USD/CHF Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.8997; (P) 0.9030; (R1) 0.9084; More

Intraday bias in USD/CHF is turned neutral first with current retreat. Further rise will remain in favor as long as 0.8918 support holds. . Sustained trading above 55 D EMA (now at 0.9042) should confirm that current rally is at least correcting whole down trend from 1.0146. Further rise should then be seen to 38.2% retracement of 1.0146 to 0.8818 at 0.9325. On the downside, though, break of 0.8918 will bring retest of 0.8818 low instead.

In the bigger picture, fall from 1.1046 (2022 high) is seen as a leg in the long term range pattern from 1.0342 (2016 high). So, downside should be contained by 0.8756 to bring reversal. Sustained break of 0.9058 support turned resistance will be the first sign of medium term bottoming. However, decisive break of 0.8756 will carry larger bearish implications.

USD/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9995; (P) 1.0009; (R1) 1.0028; More….

Intraday bias in USD/CHF remains neutral for the moment. On the upside, above 1.0098 will target 1.0128 first. Break will confirm resumption of up trend from 0.9186. Next target will be 100% projection of 0.9541 to 1.0128 from 0.9716 at 1.0303. However, sustained break of 0.9988 will indicate rejection by 1.0128 and turn intraday bias to the downside for 0.9716 support again.

In the bigger picture, USD/CHF drew strong support from medium term trend line and rebounded. That suggests rise from 0.9186 is still in progress. Further break of 1.0128 will confirm up trend resumption and target 1.0342 key resistance. Nevertheless, break of 0.9716 will dampen this bullish view and at least bring deeper fall to 0.9541 key support.

USD/CHF Weekly Outlook

USD/CHF stays in consolidation below 0.9331 last week and outlook is unchanged. Initial bias remains neutral this week first. Overall, further rally is expected as long a s0.9162 support holds. On the upside, break of 0.9331 will target 0.9471 key resistance. Sustained break there will carry larger bullish implications. However, break of 0.9162 will turn bias back to the downside for 0.9017 support instead.

In the bigger picture, the strong rally above 55 week EMA (now at 0.9175) now tilts favor to the case of bullish trend reversal. That is, decline from 1.3042 (2016 high) is probably completed at 0.8756 already. Sustained break of 0.9471 resistance should confirm this case and pave the way to retest 1.0342 ahead. However, rejection by 0.9471 will mix up the outlook again and retain some medium term bearishness.

In the long term picture, price actions from 0.7065 (2011 low) are currently seen as developing into a long term corrective pattern, at least until a firm break of 1.0342 resistance.

USD/CHF Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9281; (P) 0.9320; (R1) 0.9350; More

No change in USD/CHF’s outlook as consolidation from 0.9288 continues. Intraday bias stays neutral. As long as 0.9448 resistance holds, another decline is expected. Break of 0.9288 will extend larger down trend to next key fibonacci level at 0.9115. Nonetheless, break of 0.9448 will indicate short term bottoming and bring stronger rebound.

In the bigger picture, the strong break of 0.9420 support suggests that fall from 1.0342 is developing into a medium term down trend. Deeper fall should be seen to 100% projection of 1.0342 to 0.9420 from 1.0037 at 0.9115. Break will target 161.8% projection at 08545. In any case, break of 0.9640 resistance is needed to be the first sign of medium term bottoming. Otherwise, outlook will stay bearish even in case of strong rebound.

USD/CHF 4 Hours Chart

USD/CHF Daily Chart

USD/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9768; (P) 0.9804; (R1) 0.9854; More

USD/CHF’s break of 0.9868 resistance argues that larger up trend is resumed to resume. Intraday bias stays on the upside for retesting 1.0063 high first. Decisive break there will confirm this bullish case. on the downside, below 0.9754 minor support will turn intraday bias neutral and bring consolidations, before staging another rally.

In the bigger picture, current development suggests that up trend from 0.8756 (2021 low) is still in progress. Sustained break of 1.0063 will target 100% projection of 0.9149 to 1.0063 from 0.9369 at 1.0283, and then 1.0342 (2016 high). For now, this will remain the favored case as long as 0.9369 support holds, even in case of deep pull back.

