USD/CHF Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9986; (P) 1.0005; (R1) 1.0029; More….

Intraday bias in USD/CHF remains neutral at this point. On the upside, above 1.0098 will target 1.0128 first. Break will confirm resumption of up trend from 0.9186. Next target will be 100% projection of 0.9541 to 1.0128 from 0.9716 at 1.0303. However, sustained break of 0.9988 will indicate rejection by 1.0128 and turn intraday bias to the downside for 0.9716 support again.

In the bigger picture, USD/CHF drew strong support from medium term trend line and rebounded. That suggests rise from 0.9186 is still in progress. Further break of 1.0128 will confirm up trend resumption and target 1.0342 key resistance. Nevertheless, break of 0.9716 will dampen this bullish view and at least bring deeper fall to 0.9541 key support.

USD/CHF Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9170; (P) 0.9214; (R1) 0.9237; More….

Outlook in USD/CHF remains unchanged and intraday bias stays neutral for the moment. On the downside, below 0.9156 will target 0.9084 support. Firm break there should confirm that choppy rise from 0.8925 has completed, and suggests that fall from 0.9471 is resuming. Deeper decline would be seen through 0.8925. On the upside, break of 0.9293 will suggest that the pull back from 0.9372 is finished. Intraday bias will be turned back to the upside for 0.9372.

In the bigger picture, the corrective structure of the rebound from 0.8925 argues that fall from 0.9471 is not complete yet. It could either be the second leg of pattern from 0.8756 (2021 low), or resuming larger down trend from 1.0237 (2018 high). We’d pay attention to the downside momentum and assess the odds later. But for now, medium term outlook will be neutral at best as long as 0.9471 resistance holds.

USD/CHF Weekly Outlook

USD/CHF stayed in range of 0.9908/1.0006 last week and outlook is unchanged. Initial bias remains neutral this week first. On the downside, break of 38.2% retracement of 0.9541 to 1.0128 at 0.9904 will resume the fall from 1.0128 to 0.9848 key support level. Break there will indicate near term reversal and target 61.8% at 0.9765. On the upside, break of 1.0006 will argue that the pull back from 1.0128 has completed. Intraday bias will be turned back to the upside for retesting 1.1028.

In the bigger picture, rise from 0.9541 could have topped at 1.0128. But as long as 0.9541 support holds, we’d still expect rise from 0.9186 to resume at a later stage. Break of 1.0128 will target 1.0342 key resistance. However, break of 0.9514 will pave the way back to 0.9186 low.

In the long term picture, price actions from 0.7065 (2011 low) are not clearly impulsive yet. Thus, we’ll treat it as developing into a corrective pattern, at least, until a firm break of 1.0342 resistance.

USD/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9921; (P) 0.9943; (R1) 0.9982; More

Intraday bias in USD/CHF remains neutral as sideway trading continues inside range of 0.9855/9991. On the upside, break of 0.9991 will resume the rebound from 0.9787 for 1.0056 high. Decisive break there will resume whole rally from 0.9186 for 1.0342 key resistance level. On the downside, below 0.9855 will extend the corrective pattern from 1.0056 with another fall. But in that case, we’d expect strong support from 38.2% retracement of 0.9186 to 1.0056 at 0.9724 to bring rebound.

In the bigger picture, rise from 0.9186 is seen as a leg inside the long term range pattern. For now, further rise is expected as long as 38.2% retracement of 0.9186 to 1.0056 at 0.9724 holds. Above 1.0056 will target 1.0342 (2016 high). In that case, we’d be cautious on strong resistance from 1.0342 to limit upside. However, sustained break of 0.9724 will dampen this bullish view and would at least bring deeper fall to 61.8% retracement at 0.9518.

USD/CHF Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9749; (P) 0.9768; (R1) 0.9801; More

USD/CHF’s rally continues to as high as 0.9841 so far and intraday bias remains on the upside. Current rally from 0.9186 should target 0.9900 fibonacci level first. Break will target 1.0037 resistance next. On the downside, below 0.9766 minor support will turn bias neutral and bring consolidations. But outlook will stay bullish as long as 0.9576 support holds.

