USD/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9829; (P) 0.9872; (R1) 0.9899; More

USD/CHF’s break of 0.9854 support argues that corrective rebound from 0.9659 has completed at 0.9983, after failing to sustain above 0.9975 resistance. Intraday bias is turned back to the downside for 0.9798 support first. Break will bring retest of 0.9659 low. On the upside, break of 0.9914 minor resistance will turn intraday bias neutral first. But risk will now stay on the downside as long as 0.9983 resistance holds.

In the bigger picture, the structure of the fall from 1.0237 suggests that it’s a corrective move. Sustained break of 0.9975 will argue that such correction has completed at 0.9659, ahead of 61.8% retracement of 0.9186 to 1.0237 at 0.9587. But decisive break of 1.0237 is needed to indicate up trend resumption. Otherwise, medium term outlook will stay neutral first. Meanwhile, break of 0.9695 support will extend the correction to 0.9541 support instead.

USD/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9625; (P) 0.9644; (R1) 0.9676; More

Intraday bias in USD/CHF remains neutral first and outlook is unchanged. Correction from 0.9901 is in its third leg and further fall is in favor. Break of 0.9588 will target 0.9502 support. But downside should be contained by 61.8% retracement of 0.9181 to 0.9901 at 0.9456 to rebound. On the upside, above 0.9669 minor resistance will turn bias back to the upside for 0.9802 resistance instead.

In the bigger picture, decline from 1.0237 is seen as the third leg of the pattern from 1.0342 (2016 low). It could have completed at 0.9181 after hitting 0.9186 key support (2018 low). Break of 0.9901 will extend the rebound form 0.9181 through 1.0023 resistance. After all, medium term range trading will likely continue between 0.9181/1.0237 for some more time.

USD/CHF Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9246; (P) 0.9265; (R1) 0.9296; More

Intraday bias in USD/CHF stays neutral at this point. On the upside, break of 0.9331 will resume the rebound from 0.9058 to 38.2% retracement of 1.0146 to 0.9058 at 0.9474. However, break of 0.9135 will indicate that the rebound has completed and bring retest of 0.9058 low.

In the bigger picture, decline from 1.0146 is seen as part of a long term sideway pattern. As long as 38.2% retracement of 1.0146 to 0.9058 at 0.9474 holds, another fall is in favor through 0.9058. However, sustained trading above 0.9474 will indicate that the medium term trend has reversed, and open up further rally to 1.0146 again.

USD/CHF Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0154; (P) 1.0175; (R1) 1.0200; More…..

USD/CHF rebounds notably today but stays in range of 1.0126/0237. Intraday bias remains neutral first and more sideway trading could be seen. On the upside, break of 1.0237 will resume larger rise from 0.9186 to 1.0342 key resistance. However, break of 1.0126 will turn bias to the downside for deeper decline to 55 day EMA (now at 1.0066).

In the bigger picture, medium term up trend from 0.9186 is extending. Current rise should target 1.0342 resistance next. For now, we’d be cautious on strong resistance from there to limit upside, until we see medium term upside acceleration. On the downside, break of 0.9879 support is needed to indicate reversal. Otherwise, outlook will stay bullish in case of deep pull back.

USD/CHF Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9798; (P) 0.9843; (R1) 0.9895; More

Intraday bias in USD/CHF stays neutral for the moment. Corrective decline from 1.0056 could still extend lower. But in that case, we’d expect strong support from 0.9724 fibonacci level to contain downside and bring rebound. On the upside, break of 0.9911 will argue that the pull back from 1.0056 has completed. In such case, intraday bias will be turned back to the upside for retesting 1.0056.

In the bigger picture, medium term decline from 1.0342 has completed with three waves down to 0.9186. Rise from there is currently viewed as a leg inside the long term range pattern. Hence, while further rally would be seen, we’d be cautious on strong resistance from 1.0342 to limit upside. For now, further rise is expected as long as 38.2% retracement of 0.9186 to 1.0056 at 0.9724 holds. However, sustained break of 0.9724 will dampen this bullish view and would at least bring deeper fall to 61.8% retracement at 0.9518.

