USD/CHF Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.8899; (P) 0.8917; (R1) 0.8931; More….

USD/CHF breached 0.8943 briefly but quickly settle back in established range. Intraday bias remains neutral first. More consolidations could be seen. But downside should be contained above 0.8743 support to bring another rally. Decisive of 0.8943 will extend the rise from 0.8551 to 0.9146 cluster resistance.

In the bigger picture, rebound from 0.8551 medium term bottom is currently seen as a correction to the downtrend from 1.0146 (2022 high). Further rally would be seen to 0.9146 cluster resistance (38.2% retracement of 1.0146 to 0.8551 at 0.9160). Strong resistance could be seen there to limit upside, at least on first attempt.

USD/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9662; (P) 0.9688; (R1) 0.9730; More

Intraday bias in USD/CHF remains neutral for the moment and outlook remains unchanged. Corrective pattern from 0.9901 is still in progress. Another fall cannot be ruled out and break of 0.9638 will target 0.9588 support and below. But downside should be contained by 61.8% retracement of 0.9181 to 0.9901 at 0.9456 to rebound. On the upside, break of 0.9784 resistance will target a test on 0.9901 high.

In the bigger picture, decline from 1.0237 is seen as the third leg of the pattern from 1.0342 (2016 low). It could have completed at 0.9181 after hitting 0.9186 key support (2018 low). Break of 0.9901 will extend the rebound form 0.9181 through 1.0023 resistance. After all, medium term range trading will likely continue between 0.9181/1.0237 for some more time.

USD/CHF Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.8942; (P) 0.8958; (R1) 0.8981; More….

Intraday bias in USD/CHF remains neutral as range trading continues. On the upside, above 0.9044 will resume the corrective rise from 0.8756. Next target is 100% projection of 0.8756 to 0.9044 from 0.8869 at 0.9127 next. On the downside, break of 0.8869 will turn bias to the downside for 0.8837 and then 0.8756 low.

In the bigger picture, decline from 1.0237 is seen as the third leg of the pattern from 1.0342 (2016 high). There is no clear sign of completion yet. Next target will be 138.2% projection of 1.0342 to 0.9186 from 1.0237 at 0.8639. In any case, break of 0.9295 resistance is needed to signal medium term bottoming. Otherwise, outlook will remain bearish in case of rebound.

USD/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9013; (P) 0.9038; (R1) 0.9088; More….

Intraday bias in USD/CHF remains neutral for the moment. Further decline is expected as long as 0.9101 resistance holds. Break of 0.8987 will resume the whole fall from 0.9223 and target 38.2% retracement of 0.8332 to 0.9223 at 0.8883 next. However, break of 0.9101 will turn bias back to the upside for stronger rebound.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 0.8332 medium term bottom are tentatively seen as developing into a corrective pattern to the down trend from 1.0146 (2022 high). Rejection by 0.9243 resistance, followed by sustained break of 38.2% retracement of 0.8332 to 0.9223 at 0.8883 will strengthen this case, and maintain medium term bearishness. However, decisive break of 0.9243 will argue that the trend has already reversed and turn medium term outlook bullish for 1.0146.

USD/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.8941; (P) 0.8968; (R1) 0.9015; More

Intraday bias in USD/CHF remains neutral and another decline cannot be ruled out with 0.9070 support turned resistance intact. On the downside, below 0.8858 will resume the down trend to 61.8% projection of 1.0146 to 0.9058 from 0.9439 at 0.8767, which is close to 0.8756 long term support. Strong support is expected there to bring rebound, at least on first attempt. On the upside, break of 0.9070 support turned resistance will confirm short term bottoming and turn bias back to the upside.

In the bigger picture, fall from 1.1046 (2022 high) is in progress for 0.8756 support (2021 low). But overall, this fall is still seen as a leg in the long term range pattern from 1.0342 (2016 high). So, downside should be contained by 0.8756 to bring reversal. Sustained break of 0.9058 support turned resistance will be the first sign of medium term bottoming. However, decisive break of 0.8756 will carry larger bearish implications.

USD/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9908; (P) 0.9932; (R1) 0.9972; More…..

