Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.8790; (P) 0.8809; (R1) 0.8824; More….

No change in USD/CHF’s outlook and intraday bias stays on the downside. Current fall from 0.9243 should target 100% projection of 0.9243 to 0.8886 from 0.9111 at 0.8754 next. Nevertheless, break of 0.8873 resistance will turn bias to the upside for stronger rebound.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 0.8551 are currently seen as part of a corrective pattern to the decline from 1.0146 (2022 high). Fall from 0.9243 is seen as the second leg for now. 61.8% retracement of 0.8551 to 0.9243 at 0.8815 was already met. Sustained break there will bring retest of 0.8551 low. For now, this will remain the favored case as long as 0.9111 resistance holds.

USD/CHF dipped further to 0.8550 last week but recovered since then. Initial bias remains neutral this week first On the upside, above 0.8727 will resume the rebound from 0.8332, and target 61.8% retracement of 0.9243 to 0.8332 at 0.8995. On the downside, below 0.8550 will resume the fall from 0.8727 for 0.8487 support.

In the bigger picture, there is prospect of medium term bottoming at 0.8332 considering possible bullish convergence condition in W MACD, and the support from 0.8317 long term fibonacci support. Sustained trading above 55 D EMA (now at 0.8672) will affirm this case, and bring stronger rise back towards 0.9243 resistance, even as a corrective move.

In the long term picture, price action from 0.7065 (2011 high) are seen as a corrective pattern to the multi-decade down trend from 1.8305 (2000 high) . Strong rebound from 61.8% retracement of 0.7065 to 1.0342 (2016 high) will start the third leg as a medium term rally. But there will be no sign of long term reversal until firm break of 38.2% retracement of 1.8305 to 0.7065 at 1.1359.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0018; (P) 1.0033; (R1) 1.0056; More…

Intraday bias in USD/CHF remains neutral first. With 0.9977 minor support intact, further rise is in favor. Above 1.0046 will extend the rebound from 0.9879 and turn bias to the upside for 1.0124 resistance. However, as the structure of the rise is corrective looking, we’d expect strong resistance from 1.0124 to limit upside to bring another reversal. On the downside, below 0.9977 minor support will turn bias to the downside for 0.9879 support.

In the bigger picture, loss of upside momentum is seen is bearish divergence in daily MACD. But there is no clear sign of bearish reversal in USD/CHF yet. Rise fro 0.9186 is likely still in progress. Decisive break of 1.0128 resistance will resume this medium term rally to 1.0342 resistance next. This will remain the preferred case now, as long as 0.9716 support holds.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9035; (P) 0.9089; (R1) 0.9194; More…

USD/CHF’s strong break of 0.9082 minor resistance suggests short term bottoming at 0.8982, after breaching 0.8998 support. Intraday bias is turned back to the upside for 0.9027 resistance. Decisive break there would be an early sign of bullish reversal and target 0.9304 resistance for confirmation. On the downside, below 0.9054 minor support will turn bias back to the downside for 0.8982 low instead.

In the bigger picture, decline from 1.0237 is seen as the third leg of the pattern from 1.0342 (2016 high). There is no clear sign of completion yet. On resumption, next target will be 138.2% projection of 1.0342 to 0.9186 from 1.0237 at 0.8639. Nevertheless, strong break of 0.9304 resistance will be an early sign of trend reversal and turn focus back to 0.9901 key resistance for confirmation.

USD/CHF surged to as high as 0.9954 last week before forming a temporary top there and retreated .Initial bias is neutral this week for some consolidations. Downside should be contained by 38.2% retracement of 0.9541 to 0.9954 at 0.9796 to bring another rally. On the upside, break of 0.9954 will target 1.0067 resistance next.

In the bigger picture, the pullback from 1.0067 has completed at 0.9541 already. And rise from 0.9186 is likely resuming. Firm break of 1.0067 will pave the way to retest 1.0342 key resistance. We’d be cautious on strong resistance from there to limit upside to bring another medium term fall to extend long term range trading.