USD/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9107; (P) 0.9147; (R1) 0.9219; More….

Intraday bias in USD/CHF remains on the upside for the moment. Rise from 0.8925 short term bottom should target 61.8% retracement of 0.9471 to 0.8925 at 0.9262 next. On the downside, below 0.9131 minor support will turn intraday bias neutral, and bring consolidations first, before staging another rally.

In the bigger picture, prior rejection by 61.8% retracement of 0.9901 to 0.8756 at 0.9464 argues that rebound from 0.8756 was probably just a corrective move. That is, larger down trend from 1.0237 might be still in progress. Medium term bearish is also affirmed as the pair is now below falling 55 week EMA. Firm break of 0.8756 low will target 61.8% projection of 1.0237 to 0.8756 from 0.9471 at 0.8556 next.

USD/CHF Weekly Outlook

USD/CHF’s decline from 1.0098 extended to as low as 0.9926 last week but formed a temporary bottom there and recovered. Initial bias is neutral this week first. Based on the structure of the fall, we’d treat it as a corrective pull back first. On the upside, break of 1.0014 minor resistance will suggests that the pull back is completed. Intraday bias will then be turned back to the upside for retesting 1.0098. On the downside, below 0.9926 will extend the corrective fall to 61.8% retracement of 0.9716 to 1.0098 at 0.9862. We’d look for bottoming signal again below there.

In the bigger picture, USD/CHF drew strong support from medium term trend line and rebounded. That suggests rise from 0.9186 is still in progress. Further break of 1.0128 will confirm up trend resumption and target 1.0342 key resistance. Nevertheless, break of 0.9716 will dampen this bullish view and at least bring deeper fall to 0.9541 key support.

In the long term picture, price actions from 0.7065 (2011 low) are not clearly impulsive yet. Thus, we’ll treat it as developing into a corrective pattern, at least, until a firm break of 1.0342 resistance.

USD/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9788; (P) 0.9820; (R1) 0.9840; More….

Intraday bias in USD/CHF remains neutral for the moment. As noted before, fall from 1.0128 is seen as correcting whole rise from 0.9186. Deeper fall is in favor. ON the downside, break of 0.9716 will target 0.9541 cluster support (61.8% retracement of 0.9186 to 1.0128 at 0.9546). Nevertheless, firm break of 0.9963 will suggest that the pull back is completed. Near term outlook will be turned bullish for 1.0128 .

In the bigger picture, current development suggests that rise from 0.9186 has possibly completed with three waves up to 1.0128 already. Decline from 1.0128 could either be correcting this move, or reversing the trend. As long as 0.9541 support holds, we’d slightly favor the former scenario, and expect another rise through 1.0128 at a later stage. However, sustained break of 0.9541 will confirm trend reversal and bring deeper fall back to 0.9186 low.

USD/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9287; (P) 0.9329; (R1) 0.9355; More….

Intraday bias in USD/CHF remains neutral and outlook is unchanged. On the upside, firm break of 0.9380 should confirm that fall from 0.9459 has completed with three wave down to 0.9193. Such development will revive near term bullishness and turn bias back to the upside for 0.9459 and then 0.9471 resistance. On the downside, below 0.9280 minor support will turn bias to the downside for 0.9193 support next.

In the bigger picture, medium term outlook will be neutral at best as long as 0.9471 resistance holds. Larger down trend could still extend through 0.8756 (2021 low). However, firm break of 0.9471 will argue that whole down trend form 1.0342 (2016 high), has completed with waves down to 0.8756. A medium term up trend should be set up to target 1.0237/0342 resistance zone.

USD/CHF Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9571; (P) 0.9604; (R1) 0.9631; More

Intraday bias in USD/CHF remains on the upside despite slight retreat from 0.9697. Current rally from 0.9186 should target 0.9900 fibonacci level next. On the downside, break of 0.9576 minor support is needed to be the first sign of short term topping. Otherwise, outlook will remain bullish in case of deeper retreat.

