USD/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9805; (P) 0.9822; (R1) 0.9847; More

Intraday bias in USD/CHF remains on the upside at this point. Focus stays on 38.2% retracement of 1.0237 to 0.9613 at 0.9851 first. Decisive break there will add to the case of bullish near term reversal and target 61.8% retracement at 0.9999 next. Nevertheless, rejection by 0.9851, will indicate that fall from 1.0237 is not finished. Break of 0.9741 support will bring retest of 0.9613 low instead.

In the bigger picture, medium term outlook remains neutral as USD/CHF is staying sideway trading started from 1.0342 (2016 high). Fall from 1.0237 is a leg inside the pattern and could target 0.9186 (2018 low). In case of another rise, break of 1.0237 is needed to indicate up trend resumption. Otherwise, more sideway trading would be seen with risk of another fall.

USD/CHF Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0093; (P) 1.0127; (R1) 1.0154; More

USD/CHF’s decline from 1.0237 accelerates to as low as 1.0050 so far. No support is see at 55 day EMA. Intraday bias remains on the downside for retesting 0.9879 key support. On the upside, break of 1.0126 support turned resistance is needed to indicate completion of the fall from 1.0237. Otherwise, risk will now stay on the downside in case of recovery.

In the bigger picture, as long as 0.9879 support holds, medium term up trend form 0.9186 is still in progress. Break of 1.0237 will target 1.0342 resistance next. For now, we’d be cautious on strong resistance from there to limit upside, until we see medium term upside acceleration. However, decisive break of 0.9879 will be a strong sign of medium term reversal. Focus will be turned back to 0.9716 support for confirmation.

USD/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.8941; (P) 0.8968; (R1) 0.9015; More

Intraday bias in USD/CHF remains neutral and another decline cannot be ruled out with 0.9070 support turned resistance intact. On the downside, below 0.8858 will resume the down trend to 61.8% projection of 1.0146 to 0.9058 from 0.9439 at 0.8767, which is close to 0.8756 long term support. Strong support is expected there to bring rebound, at least on first attempt. On the upside, break of 0.9070 support turned resistance will confirm short term bottoming and turn bias back to the upside.

In the bigger picture, fall from 1.1046 (2022 high) is in progress for 0.8756 support (2021 low). But overall, this fall is still seen as a leg in the long term range pattern from 1.0342 (2016 high). So, downside should be contained by 0.8756 to bring reversal. Sustained break of 0.9058 support turned resistance will be the first sign of medium term bottoming. However, decisive break of 0.8756 will carry larger bearish implications.

USD/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9694; (P) 0.9730; (R1) 0.9768; More…..

With 0.9765 minor resistance intact, intraday bias in USD/CHF stays on the downside. Current fall from 1.0342 should target 100% projection of 1.0342 to 0.9860 from 1.0099 at 0.9617. We’ll start to look for bottoming signal again below there. On the upside, above 0.9765 minor resistance will turn intraday bias neutral again and bring consolidations first, before staging another fall.

In the bigger picture, USD/CHF is bounded in medium term range of 0.9443/1.0342 for the moment. Consolidative trading would likely continue and medium term outlook remains neutral. Break of 1.0342 key resistance is needed to confirm underlying bullish momentum in the pair. Meanwhile, downside attempts should be contained by 0.9443 key support level.

USD/CHF 4 Hours Chart

USD/CHF Daily Chart

USD/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9034; (P) 0.9076; (R1) 0.9097; More

Intraday bias in USD/CHF remains neutral for the moment. break of 0.9146 will resume the rebound from 0.8818 to 38.2% retracement of 1.0146 to 0.8818 at 0.9325. On the downside, however, break of 0.9013 will turn bias back to the downside for retesting 0.8818 low instead.

In the bigger picture, fall from 1.1046 (2022 high) is seen as a leg in the long term range pattern from 1.0342 (2016 high). So, downside should be contained by 0.8756 to bring reversal. Sustained break of 0.9058 support turned resistance will be the first sign of medium term bottoming. However, decisive break of 0.8756 will carry larger bearish implications.

USD/CHF Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9093; (P) 0.9113; (R1) 0.9138; More….

