USD/CHF Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9199; (P) 0.9230; (R1) 0.9253; More….

Range trading continues in USD/CHF and intraday bias remains neutral at this point. Overall, further rally is mildly in favor as long as 0.9090 support holds. On the upside, break of 0.9372 will resume the choppy rally from 0.8925 to 0.9471 high. However, break of 0.9090 will turn bias back to the downside for 0.8925 support instead.

In the bigger picture, medium term outlook will be neutral at best as long as 0.9471 resistance holds. Larger down trend could still extend through 0.8756 (2021 low). However, firm break of 0.9471 will argue that the trend has already reversed and rebound the rally from 0.8756 with another impulsive move.

USD/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9259; (P) 0.9298; (R1) 0.9345; More

Intraday bias in USD/CHF continues to stay neutral first. But with 0.9392 minor resistance intact, deeper fall is expected. Below 0.9254 will extend recent fall from 1.0037 to next fibonacci projection level at 0.9115. On the upside, break of 0.9392 minor resistance, however, will indicate short term bottoming on bullish convergence condition in 4 hour MACD. That will bring stronger rebound back to 0.9420 support turned resistance and above.

In the bigger picture, the strong break of 0.9420 support suggests that fall from 1.0342 is developing into a medium term down trend. Deeper fall should be seen to 100% projection of 1.0342 to 0.9420 from 1.0037 at 0.9115. Break will target 161.8% projection at 0.8545. In any case, break of 0.9640 resistance is needed to be the first sign of medium term bottoming. Otherwise, outlook will stay bearish even in case of strong rebound.

USD/CHF 4 Hours Chart

USD/CHF Daily Chart

USD/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9185; (P) 0.9202; (R1) 0.9223; More

Intraday bias in USD/CHF stays neutral and further fall is in favor with 0.9244 minor resistance intact. On the downside, break of 0.9162 will target a test on 0.8998 low. Nevertheless, break of 0.9244 minor resistance will turn bias to the upside to extend the rebound from 0.8998, through 0.9304, to 38.2% retracement of 0.9901 to 0.8998 at 0.9343.

In the bigger picture, decline from 1.0237 is seen as the third leg of the pattern from 1.0342 (2016 high). There is no clear sign of completion yet. On resumption, next target will be 138.2% projection of 1.0342 to 0.9186 from 1.0237 at 0.8639. Nevertheless, strong break of 0.9376 support turned resistance will be an early sign of trend reversal and turn focus back to 0.9901 key resistance for confirmation.

USD/CHF Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9842; (P) 0.9878; (R1) 0.9914; More

USD/CHF is staying in tight range above 0.9825 and intraday bias remains neutral. On the downside, break of 0.9825 will indicate that fall from 1.0056 is correcting whole rise from 0.9186. In that case, deeper decline would be seen to 0.9724 fibonacci level before completion. On the upside, above 0.9982 minor resistance will suggest that the pull back is finished and bring retest of 1.0056.

In the bigger picture, medium term decline from 1.0342 has completed with three waves down to 0.9186. Rise from there is currently viewed as a leg inside the long term range pattern. Hence, while further rally would be seen, we’d be cautious on strong resistance from 1.0342 to limit upside. For now, further rise is expected as long as 38.2% retracement of 0.9186 to 1.0056 at 0.9724 holds.

USD/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.8936; (P) 0.8954; (R1) 0.8986; More….

Intraday bias in USD/CHF stays neutral at this point. On the downside, break of 0.8886 will resume the fall from 0.9243 to 61.8% retracement of 0.8551 to 0.9243 at 0.8815 next. However, firm break of 0.9000 resistance will indicate short term bottoming, and turn bias back to the upside for stronger rebound.

In the bigger picture, rebound from 0.8551 might be completed as a correction at 0.9243. In other words, larger fall from 1.0146 (2022 high) is possibly not over yet. Risk will now stay on the downside as long as 0.9243 resistance holds. Firm break of 0.8551 will confirm down trend resumption.

USD/CHF Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9091; (P) 0.9122; (R1) 0.9143; More….

