USD/CHF edged lower to 0.8818 and recovered again, but stayed below 0.8993 resistance. Initial bias stays neutral this week first. While down trend from 1.0146 could still extend lower, strong support should be seen from 61.8% projection of 1.0146 to 0.9058 from 0.9439 at 0.8767, which is close to 0.8756 long term support, to bring rebound, at least on first attempt. On the upside, break of 0.8993 resistance will indicate short term bottoming, on bullish convergence condition in 4H MACD, and turn bias back to the upside for stronger rebound.

In the bigger picture, fall from 1.1046 (2022 high) is seen as a leg in the long term range pattern from 1.0342 (2016 high). So, downside should be contained by 0.8756 to bring reversal. Sustained break of 0.9058 support turned resistance will be the first sign of medium term bottoming. However, decisive break of 0.8756 will carry larger bearish implications.

In the long term picture, long term sideway pattern from 1.0342 (2016 high) is expected to continue between 0.8756/1.0342. However, sustained break of 0.8756 will open up deeper fall back towards 0.7065 (2011 low).

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.8786; (P) 0.8833; (R1) 0.8919; More….

Intraday bias in USD/CHF remains on the upside at this point. Current rally from 0.8332 should target 100% projection of 0.8332 to 0.8727 from 0.8550 at 0.8954. Firm break there will pave the way to 161.8% projection at 0.9189. On the downside, below 0.8754 minor support will turn intraday bias neutral first. But retreat should be contained above 0.8550 support to bring another rally.

In the bigger picture, a medium term bottom should be formed at 0.8332, on bullish convergence condition in W MACD, just ahead of 0.8317 long term fibonacci support, on bullish convergence condition in W MACD. It’s still early to decide if the larger down trend from 1.0146 (2022 high) is reversing. But further rise should be seen to 0.9243 resistance even as a correction.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9978; (P) 1.0031; (R1) 1.0061; More…

USD/CHF’s fall from 1.0237 is still in progress and intraday bias stays on the downside. Next target is 0.9879 key support. Decisive break there will carry larger bearish implications. On the upside, break of 1.0098 is needed to indicate completion of such decline. Otherwise, outlook will stay mildly bearish in case of recovery.

In the bigger picture, USD/CHF is losing upside momentum ahead of 1.0342 key resistance (2016 high). There is no clear sign of reversal yet. But even in case of another rise, we’d be cautious on strong resistance from 1.0342 to limit upside. On the downside, break of 0.9879 support will suggest that larger rise from 0.9186 (2018 low) has completed. Deeper fall will be seen to 0.9716 support for confirmation.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9908; (P) 0.9928; (R1) 0.9965; More…..

Intraday bias in USD/CHF remains neutral for the moment. With 0.9999 minor resistance holds, deeper decline is mildly in favor. Below 0.9890 will target 0.9812 and below to extend the correction from 1.0342. But break of 0.9812 should be brief and we will look for bottoming signal below there. On the upside, above 0.9999 minor resistance argues that fall from 1.0107 is finished, with bullish convergence condition in 4 hour MACD. In that case, intraday bias will be flipped back to the upside for 1.0107 resistance first.

In the bigger picture, we’re still maintaining that firm break of 1.0342 key resistance is needed to confirm underlying bullish momentum in the pair. However, the corrective nature of the fall from 1.0342 is starting to give the medium term outlook a bullish favor. Hence, in stead of looking for topping signal around 1.0342, we’d now pay closer attention to upside acceleration as USD/CHF approaches this level again.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9590; (P) 0.9644; (R1) 0.9683; More…

USD/CHF is still staying in range of 0.9582/9772 and intraday bias remains neutral for the moment. On the upside, decisive break of 0.9772 resistance will revive the bullish case of reversal. That is, whole decline from 1.0342 has completed at 0.9437 after defending 0.9443 support. USD/CHF should then target channel resistance (now at 0.9862) next. Meanwhile, the pair is bounded inside medium term falling channel and limited below 38.2% retracement of 1.0342 to 0.9437 at 0.9783 for the moment. Break of 0.9582 will turn bias back to the downside for 0.9437. This could also extend the fall from 1.0342 through 0.9437/43 key support level.

In the bigger picture, current development argues that USD/CHF has successfully defended 0.9443 key support level. And long term range trading in 0.9443/1.0342 is extending with another rise. At this point, there is no sign of an up trend yet. Hence, while further rise is expected in USD/CHF, we’ll start to be cautious on loss of momentum above 61.8% retracement of 1.0342 to 0.9437 at 0.9996. However, firm break of 0.9443 will carry larger bearish implication and would target next key support at 0.9072.

