Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.8809; (P) 0.8829; (R1) 0.8848; More….

No change in USD/CHF’s outlook. Intraday bias stays on the downside for the moment. Current fall from 0.9243 should target 100% projection of 0.9243 to 0.8886 from 0.9111 at 0.8754 next. Nevertheless, break of 0.8873 resistance will turn bias to the upside for stronger rebound.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 0.8551 are currently seen as part of a corrective pattern to the decline from 1.0146 (2022 high). Fall from 0.9243 is seen as the second leg for now. 61.8% retracement of 0.8551 to 0.9243 at 0.8815 was already met. Sustained break there will bring retest of 0.8551 low. For now, this will remain the favored case as long as 0.9111 resistance holds.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9812; (P) 0.9854; (R1) 0.9894; More…..

Intraday bias in USD/CHF is turned neutral with a temporary low in place at 0.9812. Some consolidation could be seen. But deeper fall is still expected as long as 0.9959 resistance holds. Below 0.9812 will extend the current decline from 1.0342 to 100% projection of 1.0342 to 0.9860 from 1.0169 at 0.9687 and possibly below. However, break of 0.9959 will indicate short term bottoming and turn bias back to the upside for 55 day EMA (now at 1.0022).

In the bigger picture, USD/CHF is staying in medium term sideway pattern between 0.9443/1.0342. In any case, decisive break of 1.0342 resistance is needed to confirm underlying strength. Otherwise, we’ll stay neutral in the pair first. In case of deeper fall, we’d expect strong support from 0.9443/9548 support zone.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0059; (P) 1.0077; (R1) 1.0110; More….

USD/CHF’s rise resumed after brief retreat and intraday bias is back on the upside. Current rise from 0.9716 is in progress for 1.0128 resistance. Decisive break there will confirm resumption of up trend from 0.9186. Next target will be 100% projection of 0.9541 to 1.0128 from 0.9716 at 1.0303. On the downside, below 1.0043 minor support will turn intraday bias neutral and bring consolidation again.

In the bigger picture, USD/CHF drew strong support from medium term trend line and rebounded. That suggests rise from 0.9186 is still in progress. Further break of 1.0128 will confirm up trend resumption and target 1.0342 key resistance. Nevertheless, break of 0.9716 will dampen this bullish view and at least bring deeper fall to 0.9541 key support.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9844; (P) 0.9887; (R1) 0.9909; More…

USD/CHF’s break of 0.9837 argues that corrective rise from 0.9659 could have completed at 0.9929 already. Intraday bias is back on the downside for 0.9713 support first. Break will likely resume whole fall from 1.0237 through 0.9695. Risk will now stay on the downside as long as 0.9929 holds, in case of recovery.

In the bigger picture, the structure of the fall from 1.0237 suggests that it’s a corrective move. Break of 0.9975 will argue that such correction has completed at 0.9659, ahead of 61.8% retracement of 0.9186 to 1.0237 at 0.9587. But decisive break of 1.0237 is needed to indicate up trend resumption. Otherwise, medium term outlook will stay neutral first. Meanwhile, break of 0.9695 support will extend the correction to 0.9541 support instead.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9063; (P) 0.9118; (R1) 0.9146; More….

As long as 0.9174 resistance holds, fall from 0.9367 is still in progress for 0.9017 support first and then 0.8925. On the upside, however, break of 0.9174 resistance will indicate short term bottoming and turn bias back to the upside for stronger rebound instead.

In the bigger picture, the corrective structure of the rebound from 0.8925 argues that fall from 0.9471 is not complete yet. It could either be the second leg of pattern from 0.8756 (2021 low), or resuming larger down trend from 1.0237 (2018 high). We’d pay attention to the downside momentum and assess the odds later. But for now, medium term outlook will be neutral at best as long as 0.9471 resistance holds.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9609; (P) 0.9650; (R1) 0.9697; More…

At this point, further rise remains in favor in USD/CHF. Pull back from 0.9901 could have completed at 0.9502 already. Retest of 0.9901 should be seen next. However, on the downside, sustained break of 61.8% retracement of 0.9181 to 0.9901 at 0.9456 will target a test on 0.9181/6 key support zone instead.

