USD/CHF Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.8823; (P) 0.8840; (R1) 0.8858; More….

Downside momentum is diminishing in USD/CHF. But with 0.8892 minor resistance intact, intraday bias stays mildly on the downside. Current fall should target 61.8% projection of 0.9901 to 0.8998 from 0.9304 at 0.8746 next. On the upside, break of 0.8892 minor resistance will indicate short term bottoming, turn bias back to the upside for stronger rebound.

In the bigger picture, decline from 1.0237 is seen as the third leg of the pattern from 1.0342 (2016 high). There is no clear sign of completion yet. Next target will be 138.2% projection of 1.0342 to 0.9186 from 1.0237 at 0.8639. In any case, break of 0.9304 resistance is needed to signal medium term bottoming. Otherwise, outlook will remain bearish in case of rebound.

USD/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9551; (P) 0.9592; (R1) 0.9618; More….

At this point, USD/CHF is staying above 0.9535 temporary low and intraday bias remains neutral. Outlook stays bearish as long as 0.9689 support turned resistance holds. Break of 0.9535 will resume the decline from 1.0037 and target a test on 0.9420 low. Nonetheless, firm break of 0.9698 will be the first sign of near term reversal. And, intraday bias will be turned back to the upside for 0.9844 resistance for confirmation.

In the bigger picture, range trading continues between 0.9420/1.0342. At this point, 0.9420 appears to be a strong support level. Therefore, in case of decline attempt, we don’t expect a firm break of this level. Nonetheless, strong break of 1.0342 is also needed to confirm upside momentum. Otherwise, medium term outlook will stay neutral.

USD/CHF 4 Hours Chart

USD/CHF Daily Chart

USD/CHF Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.8946; (P) 0.8971; (R1) 0.8985; More….

Intraday bias in USD/CHF is turned neutral with today’s retreat. On the upside, above 0.9044 will resume the corrective rise from 0.8756. Next target is 100% projection of 0.8756 to 0.9044 from 0.8869 at 0.9127 next. On the downside, break of 0.8869 will turn bias to the downside for 0.8837 and then 0.8756 low.

In the bigger picture, decline from 1.0237 is seen as the third leg of the pattern from 1.0342 (2016 high). There is no clear sign of completion yet. Next target will be 138.2% projection of 1.0342 to 0.9186 from 1.0237 at 0.8639. In any case, break of 0.9295 resistance is needed to signal medium term bottoming. Otherwise, outlook will remain bearish in case of rebound.

USD/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9134; (P) 0.9146; (R1) 0.9160; More….

Intraday bias in USD/CHF remains neutral for the moment. Current development suggests that pull back from 0.9223 has completed already. Above 0.9157 will bring retest of 0.9223. However, break of 0.9077 support will bring retest of 0.8987. Break there will resume the fall from 0.9223 to 38.2% retracement of 0.8332 to 0.9223 at 0.8883.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 0.8332 medium term bottom are tentatively seen as developing into a corrective pattern to the down trend from 1.0146 (2022 high). Rejection by 0.9243 resistance, followed by sustained break of 38.2% retracement of 0.8332 to 0.9223 at 0.8883 will strengthen this case, and maintain medium term bearishness. However, decisive break of 0.9243 will argue that the trend has already reversed and turn medium term outlook bullish for 1.0146.

USD/CHF Weekly Outlook

USD/CHF’s sharp decline last week and break of 0.9582 suggests that fall from 0.9772 has resumed. Initial bias remains is back on the downside for 0.9437 low. Note again that the pair is bounded in medium falling channel and limited below 38.2% retracement of 1.0342 to 0.9437 at 0.9783. Break of 0.9427 will extend the whole decline from 1.0342 and carries larger bearish implications.

In the bigger picture, we’re slightly favoring the case that USD/CHF has successfully defended 0.9443 key support level. And long term range trading in 0.9443/1.0342 is extending with another rise. At this point, there is no sign of an up trend yet. Hence, while further rise is expected in USD/CHF, we’ll start to be cautious on loss of momentum above 61.8% retracement of 1.0342 to 0.9437 at 0.9996. However, firm break of 0.9443 will carry larger bearish implication and would target next key support at 0.9072.

