USD/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0175; (P) 1.0190; (R1) 1.0205; More

USD/CHF is staying in consolidation from 1.0237 temporary. Intraday bias remains neutral for the moment. In case of deeper retreat, downside should be contained by 1.0130 minor support to bring rise resumption. Prior break of 1.0128 resistance confirmed resumption of up trend from 0.9186. On the upside, above 1.0237 will target 100% projection of 0.9716 to 1.0124 from 0.9879 at 1.0287, and then 1.0342 key resistance. However, break of 1.0130 will indicate short term topping and bring deeper retreat first.

In the bigger picture, medium term up trend from 0.9186 is extending. Current rise should target 1.0342 resistance next. For now, we’d be cautious on strong resistance from there to limit upside, until we see medium term upside acceleration. On the downside, break of 0.9879 support is needed to indicate reversal. Otherwise, outlook will stay bullish in case of deep pull back.

USD/CHF Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9214; (P) 0.9244; (R1) 0.9303; More….

Intraday bias in USD/CHF remains on the upside, as rise from 0.9101 is in progress for 0.9293 resistance. As noted before, with 0.9084 support intact, choppy rise from 0.8925 could still extend higher. Break of 0.9293 should target 0.9372 resistance and above. On the downside, break of 0.9199 minor support will turn intraday bias neutral first.

In the bigger picture, the corrective structure of the rebound from 0.8925 argues that fall from 0.9471 is not complete yet. It could either be the second leg of pattern from 0.8756 (2021 low), or resuming larger down trend from 1.0237 (2018 high). We’d pay attention to the downside momentum and assess the odds later. But for now, medium term outlook will be neutral at best as long as 0.9471 resistance holds.

USD/CHF Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.8678; (P) 0.8710; (R1) 0.8729; More….

Intraday bias in USD/CHF remains neutral for the moment. With 0.8550 support intact, further rally is still expected. On the upside, break of 0.8740 will resume the rebound from 0.8332 to 61.8% retracement of 0.9243 to 0.8332 at 0.8995 next.

In the bigger picture, there is prospect of medium term bottoming at 0.8332 considering possible bullish convergence condition in W MACD, and the support from 0.8317 long term fibonacci support. Sustained trading above 55 D EMA (now at 0.8672) will affirm this case, and bring stronger rise back towards 0.9243 resistance, even as a corrective move.

USD/CHF Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9148; (P) 0.9164; (R1) 0.9190; More….

USD/CHF drops notably today but stays above 0.9090 support. Intraday bias remains neutral first. On the downside, firm break of 0.9084 support will argue that choppy rise from 0.8925 has completed. Fall from 0.9471 might be ready to resuming. Further decline would be seen back to 0.8925 support first. On the upside, above 0.9276 will target 0.9372 resistance instead.

In the bigger picture, the corrective structure of the rebound from 0.8925 argues that fall from 0.9471 is not complete yet. It could either be the second leg of pattern from 0.8756 (2021 low), or resuming larger down trend from 1.0237 (2018 high). We’d pay attention to the downside momentum and assess the odds later. But for now, medium term outlook will be neutral at best as long as 0.9471 resistance holds.

USD/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9130; (P) 0.9205; (R1) 0.9242; More….

Intraday bias in USD/CHF remains neutral for the moment. Choppy rise from 0.8925 would still be in favor to extend higher as long as 0.9090 support holds. Break of 0.9341 will target 0.9372 resistance and then 0.9471. On the downside, however, break of 0.9090 will bring deeper fall back to 0.8925 support.

In the bigger picture, medium term outlook will be neutral at best as long as 0.9471 resistance holds. Larger down trend could still extend through 0.8756 (2021 low). However, firm break of 0.9471 will argue that the trend has already reversed and rebound the rally from 0.8756 with another impulsive move.

USD/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.8858; (P) 0.8882; (R1) 0.8917; More….

