Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9395; (P) 0.9416; (R1) 0.9440; More…

USD/CHF is still bounded in consolidation from 0.9362 temporary low and intraday bias remains neutral. Further decline is expected as long as 0.9453 resistance holds. On the downside, break of 0.9362 will target 100% projection of 0.9901 to 0.9502 from 0.9736 at 0.9337. Sustained break there will pave the way to retest 0.9181 low. However, firm break of 0.9453 will turn bias back to the upside for 0.9532 resistance instead.

In the bigger picture, decline from 1.0237 is seen as the third leg of the pattern from 1.0342 (2016 low). It could have completed at 0.9181 after hitting 0.9186 key support (2018 low). Break of 0.9901 will extend the rebound from 0.9181 through 1.0023 resistance. After all, medium term range trading will likely continue between 0.9181/1.0237 for some more time.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9152; (P) 0.9181; (R1) 0.9198; More….

Intraday bias in USD/CHF remains neutral as sideway trading continues. Choppy rise from 0.8925 would still be in favor to extend higher as long as 0.9090 support holds. Break of 0.9341 will target 0.9372 resistance and then 0.9471. On the downside, however, break of 0.9090 will bring deeper fall back to 0.8925 support.

In the bigger picture, medium term outlook will be neutral at best as long as 0.9471 resistance holds. Larger down trend could still extend through 0.8756 (2021 low). However, firm break of 0.9471 will argue that the trend has already reversed and rebound the rally from 0.8756 with another impulsive move.

USD/CHF stayed in consolidation above 0.8332 last week and outlook is unchanged. Initial bias stays neutral this week first. Outlook will also remain bearish as long as 0.8665 support turned resistance holds. On the downside, break of 0.8332 will resume larger fall from 0.9243 to 0.8257 projection level.

In the bigger picture, down trend from 1.0146 (2022 high) is in progress. Next target is 61.8% retracement of 1.0146 to 0.8551 from 0.9243 at 0.8257. Sustained break there could prompt downside acceleration to 100% projection at 0.7648. This will now remain the favored case as long as 0.8819 resistance holds.

In the long term picture, there is no clear sign that down trend from 1.8305 (2000 high) has completed. With 38.2% retracement of 1.8305 to 0.7065 at 1.1359 intact, outlook is neutral at best.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9160; (P) 0.9172; (R1) 0.9195; More….

USD/CHF’s breach of 0.9017 suggests resumption of rise from 0.9017. Intraday bias is back on the upside for 0.9273 resistance first. Firm break there will solidify near term bluishness for 0.9471 resistance next. However, break of 0.9149 support will turn focus back to 0.908 support instead.

In the bigger picture, USD/CHF is still struggling around 55 week EMA (now at 0.9178) and outlook is mixed for now. Confirmed rejection by the 55 week EMA will retain medium term bearishness. That is, larger fall from 1.0342 would resume through 0.8756 low at a later stage. However, sustained trading above 55 week EMA will tilt favor to the case of bullish reversal. Focus would then be turned to 0.9471 resistance for confirmation.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9757; (P) 0.9854; (R1) 0.9916; More…

Intraday bias in USD/CHF remains on the downside as fall from 1.0237 is in progress. Next target is 0.9716 support. On the upside, break of 0.9861 minor resistance will turn intraday bias neutral and bring consolidations. But recovery should be limited well below 1.0014 resistance to bring fall resumption.

In the bigger picture, USD/CHF’s break of long term trend line support is the first indication of medium term reversal. That is, rise from 0.9186 (2018 low) could have completed at 1.0237 already). Sustained break of 38.2% retracement of 0.9186 to 1.0237 at 0.9836 will confirm and target 61.8% retracement at 0.9587. However, strong rebound from 0.9836 will revive medium term bullishness for 1.0237 and above.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0125; (P) 1.0151; (R1) 1.0192; More…..

USD/CHF is still bounded in consolidation from 1.0342 and intraday bias stays neutral. Another fall cannot be ruled out. But in that case, we’d expect strong support from 1.0019 to contain downside and bring rally resumption. Firm break of 1.0342 will confirm up trend resumption. However, sustained break of 1.0019 will indicate near term reversal and could bring deeper fall bring to 0.9443/9548 support zone.

In the bigger picture, the corrective fall from 1.0327 should have completed at 0.9443 already. Rise from 0.9443 could be resuming the long term rally from 2011 low at 0.7065. But decisive break of 1.0327 is needed to confirm. In that case, next medium term upside target will be 38.2% retracement of 1.8305 to 0.7065 at 1.1359. Rejection from 1.0327 will extend the sideway pattern with another fall back to 0.9443/9548 support zone.

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Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9123; (P) 0.9181; (R1) 0.9211; More….

Intraday bias in USD/CHF remains neutral at this point. On the upside, firm break of 0.9273 resistance will resume the whole rise from 0.8925 to 100% projection of 0.8925 to 0.9273 from 0.9017 at 0.9365. On the downside, however, break of 0.9128 will turn bias back to the downside for 0.9017 support instead.