In the long term picture, price actions from 0.7065 (2011 low) are not clearly impulsive yet. Thus, we’ll treat it as developing into a corrective pattern, at least, until a firm break of 1.0342 resistance.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.8555; (P) 0.8616; (R1) 0.8650; More…

Intraday bias in USD/CHF remains on the downside for the moment. Current down trend should target 100% projection of 0.9439 to 0.8818 from 0.9146 at 0.8525 next. On the upside, above 0.8683 minor resistance will turn intraday bias neutral and bring consolidations first. But outlook will remain bearish as long as 0.8900 support turned resistance holds.

In the bigger picture, the break of 0.8756 (2021 low) indicates break out from the long term range pattern. For now, medium term outlook will stay bearish as long as 0.9146 resistance holds. Further fall would be seen to 61.8% retracement of 0.7065 (2011 low) to 1.0342 (2016 high) at 0.8317 next.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9200; (P) 0.9255; (R1) 0.9288; More….

Outlook in USD/CHF is unchanged and intraday bias remains neutral first. Consolidation from 0.9374 is extending. In case of deeper fall, we’d expect downside to be contained by 38.2% retracement of 0.8869 to 0.9374 at 0.9181 to bring rise rebound. On the upside, firm break of 0.9374 will resume larger up trend to 61.8% retracement of 0.9901 to 0.8756 at 0.9464 next.

In the bigger picture, fall from 1.0237 should have completed at 0.8756, on bullish condition in daily and weekly MACD. Current rally from 0.8756 should target 0.9901 resistance first. Break there will target 1.0237/0342 resistance zone in the medium term. This will now remain the favored case as long as 0.9044 resistance turned support holds.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9734; (P) 0.9771; (R1) 0.9814; More…

Intraday bias in USD/CHF stays on the upside at this point. Current rally should target 0.9884 resistance first. Break there will argue that larger up trend is ready for resumption through 1.0063. On the downside, break of 0.9658 minor support will mix up the outlook and turn intraday bias neutral first.

In the bigger picture, current development suggests that up trend from 0.8756 (2021 low) is still in progress. Sustained break of 1.0063 will target 100% projection of 0.9149 to 1.0063 from 0.9369 at 1.0283, and then 1.0342 (2016 high). For now, this will remain the favored case as long as 0.9369 support holds, even in case of deep pull back.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9525; (P) 0.9575; (R1) 0.9605; More…

USD/CHF rebounded strongly in early US session and focus is back on 0.9647 minor resistance. Break will argue that corrective pattern from 0.9901 might have completed. Intraday bias will be turned back to 0.9784 resistance first. On the downside, break of 0.9541 will extend the correction to 0.9502 support and below. Though, we’d still expect strong support from 61.8% retracement of 0.9181 to 0.9901 at 0.9456 to bring rebound.

In the bigger picture, decline from 1.0237 is seen as the third leg of the pattern from 1.0342 (2016 low). It could have completed at 0.9181 after hitting 0.9186 key support (2018 low). Break of 0.9901 will extend the rebound form 0.9181 through 1.0023 resistance. After all, medium term range trading will likely continue between 0.9181/1.0237 for some more time.

USD/CHF’s rise from 0.8551 resumed last week. Initial bias stays on the upside this week. Further rally is expected to 0.9146 cluster resistance next. On the downside, break of 0.8758 support is needed to indicate completion of the rebound from 0.8551. Otherwise, near term outlook is cautiously bullish in case of retreat.

In the bigger picture, rebound from 0.8551 medium term bottom is currently seen as a correction to the downtrend from 1.0146 (2022 high). Further rally would be seen to 0.9146 cluster resistance (38.2% retracement of 1.0146 to 0.8551 at 0.9160). Strong resistance could be seen there to limit upside, at least on first attempt. Nevertheless, medium term outlook is neutral at best as long as 0.8551 holds, until further developments.