In the bigger picture, fall from 1.0342 is seen as a medium term down trend. The break of 38.2% retracement of 1.0342 (2016 high) to 0.9186 (2018 low) at 0.9626 suggests that it’s likely completed at 0.9186 already. Further rally would be seen back to 61.8% retracement at 0.9900 and above. Sustained break there would pave the way to retest 1.0342 key resistance next.

USD/CHF Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9079; (P) 0.9101; (R1) 0.9115; More

Intraday bias in USD/CHF is turned neutral with today’s recovery. Further decline is still in favor as long as 0.9197 resistance holds. Below 0.l9087 will target a test on 0.8998 low. Firm break there will resume larger down trend. Next target will be 61.8% projection of 0.9901 to 0.8998 from 0.9304 at 0.8746 next. On the upside, However, break of 0.9197 will extend the corrective pattern from 0.8998 with another rise to 0.9304 resistance and above.

In the bigger picture, decline from 1.0237 is seen as the third leg of the pattern from 1.0342 (2016 high). There is no clear sign of completion yet. On resumption, next target will be 138.2% projection of 1.0342 to 0.9186 from 1.0237 at 0.8639. Nevertheless, strong break of 0.9376 support turned resistance will be an early sign of trend reversal and turn focus back to 0.9901 key resistance for confirmation.

USD/CHF Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.8720; (P) 0.8757; (R1) 0.8789; More….

No change in USD/CHF’s outlook as intraday bias remains neutral. Further rise remains in favor with 0.8722 minor support intact. Above 0.8819 will resume the rebound from 0.8665 short term bottom to 0.8886 support turned resistance first. However, firm break of 0.8722 will retain near term bearishness, and turn bias back to the downside to resume the fall from 0.9243 through 0.8665.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 0.8551 are currently seen as part of a corrective pattern to the decline from 1.0146 (2022 high). Fall from 0.9243 is seen as the second leg for now. Deeper decline could be seen to 0.8551 low but strong support should be seen there to bring rebound. Meanwhile, break of 0.9111 resistance will argue that the third leg has started already, and target 0.9243 and above.

USD/CHF Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.8768; (P) 0.8792; (R1) 0.8809; More….

Intraday bias in USD/CHF remains on the downside for 61.8% projection of 0.9901 to 0.8998 from 0.9304 at 0.8746. Decisive break there will pave the way to long term projection level at 0.8639. In any case, outlook will remain bearish as long as 0.8918 resistance holds, even in case of strong recovery.

In the bigger picture, decline from 1.0237 is seen as the third leg of the pattern from 1.0342 (2016 high). There is no clear sign of completion yet. Next target will be 138.2% projection of 1.0342 to 0.9186 from 1.0237 at 0.8639. In any case, break of 0.9304 resistance is needed to signal medium term bottoming. Otherwise, outlook will remain bearish in case of rebound.

USD/CHF Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.8893; (P) 0.8909; (R1) 0.8920; More….

Deeper decline is still in favor in USD/CHF with 0.8939 minor resistance intact. Break of 0.8837 will target a test on 0.8756 low. On the upside, though, break of 0.8939 minor resistance will turn bias back to the upside, and could extend the corrective rise from 0.8756 through 0.9044.

In the bigger picture, decline from 1.0237 is seen as the third leg of the pattern from 1.0342 (2016 high). There is no clear sign of completion yet. Next target will be 138.2% projection of 1.0342 to 0.9186 from 1.0237 at 0.8639. In any case, break of 0.9295 resistance is needed to signal medium term bottoming. Otherwise, outlook will remain bearish in case of rebound.

USD/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9490; (P) 0.9507; (R1) 0.9533; More

Intraday bias in USD/CHF remains neutral and outlook is unchanged. On the upside, break of 0.9554 will resume the rebound from 0.9376 short term bottoming. Sustained trading above 55 day EMA (now at 0.9626) will pave the way back to 0.9901 resistance. Though, on the downside, break of 0.9376 will resume the fall from 0.9901 instead.

In the bigger picture, decline from 1.0237 is seen as the third leg of the pattern from 1.0342 (2016 low). It could have completed at 0.9181 after hitting 0.9186 key support (2018 low). Break of 0.9901 will extend the rebound form 0.9181 through 1.0023 resistance. After all, medium term range trading will likely continue between 0.9181/1.0237 for some more time.