USD/CHF is staying in consolidation from 0.8822 and intraday bias remains neutral. Stronger recovery could be seen, but upside should be limited by 0.8982 resistance to bring fall resumption. On the downside, break of 0.8822 will resume larger down trend for 61.8% projection of 0.9901 to 0.8998 from 0.9304 at 0.8746 next.

In the bigger picture, decline from 1.0237 is seen as the third leg of the pattern from 1.0342 (2016 high). There is no clear sign of completion yet. Next target will be 138.2% projection of 1.0342 to 0.9186 from 1.0237 at 0.8639. In any case, break of 0.9304 resistance is needed to signal medium term bottoming. Otherwise, outlook will remain bearish in case of rebound.

USD/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.8742; (P) 0.8762; (R1) 0.8793; More….

Intraday bias in USD/CHF stays neutral for the moment and outlook is unchanged. On the downside break of 0.8663 minor support should confirm rejection by 0.8818 and turn intraday bias back to the downside for retesting 0.8551 first. Nevertheless, decisive break of 0.8818 will carry larger bullish implication, and target 0.9146 cluster resistance next.

In the bigger picture, down trend from 1.0146 is seen as in progress as long as 0.8188 support turned resistance holds. Next target is 61.8% retracement of 0.7065 (2011 low) to 1.0342 (2016 high) at 0.8317. However, sustained break of 0.8818 should indicate medium term bottoming, and bring stronger rise back to 0.9146 cluster resistance (38.2% retracement of 1.0146 to 0.8551 at 0.9160), even as a correction.

USD/CHF Weekly Outlook

USD/CHF rebounded strongly last week but failed to break through 0.9207 resistance and retreated. Initial bias remains neutral this week first, and further rise is mildly in favor as long as 0.9115 minor support holds. On the upside, decisive break of 0.9207 would be an early sign of bullish reversal and target 0.9304 resistance for confirmation. On the downside, below 0.9115 minor support will turn bias back to the downside for 0.8982 low instead.

In the bigger picture, decline from 1.0237 is seen as the third leg of the pattern from 1.0342 (2016 high). There is no clear sign of completion yet. On resumption, next target will be 138.2% projection of 1.0342 to 0.9186 from 1.0237 at 0.8639. Nevertheless, strong break of 0.9304 resistance will be an early sign of trend reversal and turn focus back to 0.9901 key resistance for confirmation.

In the long term picture, price actions from 0.7065 (2011 low) are currently seen as developing into along term corrective pattern, at least until a firm break of 1.0342 resistance.

USD/CHF Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.8896; (P) 0.8909; (R1) 0.8933; More….

USD/CHF is staying in consolidation from 0.8885 temporary low and intraday bias remains neutral first. Upside of recovery should be limited by 0.8982 support turned resistance to bring another decline. On the downside, break of 0.8885 will target 61.8% projection of 0.9901 to 0.8998 from 0.9304 at 0.8746 next.

In the bigger picture, decline from 1.0237 is seen as the third leg of the pattern from 1.0342 (2016 high). There is no clear sign of completion yet. Next target will be 138.2% projection of 1.0342 to 0.9186 from 1.0237 at 0.8639. In any case, break of 0.9304 resistance is needed to signal medium term bottoming. Otherwise, outlook will remain bearish in case of rebound.

USD/CHF Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0035; (P) 1.0077; (R1) 1.0105; More

Intraday bias in USD/CHF is turned neutral for consolidation above 1.0050 temporary low. But upside of recovery would be limited by 1.0126 support turned resistance to bring another decline. ON the downside, break of 1.0050 will resume the fall from 1.0237 to retest 0.9879 key support.

In the bigger picture, as long as 0.9879 support holds, medium term up trend form 0.9186 is still in progress. Break of 1.0237 will target 1.0342 resistance next. For now, we’d be cautious on strong resistance from there to limit upside, until we see medium term upside acceleration. However, decisive break of 0.9879 will be a strong sign of medium term reversal. Focus will be turned back to 0.9716 support for confirmation.