In the bigger picture, the failure to sustain above 55 week EMA (now at 0.9184) retains medium term bearish in USD/CHF. Break of 0.8925 support should resume the whole decline form 1.0342 (2016 high) through 0.8756 low. However, break of 0.9273 resistance and sustained trading above 55 week EMA will be an early sign of bullish trend reversal. Focus will then turn to 0.9471 resistance for confirmation.

USD/CHF’s fall from 0.9192 extended slightly lower last week. Initial bias stays on the downside this week for 0.8982 support first. Firm break there will resume larger down trend. On the upside, above 0.9148 minor resistance will turn bias back to the upside for 0.9192/9207 resistance zone instead.

In the bigger picture, decline from 1.0237 is seen as the third leg of the pattern from 1.0342 (2016 high). There is no clear sign of completion yet. On resumption, next target will be 138.2% projection of 1.0342 to 0.9186 from 1.0237 at 0.8639. Nevertheless, strong break of 0.9304 resistance will be an early sign of trend reversal and turn focus back to 0.9901 key resistance for confirmation.

In the long term picture, price actions from 0.7065 (2011 low) are currently seen as developing into along term corrective pattern, at least until a firm break of 1.0342 resistance.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9087; (P) 0.9118; (R1) 0.9143; More….

Intraday bias in USD/CHF remains on the downside at this point. Firm break of 0.9084/0.9101 support zone will argue that choppy rise from 0.8925 has completed. Fall from 0.9471 might be ready to resuming. Further decline would be seen back to 0.8925 support first. On the upside, above 0.9147 minor resistance will turn intraday bias neutral first.

In the bigger picture, the corrective structure of the rebound from 0.8925 argues that fall from 0.9471 is not complete yet. It could either be the second leg of pattern from 0.8756 (2021 low), or resuming larger down trend from 1.0237 (2018 high). We’d pay attention to the downside momentum and assess the odds later. But for now, medium term outlook will be neutral at best as long as 0.9471 resistance holds.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.8997; (P) 0.9030; (R1) 0.9084; More…

USD/CHF’s rebound from 0.8818 short term bottom is in progress. Intraday bias stays on the upside for the moment. Sustained trading above 55 D EMA (now at 0.9042) should confirm that current rally is at least correcting whole down trend from 1.0146. Further rise should then be seen to 38.2% retracement of 1.0146 to 0.8818 at 0.9325. On the downside, below 0.8977 minor support will turn intraday bias neutral first.

In the bigger picture, fall from 1.1046 (2022 high) is seen as a leg in the long term range pattern from 1.0342 (2016 high). So, downside should be contained by 0.8756 to bring reversal. Sustained break of 0.9058 support turned resistance will be the first sign of medium term bottoming. However, decisive break of 0.8756 will carry larger bearish implications.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9336; (P) 0.9384; (R1) 0.9408; More…

USD/CHF’s break of 0.9340 support indicate short term topping at 0.9439, on bearish divergence condition in 4 hour MACD. More importantly, the corrective rebound from 0.9058 could have completed ahead of 38.2% retracement of 1.0146 to 0.9058 at 0.9474. Intraday bias is back on the downside for 0.9289 resistance turned support first. Decisive break there will bring retest of 0.9058 low. For now, risk will stay on the downside as long as 0.9439 resistance holds, in case of recovery.

In the bigger picture, decline from 1.0146 is seen as part of a long term sideway pattern. As long as 38.2% retracement of 1.0146 to 0.9058 at 0.9474 holds, another fall is in favor through 0.9058. However, sustained trading above 0.9474 will indicate that the medium term trend has reversed, and open up further rally to 61.8% retracement at 0.9730 and above.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9390; (P) 0.9415; (R1) 0.9444; More….

Intraday bias in USD/CHF remains on the upside for the moment. Current rise from 0.8756 should target 61.8% retracement of 0.9901 to 0.8756 at 0.9464. Break there will target 0.9901 resistance next. On the downside, below 0.9369 minor support will turn intraday bias neutral again. But overall outlook will remain bullish as long as 0.9221 support holds.

In the bigger picture, fall from 1.0237 should have completed at 0.8756, on bullish condition in daily and weekly MACD. Current rally from 0.8756 should target 0.9901 resistance first. Break there will target 1.0237/0342 resistance zone in the medium term. This will now remain the favored case as long as 0.9044 resistance turned support holds.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9686; (P) 0.9724; (R1) 0.9782; More…

USD/CHF’s rally from 0.9369 is still in progress and intraday bias stays on the upside for 0.9884 resistance. Break there will argue that larger up trend is ready for resumption through 1.0063. On the downside, below 0.9576 minor support will dampen this view and turn bias back to the downside for 0.9369 support instead.

In the bigger picture, current development suggests that up trend from 0.8756 (2021 low) is still in progress. Sustained break of 1.0063 will target 100% projection of 0.9149 to 1.0063 from 0.9369 at 1.0283, and then 1.0342 (2016 high). For now, this will remain the favored case as long as 0.9369 support holds, even in case of deep pull back.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9406; (P) 0.9429; (R1) 0.9450; More…

Intraday bias in USD/CHF is turned neutral with 4 hour MACD crossed above signal line. On the downside, break of 0.9376 will resume the whole decline from 0.9901 to 100% projection of 0.9901 to 0.9502 from 0.9736 at 0.9337. On the upside, above 0.9470 minor resistance will turn intraday bias back to the upside for 0.9554 resistance instead.