USD/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9626; (P) 0.9676; (R1) 0.9701; More…..

USD/CHF’s breach of 0.9651 suggests that the fall from 1.0067 is resuming. Intraday bias is back on the downside. Sustained break of 0.9651 will target 200% projection of 1.0067 to 0.9866 from 0.9981 at 0.8579 next. On the upside, break of 0.9766 resistance is needed to indicate short term bottoming. Otherwise, near term outlook will remain bearish in case of recovery.

In the bigger picture, current development suggests that rise from 0.9186 low has completed at 1.0067, after failing to sustain above 1.0037 resistance. Fall from 1.0067 could extend to 61.8% retracement of 0.9816 to 1.0067 at 0.9523 and below. But for now, we don’t expect a break of 0.9186 low. On the upside, firm break of 0.9866 support turned resistance will suggests that fall from 1.0067 has completed and rise from 0.9186 is resuming.

USD/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9987; (P) 1.0022; (R1) 1.0060; More

Upside momentum remains unconvincing in USD/CHF. But with 0.9982 minor support intact, intraday bias remains on the upside. Sustained trading above 1.0037 will pave the way to 1.0342 key resistance next. On the downside, though, below 0.9982 minor support will indicate short term topping. And, in that case, deeper retreat could be seen to 4 hour 55 EMA (now at 0.9932) and below before staging another rise.

In the bigger picture, medium term decline from 1.0342 has completed with three waves down to 0.9186. Rise from there is currently viewed as a leg inside the long term range pattern. Hence, while further rally would be seen, we’d be cautious on strong resistance from 1.0342 to limit upside. For now, further rise is expected as long as 0.9648 resistance turned support holds, even in case of pull back.

USD/CHF Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9870; (P) 0.9902; (R1) 0.9931; More….

USD/CHF drops slightly today but intraday bias remains neutral at this point. On the upside, above 0.9977 will resume the rebound from 0.9734 for 1.0037 resistance. Break there will resume whole rally from 0.9420 and target 1..0342 key resistance next. On the downside, below 0.9839 will likely extend the correction from 1.0037 through 0.9734. But in that case, we’d expect strong support from 61.8% retracement of 0.9420 to 0.1.0037 at 0.9656 to contain downside and bring rebound.

In the bigger picture, range trading continues between 0.9420/1.0342. At this point, 0.9420 appears to be a strong support level. Therefore, in case of decline attempt, we don’t expect a firm break of this level. Nonetheless, strong break of 1.0342 is also needed to confirm upside momentum. Otherwise, medium term outlook will stay neutral.

USD/CHF 4 Hours Chart

USD/CHF Daily Chart

USD/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9071; (P) 0.9106; (R1) 0.9130; More

USD/CHF is staying in range of 0.8998/9161 and intraday bias remains neutral first. With 0.9161 resistance intact, further decline is still expected. On the downside, break of 0.8998 temporary low will resume larger down trend to 100% projection of 1.0237 to 0.9181 from 0.9901 at 0.8845. Nevertheless, sustained break of 0.9161 will confirm short term bottoming, and turn bias to the upside for stronger rebound, to 55 day EMA (now at 0.9231) and above.

In the bigger picture, decline from 1.0237 is seen as the third leg of the pattern from 1.0342 (2016 low), which is still extending. Sustained trading below 100% projection of 1.0342 to 0.9186 from 1.0237 at 0.9081 will pave the way to 138.2% projection at 0.8639. On the upside, break of 0.9376 resistance is needed to be the first sign of medium term bottoming.

USD/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.8552; (P) 0.8580; (R1) 0.8604; More

Further decline could still be seen in USD/CHF. But based on loss of downside momentum as seen in 4H MACD, some support could be seen from 100% projection of 0.9439 to 0.8818 from 0.9146 at 0.8525 to bring rebound. Break of 0.8629 minor resistance will turn bias to the downside for 55 4H EMA (now at 0.8704) and above.

In the bigger picture, the break of 0.8756 (2021 low) indicates break out from the long term range pattern. For now, medium term outlook will stay bearish as long as 0.9146 resistance holds. Further fall would be seen to 61.8% retracement of 0.7065 (2011 low) to 1.0342 (2016 high) at 0.8317 next.