In the bigger picture, decline from 1.0237 is seen as the third leg of the pattern from 1.0342 (2016 low). It could have completed at 0.9181 after hitting 0.9186 key support (2018 low). Further rise could be seen to retest 1.0237 high. After all, medium term range trading will likely continue between 0.9181/1.0237 for some time.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9915; (P) 0.9935; (R1) 0.9972; More…

USD/CHF’s rally continues today and reaches as high as 0.9975 so far. Intraday bias stays on the upside at this point. Current rise from 0.9541 should target 1.0067 key resistance and then 61.8% projection of 0.9541 to 0.9954 from 0.9848 at 1.0103. On the downside, break of 0.9848 support is needed to indicate short term topping. Otherwise, further rally will be expected even in case of retreat.

In the bigger picture, the pullback from 1.0067 has completed at 0.9541 already. And rise from 0.9186 is likely resuming. Firm break of 1.0067 will pave the way to retest 1.0342 key resistance. We’d be cautious on strong resistance from there to limit upside to bring another medium term fall to extend long term range trading.

USD/CHF’s rebound from 0.9186 extended higher last week after brief retreat. Initial bias is back on the upside this week for 0.9626 fibonacci level. On the downside, break of 0.9423 is needed to indicate completion of the rebound. Otherwise, outlook will remain bullish in case of retreat.

In the bigger picture, fall from 1.0342 is seen as a medium term down trend. Current development is raising the chance that it is completed. But there is no confirmation yet. Focus will now be back on 38.2% retracement of 1.0342 (2016 high) to 0.9186 (2018 low) at 0.9626. Sustained break there will add much credence to the case of trend reversal and target 61.8% retracement at 0.9900 and above). However, rejection from 0.9626 will maintain medium term bearishness for another low below 0.9186.

In the long term picture, at this point, the long term decline from 1.0342 is still in favor to extend lower to 0.8698 key support. But sustained break of above mentioned 0.9626 will turn focus back to 1.0037/0342 resistance zone.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9587; (P) 0.9652; (R1) 0.9686; More…..

Intraday bias in USD/CHF remains on the downside for the moment. Deeper decline could be seen through 100% projection of 1.0342 to 0.9860 from 1.0099 at 0.9617. But we’d start to look for bottoming signal again as it approaches 0.9443 key support level. On the upside, above 0.9718 minor resistance will turn intraday bias neutral first. But near term outlook will stay bearish as long as 0.9807 resistance holds.

In the bigger picture, USD/CHF is still bounded in medium term range of 0.9443/1.0342 for the moment. Consolidative trading would likely continue and medium term outlook remains neutral. Break of 1.0342 key resistance is needed to confirm underlying bullish momentum in the pair. Meanwhile, downside attempts should be contained by 0.9443 key support level. However, sustained break of 0.9443 will carry larger bearish implication and target 0.9 handle.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9637; (P) 0.9655; (R1) 0.9680; More…

With 4 hour MACD crossed above signal line, intraday bias in USD/CHF is turned neutral first. Consolidation from 0.9613 is in progress and could extend with another recovery. But upside should be limited by 0.9766 resistance. On the downside, decisive break of 0.9613 will resume whole down trend from 1.0237. Next target is 100% projection of 1.0237 to 0.9659 from 1.0023 at 0.9445.

In the bigger picture, medium term outlook remains neutral as USD/CHF is staying sideway trading started from 1.0342 (2016 high). Fall from 1.0237 is a leg inside the pattern and could target 0.9186 (2018 low). In case of another rise, break of 1.0237 is needed to indicate up trend resumption. Otherwise, more sideway trading would be seen with risk of another fall.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9929; (P) 0.9959; (R1) 0.9980; More….