Intraday bias in USD/CHF remains neutral and outlook is unchanged. Further rally is expected as long as 0.8996 support holds. Break of 0.9151 will resume the larger rise from 0.8332 to 0.9243 resistance. However, firm break of 0.8996 will turn bias to the downside for 55 D EMA (now at 0.8953).

In the bigger picture, price actions from 0.8332 medium term bottom as tentatively seen as developing into a corrective pattern to the down trend from 1.0146 (2022 high). Further rise would be seen as long as 0.8728 support holds. But upside should be limited by 0.9243 resistance, at least on first attempt. However, decisive break of 0.9243 will argue that the trend has already reversed and turn medium term outlook bullish.

USD/CHF Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9900; (P) 0.9945; (R1) 0.9973; More

Intraday bias in USD/CHF remains on the downside as the correction from 1.0056 is still in progress. Further decline would be seen to trend line (now at 0.9819). We’d expect strong support from there to contain downside and bring rebound. On the upside, above 0.9956 minor resistance will bring retest of 1.0056 high first.

In the bigger picture, medium term decline from 1.0342 has completed with three waves down to 0.9186. Rise from there is currently viewed as a leg inside the long term range pattern. Hence, while further rally would be seen, we’d be cautious on strong resistance from 1.0342 to limit upside. For now, further rise is expected as long as 38.2% retracement of 0.9186 to 1.0056 at 0.9724 holds.

USD/CHF Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9922; (P) 0.9959; (R1) 0.9980; More….

USD/CHF is staying in consolidation below 1.0037 temporary top. Intraday bias remains neutral at this point. Deeper retreat cannot be ruled out. But downside should be contained above 0.9835 resistance turned support and bring rally resumption. Since 61.8% retracement of 1.0342 to 0.9420 at 0.9990 is already met, break of 1.0037 will turn bias to the upside for 1.0342 key resistance next.

In the bigger picture, current development suggests that USD/CHF has defended 0.9443 (2016 low) key support level again. Rise from 0.9420 could is a medium term up move and should target a test on 1.0342 high. This represents the upper end of a long term range that started back in 2015. On the downside, break of 0.9736 support is now needed to indicate completion of the rise from 0.9420. Otherwise, further rally will remain in favor in medium term.

USD/CHF 4 Hours Chart

USD/CHF Daily Chart

USD/CHF Weekly Outlook

USD/CHF’s rebound from 0.8987 extended to 0.9157 last week before turning sideway. Current development suggests that pull back from 0.9223 has completed already. Initial bias remains neutral this week first and further rise is in favor. Above 0.9157 will bring retest of 0.9223. However, break of 0.9077 support will bring retest of 0.8987. Break there will resume the fall from 0.9223 to 38.2% retracement of 0.8332 to 0.9223 at 0.8883.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 0.8332 medium term bottom are tentatively seen as developing into a corrective pattern to the down trend from 1.0146 (2022 high). Rejection by 0.9243 resistance, followed by sustained break of 38.2% retracement of 0.8332 to 0.9223 at 0.8883 will strengthen this case, and maintain medium term bearishness. However, decisive break of 0.9243 will argue that the trend has already reversed and turn medium term outlook bullish for 1.0146.

In the long term picture, price action from 0.7065 (2011 high) are seen as a corrective pattern to the multi-decade down trend from 1.8305 (2000 high). Strong rebound from 61.8% retracement of 0.7065 to 1.0342 (2016 high) will start the third leg as a medium term rally. But there will be no sign of long term reversal until firm break of 38.2% retracement of 1.8305 to 0.7065 at 1.1359.

USD/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.8953; (P) 0.8965; (R1) 0.8984; More

Range trading continues in USD/CHF and intraday bias remains neutral. Also, near term outlook stays bearish for now. On the downside, break of 0.8900 will resume the fall from 0.9146 to 0.8818 low or below. On the upside, above 0.9015 will bring stronger rise towards 0.9146 resistance instead.

