USD/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.8967; (P) 0.8982; (R1) 0.9010; More….

Intraday bias in USD/CHF is turned neutral with current recovery. On the downside, below 0.8952 will target a test on 0.8886 support first. Break there will resume whole decline from 0.9243 to 0.8815 fibonacci level. However, break of 0.9111 will resume the rebound from 0.8886 instead, and target 0.9243 resistance.

In the bigger picture, outlook is mixed up by the deeper than expected pull back from 0.9243. Yet there was no follow through selling after hitting 0.8886. On the upside, break of 0.9243 resistance will revive the case of medium term bottoming at 0.8851, and turn outlook bullish. However, sustained break of 61.8% retracement of 0.8551 to 0.9243 at 0.8815 will argue that larger decline from 1.0146 is ready to resume through 0.8551 low.

USD/CHF Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9130; (P) 0.9145; (R1) 0.9174; More….

Intraday bias in USD/CHF stays on the upside at this point. Current rally should target 0.9439 resistance next. On the downside, below 0.9117 minor support will turn intraday bias neutral and bring consolidations, before staging another rally.

In the bigger picture, sustained trading above 0.9146 cluster resistance (38.2% retracement of 1.0146 to 0.8551 at 0.9160) will argue that rise from 0.8551 is reversing whole down trend from 1.0146. Further rally would then be seen to 61.8% retracement at 0.9537 and above. For now, this will be the favored case as long as 55 D EMA (now at 0.8905) holds.

USD/CHF Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9404; (P) 0.9456; (R1) 0.9490; More….

Intraday bias in USD/CHF remains neutral for consolidation above 0.9420 temporary low. But after all, near term outlook remains bearish as long as 0.9679 resistance holds. Deeper fall is still expected. Sustained break of 0.9420 will target 61.8% projection of 1.0099 to 0.9437 from 0.9772 at 0.9363 first. Break will target 100% projection at 0.9110 next.

In the bigger picture, current development suggests that 0.9443 key support (2016 low) could be taken out firmly as down trend form 1.0342 extends. There are various interpretation of the price actions. But in any case, medium term outlook will stay bearish as long as 0.9772 resistance holds. Current down trend could extend to 38.2% retracement of 0.7065 (2011 low) to 1.0342 (2016 high) at 0.9090. However, break of 0.9772 will indicate that USD/CHF has successfully defended 0.9443 again and turn outlook bullish for 1.0099 resistance.

USD/CHF 4 Hours Chart

USD/CHF Daily Chart

USD/CHF Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.8518; (P) 0.8550; (R1) 0.8569; More….

USD/CHF’s decline resumes by breaching 0.8513 temporary low and intraday bias is back on the downside. Current fall should target 100% projection of 0.9111 to 0.8665 from 0.8819 at 0.8373 next. On the upside, above 0.8578 minor resistance will turn intraday bias neutral again. But outlook will stay bearish as long as 0.8665 support turned resistance holds, in case of recovery.

In the bigger picture, break of 0.8551 support indicates resumption of whole decline from 1.0146 (2022 high). Next target is 61.8% retracement of 1.0146 to 0.8551 from 0.9243 at 0.8257. Sustained break there could prompt downside acceleration to 100% projection at 0.7648. This will now remain the favored case as long as 0.8819 resistance holds.

USD/CHF Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9064; (P) 0.9087; (R1) 0.9120; More

Intraday bias in USD/CHF remains neutral as consolidation continues. On the downside, break of 0.8998 will resume larger down trend. Nevertheless, break of 0.9200 will resume the rebound towards 38.2% retracement of 0.9901 to 0.8998 at 0.9343.

In the bigger picture, decline from 1.0237 is seen as the third leg of the pattern from 1.0342 (2016 low), which is still extending. Sustained trading below 100% projection of 1.0342 to 0.9186 from 1.0237 at 0.9081 will pave the way to 138.2% projection at 0.8639. On the upside, break of 0.9376 resistance is needed to be the first sign of medium term bottoming.