USD/CHF stayed in range above 0.8818 last week and outlook is unchanged. Initial bias stays neutral this week first. on the upside, firm break of 0.8993 resistance will confirm short term bottoming, on bullish convergence condition in 4H MACD. Intraday bias will be turned back to the upside for 55 D EMA (now at 0.9052) and possibly above. In case of another fall, strong support should be seen from 61.8% projection of 1.0146 to 0.9058 from 0.9439 at 0.8767, which is close to 0.8756 long term support, to bring rebound.

In the bigger picture, fall from 1.1046 (2022 high) is seen as a leg in the long term range pattern from 1.0342 (2016 high). So, downside should be contained by 0.8756 to bring reversal. Sustained break of 0.9058 support turned resistance will be the first sign of medium term bottoming. However, decisive break of 0.8756 will carry larger bearish implications.

In the long term picture, long term sideway pattern from 1.0342 (2016 high) is expected to continue between 0.8756/1.0342. However, sustained break of 0.8756 will open up deeper fall back towards 0.7065 (2011 low).

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9899; (P) 0.9974; (R1) 1.0017; More…

Intraday bias in USD/CHF is turned neutral again as it lost momentum ahead of 1.0063 resistance. On the upside, firm break of 1.0063 will resume larger up trend. Next target is 100% projection of 0.9193 to 1.0063 from 0.9543 at 1.0413. On the downside, below 0.9872 minor support will turn intraday bias to the downside, to extend the corrective pattern from 1.0063 with another falling leg.

In the bigger picture, down trend from 1.0342 (2016 high) should have completed with three waves down to 0.8756 (2021 low) already. Rise from 0.8756 is likely a medium term up trend of its own. Next target is 1.0237/0342 resistance zone. This will remain the favored case as long as 0.9471 resistance turned support holds. However, sustained break of 0.9471 will extend long term range trading with another falling leg.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.8812; (P) 0.8828; (R1) 0.8853; More…

Intraday bias in USD/CHF remains neutral for consolidations above 0.8776 temporary low. Further decline is expected as long as 0.8923 resistance holds. On the downside, break of 0.8776 will resume the fall from 0.9223 to 61.8% retracement of 0.8332 to 0.9223 at 0.8672 next. However, break of 0.8923 will turn bias back to the upside for stronger rebound instead.

In the bigger picture, with 0.9243 resistance intact, medium term outlook in USD/CHF is neutral at best. For now, more sideway trading is likely between 0.8332/9243. However, firm break of 0.9243 will indicate larger bullish trend reversal.

USD/CHF’s rise from 0.8756 resumed by breaking through 0.9374 resistance. Further rise is expected this week as long as 0.9212 support holds. next target is 61.8% retracement of 0.9901 to 0.8756 at 0.9464. Break there will target 0.9901 resistance next. On the downside, break of 0.9212 support is needed to confirm short term topping. Otherwise, outlook will stay mildly bullish in case of retreat.

In the bigger picture, fall from 1.0237 should have completed at 0.8756, on bullish condition in daily and weekly MACD. Current rally from 0.8756 should target 0.9901 resistance first. Break there will target 1.0237/0342 resistance zone in the medium term. This will now remain the favored case as long as 0.9044 resistance turned support holds.

In the long term picture, price actions from 0.7065 (2011 low) are currently seen as developing into a long term corrective pattern, at least until a firm break of 1.0342 resistance.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9128; (P) 0.9141; (R1) 0.9151; More….

Intraday bias in USD/CHF stays neutral at this point. Current development suggests that pull back from 0.9223 has completed already. Above 0.9157 will bring retest of 0.9223. However, break of 0.9077 support will bring retest of 0.8987. Break there will resume the fall from 0.9223 to 38.2% retracement of 0.8332 to 0.9223 at 0.8883.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 0.8332 medium term bottom are tentatively seen as developing into a corrective pattern to the down trend from 1.0146 (2022 high). Rejection by 0.9243 resistance, followed by sustained break of 38.2% retracement of 0.8332 to 0.9223 at 0.8883 will strengthen this case, and maintain medium term bearishness. However, decisive break of 0.9243 will argue that the trend has already reversed and turn medium term outlook bullish for 1.0146.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9048; (P) 0.9084; (R1) 0.9131; More…

Intraday bias in USD/CHF remains neutral at this point. With 0.9118 resistance intact, further decline is expected. On the downside, break of 0.9005 and sustained trading below 38.2% projection of 1.0146 to 0.9058 from 0.9439 at 0.9023 will extend the down trend from 1.0146 to 61.8% projection at 0.8767. However, firm break of 0.9118 will indicate short term bottoming, and turn bias to the upside for stronger rebound.

