Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9310; (P) 0.9330; (R1) 0.9369; More….

Intraday bias in USD/CHF stays on the upside for 0.9372 resistance. Choppy rise from 0.8925 might be ready to resume. Break will target 0.9371. However, on the downside, break of 0.9289 will turn intraday bias neutral again.

In the bigger picture, medium term outlook will be neutral at best as long as 0.9471 resistance holds. Larger down trend could still extend through 0.8756 (2021 low). However, firm break of 0.9471 will argue that the trend has already reversed and rebound the rally from 0.8756 with another impulsive move.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9374; (P) 0.9390; (R1) 0.9409; More….

Intraday bias in USD/CHF remains neutral for consolidations below 0.9416. Downside should be contained well above 0.9221 support to bring rally resumption. On the upside, break of 0.9416 will extend the rise from 0.8756 to 61.8% retracement of 0.9901 to 0.8756 at 0.9464. Break there will target 0.9901 resistance next.

In the bigger picture, fall from 1.0237 should have completed at 0.8756, on bullish condition in daily and weekly MACD. Current rally from 0.8756 should target 0.9901 resistance first. Break there will target 1.0237/0342 resistance zone in the medium term. This will now remain the favored case as long as 0.9044 resistance turned support holds.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9535; (P) 0.9559; (R1) 0.9590; More….

USD/CHF’s break of 0.9527 minor support suggests that fall from 0.9679 is going to extend lower. Intraday bias is turned back to the downside for 0.9427 low. Break of 0.9427 will resume whole decline from 1.3042. On the upside, above 0.9594 minor resistance will turn intraday bias neutral again. Also, noted that USD/CHF is close to to 0.9443 key support, consolidation from 0.9427 might extend further. But still, break of 0.9772 resistance is needed to confirm near term reversal. Otherwise, outlook stays bearish for another decline.

In the bigger picture, current development suggests that 0.9443 key support (2016 low) could be taken out firmly as down trend form 1.0342 extends. There are various interpretation of the price actions. But in any case, medium term outlook will stay bearish as long as 0.9772 resistance holds. Current down trend could extend to 38.2% retracement of 0.7065 (2011 low) to 1.0342 (2016 high) at 0.9090. However, break of 0.9772 will indicate that USD/CHF has successfully defended 0.9443 again and turn outlook bullish for 1.0099 resistance.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.8518; (P) 0.8550; (R1) 0.8569; More….

Intraday bias in USD/CHF is turned neutral with current recovery, and some consolidations should be seen first. But outlook will stay bearish as long as 0.8665 support turned resistance holds. Below 0.8513 will resume larger down trend to 100% projection of 0.9111 to 0.8665 from 0.8819 at 0.8373 next.

In the bigger picture, break of 0.8551 support indicates resumption of whole decline from 1.0146 (2022 high). Next target is 61.8% retracement of 1.0146 to 0.8551 from 0.9243 at 0.8257. Sustained break there could prompt downside acceleration to 100% projection at 0.7648. This will now remain the favored case as long as 0.8819 resistance holds.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9596; (P) 0.9617; (R1) 0.9644; More…

Intraday bias in USD/CHF remains neutral and outlook is unchanged. The pair is still in corrective pattern from 1.0063. Below 0.9478 will extend the fall from 0.9868 towards 0.9369 support. On the upside, firm break of 4 hour 55 EMA (now at 0.9654) will target 0.9868 resistance first. Further break there will argue that larger up trend is ready to resume through 1.0063.

In the bigger picture, current development suggests that up trend from 0.8756 (2021 low) is still in progress. Sustained break of 1.0063 will target 100% projection of 0.9149 to 1.0063 from 0.9369 at 1.0283, and then 1.0342 (2016 high). For now, this will remain the favored case as long as 0.9369 support holds, even in case of deep pull back.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9145; (P) 0.9168; (R1) 0.9192; More….

Intraday bias in USD/CHF remains neutral for consolidation above 0.9127 temporary low. With 0.9244 resistance intact, further fall is still expected. On the downside, below 0.9127 will extend the decline from 0.9471 to 61.8% retracement of 0.8756 to 0.9471 at 0.9029. Nevertheless, break of 0.9244 will indicate short term bottoming and turn bias to the upside for rebound.

In the bigger picture, rejection by 61.8% retracement of 0.9901 to 0.8756 at 0.9464 argues that rebound from 0.8756 was probably just a corrective move. That is, larger down trend from 1.0237 might be still in progress. We’ll monitor the downside momentum of the decline from 0.9471, to assess the chance of breakthrough 0.8756 low.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9938; (P) 0.9968; (R1) 0.9985; More…..

USD/CHF’s fall resumed by breaking 0.9940 and reaches as low as 0.9897 so far. Intraday bias is back on the downside for 0.9812. Fall from 1.0342 is seen as a correction. Hence, we’ll look for bottoming signal below 0.9812. Meanwhile, on the upside, above 0.9999 minor resistance will turn bias back to the upside for 1.0107 resistance instead.