Intraday bias in USD/CHF remains neutral for the moment. With 0.9999 minor resistance intact, deeper decline is mildly in favor. Below 0.9893 will target 0.9812 and below to extend the correction from 1.0342. But break of 0.9812 should be brief and we will look for bottoming signal below there. On the upside, above 0.9999 minor resistance argues that fall from 1.0107 is finished, with bullish convergence condition in 4 hour MACD. In that case, intraday bias will be flipped back to the upside for 1.0107 resistance first.

In the bigger picture, we’re still maintaining that firm break of 1.0342 key resistance is needed to confirm underlying bullish momentum in the pair. However, the corrective nature of the fall from 1.0342 is starting to give the medium term outlook a bullish favor. Hence, in stead of looking for topping signal around 1.0342, we’d now pay closer attention to upside acceleration as USD/CHF approaches this level again.

USD/CHF 4 Hours Chart

USD/CHF Daily Chart

USD/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9583; (P) 0.9663; (R1) 0.9716; More

At this point, intraday bias in USD/CHF remains neutral. Outlook is a bit mixed as the pair is bounded inside medium term falling channel. The pair was also limited below 38.2% retracement of 1.0342 to 0.9437 at 0.9783. Firm break of 0.9594 will dampen our bullish view and turn bias back to the downside for 0.9437. This could also extend the fall through 1.0342 through 0.9437/43 key support level. On the upside, above 0.9772 will revive the bullish case of reversal and turn bias back to the upside.

In the bigger picture, current development argues that USD/CHF has successfully defended 0.9443 key support level. And long term range trading in 0.9443/1.0342 is extending with another rise. At this point, there is no sign of an up trend yet. Hence, while further rise is expected in USD/CHF, we’ll start to be cautious on loss of momentum above 61.8% retracement of 1.0342 to 0.9437 at 0.9996.

USD/CHF 4 Hours Chart

USD/CHF Daily Chart

USD/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.8727; (P) 0.8754; (R1) 0.8780; More….

Intraday bias in USD/CHF stays mildly on the upside for the moment. As short term bottom should be in place at 0.8665, on bullish convergence condition in 4H MACD. Further rally would be seen to 0.8886 support turned resistance first. Decisive break there will indicate that whole fall from 0.9243 has completed, and bring stronger rally to 0.9111 resistance next. However, break of 0.8665 will dampen this view and resume the fall from 0.9243 instead.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 0.8551 are currently seen as part of a corrective pattern to the decline from 1.0146 (2022 high). Fall from 0.9243 is seen as the second leg for now. Deeper decline could be seen to 0.8551 low but strong support should be seen there to bring rebound. For now, this will remain the favored case as long as 0.8886 support turned resistance holds.

USD/CHF Weekly Outlook

USD/CHF edged higher to 1.0056 last week but failed to sustain above 1.0037 resistance. A short term top is formed on bearish divergence condition in 4 hour MACD> Initial bias is mildly on the downside this week. Deeper pull back could be seen to trend line support (now at 0.9761). At this point, we’d expect strong support from there to bring rally resumption. On the upside, sustained break of 1.0037 will resume recent rise for 1.0342 key resistance next.

In the bigger picture, medium term decline from 1.0342 has completed with three waves down to 0.9186. Rise from there is currently viewed as a leg inside the long term range pattern. Hence, while further rally would be seen, we’d be cautious on strong resistance from 1.0342 to limit upside. For now, further rise is expected as long as 38.2% retracement of 0.9186 to 1.0056 at 0.9724 holds.

In the long term picture, price actions from 0.7065 (2011 low) are not clearly impulsive yet. Thus, we’ll treat it as developing into a corrective pattern, at least, until a firm break of 1.0342 resistance.

USD/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.8855; (P) 0.8913; (R1) 0.8949; More

Intraday bias in USD/CHF remains on the downside. Current fall from 0.9146 should target 0.8818 and below, to resume whole down trend from 1.0146. Strong support is expected from 0.8756 to contain downside and bring rebound. Yet, break of 0.9015 resistance is now needed to confirm short term bottoming. Otherwise, outlook will stay bearish.

In the bigger picture, fall from 1.1046 (2022 high) is seen as a leg in the long term range pattern from 1.0342 (2016 high). While further decline cannot be ruled out, strong support is expected from 0.8756 long term support to bring reversal. Firm break of 0.9146 resistance should confirm medium term bottoming.

