Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9048; (P) 0.9066; (R1) 0.9084; More….

USD/CHF is staying above 0.9005 support despite today’s dip and intraday bias remains neutral. Further decline is in favor as long as 55 4H EMA (now at 0.9082) holds. On the downside, break of 0.9005 and sustained trading below 55 D EMA (now at 0.9006) will bring deeper fall to 38.2% retracement of 0.8332 to 0.9223 at 0.8883. However, firm break of 55 4H EMA will suggest that the pull back has completed, and bring stronger rebound to retest 0.9223 high.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 0.8332 medium term bottom are tentatively seen as developing into a corrective pattern to the down trend from 1.0146 (2022 high). Rejection by 0.9243 resistance, followed by sustained break of 38.2% retracement of 0.8332 to 0.9223 at 0.8883 will strengthen this case, and maintain medium term bearishness. However, decisive break of 0.9243 will argue that the trend has already reversed and turn medium term outlook bullish for 1.0146.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.8951; (P) 0.9029; (R1) 0.9070; More…

Intraday bias in USD/CHF stays mildly on the downside for the moment. Corrective recovery from 0.8818 could have completed at 0.9146 already. Deeper fall would be seen back to 0.8818 and possibly below. But strong support is still needed at around 0.8756 long term support to bring another rebound. Nevertheless, for now, risk still stay on the downside as long as 0.9146 resistance holds, in case of recovery.

In the bigger picture, fall from 1.1046 (2022 high) is seen as a leg in the long term range pattern from 1.0342 (2016 high), which might have completed at 0.8818 already, just ahead of 0.8756 long term support. Sustained trading above 0.9058 support turned resistance should confirm medium term bottoming. Further break of 0.9439 resistance will confirm bullish trend reversal.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9968; (P) 1.0004; (R1) 1.0032; More…

Intraday bias in USD/CHF remains mildly on the downside as correction from 1.0056 short term top would extend. Break of 4 hour 55 EMA will bring deeper pull back to trend line support (now at 0.9764). At this point, we’d expect strong support from there to bring rally resumption. On the upside, sustained break of 1.0037 will resume recent rise for 1.0342 key resistance next.

In the bigger picture, medium term decline from 1.0342 has completed with three waves down to 0.9186. Rise from there is currently viewed as a leg inside the long term range pattern. Hence, while further rally would be seen, we’d be cautious on strong resistance from 1.0342 to limit upside. For now, further rise is expected as long as 38.2% retracement of 0.9186 to 1.0056 at 0.9724 holds.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9821; (P) 0.9842; (R1) 0.9862; More…

USD/CHF edged higher to 0.9862 but momentum stays weak as seen in 4 hour MACD. Intraday bias remains neutral for some more consolidative trading. Deeper decline cannot be ruled out but outlook stays cautiously bullish as long as 0.9736 minor support holds. On the upside, decisive break of 0.9866 will pave the way to retest 1.0067 high. However, break of 0.9736 will argue that the rebound from 0.9541 has completed and turn bias to the downside for deeper fall.

In the bigger picture, focus is now back on 0.9866 support turned resistance. Decisive break there will suggests that pull back from 1.0067 has completed at 0.9541. And larger rise from 0.9186 low is ready to resume. Decisive break of 1.0067 will pave the way to 1.0342 key resistance next. Meanwhile, break of 0.9541 will extend the decline but we don’t expect a break of 0.9186 low even in that case.

USD/CHF’s fall last week suggests that corrective rise from 0.8756 has completed with three waves up to 0.9044. But as a temporary low was formed at 0.8889, initial bias is neutral this week first. On the downside, break of 0.8889 will target 0.8837 support and then 0.8756 low. On the upside, though, break of 0.8967 minor resistance will turn bias back to the upside, and could extend the corrective rise from 0.8756 through 0.9044.

In the bigger picture, decline from 1.0237 is seen as the third leg of the pattern from 1.0342 (2016 high). There is no clear sign of completion yet. Next target will be 138.2% projection of 1.0342 to 0.9186 from 1.0237 at 0.8639. In any case, break of 0.9295 resistance is needed to signal medium term bottoming. Otherwise, outlook will remain bearish in case of rebound.

