USD/CHF Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.8747; (P) 0.8787; (R1) 0.8823; More….

Intraday bias in USD/CHF stays neutral for the moment. On the upside, sustained trading above 0.8818 support turned resistance will carry larger bullish implication. Further rally should then be seen to 0.9146 cluster resistance next. However, break of 0.8688 support will indicate rejection by 0.8818, and turn bias back to the downside for retesting 0.8551 low.

In the bigger picture, a medium term bottom could be in place at 0.8551 already, on bullish convergence condition in D MACD. Sustained trading above 0.8818 will bring further rise to 0.9146 cluster resistance (38.2% retracement of 1.0146 to 0.8551 at 0.9160), even as a correction. Nevertheless, break of 0.8851 will resume the down trend from 1.0146 instead.

USD/CHF Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.8655; (P) 0.8683; (R1) 0.8700; More….

Break of 0.8629 support suggests that USD/CHF’s decline is resuming. Intraday bias is back on the downside. Current fall from 0.9243 should target 0.8551 key support next. On the upside, above 0.8710 minor resistance will turn intraday bias neutral again first. But outlook will remain bearish as long as 0.8819 resistance holds.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 0.8551 are currently seen as a corrective pattern to the decline from 1.0146 (2022 high). Fall from 0.9243 is seen as the second leg for now. Strong support should be seen 0.8551 to bring rebound. Meanwhile, break of 0.9111 resistance will argue that the third leg has started already, and target 0.9243.

USD/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0058; (P) 1.0073; (R1) 1.0096; More

USD/CHF is staying in range above 1.0008 and intraday bias remains neutral first. On the upside, decisive break of 1.0119 resistance will suggest that decline from 1.0237 is merely a correction and has completed. Intraday bias will be turned back to the upside for retesting 1.0237. That will also retain medium term bullishness in the pair. On the downside, however, firm break of 1.0008 should pave the way to retest 0.9879 key support next.

In the bigger picture, USD/CHF is losing upside momentum ahead of 1.0342 key resistance (2016 high). There is no clear sign of reversal yet. But even in case of another rise, we’d be cautious on strong resistance from 1.0342 to limit upside. On the downside, break of 0.9879 support will suggest that larger rise from 0.9186 (2018 low) has completed. Deeper fall will be seen to 0.9716 support for confirmation.

USD/CHF Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.8836; (P) 0.8905; (R1) 0.8974; More

USD/CHF is bounded in range of 0.8818/8993 and intraday bias stays neutral. While down trend from 1.0146 could still extend lower, strong support should be seen from 61.8% projection of 1.0146 to 0.9058 from 0.9439 at 0.8767, which is close to 0.8756 long term support, to bring rebound, at least on first attempt. On the upside, break of 0.8993 resistance will indicate short term bottoming, on bullish convergence condition in 4H MACD, and turn bias back to the upside for stronger rebound.

In the bigger picture, fall from 1.1046 (2022 high) is seen as a leg in the long term range pattern from 1.0342 (2016 high). So, downside should be contained by 0.8756 to bring reversal. Sustained break of 0.9058 support turned resistance will be the first sign of medium term bottoming. However, decisive break of 0.8756 will carry larger bearish implications.

USD/CHF Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9442; (P) 0.9469; (R1) 0.9493; More

No change in USD/CHF’s outlook and intraday bias remains neutral. As noted, rebound from 0.9186 might not be finished yet. But considering divergence condition in 4 hour MACD, even in case of another rise, upside should be limited by 0.9626 key fibonacci level. Break of 0.9432 support will indicate near term reversal and completion of rebound from 0.9186. In this case, intraday bias will be turned back to the downside for retesting 0.9186 low. However, sustained break of 0.9626 will carry larger bullish implications.

In the bigger picture, fall from 1.0342 is seen as a medium term down trend. Main focus is on 38.2% retracement of 1.0342 (2016 high) to 0.9186 (2018 low) at 0.9626. Sustained break there will add to the case of trend reversal and target 61.8% retracement at 0.9900 and above). However, rejection from 0.9626 will maintain medium term bearishness for another low below 0.9186.