USD/CHF Weekly Outlook

USD/CHF edged lower to 0.9116 last week but drew support from 55 day EMA (now at 0.9129) and recovered. Initial bias remains neutral this week first. On the downside, sustained break of the 55 day EMA will affirm the case that rebound from 0.8925 has completed at 0.9273. Deeper fall would then be seen back to retest 0.8925 low. On the upside, however, break of 0.9273 and sustained trading above 61.8% retracement of 0.9471 to 0.8925 at 0.9262 will target 0.9471 resistance next.

In the bigger picture, medium term outlook is currently neutral with focus on 0.9471 resistance. Sustained break there will indicate completion of whole decline from 1.0342 (2016 high). Medium term outlook will be turned bullish for a test on 1.0342 high. But, rejection by 0.9471 again will revive bearishness for another fall through 0.8756 low.

In the long term picture, price actions from 0.7065 (2011 low) are currently seen as developing into a long term corrective pattern, at least until a firm break of 1.0342 resistance.

USD/CHF Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9845; (P) 0.9869; (R1) 0.9909; More….

USD/CHF’s rally is still in progress and intraday bias remains on the upside for 261.8% projection of 0.9149 to 0.9459 from 0.9193 at 1.0005 next. On the downside, break of 0.9708 support is needed to indicate short term topping. Otherwise, outlook will stay bullish in case of retreat.

In the bigger picture, down trend from 1.0342 (2016 high) should have completed with three waves down to 0.8756 (2021 low) already. Rise from 0.8756 is likely a medium term up trend of its own. Sustained trading above 100% projection of 0.8756 to 0.9471 from 0.9149 at 0.9864 will pave the way to 161.8% projection at 1.0306, which is close to 1.0342 (2016 high). This will remain the favored case as long as 0.9459 resistance turned support holds.

USD/CHF Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.8921; (P) 0.8948; (R1) 0.8985; More

Range trading continues in USD/CHF and intraday bias remains neutral. Break of 0.8900 will resume the fall from 0.9146 to 0.8818 low or below. But for now, strong support is still expected from 0.8756 long term support to bring rebound. On the upside, above 0.9011 will bring stronger rise towards 0.9146 resistance.

In the bigger picture, fall from 1.1046 (2022 high) is seen as a leg in the long term range pattern from 1.0342 (2016 high), which might have completed at 0.8818 already, just ahead of 0.8756 long term support. Sustained trading above 0.9058 support turned resistance should confirm medium term bottoming.

USD/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9779; (P) 0.9828; (R1) 0.9918; More

USD/CHF is staying in consolidation from 0.9964 and intraday bias remains neutral first. On the upside, above 0.9964 will resume the rally from 0.9369 to retest 1.0063 high. On the downside, break of 0.9694 support will extend the corrective pattern from 1.0063 with another falling leg, towards 0.9478 support first.

In the bigger picture, current development suggests that up trend from 0.8756 (2021 low) is still in progress. Sustained break of 1.0063 will target 100% projection of 0.9149 to 1.0063 from 0.9369 at 1.0283, and then 1.0342 (2016 high). For now, this will remain the favored case as long as 0.9369 support holds, even in case of deep pull back.

USD/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9167; (P) 0.9206; (R1) 0.9249; More

Focus stays on 0.9200 resistance turned support in USD/CHF. Sustained break will argue that the rebound has completed and turn bias back to the downside for retesting 0.8998. On the upside, break of 0.9304 will extend the rebound from 0.8998 to 38.2% retracement of 0.9901 to 0.8998 at 0.9343.

In the bigger picture, decline from 1.0237 is seen as the third leg of the pattern from 1.0342 (2016 high). There is no clear sign of completion yet. On resumption, next target will be 138.2% projection of 1.0342 to 0.9186 from 1.0237 at 0.8639. Nevertheless, strong break of 0.9376 support turned resistance will be an early sign of trend reversal and turn focus back to 0.9901 key resistance for confirmation.