USD/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9128; (P) 0.9143; (R1) 0.9160; More….

Intraday bias in USD/CHF remains neutral first and further rise is in favor with 0.9077 minor support intact. On the upside, above 0.9157 will resume the rebound from 0.8987 to retest 0.9223 high. On the downside, break of 0.9077 support will bring retest of 0.8987. Break there will resume the fall from 0.9223 to 38.2% retracement of 0.8332 to 0.9223 at 0.8883.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 0.8332 medium term bottom are tentatively seen as developing into a corrective pattern to the down trend from 1.0146 (2022 high). Rejection by 0.9243 resistance, followed by sustained break of 38.2% retracement of 0.8332 to 0.9223 at 0.8883 will strengthen this case, and maintain medium term bearishness. However, decisive break of 0.9243 will argue that the trend has already reversed and turn medium term outlook bullish for 1.0146.

USD/CHF Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9939; (P) 0.9952; (R1) 0.9975; More…..

Intraday bias in USD/CHF remains neutral as it’s bounded in tight range above 0.9893 temporary low. With 0.9999 minor resistance intact, deeper decline is mildly in favor. Below 0.9893 will target 0.9812 and below to extend the correction from 1.0342. But break of 0.9812 should be brief and we will look for bottoming signal below there. On the upside, above 0.9999 minor resistance argues that fall from 1.0107 is finished, with bullish convergence condition in 4 hour MACD. In that case, intraday bias will be flipped back to the upside for 1.0107 resistance first.

In the bigger picture, we’re still maintaining that firm break of 1.0342 key resistance is needed to confirm underlying bullish momentum in the pair. However, the corrective nature of the fall from 1.0342 is starting to give the medium term outlook a bullish favor. Hence, in stead of looking for topping signal around 1.0342, we’d now pay closer attention to upside acceleration as USD/CHF approaches this level again.

USD/CHF 4 Hours Chart

USD/CHF Daily Chart

USD/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.8636; (P) 0.8661; (R1) 0.8695; More….

Intraday bias in USD/CHF is turned neutral with current recovery. On the downside, below 0.8605 will resume the pull back from 0.8727 to 0.8487 support. Break there will argue that rebound from 0.8332 has completed, and bring retest of this low. On the upside, firm break of 0.8727 will resume the rebound to 61.8% retracement of 0.9243 to 0.8332 at 0.8995 instead.

In the bigger picture, while rebound from 0.8332 could be strong, there is no clear sign of medium term bottoming yet. This rebound is tentatively seen as a corrective move for now. Also, outlook will stay bearish as long as 0.9243 resistance holds. Larger down trend from 1.0146 (2022 high) should resume through 0.8332 low at a later stage.

USD/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9965; (P) 0.9978; (R1) 0.9998; More…..

USD/CHF lost some downside momentum with 4 hour MACD crossed above signal line. But with 1.0059 minor resistance intact, deeper fall is expected. We’d holding on to the view that recovery from 0.9860 has completed at 1.0169 and whole decline from 1.0342 is resuming. Break of 0.9860 will target 100% projection of 1.0342 to 0.9860 from 1.0169 at 0.9687. Nonetheless, on the upside, break of 1.0059 will turn bias back to the upside for 1.0169 resistance instead.

In the bigger picture, USD/CHF is staying in medium term sideway pattern between 0.9443/1.0342. In any case, decisive break of 1.0342 resistance is needed to confirm underlying strength. Otherwise, we’ll stay neutral in the pair first. In case of another fall, we’d expect strong support from 0.9443/9548 support zone.

USD/CHF 4 Hours Chart

USD/CHF Daily Chart

USD/CHF Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9844; (P) 0.9887; (R1) 0.9909; More

USD/CHF’s break of 0.9837 argues that corrective rise from 0.9659 could have completed at 0.9929 already. Intraday bias is back on the downside for 0.9713 support first. Break will likely resume whole fall from 1.0237 through 0.9695. Risk will now stay on the downside as long as 0.9929 holds, in case of recovery.