In the bigger picture, outlook will stay bearish as long as 0.9439 resistance holds, and fall from 1.1046 (2022 high) is still in progress. Prior rejection by 55 week EMA was a medium term bearish sign. Sustained of 0.9058 will resume such decline towards 0.8756 support (2021 low). But overall, this fall is still as a leg in the long term range pattern from 1.0342 (2016 high). So, downside should be contained by 0.8756 to bring reversal.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9079; (P) 0.9101; (R1) 0.9115; More…

Intraday bias in USD/CHF is turned neutral with today’s recovery. Further decline is still in favor as long as 0.9197 resistance holds. Below 0.l9087 will target a test on 0.8998 low. Firm break there will resume larger down trend. Next target will be 61.8% projection of 0.9901 to 0.8998 from 0.9304 at 0.8746 next. On the upside, However, break of 0.9197 will extend the corrective pattern from 0.8998 with another rise to 0.9304 resistance and above.

In the bigger picture, decline from 1.0237 is seen as the third leg of the pattern from 1.0342 (2016 high). There is no clear sign of completion yet. On resumption, next target will be 138.2% projection of 1.0342 to 0.9186 from 1.0237 at 0.8639. Nevertheless, strong break of 0.9376 support turned resistance will be an early sign of trend reversal and turn focus back to 0.9901 key resistance for confirmation.

USD/CHF edged higher to 1.0107 last week but retreated since then. The retreat from there is contained above 0.9980 support and thus, bullish outlook is maintained. That is corrective from 1.0342 has completed with three waves down to 0.9812. And, rise from 0.9548 is resuming.

Initial bias in USD/CHF remains neutral this week first. Break of 1.0107 will turn bias to the upside for 1.0169 resistance. Break there should confirm our bullish view and should target a test on 1.0342 key resistance next. However, below 0.9980 will dampen this bullish case and turn bias back to the downside for 0.9812 low.

In the bigger picture, we’re still maintaining that firm break of 1.0342 key resistance is needed to confirm underlying bullish momentum in the cross. However, the corrective nature of the fall from 1.0342 to 0.9812 is starting to give the medium term outlook a bullish favor. Hence, in stead of looking for topping signal around 1.0342, we’d now pay closer attention to upside acceleration as USD/CHF approaches this level again.

The long term outlook in USD/CHF stays a bit mixed for the moment. But in case of another medium term fall, we’d expect strong support from 0.9443/9548 support zone. Meanwhile, firm break of 1.0342 will target 38.2% retracement of 1.8305 to 0.7065 at 1.1359.

USD/CHF’s rise form 0.8756 accelerated to as high as 0.9317 last week and broke 0.9295 resistance. There is no sign of topping yet and initial bias stays on the upside this week. Next target is 61.8% retracement of 0.9901 to 0.8756 at 0.9464. On the downside, break of 0.9135 minor support will turn intraday bias neutral again. But further rally is expected as long as 0.9044 resistance turned support holds.

In the bigger picture, decline from 1.0237 is seen as the third leg of the pattern from 1.0342 (2016 high). Firm break of 0.9295 resistance, and sustained trading above 55 week EMA (now at 0.9227), will suggest that the pattern has completed. In this case, further rise could be seen back to 1.0237/0342 resistance zone in the medium term. On the other hand, rejection by 0.9295 will retain medium term bearishness for another low below 0.8756.

In the long term picture, price actions from 0.7065 (2011 low) are currently seen as developing into a long term corrective pattern, at least until a firm break of 1.0342 resistance.

USD/CHF’s decline extended to 0.9254 last week. Downside momentum is diminishing as seen in 4 hour MACD. But as long as 0.9392 resistance holds, deeper fall is expected. Current fall from 1.0037 would target next fibonacci projection level at 0.9115. On the upside, break of 0.9392 minor resistance, however, will indicate short term bottoming and bring stronger rebound.

In the bigger picture, the strong break of 0.9420 support suggests that fall from 1.0342 is developing into a medium term down trend. Deeper fall should be seen to 100% projection of 1.0342 to 0.9420 from 1.0037 at 0.9115. Break will target 161.8% projection at 0.8545. In any case, break of 0.9640 resistance is needed to be the first sign of medium term bottoming. Otherwise, outlook will stay bearish even in case of strong rebound.