USD/CHF Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9643; (P) 0.9684; (R1) 0.9711; More

Intraday bias in USD/CHF remains neutral at this point and consolidation form 0.9901 could extend. On the downside, break of 0.9592 will bring deeper decline. But downside should be contained by 61.8% retracement of 0.9181 to 0.9901 at 0.9456 to rebound. On the upside, break of 0.9797 will bring retest of 0.9901 high.

In the bigger picture, decline from 1.0237 is seen as the third leg of the pattern from 1.0342 (2016 low). It could have completed at 0.9181 after hitting 0.9186 key support (2018 low). Break of 0.9901 will extend the rebound form 0.9181 through 1.0023 resistance. After all, medium term range trading will likely continue between 0.9181/1.0237 for some more time.

USD/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9036; (P) 0.9080; (R1) 0.9111; More….

USD/CHF’s correction from 0.9243 is still in progress. Intraday bias stays on the downside for 38.2% retracement of 0.8551 to 0.9243 at 0.8979. On the upside, above 0.9122 minor resistance will turn intraday bias neutral first. But risk of another fall will remain as long as 0.9243 resistance holds.

In the bigger picture, current development indicates that rise from 0.8551 is reversing whole down trend from 1.0146. Further rally would then be seen to 61.8% retracement at 0.9537 and above. For now, this will be the favored case as long as 55 D EMA (now at 0.8969) holds, even in case of deep pullback.

USD/CHF Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9062; (P) 0.9081; (R1) 0.9103; More

USD/CHF is still bounded in consolidation in range of 0.8998/9200 and intraday bias remains neutral. On the downside, break of 0.8998 will resume larger down trend. Nevertheless, break of 0.9200 will resume the rebound towards 38.2% retracement of 0.9901 to 0.8998 at 0.9343.

In the bigger picture, decline from 1.0237 is seen as the third leg of the pattern from 1.0342 (2016 low), which is still extending. Sustained trading below 100% projection of 1.0342 to 0.9186 from 1.0237 at 0.9081 will pave the way to 138.2% projection at 0.8639. On the upside, break of 0.9376 resistance is needed to be the first sign of medium term bottoming.

USD/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9818; (P) 0.9846; (R1) 0.9888; More

Intraday in USD/CHF is turned neutral with current recovery. Outlook is unchanged that the corrective rise from 0.9659 could have completed at 0.9929 already. Below 0.9798 will turn bias to the downside for 0.9713 first. Break will likely resume whole fall from 1.0237 through 0.9695. However, break of 0.9929 will resume the rise to 0.9975 resistance next.

In the bigger picture, the structure of the fall from 1.0237 suggests that it’s a corrective move. Break of 0.9975 will argue that such correction has completed at 0.9659, ahead of 61.8% retracement of 0.9186 to 1.0237 at 0.9587. But decisive break of 1.0237 is needed to indicate up trend resumption. Otherwise, medium term outlook will stay neutral first. Meanwhile, break of 0.9695 support will extend the correction to 0.9541 support instead.

USD/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9997; (P) 1.0030; (R1) 1.0053; More….

Intraday bias in USD/CHF is turned neutral first with current retreat. But further rally is expected with 0.9871 support intact. Above 1.0063 will start next medium term projection level at 1.0306. However, considering bearish divergence condition in 4 hour MACD, break of 0.9871 support will indicate short term topping, and turn bias to the downside for pull back.

In the bigger picture, down trend from 1.0342 (2016 high) should have completed with three waves down to 0.8756 (2021 low) already. Rise from 0.8756 is likely a medium term up trend of its own. Next target is 161.8% projection of 0.8756 to 0.9471 from 0.9149 at 1.0306, which is close to 1.0342 (2016 high). This will remain the favored case as long as 0.9459 resistance turned support holds.

