a test on 0.9420 low. Nonetheless, firm break of 0.9698 will be the first sign of near term reversal. And, intraday bias will be turned back to the upside for 0.9844 resistance for confirmation.

In the bigger picture, range trading continues between 0.9420/1.0342. At this point, 0.9420 appears to be a strong support level. Therefore, in case of decline attempt, we don’t expect a firm break of this level. Nonetheless, strong break of 1.0342 is also needed to confirm upside momentum. Otherwise, medium term outlook will stay neutral.

In the long term picture, while upside momentum is unconvincing, with 0.9443 key support intact, rise from 0.7065 (2011 low) is still expected to continue. Break of 1.0342 will target 38.2% retracement of 1.8305 (2000 high) to 0.7065 at 1.1359.

USD/CHF Weekly Chart

USD/CHF Monthly Chart

USD/CHF Weekly Chart

USD/CHF Monthly Chart