In the long term picture, there is no clear sign that down trend from 1.8305 (2000 high) has completed. With 38.2% retracement of 1.8305 to 0.7065 at 1.1359 intact, outlook is neutral at best. Sustained break of 61.8% retracement of 0.7065 (2011 low) to 1.0342 (2016 high) at 0.8317 will bring retest of 0.7065 low.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9864; (P) 0.9888; (R1) 0.9900; More…

USD/CHF is staying in established range and intraday bias remains neutral first. With 0.9841 support intact, rise from 0.9659 is expected to resume sooner or later. On the upside, above 0.9926 minor resistance will bring retest of 1.0027 resistance first. However, sustained break of 0.9841 will indicate near term reversal and pave the way back to 0.9659 support.

In the bigger picture, medium term outlook remains neutral as USD/CHF is staying in range of 0.9659/1.0237. In any case, decisive break of 1.0237 is needed to indicate up trend resumption. Otherwise, more sideway trading would be seen with risk of another fall. Meanwhile, break of 0.9695 support will target 0.9541 support instead.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9967; (P) 0.9997; (R1) 1.0055; More…

USD/CHF rally accelerated to as high as 1.0033 so far intraday bias remains on the upside. Decisive break of 1.0056 high will resume whole up trend from 0.9186. Next target will be 61.8% projection of 0.9186 to 1.0056 from 0.9787 at 1.0325, which is close to 1.0342 key resistance. On the downside, though, break of 0.9961 will dampen this bullish case and bring more sideway trading below 1.0056 first.

In the bigger picture, rise from 0.9186 is seen as a leg inside the long term range pattern. For now, further rise is expected as long as 38.2% retracement of 0.9186 to 1.0056 at 0.9724 holds. Above 1.0056 will target 1.0342 (2016 high). In that case, we’d be cautious on strong resistance from 1.0342 to limit upside. However, sustained break of 0.9724 will dampen this bullish view and would at least bring deeper fall to 61.8% retracement at 0.9518.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.8952; (P) 0.8999; (R1) 0.9024; More….

Intraday bias in USD/CHF remains neutral first. Outlook stays bearish with 0.9092 resistance intact. On the downside, break of 0.8959 will resume the fall from 0.9471 to retest 0.8756 low. However, break of 0.9092 will indicate short term bottoming and turn bias to the upside for stronger rebound.

In the bigger picture, rejection by 61.8% retracement of 0.9901 to 0.8756 at 0.9464 argues that rebound from 0.8756 was probably just a corrective move. That is, larger down trend from 1.0237 might be still in progress. Medium term bearish is also affirmed as the pair is now far below falling 55 week EMA. Firm break of 0.8756 low will target 61.8% projection of 1.0237 to 0.8756 from 0.9471 at 0.8556 next.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9564; (P) 0.9580; (R1) 0.9614; More….

USD/CHF continues to lose upside momentum as seen in 4 hour MACD and intraday bias is turned neutral first. Some consolidations could be seen. But downside should be contained above 0.9372 resistance turned support to bring another rally. On the upside, sustained break of 0.9591 medium term projection level will pave the way to next at 0.9864.

In the bigger picture, down trend from 1.0342 (2016 high) could have completed with three waves down to 0.8756 (2021 low) already. Rise from 0.8756 is likely a medium term up trend of its own. Sustained break of 61.8% projection of 0.8756 to 0.9471 from 0.9149 at 0.9591 will pave the way to 100% projection at 0.9864. This will now remain the favored case as long as 0.9193 support holds.

USD/CHF reversed after edging higher to 0.9868 last week. The development suggests that corrective pattern from 1.0063 is extending with another falling leg. Initial bias remains on the downside this week for 0.9369 support. On the upside above 0.9707 minor resistance will turn intraday bias neutral first.

In the bigger picture, current development suggests that up trend from 0.8756 (2021 low) is still in progress. Sustained break of 1.0063 will target 100% projection of 0.9149 to 1.0063 from 0.9369 at 1.0283, and then 1.0342 (2016 high). For now, this will remain the favored case as long as 0.9369 support holds, even in case of deep pull back.

In the long term picture, outlook is mixed with deeper than expected fall from 1.0063, but some support is seen from 55 week EMA (now at 0.9433). Overall, though, USD/CHF is seen as in sideway pattern from 1.0342 (2016 high). Range trading should continue until further development.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9909; (P) 0.9944; (R1) 1.0012; More….