Intraday bias in USD/CHF remains neutral for consolidation below 0.9990 temporary top. Deeper retreat might be seen. But downside should be contained above 0.9856 support to bring another rise. As noted before, correction from 1.0128 should have completed at 0.9716 already. On the upside, above 0.9990 will target a test on 1.0128 high next.

In the bigger picture, current development suggests that rise from 0.9186 has possibly completed with three waves up to 1.0128 already. Decline from 1.0128 could either be correcting this move, or reversing the trend. As long as 0.9541 support holds, we’d slightly favor the former scenario, and expect another rise through 1.0128 at a later stage. However, sustained break of 0.9541 will confirm trend reversal and bring deeper fall back to 0.9186 low.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9892; (P) 0.9919; (R1) 0.9969; More….

Intraday bias in USD/CHF remains on the upside as rise from 0.9734 is still in progress for 1.0037 resistance. Firm break there will confirm resumption of whole rise from 0.9420 and target 61.8% projection of 0.9420 to 0.9734 from 1.0047 at 1.0115 next. On the downside, below 0.9909 minor support will turn bias neutral and bring consolidations first.

In the bigger picture, range trading continues between 0.9420/1.0342. At this point, 0.9420 appears to be a strong support level. Therefore, in case of decline attempt, we don’t expect a firm break of this level. Nonetheless, strong break of 1.0342 is also needed to confirm upside momentum. Otherwise, medium term outlook will stay neutral.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9890; (P) 0.9903; (R1) 0.9919; More…

USD/CHF’s break of 0.9904 minor resistance suggests that pull back from 1.0027 has completed at 0.9841, after drawing support from 0.9843 support. Intraday bias is back on the upside for retesting 1.0027 first. However, on the downside, sustained break of 0.9843 support will indicate that choppy rebound from 0.9659 has completed at 1.0027. Deeper fall should be seen to 0.9659 support and below.

In the bigger picture, corrective fall from 1.0237 should have completed at 0.9659 already, ahead of 61.8% retracement of 0.9186 to 1.0237 at 0.9587. But decisive break of 1.0237 is needed to indicate up trend resumption. Otherwise, medium term outlook will stay neutral first. Meanwhile, break of 0.9695 support will extend the correction to 0.9541 support instead.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9781; (P) 0.9809; (R1) 0.9824; More…

Intraday bias in USD/CHF remains neutral for the moment. Further rise is expected with 0.9691 support intact. On the upside, break of 0.9884 resistance will argue that larger up trend is ready to resume through 1.0063 high. On the downside, however, break of 0.9691 minor support will dampen this view and turn bias back to the downside for 0.9469 support instead.

In the bigger picture, current development suggests that up trend from 0.8756 (2021 low) is still in progress. Sustained break of 1.0063 will target 100% projection of 0.9149 to 1.0063 from 0.9369 at 1.0283, and then 1.0342 (2016 high). For now, this will remain the favored case as long as 0.9369 support holds, even in case of deep pull back.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9875; (P) 0.9909; (R1) 0.9929; More…

Focus is back on 0.9842 minor support with current decline. Break will indicate that rebound from 0.9695 has completed at 0.9951. In this case, intraday bias will be turned back to the downside for retesting 0.9695 low. On the upside, above 0.9951 will target 1.0014. But upside could be limited by 61.8% retracement of 1.0237 to 0.9695 at 1.0030.

In the bigger picture, current development suggests that up trend from 0.9186 (2018 low) has completed at 1.0237 already. Deeper decline would be seen to 61.8% retracement of 0.9186 to 1.0237 at 0.9587 and below. For now, USD/CHF is seen as in long term range pattern between 0.9186 and 1.0342. Hence, we’d pay attention to bottoming signal below 0.9587. However, sustained break of 1.0014 will revive medium term bullishness and turn focus back to 1.0237 high.