In the bigger picture, fall from 1.1046 (2022 high) is seen as a leg in the long term range pattern from 1.0342 (2016 high). While further decline cannot be ruled out, strong support is expected from 0.8756 long term support to bring reversal. Firm break of 0.9146 resistance should confirm medium term bottoming.

USD/CHF Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9671; (P) 0.9686; (R1) 0.9695; More

USD/CHF is bounded in consolidation from 0.9613 and intraday bias remains neutral. In case of another recovery, upside should be limited by 0.9762 resistance. On the downside, break of 0.9613 will resume larger down trend to 100% projection of 1.0237 to 0.9659 from 1.0023 at 0.9445. However, considering bullish convergence condition in 4 hour MACD, break of 0.9762 will indicate near term reversal and turn outlook bullish for stronger rebound to 55 day EMA (now at 0.9795).

In the bigger picture, medium term outlook remains neutral as USD/CHF is staying sideway trading started from 1.0342 (2016 high). Fall from 1.0237 is a leg inside the pattern and could target 0.9186 (2018 low). In case of another rise, break of 1.0237 is needed to indicate up trend resumption. Otherwise, more sideway trading would be seen with risk of another fall.

USD/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9170; (P) 0.9215; (R1) 0.9239; More

Intraday bias in USD/CHF remains neutral for the moment. On the upside, firm break of 0.9287/9 resistance will confirm short term bottoming at 0.9058, and bring stronger rise to 0.9407 resistance. On the downside, however, sustained break of 0.9058 will resume larger decline from 1.0146 instead.

In the bigger picture, rise from 0.8756 (2021 low) has completed at 1.0146, well ahead of 1.0342 long term resistance (2016 high). Based on current downside momentum, fall from 1.0146 should be a medium term down trend itself. Next target is a test on 0.8756 low. Strong support should be seen there to bring rebound. Still, further decline will now be expected as long as 0.9407 resistance holds, in any case.

USD/CHF Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9276; (P) 0.9299; (R1) 0.9323; More….

USD/CHF’s break of 0.9356 support suggests that deeper correction is underway. Intraday bias is back on the downside. Still, overall outlook will remain bullish as long as 0.9044 resistance turned support holds. Up trend resumption is expected at a later stage. Break of 0.9374 will target 61.8% retracement of 0.9901 to 0.8756 at 0.9464.

In the bigger picture, current development argues that fall from 1.0237 has completed at 0.8756, on bullish condition in daily and weekly MACD. Current rally from 0.8756 should target 0.9901 resistance first. Break there will target 1.0237/0342 resistance zone in the medium term. This will now remain the favored case as long as 0.9044 resistance turned support holds.

USD/CHF Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9954; (P) 0.9971; (R1) 1.0001; More…..

Intraday bias in USD/CHF remains neutral for consolidation above 0.9940 temporary low. Another decline is in favor as long as 1.0008 minor resistance holds. Below 0.9940 will target 0.9812 and below. Fall from 1.0342 is seen as a correction. Hence, we’ll look for bottoming signal below 0.9812. Meanwhile, on the upside, above 1.0008 minor resistance will turn bias back to the upside for 1.0107 resistance instead.

In the bigger picture, we’re still maintaining that firm break of 1.0342 key resistance is needed to confirm underlying bullish momentum in the cross. However, the corrective nature of the fall from 1.0342 is starting to give the medium term outlook a bullish favor. Hence, in stead of looking for topping signal around 1.0342, we’d now pay closer attention to upside acceleration as USD/CHF approaches this level again.

USD/CHF 4 Hours Chart

USD/CHF Daily Chart

USD/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9010; (P) 0.9055; (R1) 0.91908631; More

Intraday bias in USD/CHF remains neutral for the moment. Consolidations from 0.9009 might extend. But outlook will remains bearish for further fall as long as 0.9197 resistance holds. Break of 0.9009 will resume larger down trend for 100% projection of 1.0237 to 0.9181 from 0.9901 at 0.8845. On the upside, though, break of 0.9197 resistance will indicate short term bottoming and bring stronger rebound.

In the bigger picture, decline from 1.0237 is seen as the third leg of the pattern from 1.0342 (2016 low), which is still extending. Sustained trading below 100% projection of 1.0342 to 0.9186 from 1.0237 at 0.9081 will pave the way to 138.2% projection at 0.8639. On the upside, break of 0.9376 resistance is needed to be the first sign of medium term bottoming.