In the bigger picture, fall from 1.0342 is seen as a medium term down trend. The break of 38.2% retracement of 1.0342 (2016 high) to 0.9186 (2018 low) at 0.9626 suggests that it’s likely completed at 0.9186 already. Further rally would be seen back to 61.8% retracement at 0.9900 and above. Sustained break there would pave the way to retest 1.0342 key resistance next. This will now be the preferred case as long as 0.9576 support holds.

USD/CHF Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9730; (P) 0.9763; (R1) 0.9797; More

USD/CHF’s rebound from 0.9502 is still in progress and intraday bias stays on the upside for 0.9901 resistance. Decisive break there will resume whole rally from 0.9181. On the downside, break of 0.9648 minor support will extend the correction from 0.9901 with another fall. Intraday bias will be turned to the downside for 61.8% retracement of 0.9181 to 0.9901 at 0.9456 again.

In the bigger picture, decline from 1.0237 is seen as the third leg of the pattern from 1.0342 (2016 low). It could have completed at 0.9181 after hitting 0.9186 key support (2018 low). Further rise could be seen to retest 1.0237 high. After all, medium term range trading will likely continue between 0.9181/1.0237 for some time.

USD/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9111; (P) 0.9144; (R1) 0.9184; More….

Intraday bias in USD/CHF remains neutral at this point. But further decline is expected as long as 0.9225 resistance holds. On the downside, break of 0.9101 will target 0.9017 support, and then 0.8925. On the upside, however, break of 0.9225 resistance will turn bias back to the upside for 0.9367 resistance instead.

In the bigger picture, the corrective structure of the rebound from 0.8925 argues that fall from 0.9471 is not complete yet. It could either be the second leg of pattern from 0.8756 (2021 low), or resuming larger down trend from 1.0237 (2018 high). We’d pay attention to the downside momentum and assess the odds later. But for now, medium term outlook will be neutral at best as long as 0.9471 resistance holds.

USD/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9215; (P) 0.9262; (R1) 0.9288; More….

USD/CHF’s decline from 0.9367 extends lower today and the break of 0.9214 support argues that rise from 0.9017 has completed at 0.9367. Considering bearish divergence condition in daily MACD. The rise from 0.8925 might have finished too. Intraday bias is back to the downside for 0.9162 support first. Firm break there will target 0.9017 support next. On the upside, break of 0.9312 support will bring retest of 0.9367 resistance instead.

In the bigger picture, the corrective structure of the rebound from 0.8925 argues that fall from 0.9471 is not completed yet. It could either be the second leg of pattern from 0.8756 (2021 low), or resuming larger down trend from 1.0237 (2018 high). We’d pay attention to the downside momentum of assess the odds later. But for now, medium term outlook will be neutral at best as long as 0.9471 resistance holds.

USD/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.8974; (P) 0.8997; (R1) 0.9012; More….

USD/CHF’s retreat from 0.9044 extends lower today but stays above 0.8925 resistance turned support. Intraday bias remains neutral and another rise remains in favor. on the upside, break of 0.9044 will resume the rebound form 0.8756 short term bottom to 38.2% retracement of 0.9901 to 0.8756 at 0.9193. However, firm break of 0.8925 will indicate that the rebound has completed, and bring retest of 0.8756 low..

In the bigger picture, decline from 1.0237 is seen as the third leg of the pattern from 1.0342 (2016 high). There is no clear sign of completion yet. Next target will be 138.2% projection of 1.0342 to 0.9186 from 1.0237 at 0.8639. In any case, break of 0.9295 resistance is needed to signal medium term bottoming. Otherwise, outlook will remain bearish in case of rebound.

USD/CHF Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9520; (P) 0.9558; (R1) 0.9601; More

Intraday bias in USD/CHF remains neutral for consolidation above 0.9515 temporary low. Upside of recovery should be limited by 4 hour 55 EMA (now at 0.9671) to bring fall resumption. On the downside, break of 0.9151 will extend larger fall from 1.0237 to 100% projection of 1.0023 to 0.9613 from 0.9848 at 0.9438.

In the bigger picture, medium term outlook remains neutral as USD/CHF is staying sideway trading started from 1.0342 (2016 high). Fall from 1.0237 is a leg inside the pattern and rejection by 55 week EMA affirms bearishness. Such decline could target 0.9186 (2018 low) and below. In case of another rise, break of 1.0237 is needed to indicate up trend resumption. Otherwise, more sideway trading would be seen with risk of another fall.