USD/CHF stayed in consolidation below 1.0237 last week and outlook is unchanged. Initial bias remains neutral this week for some more sideway trading first. On the upside, break of 1.0237 will resume larger rise from 0.9186 to 1.0342 key resistance. However, break of 1.0126 will turn bias to the downside for deeper decline to 55 day EMA (now at 1.0063).

In the bigger picture, medium term up trend from 0.9186 is extending. Current rise should target 1.0342 resistance next. For now, we’d be cautious on strong resistance from there to limit upside, until we see medium term upside acceleration. On the downside, break of 0.9879 support is needed to indicate reversal. Otherwise, outlook will stay bullish in case of deep pull back.

In the long term picture, price actions from 0.7065 (2011 low) are not clearly impulsive yet. Thus, we’ll treat it as developing into a corrective pattern, at least, until a firm break of 1.0342 resistance.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0054; (P) 1.0074; (R1) 1.0092; More…..

USD/CHF is staying in consolidation below 1.0107 temporary top. Intraday bias remains neutral for the moment. Outlook is unchanged that corrective fall from 1.0342 should have finished with three waves down to 0.9812. Hence, downside of retreat should be contained by 0.9980 support and bring rally resumption. Above 1.0107 will target 1.0169 resistance. Decisive break there will confirm this bullish case and target 1.0342 key resistance next. However, below 0.9980 will dampen this bullish case and turn bias back to the downside for 0.9812 low.

In the bigger picture, we’re still maintain that firm break of 1.0342 key resistance is needed to confirm underlying bullish momentum in the cross. However, the corrective nature of the fall from 1.0342 to 0.9812 is starting to give the medium term outlook a bullish favor. Hence, in stead of looking for topping signal around 1.0342, we’d now pay closer attention to upside acceleration as USD/CHF approaches this level again.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0087; (P) 1.0103; (R1) 1.0128; More…

Intraday bias in USD/CHF stays neutral and more consolidation could be seen. With 1.0126 support turned resistance intact, another decline is mildly in favor. On the downside, break of 1.0050 will resume the fall from 1.0237 to retest 0.9879 key support. However, firm break of 1.0126 will turn bias back to the upside for 1.0237 resistance.

In the bigger picture, as long as 0.9879 support holds, medium term up trend form 0.9186 is still in progress. Break of 1.0237 will target 1.0342 resistance next. For now, we’d be cautious on strong resistance from there to limit upside, until we see medium term upside acceleration. However, decisive break of 0.9879 will be a strong sign of medium term reversal. Focus will be turned back to 0.9716 support for confirmation.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9154; (P) 0.9211; (R1) 0.9317; More…

Intraday bias in USD/CHF stays neutral with focus on 0.9285 resistance. Firm break there will confirm short term bottoming at 0.9058, and bring stronger rise to 0.9407 resistance. On the downside, however, sustained break of 0.9058 will resume larger decline from 1.0146 instead.

In the bigger picture, rise from 0.8756 (2021 low) has completed at 1.0146, well ahead of 1.0342 long term resistance (2016 high). Based on current downside momentum, fall from 1.0146 should be a medium term down trend itself. Next target is a test on 0.8756 low. Strong support should be seen there to bring rebound. Still, further decline will now be expected as long as 0.9407 resistance holds, in any case.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9553; (P) 0.9609; (R1) 0.9644; More….

USD/CHF’s decline resumed by breaking 0.9571 and intraday bias is back on the downside. Current fall from 1.0037 would target a test on 0.9420 key support level. On the upside, break of 0.9666 resistance is needed to indicate short term bottoming. Otherwise, outlook will stay bearish in case of recovery.

In the bigger picture, range trading continues between 0.9420/1.0342. At this point, 0.9420 appears to be a strong support level. Therefore, in case of decline attempt, we don’t expect a firm break of this level. Nonetheless, strong break of 1.0342 is also needed to confirm upside momentum. Otherwise, medium term outlook will stay neutral.