USD/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9727; (P) 0.9762; (R1) 0.9803; More

Intraday bias in USD/CHF remains on the upside at this point. Consolidation pattern from 1.0063 should have completed with three waves down to 0.9493 already. Further rally would be seen to retest 1.0063 high first. Decisive break there will resume larger up trend. On the downside, break of 0.9670 minor support will dampen this bullish view and turn intraday bias neutral first.

In the bigger picture, medium term up trend from 0.8756 (2021 low) is still in progress. Next target is 1.0342 (2016 high). Sustained break there will resume long term up trend from 0.7065 (2011 low). This will remain the favored case as long as 0.9471 resistance turned support holds.

USD/CHF Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0094; (P) 1.0120; (R1) 1.0157; More…..

Intraday bias in USD/CHF remains cautiously on the upside for the moment. Rebound from 0.9860 is resuming and would target a test on 1.0342 high. Based on neutral medium term outlook, we’d be cautious on topping at around 1.0342. On the downside, break of 1.0008, however, will indicate completion of the rebound from 0.9860. And intraday bias will be turned back to the downside for 0.9860.

In the bigger picture, prior rejection from 1.0327 resistance argues that USD/CHF is staying in a medium term sideway pattern. In any case, decisive break of 1.0342 resistance is needed to confirm underlying strength. Otherwise, we’ll stay neutral in the pair first. In case of another fall, we’d expect strong support from 0.9443/9548 support zone. Meanwhile firm break of 1.0342 will target 38.2% retracement of 1.8305 to 0.7065 at 1.1359.

USD/CHF 4 Hours Chart

USD/CHF Daily Chart

USD/CHF Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9335; (P) 0.9348; (R1) 0.9372; More….

Focus is immediately on 0.9248 support with today’s sharp fall. break will confirm short term topping and bring deeper fall back to 0.9084 support. Firm break there will indicate completion of whole choppy rise from 0.8925. On the upside, though, break of 0.9372 will resume the rise towards 0.9471 key resistance.

In the bigger picture, as long as 0.9471 resistance holds, larger down trend from 1.0237 (2018 high) could still extend through 0.8756 low. However, sustained break of 0.9471 will revive the case of medium term bullish reversal. In this case, we’d assess the change of retesting 1.0342 high at a later stage, by looking at the upside momentum first.

USD/CHF Weekly Outlook

USD/CHF stayed in consolidation from 0.9964 last week and outlook is unchanged. Initial bias remains neutral this week first. On the upside, above 0.9964 will resume the rally from 0.9369 to retest 1.0063 high. For now, outlook will stay bullish as long as 0.9738 support holds, in case of retreat.

In the bigger picture, current development suggests that up trend from 0.8756 (2021 low) is still in progress. Sustained break of 1.0063 will target 100% projection of 0.9149 to 1.0063 from 0.9369 at 1.0283, and then 1.0342 (2016 high). For now, this will remain the favored case as long as 0.9369 support holds, even in case of deep pull back.

In the long term picture, outlook is mixed with deeper than expected fall from 1.0063, but some support was seen from 55 week EMA (now at 0.9492). Overall, though, USD/CHF is seen as in sideway pattern from 1.0342 (2016 high). Range trading should continue until further development.

USD/CHF Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9783; (P) 0.9813; (R1) 0.9831; More

Further decline is expected in USD/CHF with 0.9876 resistance intact, Current fall from 1.0023 should target test on 0.9659 low. However, considering bullish convergence condition in 4 hour MACD, break of 0.9876 will indicate short term bottoming. In such case, intraday bias will be turned back to the upside for 55 day EMA (now at 0.9899) and above.

In the bigger picture, medium term outlook remains neutral as USD/CHF is staying in range of 0.9659/1.0237. In any case, decisive break of 1.0237 is needed to indicate up trend resumption. Otherwise, more sideway trading would be seen with risk of another fall. Meanwhile, break of 0.9695 support will target 0.9541 support instead.