USD/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.8846; (P) 0.8884; (R1) 0.8933; More….

Intraday bias in USD/CHF remains neural as consolidation form 0.8822 is still extending. Stronger recovery could be seen, but upside should be limited by 0.8982 resistance to bring fall resumption. On the downside, break of 0.8822 will resume larger down trend for 61.8% projection of 0.9901 to 0.8998 from 0.9304 at 0.8746 next.

In the bigger picture, decline from 1.0237 is seen as the third leg of the pattern from 1.0342 (2016 high). There is no clear sign of completion yet. Next target will be 138.2% projection of 1.0342 to 0.9186 from 1.0237 at 0.8639. In any case, break of 0.9304 resistance is needed to signal medium term bottoming. Otherwise, outlook will remain bearish in case of rebound.

USD/CHF Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9026; (P) 0.9038; (R1) 0.9052; More

Intraday bias in USD/CHF is turned neutral first with current retreat. Further rise is mildly in favor as long as 0.8956 support holds. Above 0.9049 will affirm the case that corrective fall from 0.9223 has completed at 0.8825. Further rally would then be seen to 0.9157 resistance next. However, firm break of 0.8956 will bring retest of 0.8825 support instead.

In the bigger picture, focus remains is now on 0.9223/9243 resistance zone. Decisive break there would complete a head and shoulder bottom pattern (ls: 0.8551; h: 0.8332; rs: 0.8825). That would indicate larger bullish trend reversal. Nevertheless, rejection by 0.9223/43 will keep medium term outlook neutral at best, for more range trading between 0.8332/9243 first.

USD/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9590; (P) 0.9616; (R1) 0.9661; More……

USD/CHF’s recovery is still in progress and is pressing 4 hour 55 EMA. Further rise cannot be ruled out, but still, upside of recovery should be limited below 0.9770 resistance and bring resumption. Below 0.9551 will extend the decline from 1.0342 to 0.94443 key support level. At this point, we’d expect strong support from there to bring rebound.

In the bigger picture, USD/CHF is still bounded in medium term range of 0.9443/1.0342 for the moment. Consolidative trading would likely continue and medium term outlook remains neutral. Break of 1.0342 key resistance is needed to confirm underlying bullish momentum in the pair. Meanwhile, downside attempts should be contained by 0.9443 key support level. However, sustained break of 0.9443 will carry larger bearish implication and target 0.9 handle.

USD/CHF 4 Hours Chart

USD/CHF Daily Chart

USD/CHF Weekly Outlook

USD/CHF’s recovery was capped at 0.9597 last week and fell after rejection by 4 hour 55 EMA. But downside was contained above 0.9355 support. Initial bias remains neutral this week first. On the downside, firm break of 0.9355 will resume the decline from 1.0146 to 0.9287 fibonacci level. Near term outlook stays bearish with 0.9680 minor resistance intact, in case of another recovery.

In the bigger picture, rise from 0.8756 (2021 low) has completed at 1.0146, well ahead of 1.0342 long term resistance (2016 high). Based on current downside momentum, fall from 1.0146 might be a medium term down trend itself. Break of 61.8% retracement of 0.8756 to 1.0146 at 0.9287 will pave the way to 0.8756. In any case, risk will stay on the downside as long as 55 day EMA (now at 0.9726) holds.

In the long term picture, long term sideway pattern from 1.0342 (2016 high) is extending and it’s probably in another medium term down leg. Downside will likely be contained by 0.8756 support in case of deeper fall. Overall, range trading should continue until further development.

USD/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9635; (P) 0.9666; (R1) 0.9703; More…..

Intraday bias in USD/CHF remains neutral as the corrective recovery from 0.9613 is still in progress. Near term outlook stays bearish as long as 0.9807 resistance holds. When decline from 1.0342 resumes, we’d tart to look for bottoming signal again as it approaches 0.9443 key support level. However, considering bullish convergence condition in 4 hour MACD, break of 0.9807 will indicate near term reversal and turn outlook bullish for 1.0099 resistance next.