USD/CHF Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9866; (P) 0.9887; (R1) 0.9904; More

With 4 hour MACD crossed above signal line, intraday bias in USD/CHF is turned neutral first. Consolidation from 1.0027 might extend further. On the upside, break of 0.9978 will target 1.0027 first.

In the bigger picture, medium term outlook remains neutral as USD/CHF is staying in range of 0.9659/1.0237. In any case, decisive break of 1.0237 is needed to indicate up trend resumption. Otherwise, more sideway trading would be seen with risk of another fall. Meanwhile, break of 0.9695 support will target 0.9541 support instead.

USD/CHF Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9567; (P) 0.9613; (R1) 0.9642; More

USD/CHF’s fall from 0.9884 is still in progress and intraday bias stays on the downside. Such decline is seen as a falling leg of the consolidation from 1.0063. Deeper decline would be seen to 0.9493 support. On the upside, though, above 0.9666 minor resistance will turn bias back to the upside for 0.9884 resistance.

In the bigger picture, medium term up trend from 0.8756 (2021 low) is still in progress. On resumption, next target is 1.0342 (2016 high). Sustained break there will resume long term up trend from 0.7065 (2011 low). This will remain the favored case as long as 0.9471 resistance turned support holds.

USD/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9818; (P) 0.9844; (R1) 0.9869; More….

USD/CHF recovery from 0.9776 is in progress but kept well below 0.9946 resistance. Intraday bias remains neutral at this point. Also, with 0.9946 intact, fall from 1.0037 is still expected to extend to 61.8% retracement of 0.9420 to 1.0037 at 0.9656. We’ll look for bottoming again below 0.9656 and above 0.9420. On the upside, break of 0.9946 resistance will indicate that the decline from 1.0037 has completed and bring retest of this resistance.

In the bigger picture, range trading continues between 0.9420/1.0342. At this point, 0.9420 appears to be a strong support level. Therefore, in case of decline attempt, we don’t expect a firm break of this level. Nonetheless, strong break of 1.0342 is also needed to confirm upside momentum. Otherwise, medium term outlook will stay neutral.

USD/CHF 4 Hours Chart

USD/CHF Daily Chart

USD/CHF Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9259; (P) 0.9329; (R1) 0.9428; More

Intraday bias in USD/CHF remains neutrals for the moment. With a short term bottoming in place at 0.9199, on bullish convergence condition in 4 hour MACD, risk will stay mildly on the upside. Above 0.9397 will extend the rebound to 55 day EMA (now at 0.9467) and above.

In the bigger picture, rise from 0.8756 (2021 low) has completed at 1.0146, well ahead of 1.0342 long term resistance (2016 high). Based on current downside momentum, fall from 1.0146 might be a medium term down trend itself. Sustained break of 61.8% retracement of 0.8756 to 1.0146 at 0.9287 will pave the way to 0.8756. In any case, risk will stay on the downside as long as 0.9545 resistance holds.

USD/CHF Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9048; (P) 0.9071; (R1) 0.9112; More….

USD/CHF is staying in consolidation from 0.8984 is still in progress and intraday bias remains neutral first. Outlook remains bearish with 0.9163 resistance intact and further decline is expected. On the downside, break of 0.8984 will resume the fall from 0.9471 to retest 0.8756 low. Nevertheless, firm break of 0.9163 will turn bias back to the upside for stronger rebound.

In the bigger picture, rejection by 61.8% retracement of 0.9901 to 0.8756 at 0.9464 argues that rebound from 0.8756 was probably just a corrective move. That is, larger down trend from 1.0237 might be still in progress. Medium term bearish is also affirmed as the pair is now far below falling 55 week EMA. Firm break of 0.8756 low will target 61.8% projection of 1.0237 to 0.8756 from 0.9471 at 0.8556 next.

USD/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.8776; (P) 0.8794; (R1) 0.8803; More….