In the long term picture, the strong break of 0.9420 support and downside acceleration turns the long term outlook rather bearish. Corrective rebound from 0.7065 (2011 low) could have already completed at 1.0342. 0.8698 support will be a key level to watch. Sustained break there could bring retest of 0.7065.

USD/CHF dropped notably last week and the breach of 0.9141 support argues that rebound from 0.8925 has completed at 0.9273 already, after rejection by 61.8% retracement of 0.9471 to 0.8925 at 0.9262. Initial bias is mildly on the downside this week for 55 day EMA (now at 0.9119) first. Sustained break there will pave the way back to retest 0.8925 low. For now, risk will stay on the downside as long as 0.9273 resistance holds, in case of recovery.

In the bigger picture, medium term outlook is currently neutral with focus on 0.9471 resistance. Sustained break there will indicate completion of whole decline from 1.0342 (2016 high). Medium term outlook will be turned bullish for a test on 1.0342 high. But, rejection by 0.9471 again will revive bearishness for another fall through 0.8756 low.

In the long term picture, price actions from 0.7065 (2011 low) are currently seen as developing into a long term corrective pattern, at least until a firm break of 1.0342 resistance.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9075; (P) 0.9106; (R1) 0.9151; More….

Intraday bias in USD/CHF stays on the upside as rise form 0.8551 is extending to 0.9146/60 cluster resistance. Decisive break there will carry larger bullish implication, and target 0.9439 resistance next. On the downside, break of 0.8930 support is needed to confirm short term topping. Otherwise, outlook will stay bullish in case of retreat.

In the bigger picture, rebound from 0.8551 medium term bottom is currently seen as a correction to the downtrend from 1.0146 (2022 high). Further rally would be seen to 0.9146 cluster resistance (38.2% retracement of 1.0146 to 0.8551 at 0.9160). Strong resistance could be seen there to limit upside, at least on first attempt. However, decisive break of 0.9146/60 will indicate trend reversal, and target 61.8% retracement at 0.9537.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9228; (P) 0.9319; (R1) 0.9368; More…

Intraday bias in USD/CHF remains neutral for the moment. On the upside, break of 0.9407 will resume the rebound to 38.2% retracement of 1.0146 to 0.9199 at 0.9561. However, firm break of 0.9199 will resume the whole decline from 1.0146 instead.

In the bigger picture, rise from 0.8756 (2021 low) has completed at 1.0146, well ahead of 1.0342 long term resistance (2016 high). Based on current downside momentum, fall from 1.0146 might be a medium term down trend itself. Sustained break of 61.8% retracement of 0.8756 to 1.0146 at 0.9287 will pave the way to 0.8756. In any case, risk will stay on the downside as long as 0.9545 resistance holds.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9145; (P) 0.9168; (R1) 0.9192; More….

USD/CHF is still bounded in tight range above 0.9127 temporary low and intraday bias stays neutral first. With 0.9244 resistance intact, further fall is still expected. On the downside, below 0.9127 will extend the decline from 0.9471 to 61.8% retracement of 0.8756 to 0.9471 at 0.9029. Nevertheless, break of 0.9244 will indicate short term bottoming and turn bias to the upside for rebound.

In the bigger picture, rejection by 61.8% retracement of 0.9901 to 0.8756 at 0.9464 argues that rebound from 0.8756 was probably just a corrective move. That is, larger down trend from 1.0237 might be still in progress. We’ll monitor the downside momentum of the decline from 0.9471, to assess the chance of breakthrough 0.8756 low.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9573; (P) 0.9627; (R1) 0.9658; More…

USD/CHF’s break of 0.9687 minor resistance suggests that pull back from 0.9797 has completed at 0.9592. Intraday bias is turned back to the upside for 0.9797 resistance first. Break will target a test on 0.9901. On the downside, below 0.9592 will extend the consolidation from 0.9901 with another fall to 0.9502. Overall, downside should contained by 61.8% retracement of 0.9181 to 0.9901 at 0.9456 to rebound.

In the bigger picture, decline from 1.0237 is seen as the third leg of the pattern from 1.0342 (2016 low). It could have completed at 0.9181 after hitting 0.9186 key support (2018 low). Further rise could be seen to retest 1.0237 high. After all, medium term range trading will likely continue between 0.9181/1.0237 for some time.