USD/CHF Weekly Chart

USD/CHF Monthly Chart

USD/CHF Weekly Chart

USD/CHF Monthly Chart

USD/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9821; (P) 0.9857; (R1) 0.9884; More

USD/CHF continues to stay in right range above 0.9825 and intraday bias remains neutral first. On the downside, break of 0.9825 will indicate that fall from 1.0056 is correcting whole rise from 0.9186. In that case, deeper decline would be seen to 0.9724 fibonacci level before completion. On the upside, above 0.9982 minor resistance will suggest that the pull back is finished and bring retest of 1.0056.

In the bigger picture, medium term decline from 1.0342 has completed with three waves down to 0.9186. Rise from there is currently viewed as a leg inside the long term range pattern. Hence, while further rally would be seen, we’d be cautious on strong resistance from 1.0342 to limit upside. For now, further rise is expected as long as 38.2% retracement of 0.9186 to 1.0056 at 0.9724 holds.

USD/CHF Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9053; (P) 0.9066; (R1) 0.9079; More….

USD/CHF rebounds strongly today and focus is now on 0.9116 support turned resistance. Sustained break there will argue that fall from 0.9273 has completed. Intraday bias will be turned back to the upside for retesting 0.9273 high. On the downside, break of 0.9017 will resume the decline from 0.9273 to retest 0.8925 low.

In the bigger picture, failure to sustain above 55 week EMA (now at 0.9183) affirms medium term bearish in USD/CHF. Break of 0.8925 support should resume the whole decline form 1.0342 (2016 high) through 0.8756 low. For now, risk will stay on the downside as long as 0.9273 resistance holds, in case of rebound.

USD/CHF Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9021; (P) 0.9056; (R1) 0.9079; More

Intraday bias in USD/CHF remains neutral for the moment as consolidation from 0.9030 temporary low is extending. In case of another recovery, upside should bel limited below 0.9165 resistance. On the downside, break of 0.9030 will target 0.8998 low first. Firm break there will resume larger down trend to 61.8% projection of 0.9901 to 0.8998 from 0.9304 at 0.8746.

In the bigger picture, decline from 1.0237 is seen as the third leg of the pattern from 1.0342 (2016 high). There is no clear sign of completion yet. On resumption, next target will be 138.2% projection of 1.0342 to 0.9186 from 1.0237 at 0.8639. Nevertheless, strong break of 0.9304 resistance will be an early sign of trend reversal and turn focus back to 0.9901 key resistance for confirmation.

USD/CHF Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9942; (P) 0.9980; (R1) 1.0003; More…..

USD/CHF’s decline is still in progress and breaches 0.9812 support. Current fall is seen as part of the decline from 1.0342. Next target will be target lower trend line support (now at 0.9762) and below. At this point, such decline from 1.0342 is still seen as a correction. Therefore, we’d expect strong support above 100% projection of 1.0342 to 0.9860 from 1.0099 at 0.9617 to contain downside. On the upside, above 0.9865 minor resistance will turn bias neutral and bring recovery before staging another fall.

In the bigger picture, USD/CHF is bounded in medium term range of 0.9443/1.0342 for the moment. Consolidative trading would likely continue and medium term outlook remains neutral. Break of 1.0342 key resistance is needed to confirm underlying bullish momentum in the pair. Meanwhile, downside attempts should be contained by 0.9443 key support level.

USD/CHF 4 Hours Chart

USD/CHF Daily Chart

USD/CHF Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9986; (P) 1.0011; (R1) 1.0059; More….

Intraday bias in USD/CHF remains neutral as the consolidation from 1.0037 is still in progress. Another fall could be seen. But still, downside should be contained above 0.9835 resistance turned support and bring rally resumption. Since 61.8% retracement of 1.0342 to 0.9420 at 0.9990 is already met, break of 1.0037 will turn bias to the upside for 1.0342 key resistance next.

In the bigger picture, current development suggests that USD/CHF has defended 0.9443 (2016 low) key support level again. Rise from 0.9420 could is a medium term up move and should target a test on 1.0342 high. This represents the upper end of a long term range that started back in 2015. On the downside, break of 0.9736 support is now needed to indicate completion of the rise from 0.9420. Otherwise, further rally will remain in favor in medium term.