Intraday bias in USD/CHF remains neutral as range trading continues. Further decline is expected as long as 0.9174 resistance holds. Break of 0.9084 will resume the fall from 0.9367 to 0.9017 support, and then 0.8925. On the upside, however, break of 0.9174 resistance will indicate short term bottoming and turn bias back to the upside for stronger rebound instead.

In the bigger picture, the corrective structure of the rebound from 0.8925 argues that fall from 0.9471 is not complete yet. It could either be the second leg of pattern from 0.8756 (2021 low), or resuming larger down trend from 1.0237 (2018 high). We’d pay attention to the downside momentum and assess the odds later. But for now, medium term outlook will be neutral at best as long as 0.9471 resistance holds.

USD/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0086; (P) 1.0111; (R1) 1.0135; More…..

No change in USD/CHF’s outlook as it’s still staying in range of 1.0019/0342 in spite of dollar weakness elsewhere. As long as 1.0019 support holds, further rally is still mildly in favor. Firm break of 1.0342 will confirm up trend resumption. However, sustained break of 1.0019 will indicate near term reversal and could bring deeper fall bring to 0.9443/9548 support zone.

In the bigger picture, the corrective fall from 1.0327 should have completed at 0.9443 already. Rise from 0.9443 could be resuming the long term rally from 2011 low at 0.7065. But decisive break of 1.0327 is needed to confirm. In that case, next medium term upside target will be 38.2% retracement of 1.8305 to 0.7065 at 1.1359. Rejection from 1.0327 will extend the sideway pattern with another fall back to 0.9443/9548 support zone.

USD/CHF 4 Hours Chart

USD/CHF Daily Chart

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USD/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9103; (P) 0.9113; (R1) 0.9131; More….

Intraday bias in USD/CHF remains neutral at this point. Consolidation from 0.9151 could extend, but further is expected as long as 0.8996 support holds. Break of 0.9151 will resume the larger rise from 0.8332 to 0.9243 resistance. However, firm break of 0.8996 will turn bias to the downside for 55 D EMA (now at 0.8953).

In the bigger picture, price actions from 0.8332 medium term bottom as tentatively seen as developing into a corrective pattern to the down trend from 1.0146 (2022 high). Further rise would be seen as long as 0.8728 support holds. But upside should be limited by 0.9243 resistance, at least on first attempt. However, decisive break of 0.9243 will argue that the trend has already reversed and turn medium term outlook bullish.

USD/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9820; (P) 0.9832; (R1) 0.9851; More

Intraday bias in USD/CHF remains on the upside as rebound from 0.9659 is in progress. Sustained trading above 55 day EMA (now at 0.98560 will target 0.9975 resistance next. Firm break there will indicate completion of whole fall from 1.0237. On the downside, break of 0.9773 minor support will suggest completion of recovery from 0.9659. Intraday bias will be turned back to the downside for retesting 0.9659 first.

In the bigger picture, up trend from 0.9186 (2018 low) should have completed at 1.0237 already. Deeper decline would be seen to 61.8% retracement of 0.9186 to 1.0237 at 0.9587 and below. For now, USD/CHF is seen as in long term range pattern between 0.9186 and 1.0342. Hence, we’d pay attention to bottoming signal below 0.9587. Nevertheless, break of 0.9975 resistance is needed to indicate completion of the decline from 1.0237. Otherwise, risk will stay on the downside.

USD/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9086; (P) 0.9166; (R1) 0.9246; More

Intraday bias in USD/CHF remains on the downside at this point. Current fall from 1.0146 should target 61.8% projection of 1.0146 to 0.9355 from 0.9545 at 0.9056. Sustained break there will pave the way to 100% projection at 0.8754, which is close to 0.8756 long term support. On the upside, above 0.9199 minor resistance will turn intraday bias neutral first, before staging another decline.

In the bigger picture, rise from 0.8756 (2021 low) has completed at 1.0146, well ahead of 1.0342 long term resistance (2016 high). Based on current downside momentum, fall from 1.0146 should be a medium term down trend itself. Next target is a test on 0.8756 low. Strong support should be seen there to bring rebound. Still, further decline will now be expected as long as 0.9407 resistance holds, in any case.