USD/CHF Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9662; (P) 0.9695; (R1) 0.9713; More

Intraday bias in USD/CHF remains neutral first. Consolidation from 0.9613 might extend but upside should be limited by 0.9762 resistance to bring down trend resumption. On the downside, below 0.9661 will turn bias to the downside for retesting 0.9613 low first. Break will target 100% projection of 1.0237 to 0.9659 from 1.0023 at 0.9445. However, considering bullish convergence condition in 4 hour MACD, break of 0.9762 will indicate near term reversal and turn outlook bullish for stronger rebound to 55 day EMA (now at 0.9792).

In the bigger picture, medium term outlook remains neutral as USD/CHF is staying sideway trading started from 1.0342 (2016 high). Fall from 1.0237 is a leg inside the pattern and could target 0.9186 (2018 low). In case of another rise, break of 1.0237 is needed to indicate up trend resumption. Otherwise, more sideway trading would be seen with risk of another fall.

USD/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.8763; (P) 0.8790; (R1) 0.8806; More….

USD/CHF is still extending sideway trading and intraday bias stays neutral. On the upside, decisive break of 0.8818 support turned resistance will carry larger bullish implication, and target 0.9146 cluster resistance next. However, break of 0.8688 support will indicate rejection by 0.8818, and turn bias back to the downside for retesting 0.8551 low.

In the bigger picture, a medium term bottom could be in place at 0.8551 already, on bullish convergence condition in D MACD. Sustained trading above 0.8818 support turned resistance will bring further rise to 0.9146 cluster resistance (38.2% retracement of 1.0146 to 0.8551 at 0.9160), even as a correction. Nevertheless, break of 0.8851 will resume the down trend from 1.0146 instead.

USD/CHF Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9773; (P) 0.9810; (R1) 0.9832; More…..

USD/CHF’s decline accelerates to as low as 0.9751 so far today and breaks 100% projection of 1.0067 to 0.9866 from 0.9981 at 0.9780 decisively. There is no sign of bottoming yet. Intraday bias stays on the downside for 38.2% retracement of 0.9186 to 1.0056 at 0.9724. For now, we’d expect strong support from 0.9724 to contain downside and bring rebound. But, break of 0.9865 resistance is needed to indicate short term bottoming. Otherwise, further decline will remain in favor even in case of recovery. Meanwhile, sustained break of 0.9724 will carry larger bearish implications.

In the bigger picture, current development suggests that the consolidation pattern from 1.0056 is extending. As long as 38.2% retracement of 0.9186 to 1.0056 at 0.9724 holds, we’d expect rise from 0.9186 to resume at a later stage to retest 1.0342 key resistance (2016 high). However, sustained break of 38.2% retracement of 0.9186 to 1.0056 at 0.9724 will at least bring deeper fall to 61.8% retracement at 0.9518 before completion.

USD/CHF Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9710; (P) 0.9766; (R1) 0.9799; More….

USD/CHF recovers after dropping support from near term channel. Intraday bias is turned neutral for some consolidations. But upside of recovery should be limited well below 0.9963 resistance to bring another decline. Current fall from 1.0128 should be correcting whole rise from 0.9186. Below 0.9716 will target 0.9541 (61.8% retracement of 0.9186 to 1.0128 at 0.9546).

In the bigger picture, current development suggests that rise from 0.9186 has possibly completed with three waves up to 1.0128 already. Decline from 1.0128 could either be correcting this move, or reversing the trend. As long as 0.9541 support holds, we’d slightly favor the former scenario, and expect another rise through 1.0128 at a later stage. However, sustained break of 0.9541 will confirm trend reversal and bring deeper fall back to 0.9186 low.

 

USD/CHF Weekly Outlook

USD/CHF stayed in consolidation above 0.9090 last week and outlook is unchanged. Initial bias stays neutral this week first. On the downside, firm break of 0.9084 support will argue that choppy rise from 0.8925 has completed. Fall from 0.9471 might be ready to resuming. Further decline would be seen back to 0.8925 support first. On the upside, above 0.9276 will target 0.9372 resistance instead.

In the bigger picture, the corrective structure of the rebound from 0.8925 argues that fall from 0.9471 is not complete yet. It could either be the second leg of pattern from 0.8756 (2021 low), or resuming larger down trend from 1.0237 (2018 high). We’d pay attention to the downside momentum and assess the odds later. But for now, medium term outlook will be neutral at best as long as 0.9471 resistance holds.