In the long term picture, price actions from 0.7065 (2011 low) are currently seen as developing into a long term corrective pattern, at least until a firm break of 1.0342 resistance.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9628; (P) 0.9674; (R1) 0.9702; More…

USD/CHF recovers ahead of 0.9638 support and intraday bias remains neutral first. On the downside, break of 0.9638 will extend the corrective pattern from 0.9901 with another fall, to 0.9588 support and below. But downside should be contained by 61.8% retracement of 0.9181 to 0.9901 at 0.9456 to rebound. On the upside, break of 0.9784 resistance will target a test on 0.9901 high.

In the bigger picture, decline from 1.0237 is seen as the third leg of the pattern from 1.0342 (2016 low). It could have completed at 0.9181 after hitting 0.9186 key support (2018 low). Break of 0.9901 will extend the rebound form 0.9181 through 1.0023 resistance. After all, medium term range trading will likely continue between 0.9181/1.0237 for some more time.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9727; (P) 0.9743; (R1) 0.9765; More…

Intraday bias in USD/CHF remains mildly on the upside for 0.9082 resistance. Break will target a test on 0.9901 resistance. On the downside, below 0.9681 minor support will turn intraday bias neutral first. Overall, consolidation from 0.9901 is still in progress and could extend. But in case of another fall, downside should be contained by 61.8% retracement of 0.9181 to 0.9901 at 0.9456 to bring rebound.

In the bigger picture, decline from 1.0237 is seen as the third leg of the pattern from 1.0342 (2016 low). It could have completed at 0.9181 after hitting 0.9186 key support (2018 low). Break of 0.9901 will extend the rebound form 0.9181 through 1.0023 resistance. After all, medium term range trading will likely continue between 0.9181/1.0237 for some more time.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9596; (P) 0.9622; (R1) 0.9637; More…

Intraday bias in USD/CHF stays neutral for the moment. Another fall remains in favor with 0.9763 resistance intact. Break of 0.9573 will extend the corrective pattern from 0.9901 to 0.9502 support. But downside should be contained by 61.8% retracement of 0.9181 to 0.9901 at 0.9456 to rebound. On the upside, break of 0.9736 resistance will turn bias back to the upside instead.

In the bigger picture, decline from 1.0237 is seen as the third leg of the pattern from 1.0342 (2016 low). It could have completed at 0.9181 after hitting 0.9186 key support (2018 low). Break of 0.9901 will extend the rebound form 0.9181 through 1.0023 resistance. After all, medium term range trading will likely continue between 0.9181/1.0237 for some more time.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9028; (P) 0.9065; (R1) 0.9130; More…

USD/CHF is still bounded in range of 0.8998/9161 and intraday bias remains neutral first. Further decline is expected as long as 0.9161 resistance holds. On the downside, break of 0.8998 temporary low will resume larger down trend to 100% projection of 1.0237 to 0.9181 from 0.9901 at 0.8845. Nevertheless, sustained break of 0.9161 will confirm short term bottoming, and turn bias to the upside for stronger rebound, to 55 day EMA (now at 0.9242).

In the bigger picture, decline from 1.0237 is seen as the third leg of the pattern from 1.0342 (2016 low), which is still extending. Sustained trading below 100% projection of 1.0342 to 0.9186 from 1.0237 at 0.9081 will pave the way to 138.2% projection at 0.8639. On the upside, break of 0.9376 resistance is needed to be the first sign of medium term bottoming.

USD/CHF stayed in range above 0.9058 last week and outlook is unchanged. Initial bias remains neutral this week first. On the upside, firm break of 0.92879 resistance will confirm short term bottoming at 0.9058, and bring stronger rise to 0.9407 resistance. On the downside, however, sustained break of 0.9058 will resume larger decline from 1.0146 instead.

In the bigger picture, rise from 0.8756 (2021 low) has completed at 1.0146, well ahead of 1.0342 long term resistance (2016 high). Based on current downside momentum, fall from 1.0146 should be a medium term down trend itself. Next target is a test on 0.8756 low. Strong support should be seen there to bring rebound. Still, further decline will now be expected as long as 0.9407 resistance holds, in any case.