In the bigger picture, we’re still maintaining that firm break of 1.0342 key resistance is needed to confirm underlying bullish momentum in the cross. However, the corrective nature of the fall from 1.0342 is starting to give the medium term outlook a bullish favor. Hence, in stead of looking for topping signal around 1.0342, we’d now pay closer attention to upside acceleration as USD/CHF approaches this level again.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9300; (P) 0.9327; (R1) 0.9375; More….

Intraday bias in USD/CHF remains neutral for the moment. Further rally will remain in favor as long as 0.9214 support holds. On the upside, break of 0.9367 will resume the rise from 0.8925 to 0.9471 key resistance next. However, break of 0.9214 will turn bias back to the downside for 0.9017 support again.

In the bigger picture, the strong rally above 55 week EMA (now at 0.9190) now tilts favor to the case of bullish trend reversal. That is, decline from 1.3042 (2016 high) is probably completed at 0.8756 already. Sustained break of 0.9471 resistance should confirm this case and pave the way to retest 1.0342 ahead. However, rejection by 0.9471 will mix up the outlook again and retain some medium term bearishness.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9310; (P) 0.9388; (R1) 0.9488; More…

USD/CHF reaches as low as 0.9288 so far and intraday bias remains on the downside. Current decline should now target next key fibonacci level at 0.9115. On the upside, above 0.9448 minor resistance will turn intraday bias neutral and bring consolidations first.

In the bigger picture, the strong break of 0.9420 support suggests that fall from 1.0342 is developing into a medium term down trend. Deeper fall should be seen to 100% projection of 1.0342 to 0.9420 from 1.0037 at 0.9115.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9098; (P) 0.9125; (R1) 0.9152; More….

Intraday bias in USD/CHF is back on the downside with break of 0.9097 minor support. Retest of 0.8982 low should be seen. Firm break there will resume later down trend. On the upside, break of 0.9207 resistance is needed to be the first sign of bullish reversal. Otherwise, outlook will stay bearish in case of another rebound.

In the bigger picture, decline from 1.0237 is seen as the third leg of the pattern from 1.0342 (2016 high). There is no clear sign of completion yet. On resumption, next target will be 138.2% projection of 1.0342 to 0.9186 from 1.0237 at 0.8639. Nevertheless, strong break of 0.9304 resistance will be an early sign of trend reversal and turn focus back to 0.9901 key resistance for confirmation.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0086; (P) 1.0111; (R1) 1.0135; More…..

Intraday bias in USD/CHF remains on the downside for the moment. Rise from 0.9443 could have completed at 1.0342 already, after failing to sustain above 1.0327 key resistance. Deeper fall would be seen back to 0.9443/9548 support zone. On the upside, above 1.0135 minor resistance will turn focus back to 1.0342 resistance intact.

In the bigger picture, rejection from 1.0327 resistance suggests that consolidation pattern from there is still in progress. Fall from 1.0342 is seen as the third leg and retest of 0.9443/9548 support zone could be seen. But we’d expect strong support from there to contain downside. At this point, we’re still extend the larger rally to resume later to 38.2% retracement of 1.8305 to 0.7065 at 1.1359.

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USD/CHF edged higher to 0.9072 last week but lost momentum again. Initial bias stays neutral this week first. Further rally is in favor as long as 0.8939 support holds. On the upside, sustained trading above 55 D EMA (now at 0.9039) should confirm that current rally is at least correcting whole down trend from 1.0146. Further rise should then be seen to 38.2% retracement of 1.0146 to 0.8818 at 0.9325. On the downside, though, break of 0.8939 will bring retest of 0.8818 low instead.

In the bigger picture, fall from 1.1046 (2022 high) is seen as a leg in the long term range pattern from 1.0342 (2016 high). So, downside should be contained by 0.8756 to bring reversal. Sustained break of 0.9058 support turned resistance will be the first sign of medium term bottoming. However, decisive break of 0.8756 will carry larger bearish implications.

In the long term picture, long term sideway pattern from 1.0342 (2016 high) is expected to continue between 0.8756/1.0342. However, sustained break of 0.8756 will open up deeper fall back towards 0.7065 (2011 low).

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9655; (P) 0.9682; (R1) 0.9709; More…

With 0.9576 minor support intact, further rise is expected in USD/CHF. Outlook is unchanged that triangle correction from 1.0063 could have completed at 0.9369 already. Further rally should be seen to 0.9884 resistance next. Break there will argue that larger up trend is ready for resumption through 1.0063. On the downside, below 0.9576 minor support will dampen this view and turn bias back to the downside for 0.9369 support instead.

In the bigger picture, current development suggests that up trend from 0.8756 (2021 low) is still in progress. Sustained break of 1.0063 will target 100% projection of 0.9149 to 1.0063 from 0.9369 at 1.0283, and then 1.0342 (2016 high). For now, this will remain the favored case as long as 0.9369 support holds, even in case of deep pull back.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9393; (P) 0.9486; (R1) 0.9547; More…

USD/CHF’s decline continues today and breaks 0.9420 key support. There is no clear sign of bottoming yet. Intraday bias remains on the downside. Sustained trading below 0.9420 will carry larger bearish implication and pave the way to next key fibonacci level at 0.9115. On the upside, above 0.9535 minor résistance will turn bias back to the upside for rebound.