In the long term picture, price actions from 0.7065 (2011 low) are currently seen as developing into a long term corrective pattern, at least until a firm break of 1.0342 resistance.

USD/CHF Weekly Outlook

USD/CHF stays in consolidation in range of 0.8998/9200 last week and outlook is unchanged. Initial bias remains neutral this week first. On the downside, break of 0.8998 will resume larger down trend. On the upside, break of 0.9200 will resume the rebound from 0.8998 short term bottom, towards 38.2% retracement of 0.9901 to 0.8998 at 0.9343.

In the bigger picture, decline from 1.0237 is seen as the third leg of the pattern from 1.0342 (2016 low), which is still extending. Sustained trading below 100% projection of 1.0342 to 0.9186 from 1.0237 at 0.9081 will pave the way to 138.2% projection at 0.8639. On the upside, break of 0.9376 resistance is needed to be the first sign of medium term bottoming.

In the long term picture, price actions from 0.7065 (2011 low) are not clearly impulsive yet. Thus, we’ll treat it as developing into a corrective pattern, at least, until a firm break of 1.0342 resistance.

USD/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.8655; (P) 0.8683; (R1) 0.8700; More….

Outlook in USD/CHF is unchanged. Intraday bias stays neutral as consolidation from 0.8629 might extend further. But further decline is expected with 0.8819 resistance intact. On the downside, break of 0.8629 will resume larger fall from 0.9243 to retest 0.8551 key support next. On the upside, however, firm break of 0.8819 will turn bias back to the upside for stronger rebound.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 0.8551 are currently seen as a corrective pattern to the decline from 1.0146 (2022 high). Fall from 0.9243 is seen as the second leg for now. Strong support should be seen 0.8551 to bring rebound. Meanwhile, break of 0.9111 resistance will argue that the third leg has started already, and target 0.9243.

USD/CHF Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9473; (P) 0.9505; (R1) 0.9528; More

USD/CHF recovers slightly today after touching 0.9471 resistance turned support. Strong support should be seen around current level to bring a strong rebound. On the upside, above 0.9598 minor resistance will turn bias back to the upside for recovery towards 55 day EMA (now at 0.9651) and above. However, sustained break of 0.9471 will carry larger bearish implication and target 0.9193 support next.

In the bigger picture, medium term up trend from 0.8756 (2021 low) is still in progress. On resumption, next target is 1.0342 (2016 high). Sustained break there will resume long term up trend from 0.7065 (2011 low). This will remain the favored case as long as 0.9471 resistance turned support holds. However, firm break of 0.9471 will raise the chance that such up trend is over. Sustained trading below 55 week EMA (now at 0.9424) could bring deeper medium term fall back to 0.9149 support and below.

USD/CHF Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.8498; (P) 0.8518; (R1) 0.8528; More….

Intraday bias in USD/CHF remains neutral as consolidation from 0.8332 is extending. Also, outlook stays bearish as long as 0.8665 support turned resistance holds. On the downside, break of 0.8332 will resume larger fall from 0.9243 to 0.8257 projection level.

In the bigger picture, down trend from 1.0146 (2022 high) is in progress. Next target is 61.8% retracement of 1.0146 to 0.8551 from 0.9243 at 0.8257. Sustained break there could prompt downside acceleration to 100% projection at 0.7648. This will now remain the favored case as long as 0.8819 resistance holds.

USD/CHF Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9098; (P) 0.9134; (R1) 0.9182; More

Range trading continues in USD/CHF and intraday bias remains neutral for the moment. On the downside, break of 0.8998 will resume larger down trend. Nevertheless, break of 0.9200 will resume the rebound towards 38.2% retracement of 0.9901 to 0.8998 at 0.9343.

In the bigger picture, decline from 1.0237 is seen as the third leg of the pattern from 1.0342 (2016 low), which is still extending. Sustained trading below 100% projection of 1.0342 to 0.9186 from 1.0237 at 0.9081 will pave the way to 138.2% projection at 0.8639. On the upside, break of 0.9376 resistance is needed to be the first sign of medium term bottoming.