USD/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9484; (P) 0.9516; (R1) 0.9546; More

Intraday bias in USD/CHF remains on the upside at this point. The rebound from 0.9186 is in progress for 0.9626 fibonacci level. Firm break there will carry larger bullish implications. On the downside, break of 0.9423 is needed to indicate completion of the rebound. Otherwise, outlook will remain bullish in case of retreat.

In the bigger picture, fall from 1.0342 is seen as a medium term down trend. Current development is raising the chance that it is completed. But there is no confirmation yet. Focus will now be back on 38.2% retracement of 1.0342 (2016 high) to 0.9186 (2018 low) at 0.9626. Sustained break there will add much credence to the case of trend reversal and target 61.8% retracement at 0.9900 and above. However, rejection from 0.9626 will maintain medium term bearishness for another low below 0.9186.

USD/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9982; (P) 0.9996; (R1) 1.0012; More

Intraday bias in USD/CHF remains neutral for the moment. On the upside, sustained break of 1.0010 will suggest that pull back from 1.0124 has completed. Intraday bias will be turned back to the upside for 1.0124/28 resistance zone. However, break of 0.9953 minor support will indicate rejection by 1.0010 and turn bias to the downside for 0.9879. Break there will resume the fall from 1.0124 to 0.9716 key support.

In the bigger picture, focus is back on medium term trend line (now at 0.9865). Decisive break there will argue that whole rise from 0.9186 has completed. Further break of 0.9716 will confirm reversal and target next support level at 0.9541. Nevertheless, there is still a chance that price action from 1.0128 are forming a consolidative pattern with fall from 1.0124 as third leg. If this is the case, stronger support should be seen between 0.9716 and the trend line to contain downside.

USD/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9596; (P) 0.9617; (R1) 0.9644; More

Intraday bias in USD/CHF remains neutral and outlook is unchanged. The pair is still in corrective pattern from 1.0063. Below 0.9478 will extend the fall from 0.9868 towards 0.9369 support. On the upside, firm break of 4 hour 55 EMA (now at 0.9654) will target 0.9868 resistance first. Further break there will argue that larger up trend is ready to resume through 1.0063.

In the bigger picture, current development suggests that up trend from 0.8756 (2021 low) is still in progress. Sustained break of 1.0063 will target 100% projection of 0.9149 to 1.0063 from 0.9369 at 1.0283, and then 1.0342 (2016 high). For now, this will remain the favored case as long as 0.9369 support holds, even in case of deep pull back.

USD/CHF Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9142; (P) 0.9166; (R1) 0.9184; More

Intraday bias in USD/CHF remains neutral at this point. Outlook remains bearish as long as 0.9407 resistance holds. Sustained break of 61.8% projection of 1.0146 to 0.9355 from 0.9545 at 0.9056 will pave the way to 100% projection at 0.8754, which is close to 0.8756 long term support. Nevertheless, on the upside, break of 0.9407 should confirm short term bottoming and turn bias back to the upside.

In the bigger picture, rise from 0.8756 (2021 low) has completed at 1.0146, well ahead of 1.0342 long term resistance (2016 high). Based on current downside momentum, fall from 1.0146 should be a medium term down trend itself. Next target is a test on 0.8756 low. Strong support should be seen there to bring rebound. Still, further decline will now be expected as long as 0.9407 resistance holds, in any case.

USD/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0004; (P) 1.0028; (R1) 1.0047; More….

Intraday bias in USD/CHF remains on the downside at this point. Fall from 1.0124 is in progress for 0.9936 support. Decisive break there will carry larger bearish implication. On the upside, though, break of 1.0063 minor resistance will turn bias back to the upside for retesting 1.0124 instead.

In the bigger picture, USD/CHF drew strong support from medium term trend line and rebounded. That suggests rise from 0.9186 is still in progress. Further break of 1.0128 will confirm up trend resumption and target 1.0342 key resistance. Nevertheless, break of 0.9926 support will be the first signal of medium term reversal and bring another test on the trend line.