In the long term picture, long term sideway pattern from 1.0342 (2016 high) is extending and it’s probably in another medium term down leg. Downside will likely be contained by 0.8756 support in case of deeper fall. Overall, range trading should continue until further development.

Range trading continued in USD/CHF last week and outlook is unchanged. Initial bias stays neutral this week first. Choppy rise from 0.8925 would still be in favor to extend higher as long as 0.9090 support holds. Break of 0.9341 will target 0.9372 resistance and then 0.9471. On the downside, however, break of 0.9090 will bring deeper fall back to 0.8925 support.

In the bigger picture, medium term outlook will be neutral at best as long as 0.9471 resistance holds. Larger down trend could still extend through 0.8756 (2021 low). However, firm break of 0.9471 will argue that the trend has already reversed and rebound the rally from 0.8756 with another impulsive move.

In the long term picture, price actions from 0.7065 (2011 low) are currently seen as developing into a long term corrective pattern, at least until a firm break of 1.0342 resistance.

USD/CHF’s rebound from 0.9369 extended higher last week. Initial bias stays mildly on the upside for 0.9648 resistance first. Firm break there will bring stronger rally back to 0.9884 resistance next. On the downside, below 0.9496 minor support will revive near term bearishness and bring retest of 0.9369 low.

In the bigger picture, while 0.9471 support (2021 high) was breached, there was no follow through selling. Outlook is mixed for now. On the upside, firm break of 0.9648 resistance will revive the case that price actions from 1.0063 are just a corrective pattern, and the larger up trend is no over yet. However, another fall through 0.9369 will affirm the case that medium term up trend from 0.8756 has completed with three waves up to 1.0063.

In the long term picture, outlook is mixed with deeper than expected fall from 1.0063, but some support seen from 55 week EMA (now at 0.9433). Overall, though, USD/CHF is seen as in sideway pattern from 1.0342 (2016 high). Range trading should continue until further development.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9634; (P) 0.9667; (R1) 0.9708; More…

Intraday bias in USD/CHF remains neutral as it’s staying above 0.9599 temporary low. On the downside, break of 0.9599 will resume whole decline from 1.0067. But considering bullish convergence condition in 4 hour MACD, downside should be contained by 0.9523 fibonacci level to bring rebound. On the upside, break of 0.9757 will suggests that fall from 1.0067 has formed a short term bottom. In such case, further rise would be seen back to 55 day EMA (now at 0.9797).

In the bigger picture, rise from 0.9186 low has completed at 1.0067, after failing to sustain above 1.0037 resistance. Fall from 1.0067 could extend to 61.8% retracement of 0.9816 to 1.0067 at 0.9523 and below. But for now, we don’t expect a break of 0.9186 low. On the upside, firm break of 0.9866 support turned resistance will suggests that fall from 1.0067 has completed and rise from 0.9186 is resuming.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9218; (P) 0.9263; (R1) 0.9292; More….

USD/CHF’s correction from 0.9374 could still extend with another fall. But overall, outlook will remain bullish as long as 0.9044 resistance turned support holds. Up trend resumption is expected at a later stage. On the upside, above 0.9321 minor resistance will bring retest of 0.9374 first. Break there will resume larger up trend for 61.8% retracement of 0.9901 to 0.8756 at 0.9464.

In the bigger picture, current development argues that fall from 1.0237 has completed at 0.8756, on bullish condition in daily and weekly MACD. Current rally from 0.8756 should target 0.9901 resistance first. Break there will target 1.0237/0342 resistance zone in the medium term. This will now remain the favored case as long as 0.9044 resistance turned support holds.

USD/CHF’s strong rebound last week suggests that fall from 0.9471 has completed at 0.8925 already. Initial bias stays on the upside this week for 61.8% retracement of 0.9471 to 0.8925 at 0.9262. Sustained break there will pave the way to retest 0.9471 resistance. On the downside, below 0.9166 will turn intraday bias neutral first.

In the bigger picture, medium term bearishness is neutralized by strong break of 55 week EMA. Focus is back on 0.9471 resistance. Sustained break there will indicate completion of whole decline from 1.0342 (2016 high). Medium term outlook will be turned bullish for a test on 1.0342 high.