USD/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9123; (P) 0.9181; (R1) 0.9211; More….

Intraday bias in USD/CHF remains mildly on the downside, as fall from 0.9241 would target 0.9017 support. Break there will likely resume the decline from 0.9471 through 0.8925 low. On the upside, above 0.9162 minor resistance will mix up the near term outlook and turns intraday bias neutral first.

In the bigger picture, the failure to sustain above 55 week EMA (now at 0.9184) retains medium term bearish in USD/CHF. Break of 0.8925 support should resume the whole decline form 1.0342 (2016 high) through 0.8756 low. However, break of 0.9273 resistance and sustained trading above 55 week EMA will be an early sign of bullish trend reversal. Focus will then turn to 0.9471 resistance for confirmation.

USD/CHF Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9044; (P) 0.9084; (R1) 0.9131; More

Intraday bias in USD/CHF remains neutral at this point. With 0.9197 resistance intact, further decline is still in favor. On the downside, break of 0.9009 will resume larger down trend. However, considering bullish convergence condition in 4 hour MACD, break of 0.9197 should confirm short term bottoming and turn bias back to the upside for rebound to 55 day EMA (now at 9261).

In the bigger picture, decline from 1.0237 is seen as the third leg of the pattern from 1.0342 (2016 low). Current development suggests that such pattern is still extending. Sustain trading below 100% projection of 1.0342 to 0.9186 from 1.0237 at 0.9081 will pave the way to 138.2% projection at 0.8639. On the upside, break of 0.9376 resistance is needed to be the first sign of medium term bottoming.

USD/CHF Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.8518; (P) 0.8550; (R1) 0.8569; More….

USD/CHF’s decline resumes by breaching 0.8513 temporary low and intraday bias is back on the downside. Current fall should target 100% projection of 0.9111 to 0.8665 from 0.8819 at 0.8373 next. On the upside, above 0.8578 minor resistance will turn intraday bias neutral again. But outlook will stay bearish as long as 0.8665 support turned resistance holds, in case of recovery.

In the bigger picture, break of 0.8551 support indicates resumption of whole decline from 1.0146 (2022 high). Next target is 61.8% retracement of 1.0146 to 0.8551 from 0.9243 at 0.8257. Sustained break there could prompt downside acceleration to 100% projection at 0.7648. This will now remain the favored case as long as 0.8819 resistance holds.

USD/CHF Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.8783; (P) 0.8806; (R1) 0.8846; More….

Range trading continues in USD/CHF and intraday bias stays neutral. On the upside, decisive break of 0.8818/26 resistance zone will carry larger bullish implication, and target 0.9146 cluster resistance next. However, break of 0.8688 support will indicate rejection by 0.8818, and turn bias back to the downside for retesting 0.8551 low.

In the bigger picture, a medium term bottom could be in place at 0.8551 already, on bullish convergence condition in D MACD. Sustained trading above 0.8818 support turned resistance will bring further rise to 0.9146 cluster resistance (38.2% retracement of 1.0146 to 0.8551 at 0.9160), even as a correction. Nevertheless, break of 0.8851 will resume the down trend from 1.0146 instead.

USD/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9159; (P) 0.9191; (R1) 0.9216; More

No change in USD/CHF’s outlook as range trading continues. Intraday bias remains neutral. Corrective pattern from 0.9058 low is extending. Another rise cannot be ruled out, but upside should be limited by 0.9474 fibonacci level. On the downside, firm break of 0.9058 will resume larger down trend from 1.1046.

In the bigger picture, fall from 1.1046 (2022 high) should still be in progress with 38.2% retracement of 1.0146 to 0.9058 at 0.9474 intact. Prior rejection by 55 week EMA was a medium term bearish sign. Break of 0.9058 will resume such decline towards 0.8756 support (2021 low). But overall, this fall is still as a leg in the long term range pattern from 1.0342 (2016 high). So, downside should be contained by 0.8756 to bring reversal.