USD/CHF Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9486; (P) 0.9509; (R1) 0.9532; More

Intraday bias in USD/CHF is turned neutral first with 4 hour MACD crossed below signal line. But further rise is expected as long as 0.9337 support holds. As noted before, the head and shoulder bottom formation (ls: 0.9254, h: 0.9186, rs: 0.9337) suggests near term reversal. Rise from 0.9186 should target 100% projection of 0.9186 to 0.9490 from 0.9337 at 0.9641 first. On the downside, break of 0.9337 minor support is needed to indicate completion of the rebound. Otherwise, near term outlook will be cautiously bullish even in case of retreat.

In the bigger picture, fall from 1.0342 is seen as a medium term down trend. Current development is raising the chance that it is completed. But there is no confirmation yet. Focus will now be back on 38.2% retracement of 1.0342 (2016 high) to 0.9186 (2018 low) at 0.9626. Sustained break there will add much credence to the case of trend reversal and target 61.8% retracement at 0.9900 and above). However, rejection from 0.9626 will maintain medium term bearishness for another low below 0.9186.

USD/CHF Weekly Outlook

USD/CHF’s correction from 1.0094 extended to 0.9952 last week then rebound strongly from there. Nonetheless, upside is still limited below 1.0094 resistance. Initial bias is neutral this week first. In case of another fall through 0.9952, downside should be contained by 38.2% retracement of 0.9541 to 1.0094 at 0.9883 to contain downside to bring rebound. On the upside, break of 1.0094 and sustained trading above 1.0067 will confirm resumption of whole rise from 0.9541. USD/CHF should then target 1.0342 key resistance next.

In the bigger picture, the pullback from 1.0067 has completed at 0.9541 already. And rise from 0.9186 is likely resuming. Firm break of 1.0067 will pave the way to retest 1.0342 key resistance. We’d be cautious on strong resistance from there to limit upside to bring another medium term fall to extend long term range trading. However, firm break of 0.9848 near term support will dampen this view and bring deeper decline back to 0.9541 support and possibly below.

In the long term picture, price actions from 0.7065 (2011 low) are not clearly impulsive yet. Thus, we’ll treat it as developing into a corrective pattern, at least, until a firm break of 1.0342 resistance.

USD/CHF Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.8936; (P) 0.8968; (R1) 0.8984; More

USD/CHF dips notably but stays above 0.8900 support for now. Intraday bias stays neutral first while further decline is expected. On the downside, break of 0.8900 will resume the fall from 0.9146 to 0.8818 low or below. On the upside, above 0.9015 will bring stronger rise towards 0.9146 resistance instead.

In the bigger picture, fall from 1.1046 (2022 high) is seen as a leg in the long term range pattern from 1.0342 (2016 high). While further decline cannot be ruled out, strong support is expected from 0.8756 long term support to bring reversal. Firm break of 0.9146 resistance should confirm medium term bottoming.

USD/CHF Weekly Outlook

USD/CHF’s corrective rebound from 0.9613 should have completed at 0.9766 after rejection from 0.9762 resistance last week. Initial bias remains on the downside this week for 0.9613 first. Break will resume larger fall from 1.0237 to 100% projection of 1.0237 to 0.9659 from 1.0023 at 0.9445. Near term outlook will now remain bearish as long as 0.9766 resistance holds, in case of recovery.

In the bigger picture, medium term outlook remains neutral as USD/CHF is staying sideway trading started from 1.0342 (2016 high). Fall from 1.0237 is a leg inside the pattern and could target 0.9186 (2018 low). In case of another rise, break of 1.0237 is needed to indicate up trend resumption. Otherwise, more sideway trading would be seen with risk of another fall.

In the long term picture, price actions from 0.7065 (2011 low) are not clearly impulsive yet. Thus, we’ll treat it as developing into a corrective pattern, at least, until a firm break of 1.0342 resistance.

USD/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.8881; (P) 0.8918; (R1) 0.8944; More….

Intraday bias in USD/CHF remains on the downside at this point. Current down trend should target 61.8% projection of 0.9901 to 0.8998 from 0.9304 at 0.8746 next. On the upside, break of 0.8967 minor resistance will turn bias neutral and bring recovery first.

In the bigger picture, decline from 1.0237 is seen as the third leg of the pattern from 1.0342 (2016 high). There is no clear sign of completion yet. On resumption, next target will be 138.2% projection of 1.0342 to 0.9186 from 1.0237 at 0.8639. Nevertheless, strong break of 0.9304 resistance will be an early sign of trend reversal and turn focus back to 0.9901 key resistance for confirmation.