In the bigger picture, decline from 1.0237 is seen as the third leg of the pattern from 1.0342 (2016 low). It could have completed at 0.9181 after hitting 0.9186 key support (2018 low). Break of 0.9901 will extend the rebound from 0.9181 through 1.0023 resistance. After all, medium term range trading will likely continue between 0.9181/1.0237 for some more time.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9768; (P) 0.9804; (R1) 0.9854; More

Intraday bias in USD/CHF remains on the upside for retesting 1.0063 high. Decisive break there will confirm resumption of larger up trend. On the downside, below 0.9754 minor support will turn intraday bias neutral and bring consolidations, before staging another rally.

In the bigger picture, current development suggests that up trend from 0.8756 (2021 low) is still in progress. Sustained break of 1.0063 will target 100% projection of 0.9149 to 1.0063 from 0.9369 at 1.0283, and then 1.0342 (2016 high). For now, this will remain the favored case as long as 0.9369 support holds, even in case of deep pull back.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0018; (P) 1.0033; (R1) 1.0056; More…

Intraday bias in USD/CHF remains neutral first. With 0.9977 minor support intact, further rise is in favor. Above 1.0046 will extend the rebound from 0.9879 and turn bias to the upside for 1.0124 resistance. However, as the structure of the rise is corrective looking, we’d expect strong resistance from 1.0124 to limit upside to bring another reversal. On the downside, below 0.9977 minor support will turn bias to the downside for 0.9879 support.

In the bigger picture, loss of upside momentum is seen is bearish divergence in daily MACD. But there is no clear sign of bearish reversal in USD/CHF yet. Rise fro 0.9186 is likely still in progress. Decisive break of 1.0128 resistance will resume this medium term rally to 1.0342 resistance next. This will remain the preferred case now, as long as 0.9716 support holds.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.8986; (P) 0.9016; (R1) 0.9057; More…

Intraday bias in USD/CHF remains on the upside for the moment. Fall from 0.9223 might have completed as a three-wave corrective move to 0.8825. Sustained trading above the near term falling channel resistance will bring further rally to 0.9157 resistance next. On the downside, below 0.8977 minor support will turn intraday bias neutral gain first.

In the bigger picture, focus remains is now on 0.9223/9243 resistance zone. Decisive break there would complete a head and shoulder bottom pattern (ls: 0.8551; h: 0.8332; rs: 0.8825). That would indicate larger bullish trend reversal. Nevertheless, rejection by 0.9223/43 will keep medium term outlook neutral at best, for more range trading between 0.8332/9243 first.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.8756; (P) 0.8789; (R1) 0.8835; More….

No change in USD/CHF’s outlook as consolidation is extending. Intraday bias remains neutral. With 0.8727 resistance turned support intact, further rally is expected. On the upside, break of 0.8885 will resume the rise from 0.8332 and target and 100% projection of 0.8332 to 0.8727 from 0.8550 at 0.8954. However, sustained break of 0.8727 will dampen this bullish view, and turn bias back to the downside for 0.8550 support instead.

In the bigger picture, a medium term bottom should be formed at 0.8332, on bullish convergence condition in W MACD, just ahead of 0.8317 long term fibonacci support. It’s still early to decide if the larger down trend from 1.0146 (2022 high) is reversing. But further rise should be seen to 0.9243 resistance even as a correction.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9835; (P) 0.9910; (R1) 0.9959; More…

A short term top is in place at 1.0063 on bearish divergence condition in 4 hour MACD. Intraday bias in USD/CHF is now mildly on the downside for 38.2% retracement of 0.9193 to 1.0063 at 0.9731. For now, risk will stay mildly on the downside as long as 1.0063 resistance holds, in case of recovery.

In the bigger picture, down trend from 1.0342 (2016 high) should have completed with three waves down to 0.8756 (2021 low) already. Rise from 0.8756 is likely a medium term up trend of its own. Next target is 161.8% projection of 0.8756 to 0.9471 from 0.9149 at 1.0306, which is close to 1.0342 (2016 high). This will remain the favored case as long as 0.9459 resistance turned support holds.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9013; (P) 0.9026; (R1) 0.9050; More….

Intraday bias in USD/CHF remains neutral for consolidation above 0.8984 temporary low. Outlook stays bearish with 0.9163 resistance intact and further decline is expected. On the downside, break of 0.8984 will resume the fall from 0.9471 to retest 0.8756 low. Nevertheless, firm break of 0.9163 will turn bias back to the upside for stronger rebound.

In the bigger picture, rejection by 61.8% retracement of 0.9901 to 0.8756 at 0.9464 argues that rebound from 0.8756 was probably just a corrective move. That is, larger down trend from 1.0237 might be still in progress. Medium term bearish is also affirmed as the pair is now far below falling 55 week EMA. Firm break of 0.8756 low will target 61.8% projection of 1.0237 to 0.8756 from 0.9471 at 0.8556 next.