USD/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9741; (P) 0.9842; (R1) 0.9898; More

Intraday bias in USD/CHF remains neutral at this point, as consolidation form 0.9964 is still extending. Further rally is in favor as long as 0.9694 support holds. On the upside, above 0.9964 will resume the rally from 0.9369 to retest 1.0063 high. On the downside, however, break of 0.9694 support will extend the corrective pattern from 1.0063 with another falling leg, towards 0.9478 support first.

In the bigger picture, current development suggests that up trend from 0.8756 (2021 low) is still in progress. Sustained break of 1.0063 will target 100% projection of 0.9149 to 1.0063 from 0.9369 at 1.0283, and then 1.0342 (2016 high). For now, this will remain the favored case as long as 0.9369 support holds, even in case of deep pull back.

USD/CHF Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9117; (P) 0.9139; (R1) 0.9161; More….

Range trading continues in USD/CHF and intraday bias remains neutral. On the downside, break of 0.9098 will target 0.9017 support first. Further break there will likely resume the decline from 0.9471 through 0.8925 low. On the upside, break of 0.9241 resistance should resume the rise from 0.8925 through 0.927.

In the bigger picture, USD/CHF is still struggling around 55 week EMA (now at 0.9176) and outlook is mixed for now. Confirmed rejection by the 55 week EMA will retain medium term bearishness. That is, larger fall from 1.0342 would resume through 0.8756 low at a later stage. However, sustained trading above 55 week EMA will tilt favor to the case of bullish reversal. Focus would then be turned to 0.9471 resistance for confirmation.

USD/CHF Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9835; (P) 0.9910; (R1) 0.9959; More

USD/CHF’s pull back from 1.0063 extends lower today and there is no sign of bottoming yet. Intraday bias stays on the downside. Sustained break of 38.2% retracement of 0.9193 to 1.0063 at 0.9731 will target 55 day EMA (now at 0.9583). But downside should be contained by 61.8% retracement at 0.9525 to bring rebound. On the upside, above 0.9859 minor resistance will turn intraday bias neutral first.

In the bigger picture, down trend from 1.0342 (2016 high) should have completed with three waves down to 0.8756 (2021 low) already. Rise from 0.8756 is likely a medium term up trend of its own. Next target is 161.8% projection of 0.8756 to 0.9471 from 0.9149 at 1.0306, which is close to 1.0342 (2016 high). This will remain the favored case as long as 0.9459 resistance turned support holds.

USD/CHF Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9852; (P) 0.9873; (R1) 0.9887; More

Intraday bias in USD/CHF is turned neutral as it recovers ahead of 0.9841 support. Another fall remains mildly in favor with 0.9970 resistance intact. Break of 0.9841 should confirm completion of rise from 0.9659 and turn outlook bearish for retest this low. On the upside, above 0.9970 will bring retest of 1.0027 resistance first.

In the bigger picture, corrective fall from 1.0237 should have completed at 0.9659 already, ahead of 61.8% retracement of 0.9186 to 1.0237 at 0.9587. But decisive break of 1.0237 is needed to indicate up trend resumption. Otherwise, medium term outlook will stay neutral first. Meanwhile, break of 0.9695 support will extend the correction to 0.9541 support instead.

USD/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9032; (P) 0.9084; (R1) 0.9156; More….

Intraday bias in USD/CHF remains neutral as consolidation from 0.9151 is extending. Further rally is expected as long as 0.8996 support holds. Break of 0.9151 will resume the larger rise from 0.8332 to 0.9243 resistance. However, firm break of 0.8996 will turn bias to the downside for 55 D EMA (now at 0.8939).

In the bigger picture, price actions from 0.8332 medium term bottom as tentatively seen as developing into a corrective pattern to the down trend from 1.0146 (2022 high). Further rise would be seen as long as 0.8728 support holds. But upside should be limited by 0.9243 resistance, at least on first attempt. However, decisive break of 0.9243 will argue that the trend has already reversed and turn medium term outlook bullish.

USD/CHF Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9939; (P) 0.9957; (R1) 0.9973; More…..