In the long term picture, price actions from 0.7065 (2011 low) are currently seen as developing into a long term corrective pattern, at least until a firm break of 1.0342 resistance.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.8942; (P) 0.8958; (R1) 0.8981; More….

Range trading continues in USD/CHF inside 0.8869/9044 and intraday bias remains neutral. On the upside, above 0.9044 will resume the corrective rise from 0.8756. Next target is 100% projection of 0.8756 to 0.9044 from 0.8869 at 0.9127 next. On the downside, break of 0.8869 will turn bias to the downside for 0.8837 and then 0.8756 low.

In the bigger picture, decline from 1.0237 is seen as the third leg of the pattern from 1.0342 (2016 high). There is no clear sign of completion yet. Next target will be 138.2% projection of 1.0342 to 0.9186 from 1.0237 at 0.8639. In any case, break of 0.9295 resistance is needed to signal medium term bottoming. Otherwise, outlook will remain bearish in case of rebound.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9749; (P) 0.9768; (R1) 0.9801; More…

USD/CHF’s rally continues to as high as 0.9841 so far and intraday bias remains on the upside. Current rally from 0.9186 should target 0.9900 fibonacci level first. Break will target 1.0037 resistance next. On the downside, below 0.9766 minor support will turn bias neutral and bring consolidations. But outlook will stay bullish as long as 0.9576 support holds.

In the bigger picture, fall from 1.0342 is seen as a medium term down trend. The break of 38.2% retracement of 1.0342 (2016 high) to 0.9186 (2018 low) at 0.9626 suggests that it’s likely completed at 0.9186 already. Further rally would be seen back to 61.8% retracement at 0.9900 and above. Sustained break there would pave the way to retest 1.0342 key resistance next. This will now be the preferred case as long as 0.9576 support holds.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.8821; (P) 0.8836; (R1) 0.8853; More….

A temporary low is formed at 0.8818 with current recovery. Intraday bias in USD/CHF is turned neutral for consolidations. Near term outlook will stay bearish as long as 0.8952 support turned resistance holds. On the downside, below 0.8818 will resume whole decline from 0.9243 to 100% projection of 0.9243 to 0.8886 from 0.9111 at 0.8754 next.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 0.8551 are currently seen as part of a corrective pattern to the decline from 1.0146 (2022 high). Fall from 0.9243 is seen as the second leg for now. Deeper fall would be seen to 61.8% retracement of 0.8551 to 0.9243 at 0.8815. Sustained break there will bring retest of 0.8551 low. For now, this will remain the favored case as long as 0.9111 resistance holds.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.8975; (P) 0.9035; (R1) 0.9064; More….

A temporary low is formed at 0.8984 and intraday bias in USD/CHF is turned neutral first. Some consolidations could be seen but outlook will stay bearish with 0.9163 resistance intact. Below 0.8984 will resume the fall from 0.9471 to retest 0.8756 low.

In the bigger picture, rejection by 61.8% retracement of 0.9901 to 0.8756 at 0.9464 argues that rebound from 0.8756 was probably just a corrective move. That is, larger down trend from 1.0237 might be still in progress. Medium term bearish is also affirmed as the pair is now far below falling 55 week EMA. Firm break of 0.8756 low will target 61.8% projection of 1.0237 to 0.8756 from 0.9471 at 0.8556 next.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9167; (P) 0.9206; (R1) 0.9249; More…

Focus stays on 0.9200 resistance turned support in USD/CHF. Sustained break will argue that the rebound has completed and turn bias back to the downside for retesting 0.8998. On the upside, break of 0.9304 will extend the rebound from 0.8998 to 38.2% retracement of 0.9901 to 0.8998 at 0.9343.

In the bigger picture, decline from 1.0237 is seen as the third leg of the pattern from 1.0342 (2016 high). There is no clear sign of completion yet. On resumption, next target will be 138.2% projection of 1.0342 to 0.9186 from 1.0237 at 0.8639. Nevertheless, strong break of 0.9376 support turned resistance will be an early sign of trend reversal and turn focus back to 0.9901 key resistance for confirmation.