In the bigger picture, the structure of the fall from 1.0237 suggests that it’s a corrective move. Break of 0.9975 will argue that such correction has completed at 0.9659, ahead of 61.8% retracement of 0.9186 to 1.0237 at 0.9587. But decisive break of 1.0237 is needed to indicate up trend resumption. Otherwise, medium term outlook will stay neutral first. Meanwhile, break of 0.9695 support will extend the correction to 0.9541 support instead.

USD/CHF Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9593; (P) 0.9625; (R1) 0.9657; More

USD/CHF’s decline from 1.0342 resumed by taking out 0.9551 and reaches as low as 0.9528 so far. Intraday bias stays on the downside for 0.9443 key support level next. At this point, we’d expect strong support from there to bring rebound. Nonetheless, break of 0.9699 resistance is needed to indicate short term bottoming. Otherwise, outlook will remain bearish in case of recovery.

In the bigger picture, USD/CHF is still bounded in medium term range of 0.9443/1.0342 for the moment. Consolidative trading would likely continue and medium term outlook remains neutral. Break of 1.0342 key resistance is needed to confirm underlying bullish momentum in the pair. Meanwhile, downside attempts should be contained by 0.9443 key support level. However, sustained break of 0.9443 will carry larger bearish implication and target 0.9 handle.

USD/CHF 4 Hours Chart

USD/CHF Daily Chart

USD/CHF Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9893; (P) 0.9939; (R1) 0.9977; More

Intraday bias in USD/CHF remains neutral for the moment. On the upside, decisive break of 0.9975 will confirm completion of fall form 1.0237. Further rally would then be seen to retest this high. On the downside, though, break of 0.9854 will turn intraday bias to the downside for 0.9659 low.

In the bigger picture, the structure of the fall from 1.0237 suggests that it’s a corrective move. Break of 0.9975 will argue that such correction has completed at 0.9659, ahead of 61.8% retracement of 0.9186 to 1.0237 at 0.9587. But decisive break of 1.0237 is needed to indicate up trend resumption. Otherwise, medium term outlook will stay neutral first. Meanwhile, break of 0.9695 support will extend the correction to 0.9541 support instead.

USD/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9061; (P) 0.9108; (R1) 0.9196; More

Intraday bias in USD/CHF remains neutral for the moment. Further decline is expected as long as 0.9197 resistance holds. Break of 0.9009 will resume larger down trend. However, considering bullish convergence condition in 4 hour MACD, break of 0.9197 should confirm short term bottoming and turn bias back to the upside for rebound to 55 day EMA (now at 9304).

In the bigger picture, decline from 1.0237 is seen as the third leg of the pattern from 1.0342 (2016 low). Current development suggests that such pattern is still extending. Sustain trading below 100% projection of 1.0342 to 0.9186 from 1.0237 at 0.9081 will pave the way to 138.2% projection at 0.8639. On the upside, break of 0.9376 resistance is needed to be the first sign of medium term bottoming.

USD/CHF Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.8477; (P) 0.8503; (R1) 0.8528; More….

USD/CHF’s outlook is unchanged as price actions from 0.8332 are still seen as a corrective pattern only. Intraday bias stays neutral and outlook remains bearish with 0.8665 support turned resistance intact. On the downside, break of 0.8332 will resume larger fall from 0.9243 to 0.8257 projection level.

In the bigger picture, break of 0.8551 support indicates resumption of whole decline from 1.0146 (2022 high). Next target is 61.8% retracement of 1.0146 to 0.8551 from 0.9243 at 0.8257. Sustained break there could prompt downside acceleration to 100% projection at 0.7648. This will now remain the favored case as long as 0.8819 resistance holds.

USD/CHF Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.8855; (P) 0.8891; (R1) 0.8949; More….

Intraday bias in USD/CHF remains neutral as consolidations continue above 0.8825. Outlook will stay bearish as long as 0.8992 resistance holds. On the downside, break of 0.8825 will resume the fall from 0.9223. Next target is 61.8% retracement of 0.8332 to 0.9223 at 0.8672.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 0.8332 medium term bottom are seen as developing into a corrective pattern to the down trend from 1.0146 (2022 high). Rejection by 0.9243 resistance affirms this case, and maintains medium term bearishness. While more range trading could be seen between 0.8332/0.9243 first, downside break out is mildly in favor at a later stage.