Intraday bias in USD/CHF remains neutral and consolidation from 0.9879 might extend. As long as 1.0010 minor resistance holds, further decline is mildly in favor. On the downside, below 0.9879 will resume the fall from 1.0124 to 0.9716 key support. Nevertheless, break of 1.0010 will turn bias back to the upside for 1.0124/28 resistance zone.

In the bigger picture, focus is back on medium term trend line (now at 0.9846). Decisive break there will argue that whole rise from 0.9186 has completed. Further break of 0.9716 will confirm reversal and target next support level at 0.9541. Nevertheless, there is still a chance that price action from 1.0128 are forming a consolidative pattern with fall from 1.0124 as third leg. If this is the case, stronger support should be seen between 0.9716 and the trend line to contain downside.

USD/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9889; (P) 0.9922; (R1) 0.9960; More…..

USD/CHF’s downside momentum diminished mildly after hitting 0.9860 and intraday bias is turned neutral first. Deeper decline is still expected as long as 1.0043 minor resistance holds. As noted before, decline from 1.0342 is seen as the third leg of the pattern from 1.0327. Below 0.9860 will target 61.8% retracement of 0.9443 to 1.0342 at 0.9786 and below. Meanwhile, break of 1.0043 will indicate short term bottoming and turn bias back to the upside.

In the bigger picture, rejection from 1.0327 resistance suggests that consolidation pattern from there is still in progress. Fall from 1.0342 is seen as the third leg and retest of 0.9443/9548 support zone could be seen. But we’d expect strong support from there to contain downside. At this point, we’re still expecting the larger rally to resume later to 38.2% retracement of 1.8305 to 0.7065 at 1.1359.

USD/CHF 4 Hours Chart

USD/CHF Daily Chart

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USD/CHF Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9628; (P) 0.9674; (R1) 0.9702; More

Intraday bias in USD/CHF remains neutral as range trading continues. On the downside, break of 0.9638 will extend the corrective pattern from 0.9901 with another fall, to 0.9588 support and below. But downside should be contained by 61.8% retracement of 0.9181 to 0.9901 at 0.9456 to rebound. On the upside, break of 0.9784 resistance will target a test on 0.9901 high.

In the bigger picture, decline from 1.0237 is seen as the third leg of the pattern from 1.0342 (2016 low). It could have completed at 0.9181 after hitting 0.9186 key support (2018 low). Break of 0.9901 will extend the rebound form 0.9181 through 1.0023 resistance. After all, medium term range trading will likely continue between 0.9181/1.0237 for some more time.

USD/CHF Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9633; (P) 0.9675; (R1) 0.9699; More…..

USD/CHF’s breach of 0.9640 low suggests that recent decline from 1.0067 is resuming. Intraday bias is back on the downside for 0.9523 fibonacci level. On the upside, above 0.9688 minor resistance will dampen this bearish case and turn bias neutral first. Break of 0.9757 resistance will indicate near term reversal and bring stronger rebound back to 0.9866 support turned resistance.

In the bigger picture, current development suggests that rise from 0.9186 low has completed at 1.0067, after failing to sustain above 1.0037 resistance. Fall from 1.0067 could extend to 61.8% retracement of 0.9816 to 1.0067 at 0.9523 and below. But for now, we don’t expect a break of 0.9186 low. On the upside, firm break of 0.9866 support turned resistance will suggests that fall from 1.0067 has completed and rise from 0.9186 is resuming.

USD/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9221; (P) 0.9259; (R1) 0.9329; More….

Intraday bias in USD/CHF remains on the upside for 0.9295 resistance. Firm break there will carry larger bullish implication and target 61.8% retracement of 0.9901 to 0.8756 at 0.9464. On the downside, break of 0.9192 minor support will turn intraday bias neutral again. But further rally is expected as long as 0.9044 resistance turned support holds.

In the bigger picture, decline from 1.0237 is seen as the third leg of the pattern from 1.0342 (2016 high). Firm break of 0.9295 resistance, and sustained trading above 55 week EMA (now at 0.9227), will suggest that the pattern has completed. In this case, further rise could be seen back to 1.0237/0342 resistance zone in the medium term. Though, rejection by 0.9295 will retain medium term bearishness for 138.2% projection of 1.0342 to 0.9186 from 1.0237 at 0.8639.