USD/CHF’s rally accelerates to as high as 1.0037 so far today. 61.8% retracement of 1.0342 to 0.9420 at 0.9990 is firmly taken out. Intraday bias remains on the upside for 1.0099 resistance first. Break will pave the way to 1.0342 key resistance level next. On the downside, below 0.9980 minor support will turn intraday bias neutral first. But retreat should be contained by 0.9835 resistance turned support and bring another rally.

In the bigger picture, current development suggests that USD/CHF has defended 0.9443 (2016 low) key support level again. Rise from 0.9420 could develop into a medium term move and target a test on 1.0342 high. This represents the upper end of a long term range that started back in 2015. On the downside, break of 0.9736 support is now needed to indicate completion of the rise from 0.9420. Otherwise, further rally will remain in favor in medium term.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9618; (P) 0.9668; (R1) 0.9697; More…

Intraday bias in USD/CHF stays on the downside for 0.9588 support and below. Corrective pattern from 0.9901 is still in progress. But downside should be contained by 61.8% retracement of 0.9181 to 0.9901 at 0.9456 to rebound. On the upside, break of 0.9784 resistance will target a test on 0.9901 high.

In the bigger picture, decline from 1.0237 is seen as the third leg of the pattern from 1.0342 (2016 low). It could have completed at 0.9181 after hitting 0.9186 key support (2018 low). Break of 0.9901 will extend the rebound form 0.9181 through 1.0023 resistance. After all, medium term range trading will likely continue between 0.9181/1.0237 for some more time.

USD/CHF dropped sharply to as low as 0.9855 last week but recovered ahead of 0.9841 support. Initial bias is neutral this week first. With 0.9841 intact, rise from 0.9659 is extend to resume sooner or later. On the upside, above 0.9926 minor resistance will bring retest of 1.0027 resistance first. However, sustained break of 0.9841 will indicate near term reversal and pave the way back to 0.9659 support.

In the bigger picture, medium term outlook remains neutral as USD/CHF is staying in range of 0.9659/1.0237. In any case, decisive break of 1.0237 is needed to indicate up trend resumption. Otherwise, more sideway trading would be seen with risk of another fall. Meanwhile, break of 0.9695 support will target 0.9541 support instead.

In the long term picture, price actions from 0.7065 (2011 low) are not clearly impulsive yet. Thus, we’ll treat it as developing into a corrective pattern, at least, until a firm break of 1.0342 resistance.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9221; (P) 0.9258; (R1) 0.9282; More….

Intraday bias in USD/CHF remains neutral first. On the downside, below 0.9156 will target 0.9084 support. Firm break there should confirm that choppy rise from 0.8925 has completed, and suggests that fall from 0.9471 is resuming. Deeper decline would be seen through 0.8925. On the upside, break of 0.9293 will suggest that the pull back from 0.9372 is finished. Intraday bias will be turned back to the upside for 0.9372.

In the bigger picture, the corrective structure of the rebound from 0.8925 argues that fall from 0.9471 is not complete yet. It could either be the second leg of pattern from 0.8756 (2021 low), or resuming larger down trend from 1.0237 (2018 high). We’d pay attention to the downside momentum and assess the odds later. But for now, medium term outlook will be neutral at best as long as 0.9471 resistance holds.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.8924; (P) 0.8949; (R1) 0.8996; More….

USD/CHF’s rebound from 0.8756 short term bottom is in progress and intraday bias stays on the upside for 0.8998 support turned resistance. Decisive break there will argue that fall from 0.9901 has completed. Stronger rally would be seen to 38.2% retracement of 0.9901 to 0.8756 at 0.9193. On the downside, break of 0.8897 minor support will turn bias back to the downside for retesting 0.8756 low instead.

In the bigger picture, decline from 1.0237 is seen as the third leg of the pattern from 1.0342 (2016 high). There is no clear sign of completion yet. Next target will be 138.2% projection of 1.0342 to 0.9186 from 1.0237 at 0.8639. In any case, break of 0.9295 resistance is needed to signal medium term bottoming. Otherwise, outlook will remain bearish in case of rebound.