USD/CHF 4 Hours Chart

USD/CHF Daily Chart

USD/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.8974; (P) 0.8997; (R1) 0.9012; More….

USD/CHF’s retreat from 0.9044 extends lower today but stays above 0.8925 resistance turned support. Intraday bias remains neutral and another rise remains in favor. on the upside, break of 0.9044 will resume the rebound form 0.8756 short term bottom to 38.2% retracement of 0.9901 to 0.8756 at 0.9193. However, firm break of 0.8925 will indicate that the rebound has completed, and bring retest of 0.8756 low..

In the bigger picture, decline from 1.0237 is seen as the third leg of the pattern from 1.0342 (2016 high). There is no clear sign of completion yet. Next target will be 138.2% projection of 1.0342 to 0.9186 from 1.0237 at 0.8639. In any case, break of 0.9295 resistance is needed to signal medium term bottoming. Otherwise, outlook will remain bearish in case of rebound.

USD/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9028; (P) 0.9045; (R1) 0.9062; More

Intraday bias in USD/CHF remains neutral for the moment. Further rally is in favor as long as 0.8939 support holds. On the upside, sustained trading above 55 D EMA (now at 0.9039) should confirm that current rally is at least correcting whole down trend from 1.0146. Further rise should then be seen to 38.2% retracement of 1.0146 to 0.8818 at 0.9325. On the downside, though, break of 0.8939 will bring retest of 0.8818 low instead.

In the bigger picture, fall from 1.1046 (2022 high) is seen as a leg in the long term range pattern from 1.0342 (2016 high). So, downside should be contained by 0.8756 to bring reversal. Sustained break of 0.9058 support turned resistance will be the first sign of medium term bottoming. However, decisive break of 0.8756 will carry larger bearish implications.

USD/CHF Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9967; (P) 1.0026; (R1) 1.0066; More…..

USD/CHF’s fall from 1.0099 accelerate lower today. Break of 0.9977 minor support dampened the original bullish view. Intraday bias is now back on the downside for 0.9858 support first. Break of 0.9858 should then extend the correction from 1.0342 through 0.9812 before completion. Meanwhile, above 1.0099 will revive that case that correction from 1.0342 has completed and target a test on this high.

In the bigger picture, we’re still maintaining that firm break of 1.0342 key resistance is needed to confirm underlying bullish momentum in the pair. However, the corrective nature of the fall from 1.0342 is starting to give the medium term outlook a bullish favor. Hence, in stead of looking for topping signal around 1.0342, we’d now pay closer attention to upside acceleration as USD/CHF approaches this level again.

USD/CHF 4 Hours Chart

USD/CHF Daily Chart

USD/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9877; (P) 0.9911; (R1) 0.9932; More

Intraday bias in USD/CHF remains on the downside for 0.9848 support. Decisive break there will confirm near term reversal and target 61.8% retracement of 0.9541 to 1.0128 at 0.9765 and below. Above upside, above 0.9943 minor resistance will turn intraday bias neutral first. But break of 1.0008 resistance is needed to indicate short term bottoming. Otherwise, near term outlook will now remain bearish in case of recovery.

In the bigger picture, rise from 0.9541 could have topped at 1.0128. But as long as 0.9541 support holds, we’d still expect rise from 0.9186 to resume at a later stage. Break of 1.0128 will target 1.0342 key resistance. However, break of 0.9514 will pave the way back to 0.9186 low.

USD/CHF Weekly Outlook

USD/CHF dipped mildly lower last week but stayed in range of 1.0019/0342. Initial bias remains neutral this week first. As long as 1.0019 support holds, further rally is still mildly in favor. Firm break of 1.0342 will confirm up trend resumption. However, sustained break of 1.0019 will indicate near term reversal and could bring deeper fall bring to 0.9443/9548 support zone.