USD/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9690; (P) 0.9714; (R1) 0.9733; More

USD/CHF is staying in consolidation from 0.9646 and intraday bias remains neutral. With 0.9770 resistance intact, outlook remains bearish and further decline is expected. On the downside, break of 0.9646 will extend whole fall from 1.0237 and target 100% projection of 1.0237 to 0.9659 from 1.0023 at 0.9445. Nevertheless, on the upside, break of 0.9770 will indicate short term bottoming and turn bias to the upside for 55 day EMA (now at 0.9821) instead.

In the bigger picture, medium term outlook remains neutral as USD/CHF is staying sideway trading started from 1.0342 (2016 high). Fall from 1.0237 is a leg inside the pattern and could target 0.9186 (2018 low). In case of another rise, break of 1.0237 is needed to indicate up trend resumption. Otherwise, more sideway trading would be seen with risk of another fall.

USD/CHF Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.8960; (P) 0.8983; (R1) 0.9011; More….

Break of 0.9000 minor resistance indicates short term bottoming at 0.8886. Intraday bias is back on the upside for 0.9086 resistance first. Firm break there will bring retest of 0.9243 high. On the downside, however, break of 0.8886 will resume the fall from 0.9243 to 61.8% retracement of 0.8551 to 0.9243 at 0.8815 next.

In the bigger picture, rebound from 0.8551 might be completed as a correction at 0.9243. In other words, larger fall from 1.0146 (2022 high) is possibly not over yet. Risk will now stay on the downside as long as 0.9243 resistance holds. Firm break of 0.8551 will confirm down trend resumption.

USD/CHF Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9927; (P) 0.9946; (R1) 0.9959; More

Intraday bias in USD/CHF remains neutral first. Further rise is expected as long as 0.9907 minor support holds. Above 0.9970 will target 1.0027 resistance first. Firm break there will resume whole rally from 0.9659. Next target is 78.6% retracement of 1.0237 to 0.9659 at 1.0113. On the downside, break of 0.9907 minor support will turn bias back to the downside for 0.9841 support instead.

In the bigger picture, corrective fall from 1.0237 should have completed at 0.9659 already, ahead of 61.8% retracement of 0.9186 to 1.0237 at 0.9587. But decisive break of 1.0237 is needed to indicate up trend resumption. Otherwise, medium term outlook will stay neutral first. Meanwhile, break of 0.9695 support will extend the correction to 0.9541 support instead.

USD/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0005; (P) 1.0052; (R1) 1.0082; More

USD/CHF’s decline from 1.0237 resumed by taking out 1.0050 and reached as low as 1.0023 so far. Intraday bias is back on the downside for 61.8% retracement of 0.9879 to 1.0237 at 1.0016. Sustained break will pave the way to retest 0.9879 key support. On the upside, break of 1.0119 resistance will suggest that the decline from 1.0237 has completed and turn bias to the upside.

In the bigger picture, as long as 0.9879 support holds, medium term up trend form 0.9186 is still in progress. Break of 1.0237 will target 1.0342 resistance next. For now, we’d be cautious on strong resistance from there to limit upside, until we see medium term upside acceleration. However, decisive break of 0.9879 will be a strong sign of medium term reversal. Focus will be turned back to 0.9716 support for confirmation.

USD/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0030; (P) 1.0064; (R1) 1.0085; More….

Intraday bias in USD/CHF remains neutral from consolidation below 1.0098 temporary top. Further rally is expected as long as 0.9988 support holds. On the upside, above 1.0098 will target 1.0128 first. Break will confirm resumption of up trend from 0.9186. Next target will be 100% projection of 0.9541 to 1.0128 from 0.9716 at 1.0303. However, break of 0.9988 will indicate rejection by 1.0128 and turn intraday bias to the downside for 0.9716 support again.

In the bigger picture, USD/CHF drew strong support from medium term trend line and rebounded. That suggests rise from 0.9186 is still in progress. Further break of 1.0128 will confirm up trend resumption and target 1.0342 key resistance. Nevertheless, break of 0.9716 will dampen this bullish view and at least bring deeper fall to 0.9541 key support.