In the bigger picture, range trading continues between 0.9420/1.0342. At this point, 0.9420 appears to be a strong support level. Therefore,we don’t expect a firm break of this level. However, firm break of 0.9420 will confirm that fall from 1.0342 is developing into a long term down trend. And in that case, next downside target will be 100% projection of 1.0342 to 0.9420 from 1.0037 at 0.9115.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.8308; (P) 0.8585; (R1) 0.8779; More….

USD/CHF’s recovery from 0.8332 is extending. But still, with 0.8665 support turned resistance, current price actions are seen as corrective, and outlook stays bearish. On the downside, break of 0.8332 will resume larger fall from 0.9243 to 0.8257 projection level.

In the bigger picture, break of 0.8551 support indicates resumption of whole decline from 1.0146 (2022 high). Next target is 61.8% retracement of 1.0146 to 0.8551 from 0.9243 at 0.8257. Sustained break there could prompt downside acceleration to 100% projection at 0.7648. This will now remain the favored case as long as 0.8819 resistance holds.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.8766; (P) 0.8822; (R1) 0.8851; More…

USD/CHF’s decline accelerates today and breaks through 0.8756 key long term support decisively. There is no sign of bottoming and intraday bias on the downside. Next target is 100% projection of 0.9439 to 0.8818 from 0.9146 at 0.8525. On the upside, above 0.8791 minor resistance will turn intraday bias neutral first. But outlook will remain bearish as long as 0.8900 support turned resistance holds.

In the bigger picture, the break of 0.8756 (2021 low) indicates break out from the long term range pattern. For now, medium term outlook will stay bearish as long as 0.9146 resistance holds. Further fall would be seen back towards 0.7065 (2011 low).

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.8926 (P) 0.8983; (R1) 0.9016; More….

USD/CHF accelerates to as low as 0.8921 so far today, touching 100% projection of 0.9223 to 0.8987 from 0.9157 at 0.8921. There is no sign of bottoming yet and intraday bias stays on the downside. Break of 0.8921 will target 0.8883 fibonacci level. On the upside, above 0.8987 support turned resistance will turn intraday bias neutral first.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 0.8332 medium term bottom are tentatively seen as developing into a corrective pattern to the down trend from 1.0146 (2022 high). Rejection by 0.9243 resistance, followed by sustained break of 38.2% retracement of 0.8332 to 0.9223 at 0.8883 will strengthen this case, and maintain medium term bearishness. However, decisive break of 0.9243 will argue that the trend has already reversed and turn medium term outlook bullish for 1.0146.

USD/CHF’s rebound from 0.9862 extended higher last week. The development argues that corrective pull back from 1.0128 has completed with three waves down to 0.9862, ahead of 0.9484 support, on bullish convergence condition in 4 hour MACD. Initial bias is now on the upside this week for 1.0008 resistance first. Break will confirm this bullish case and target a test on 1.0128 high. On the downside, though, below 0.9911 minor support will turn focus back to 0.9848 support instead.

In the bigger picture, current development suggests that the medium term rally from 0.9186 hasn’t completed yet. Break of 1.0128 will target 1.0342 key resistance next (2016 high). On the downside, break of 0.9848 support will dampen this bullish view and turn focus back to 0.9541 key support instead.

In the long term picture, price actions from 0.7065 (2011 low) are not clearly impulsive yet. Thus, we’ll treat it as developing into a corrective pattern, at least, until a firm break of 1.0342 resistance.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.8898; (P) 0.8944; (R1) 0.8969; More….

USD/CHF’s break of 0.8925 resistance turned support, as well as the near term trend line, argues that corrective rise from 0.8756 has completed, with three waves up to 0.9044. Intraday bias is turned back to the downside for 0.8837 support first. Break will bring retest of 0.8756 low. On the upside, above 0.8980 minor resistance will turn bias back to the upside to resume the corrective rebound form 0.8756 instead.

In the bigger picture, decline from 1.0237 is seen as the third leg of the pattern from 1.0342 (2016 high). There is no clear sign of completion yet. Next target will be 138.2% projection of 1.0342 to 0.9186 from 1.0237 at 0.8639. In any case, break of 0.9295 resistance is needed to signal medium term bottoming. Otherwise, outlook will remain bearish in case of rebound.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9464; (P) 0.9541; (R1) 0.9590; More…

Intraday bias in USD/CHF remains on the downside at this point. Current fall from 1.0342 should target target 0.9443 key support level next. At this point, we’d expect strong support from there to bring rebound. On the upside, break of 0.9699 resistance is needed to confirm short term bottoming. Otherwise, outlook will remain bearish in case of recovery.

In the bigger picture, USD/CHF is still bounded in medium term range of 0.9443/1.0342 for the moment. Consolidative trading would likely continue and medium term outlook remains neutral. Break of 1.0342 key resistance is needed to confirm underlying bullish momentum in the pair. Meanwhile, downside attempts should be contained by 0.9443 key support level. However, sustained break of 0.9443 will carry larger bearish implication and target 0.9 handle.