In the bigger picture, the corrective fall from 1.0327 should have completed at 0.9443 already. Rise from 0.9443 could be resuming the long term rally from 2011 low at 0.7065. But decisive break of 1.0327 is needed to confirm. In that case, next medium term upside target will be 38.2% retracement of 1.8305 to 0.7065 at 1.1359. Rejection from 1.0327 will extend the sideway pattern with another fall back to 0.9443/9548 support zone.

USD/CHF Weekly Chart

USD/CHF Monthly Chart

USD/CHF Weekly Chart

USD/CHF Monthly Chart

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USD/CHF Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9780; (P) 0.9808; (R1) 0.9841; More

USD/CHF is staying in consolidation from 0.9659 and intraday bias remains neutral for the moment. On the downside, break of 0.9659 will resume the fall from 1.0237 to 0.9587 fibonacci level. However, break of 0.9877 will target 0.9975 resistance instead.

In the bigger picture, up trend from 0.9186 (2018 low) should have completed at 1.0237 already. Deeper decline would be seen to 61.8% retracement of 0.9186 to 1.0237 at 0.9587 and below. For now, USD/CHF is seen as in long term range pattern between 0.9186 and 1.0342. Hence, we’d pay attention to bottoming signal below 0.9587. Nevertheless, break of 0.9975 resistance is needed to indicate completion of the decline from 1.0237. Otherwise, risk will stay on the downside.

USD/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9032; (P) 0.9058; (R1) 0.9074; More….

Intraday bias in USD/CHF remains on the downside for retesting 0.8982 low first. Firm break there will resume larger down trend. On the upside, above 0.9093 minor resistance will turn bias back to the upside for 0.9192/9207 resistance zone instead.

In the bigger picture, decline from 1.0237 is seen as the third leg of the pattern from 1.0342 (2016 high). There is no clear sign of completion yet. On resumption, next target will be 138.2% projection of 1.0342 to 0.9186 from 1.0237 at 0.8639. Nevertheless, strong break of 0.9304 resistance will be an early sign of trend reversal and turn focus back to 0.9901 key resistance for confirmation.

USD/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9216; (P) 0.9240; (R1) 0.9258; More….

Intraday bias in USD/CHF remains neutral first. On the downside, break of 0.9193 will resume the fall from 0.9367 to 0.9162 support first. Considering bearish divergence condition in daily MACD, firm break of 0.9162 will argue that whole rise from 0.8925 has completed and target this support. On the upside, break of 0.9312 support will bring retest of 0.9367 resistance instead.

In the bigger picture, the corrective structure of the rebound from 0.8925 argues that fall from 0.9471 is not completed yet. It could either be the second leg of pattern from 0.8756 (2021 low), or resuming larger down trend from 1.0237 (2018 high). We’d pay attention to the downside momentum of assess the odds later. But for now, medium term outlook will be neutral at best as long as 0.9471 resistance holds.

USD/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9269; (P) 0.9295; (R1) 0.9322; More….

Deeper decline could be seen in USD/CHF as correction from 0.9471 extends. But we’d expect strong support from 38.2% retracement of 0.8756 to 0.9471 at 0.9198 e to contain downside and bring rebound. On the upside, above 0.9350 minor resistance will bring retest of 0.9471 high. However, sustained break of 0.9198 will bring deeper decline to 61.8% retracement at 0.9029.

In the bigger picture, fall from 1.0237 should have completed at 0.8756, on bullish condition in daily and weekly MACD. Current rally from 0.8756 should target 0.9901 resistance first. Break there will target 1.0237/0342 resistance zone in the medium term. This will now remain the favored case as long as 0.9044 resistance turned support holds.

USD/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.8811; (P) 0.8852; (R1) 0.8874; More….

Range trading continues in USD/CHF and intraday bias remains neutral for now. Further rally is in favor as long as 0.8741 support holds. Break of 0.8891 will resume the whole rebound from 0.8332 towards 0.9243 key resistance. Nevertheless, break of 0.8741 support will turn bias back to the downside for deeper pullback.

In the bigger picture, a medium term bottom should be formed at 0.8332, on bullish convergence condition in W MACD, just ahead of 0.8317 long term fibonacci support. It’s still early to decide if the larger down trend from 1.0146 (2022 high) is reversing. But further rise should be seen to 0.9243 resistance even as a correction.