USD/CHF Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9092; (P) 0.9124; (R1) 0.9183; More….

Intraday bias in USD/CHF stays mildly on the upside at this point. Corrective fall from 0.9273 should have completed with three waves down to 0.9017. Further rally would be seen to retest 0.9273 first. Break there will resume rise from 0.8925 to 100% projection of 0.8925 to 0.9273 from 0.9017 at 0.9365. On the downside, below 0.9128 minor support will mixed up the outlook and turn intraday bias neutral first.

In the bigger picture, the failure to sustain above 55 week EMA (now at 0.9183) retains medium term bearish in USD/CHF. Break of 0.8925 support should resume the whole decline form 1.0342 (2016 high) through 0.8756 low. However, break of 0.9273 resistance and sustained trading above 55 week EMA will be an early sign of bullish trend reversal. Focus will then turn to 0.9471 resistance for confirmation.

USD/CHF Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9167; (P) 0.9204; (R1) 0.9240; More….

Intraday bias in USD/CHF remains neutral as range trading continues. Choppy rise from 0.8925 would still be in favor to extend higher as long as 0.9090 support holds. Break of 0.9341 will target 0.9372 resistance and then 0.9471. On the downside, however, break of 0.9090 will bring deeper fall back to 0.8925 support.

In the bigger picture, medium term outlook will be neutral at best as long as 0.9471 resistance holds. Larger down trend could still extend through 0.8756 (2021 low). However, firm break of 0.9471 will argue that the trend has already reversed and rebound the rally from 0.8756 with another impulsive move.

USD/CHF Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.8742; (P) 0.8762; (R1) 0.8793; More….

USD/CHF is extending sideway trading and intraday bias remains neutral. On the downside break of 0.8663 minor support should confirm rejection by 0.8818 and turn intraday bias back to the downside for retesting 0.8551 first. Nevertheless, decisive break of 0.8818 will carry larger bullish implication, and target 0.9146 cluster resistance next.

In the bigger picture, down trend from 1.0146 is seen as in progress as long as 0.8188 support turned resistance holds. Next target is 61.8% retracement of 0.7065 (2011 low) to 1.0342 (2016 high) at 0.8317. However, sustained break of 0.8818 should indicate medium term bottoming, and bring stronger rise back to 0.9146 cluster resistance (38.2% retracement of 1.0146 to 0.8551 at 0.9160), even as a correction.

USD/CHF Weekly Outlook

USD/CHF edged lower to 0.8665 last week but recovered notably since then. A short term bottom should be formed on bullish convergence condition in 4H MACD. Initial bias stays on the upside this week for 0.8886 support turned resistance first. Decisive break there will indicate that whole fall from 0.9243 has completed, and bring stronger rally to 0.9111 resistance next. On the downside, below 0.8727 minor support will turn intraday bias neutral first.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 0.8551 are currently seen as part of a corrective pattern to the decline from 1.0146 (2022 high). Fall from 0.9243 is seen as the second leg for now. Deeper decline could be seen to 0.8551 low but strong support should be seen there to bring rebound. Meanwhile, break of 0.9111 resistance will argue that the third leg has started already, and target 0.9243 and above.

In the long term picture, there is no clear sign that down trend from 1.8305 (2000 high) has completed. With 38.2% retracement of 1.8305 to 0.7065 at 1.1359 intact, outlook is neutral at best.

USD/CHF Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9703; (P) 0.9732; (R1) 0.9755; More

USD/CHF is staying in consolidation and intraday bias remains neutral for the moment. In case of another recovery, upside should be limited below 0.9975 resistance to bring fall resumption. On the downside, firm break of 0.9695 will resume the decline from 1.0237 to 0.9587 fibonacci level next.

In the bigger picture, up trend from 0.9186 (2018 low) should have completed at 1.0237 already. Deeper decline would be seen to 61.8% retracement of 0.9186 to 1.0237 at 0.9587 and below. For now, USD/CHF is seen as in long term range pattern between 0.9186 and 1.0342. Hence, we’d pay attention to bottoming signal below 0.9587. However, sustained break of 1.0014 will revive medium term bullishness and turn focus back to 1.0237 high.