No change in USD/CHF’s outlook as consolidation from 0.8884 is still in progress. Intraday bias stays neutral at this point. With 0.8727 resistance turned support intact, further rally is expected. On the upside, above 0.8884 will resume the rise from 0.8332 towards 0.9243 resistance. However, sustained break of 0.8727 will dampen this bullish view, and turn bias back to the downside for 0.8550 support instead.

In the bigger picture, a medium term bottom should be formed at 0.8332, on bullish convergence condition in W MACD, just ahead of 0.8317 long term fibonacci support. It’s still early to decide if the larger down trend from 1.0146 (2022 high) is reversing. But further rise should be seen to 0.9243 resistance even as a correction.

USD/CHF Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9986; (P) 0.9996; (R1) 1.0012; More….

USD/CHF spikes lower today but quickly recovers. The pair is staying in consolidation from 1.0037 and intraday bias remains neutral. We’d continue to expect downside of retreat to be contained above 0.9835 resistance turned support and bring rally resumption. On the upside break of 1.0037 will resume whole rally from 0.9420. And with sustained trading above 61.8% retracement of 1.0342 to 0.9420 at 0.9990, USD/CHF should then target a test on 1.0342 key resistance.

In the bigger picture, current development suggests that USD/CHF has defended 0.9443 (2016 low) key support level again. Rise from 0.9420 could is a medium term up move and should target a test on 1.0342 high. This represents the upper end of a long term range that started back in 2015. On the downside, break of 0.9736 support is now needed to indicate completion of the rise from 0.9420. Otherwise, further rally will remain in favor in medium term.

USD/CHF 4 Hours Chart

USD/CHF Daily Chart

USD/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.8830; (P) 0.8874; (R1) 0.8897; More

Intraday bias in USD/CHF remains on the downside as fall from 0.9146 continues. Deeper decline should be seen to 0.8818 and below, to resume whole down trend from 1.0146. Strong support is expected from 0.8756 to contain downside and bring rebound. On the upside, above 0.8916 minor resistance will turn intraday bias neutral first. However, decisive break of 0.8756 will carry larger bearish implication.

In the bigger picture, fall from 1.1046 (2022 high) is seen as a leg in the long term range pattern from 1.0342 (2016 high). While further decline cannot be ruled out, strong support is expected from 0.8756 long term support to bring reversal. Firm break of 0.9146 resistance should confirm medium term bottoming.

USD/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9093; (P) 0.9108; (R1) 0.9124; More….

Intraday bias in USD/CHF remains neutral at this point. Further decline is mildly in favor. On the downside, below 0.9088 will target a test on 0.8982 low. Firm break there will resume larger down trend. On the upside, break of 0.9207 resistance is needed to be the first sign of bullish reversal. Otherwise, outlook will stay bearish in case of stronger rebound.

In the bigger picture, decline from 1.0237 is seen as the third leg of the pattern from 1.0342 (2016 high). There is no clear sign of completion yet. On resumption, next target will be 138.2% projection of 1.0342 to 0.9186 from 1.0237 at 0.8639. Nevertheless, strong break of 0.9304 resistance will be an early sign of trend reversal and turn focus back to 0.9901 key resistance for confirmation.

USD/CHF Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9360; (P) 0.9409; (R1) 0.9439; More

Intraday bias in USD/CHF remains neutral for the moment. Current development argues that larger fall from 0.9901 is not finished. Break of 0.9382 will target a test on 0.9181 low. Meanwhile, break of 0.9467 resistance will indicate short term bottoming and turn bias back to the upside for 0.9532 resistance and above.

In the bigger picture, decline from 1.0237 is seen as the third leg of the pattern from 1.0342 (2016 low). It could have completed at 0.9181 after hitting 0.9186 key support (2018 low). Break of 0.9901 will extend the rebound from 0.9181 through 1.0023 resistance. After all, medium term range trading will likely continue between 0.9181/1.0237 for some more time.