In the bigger picture, USD/CHF is still bounded in medium term range of 0.9443/1.0342 for the moment. Consolidative trading would likely continue and medium term outlook remains neutral. Break of 1.0342 key resistance is needed to confirm underlying bullish momentum in the pair. Meanwhile, downside attempts should be contained by 0.9443 key support level. However, sustained break of 0.9443 will carry larger bearish implication and target 0.9 handle.

USD/CHF 4 Hours Chart

USD/CHF Daily Chart

USD/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9026; (P) 0.9055; (R1) 0.9075; More….

No change in USD/CHF’s outlook and intraday bias stays on the downside. Corrective fall from 0.9243 could extend further to 38.2% retracement of 0.8551 to 0.9243 at 0.8979. On the upside, above 0.9122 minor resistance will turn intraday bias neutral first. But risk of another fall will remain as long as 0.9243 resistance holds.

In the bigger picture, current development indicates that rise from 0.8551 is reversing whole down trend from 1.0146. Further rally would then be seen to 61.8% retracement at 0.9537 and above. For now, this will be the favored case as long as 55 D EMA (now at 0.8969) holds, even in case of deep pullback.

USD/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9123; (P) 0.9181; (R1) 0.9211; More….

Intraday bias in USD/CHF remains neutral at this point. On the upside, firm break of 0.9273 resistance will resume the whole rise from 0.8925 to 100% projection of 0.8925 to 0.9273 from 0.9017 at 0.9365. On the downside, however, break of 0.9128 will turn bias back to the downside for 0.9017 support instead.

In the bigger picture, the failure to sustain above 55 week EMA (now at 0.9184) retains medium term bearish in USD/CHF. Break of 0.8925 support should resume the whole decline form 1.0342 (2016 high) through 0.8756 low. However, break of 0.9273 resistance and sustained trading above 55 week EMA will be an early sign of bullish trend reversal. Focus will then turn to 0.9471 resistance for confirmation.

USD/CHF Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9765; (P) 0.9791; (R1) 0.9816; More

USD/CHF is staying in range trading below 0.9848 and intraday bias remains neutral. With 0.9741 support intact, further rise is mildly in favor. Decisive break of 38.2% retracement of 1.0237 to 0.9613 at 0.9851 will add to the case of bullish near term reversal and target 61.8% retracement at 0.9999 next. On the downside, break of 0.9741 will suggest rejection by 0.9851 and retain near term bearishness. Intraday bias will be turned back to the downside for retesting 0.9613 low.

In the bigger picture, medium term outlook remains neutral as USD/CHF is staying sideway trading started from 1.0342 (2016 high). Fall from 1.0237 is a leg inside the pattern and could target 0.9186 (2018 low). In case of another rise, break of 1.0237 is needed to indicate up trend resumption. Otherwise, more sideway trading would be seen with risk of another fall.

USD/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9874; (P) 0.9892; (R1) 0.9924; More

USD/CHF’s consolidation from 0.9954 is still in progress and intraday bias remains neutral first. Another fall cannot be ruled out. But downside should be contained by 38.2% retracement of 0.9541 to 0.9954 at 0.9796 to bring rise resumption. On the upside, break of 0.9954 will resume the rise from 0.9541 and target 1.0067 resistance next.

In the bigger picture, the pullback from 1.0067 has completed at 0.9541 already. And rise from 0.9186 is likely resuming. Firm break of 1.0067 will pave the way to retest 1.0342 key resistance. We’d be cautious on strong resistance from there to limit upside to bring another medium term fall to extend long term range trading.

USD/CHF Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.8498; (P) 0.8518; (R1) 0.8528; More….

Intraday bias in USD/CHF stays neutral for the moment. Consolidation from 0.8332 is extending and stronger recovery cannot be ruled out. But outlook will stay bearish as long as 0.8665 support turned resistance holds. On the downside, break of 0.8332 will resume larger fall from 0.9243 to 0.8257 projection level.

In the bigger picture, the down trend from 1.0146 (2022 high) is in progress. Next target is 61.8% retracement of 1.0146 to 0.8551 from 0.9243 at 0.8257. Sustained break there could prompt downside acceleration to 100% projection at 0.7648. This will now remain the favored case as long as 0.8819 resistance holds.