USD/CHF Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9886; (P) 0.9911; (R1) 0.9925; More

Intraday bias in USD/CHF is mildly on the downside. Current pull back from 0.9954 could extend to 38.2% retracement of 0.9541 to 0.9954 at 0.9796. But we’d expect strong support from there to bring rebound, and then rise resumption. On the upside, break of 0.9954 will resume the rally from 0.90541 and target 1.0067 resistance next.

In the bigger picture, the pullback from 1.0067 has completed at 0.9541 already. And rise from 0.9186 is likely resuming. Firm break of 1.0067 will pave the way to retest 1.0342 key resistance. We’d be cautious on strong resistance from there to limit upside to bring another medium term fall to extend long term range trading.

USD/CHF Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0000; (P) 1.0045; (R1) 1.0118; More…..

Intraday bias in USD/CHF remains on the upside for 1.0107 resistance. Current development revived the case that correction from 1.0342 is already completed at 0.9812. Break of 1.0107 will bring a retest on 1.0342 high. On the downside, below 1.0037 minor support will turn bias neutral and bring consolidation first before staging another rise.

In the bigger picture, we’re still maintaining that firm break of 1.0342 key resistance is needed to confirm underlying bullish momentum in the pair. However, the corrective nature of the fall from 1.0342 is starting to give the medium term outlook a bullish favor. Hence, in stead of looking for topping signal around 1.0342, we’d now pay closer attention to upside acceleration as USD/CHF approaches this level again.

USD/CHF 4 Hours Chart

USD/CHF Daily Chart

USD/CHF Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9926; (P) 0.9951; (R1) 0.9986; More

Intraday bias in USD/CHF remains neutral at this point. On the downside, break of 38.2% retracement of 0.9541 to 1.0128 at 0.9904 will resume the fall from 1.0128 to 0.9848 key support level. Break there will indicate near term reversal and target 61.8% at 0.9765. On the upside, break of 1.0006 will argue that the pull back from 1.0128 has completed. Intraday bias will be turned back to the upside for retesting 1.1028.

In the bigger picture, rise from 0.9541 could have topped at 1.0128. But as long as 0.9541 support holds, we’d still expect rise from 0.9186 to resume at a later stage. Break of 1.0128 will target 1.0342 key resistance. However, break of 0.9514 will pave the way back to 0.9186 low.

USD/CHF Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9709; (P) 0.9734; (R1) 0.9750; More…..

At this point, USD/CHF is staying in range of 0.9640/9766 and intraday bias remains neutral first. On the upside, firm break of 0.9766 will argue that the fall from 1.0067 is finished, with bullish convergence condition in 4 hour MACD. In such case, intraday bias will be turned back to the upside for 0.9866 support turned resistance for confirmation. On the downside, however, break of 0.9640 will resume the decline from 1.0067 for 0.9523 fibonacci level next.

In the bigger picture, current development suggests that rise from 0.9186 low has completed at 1.0067, after failing to sustain above 1.0037 resistance. Fall from 1.0067 could extend to 61.8% retracement of 0.9816 to 1.0067 at 0.9523 and below. But for now, we don’t expect a break of 0.9186 low. On the upside, firm break of 0.9866 support turned resistance will suggests that fall from 1.0067 has completed and rise from 0.9186 is resuming.

USD/CHF Weekly Outlook

USD/CHF rose to 0.9241 last week but failed to break through 0.9273 resistance and retreated. Initial bias remains neutral this week first. Another rise is mildly in favor as long as 0.9128 minor support holds. Firm break of 0.9273 will resume the whole rise from 0.8925 to 100% projection of 0.8925 to 0.9273 from 0.9017 at 0.9365. On the downside, however, break of 0.9128 will turn bias back to the downside for 0.9017 support instead.

In the bigger picture, the failure to sustain above 55 week EMA (now at 0.9184) retains medium term bearish in USD/CHF. Break of 0.8925 support should resume the whole decline form 1.0342 (2016 high) through 0.8756 low. However, break of 0.9273 resistance and sustained trading above 55 week EMA will be an early sign of bullish trend reversal. Focus will then turn to 0.9471 resistance for confirmation.

In the long term picture, price actions from 0.7065 (2011 low) are currently seen as developing into a long term corrective pattern, at least until a firm break of 1.0342 resistance.