USD/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9741; (P) 0.9842; (R1) 0.9898; More

Intraday bias in USD/CHF remains neutral at this point, as consolidation form 0.9964 is still extending. Further rally is in favor as long as 0.9694 support holds. On the upside, above 0.9964 will resume the rally from 0.9369 to retest 1.0063 high. On the downside, however, break of 0.9694 support will extend the corrective pattern from 1.0063 with another falling leg, towards 0.9478 support first.

In the bigger picture, current development suggests that up trend from 0.8756 (2021 low) is still in progress. Sustained break of 1.0063 will target 100% projection of 0.9149 to 1.0063 from 0.9369 at 1.0283, and then 1.0342 (2016 high). For now, this will remain the favored case as long as 0.9369 support holds, even in case of deep pull back.

USD/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9356; (P) 0.9376; (R1) 0.9410; More

While there rebound from 0.91863 is strong, USD/CHF is limited below 0.9469 near term resistance. Such rebound is still viewed as a corrective move. Intraday bias remains neutral and outlook stays bearish for another decline. Break of 0.9186 will extend the larger down trend to 0.9115 medium term projection level next. However, considering bullish convergence condition in 4 hour MACD, break of 0.9469 will indicate near term reversal and turn outlook bullish for 55 day EMA (now at 0.9541) and above.

In the bigger picture, fall from 1.0342 is developing into a medium term down trend. Deeper decline should be seen to 100% projection of 1.0342 to 0.9420 from 1.0037 at 0.9115. Break will target 161.8% projection at 0.8545. In any case, sustained trading above 55 day EMA is needed to be the first sign of medium term reversal. Otherwise, outlook will stay bearish even in case of strong rebound.

USD/CHF 4 Hours Chart

USD/CHF Daily Chart

USD/CHF Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9256; (P) 0.9285; (R1) 0.9302; More….

Intraday bias in USD/CHF remains neutral at this point. On the downside, break of 0.9233 will bring deeper correction. But overall outlook will stay bullish as long as 0.9044 resistance turned support holds. On the upside, above 0.9323 minor resistance will bring retest of 0.9374 high.

In the bigger picture, current development argues that fall from 1.0237 has completed at 0.8756, on bullish condition in daily and weekly MACD. Current rally from 0.8756 should target 0.9901 resistance first. Break there will target 1.0237/0342 resistance zone in the medium term. This will now remain the favored case as long as 0.9044 resistance turned support holds.

USD/CHF Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.8754; (P) 0.8775; (R1) 0.8794; More….

Intraday bias in USD/CHF remains neutral at this point, and outlook is unchanged. On the downside, sustained break of 0.8741 will argue that the whole rebound from 0.8332 might have completed, and bring deeper fall to 0.8550 support. Nevertheless, strong bounce from current level will retain near term bullishness. Further break of 0.8891 will resume the rise from 0.8332.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 0.8332 medium term bottom as seen as developing into a corrective pattern to the down trend from 1.0146 (2022 high). Further rise would be seen as long as 0.8555 support holds. But upside should be limited by 0.9243 resistance, at least on first attempt.

USD/CHF Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9265; (P) 0.9298; (R1) 0.9327; More

Intraday bias in USD/CHF stays neutral, and further decline is in favor with 0.9378 resistance intact. On the downside, break of 0.9214 will resume the fall and target 61.8% projection of 1.0146 to 0.9355 from 0.9545 at 0.9056. However, break of 0.9378 resistance will indicate short term bottoming and turn bias back to the upside for 0.9545 resistance instead.

In the bigger picture, rise from 0.8756 (2021 low) has completed at 1.0146, well ahead of 1.0342 long term resistance (2016 high). Based on current downside momentum, fall from 1.0146 might be a medium term down trend itself. Sustained break of 61.8% retracement of 0.8756 to 1.0146 at 0.9287 will pave the way to 0.8756. In any case, risk will stay on the downside as long as 0.9545 resistance holds.