USD/CHF Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9148; (P) 0.9164; (R1) 0.9190; More….

USD/CHF drops notably today but stays above 0.9090 support. Intraday bias remains neutral first. On the downside, firm break of 0.9084 support will argue that choppy rise from 0.8925 has completed. Fall from 0.9471 might be ready to resuming. Further decline would be seen back to 0.8925 support first. On the upside, above 0.9276 will target 0.9372 resistance instead.

In the bigger picture, the corrective structure of the rebound from 0.8925 argues that fall from 0.9471 is not complete yet. It could either be the second leg of pattern from 0.8756 (2021 low), or resuming larger down trend from 1.0237 (2018 high). We’d pay attention to the downside momentum and assess the odds later. But for now, medium term outlook will be neutral at best as long as 0.9471 resistance holds.

USD/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9751; (P) 0.9806; (R1) 0.9840; More….

USD/CHF falls to as low as 0.9785 so far today and intraday bias remains on the upside for 0.9734 support. Break will resume whole correction from 1.0037. Nonetheless, we’d expect strong support from 61.8% retracement of 0.9420 to 0.1.0037 at 0.9656 to contain downside and bring rebound. On the upside, above 0.9839 resistance will turn bias to the upside for retesting 0.9977 resistance.

In the bigger picture, range trading continues between 0.9420/1.0342. At this point, 0.9420 appears to be a strong support level. Therefore, in case of decline attempt, we don’t expect a firm break of this level. Nonetheless, strong break of 1.0342 is also needed to confirm upside momentum. Otherwise, medium term outlook will stay neutral.

USD/CHF 4 Hours Chart

USD/CHF Daily Chart

USD/CHF Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.8756; (P) 0.8787; (R1) 0.8813; More….

Intraday bias in USD/CHF stays on the downside and outlook is unchanged. Firm break of 100% projection of 0.9243 to 0.8886 from 0.9111 at 0.8754 will target 161.8% projection at 0.8533, which is close to 0.8551 low. On the upside, above 0.8817 minor resistance will turn intraday bias neutral first. But risk will stay on the downside as long as 0.8886 support turned resistance holds.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 0.8551 are currently seen as part of a corrective pattern to the decline from 1.0146 (2022 high). Fall from 0.9243 is seen as the second leg for now. Deeper decline could be seen to 0.8551 low but strong support should be seen there to bring rebound. For now, this will remain the favored case as long as 0.8886 resistance holds.

USD/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9671; (P) 0.9705; (R1) 0.9729; More

Intraday bias in USD/CHF remains neutral at this point and outlook remains bearish with 0.9762 resistance intact. On the downside, break of 0.9678 minor support will bring retest of 0.9613 low first. Break will resume larger down trend. On the upside, firm break of 0.9762 will indicate short term bottoming at 0.9613, on bullish convergence condition in 4 hour MACD. Further rise would be seen back towards 1.0023 resistance.

In the bigger picture, medium term outlook remains neutral as USD/CHF is staying sideway trading started from 1.0342 (2016 high). Fall from 1.0237 is a leg inside the pattern and could target 0.9186 (2018 low). In case of another rise, break of 1.0237 is needed to indicate up trend resumption. Otherwise, more sideway trading would be seen with risk of another fall.

USD/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.8482; (P) 0.8507; (R1) 0.8549; More….

Intraday bias in USD/CHF remains neutral and outlook is unchanged. Consolidation from 0.8332 is in progress and stronger recovery cannot be ruled out. But outlook will stay bearish as long as 0.8665 support turned resistance holds. On the downside, break of 0.8332 will resume larger fall from 0.9243 to 0.8257 projection level.

In the bigger picture, the down trend from 1.0146 (2022 high) is in progress. Next target is 61.8% retracement of 1.0146 to 0.8551 from 0.9243 at 0.8257. Sustained break there could prompt downside acceleration to 100% projection at 0.7648. This will now remain the favored case as long as 0.8819 resistance holds.

USD/CHF Weekly Outlook

USD/CHF stayed in consolidation below 0.8884 last week and outlook is unchanged. Initial bias remains neutral this week first. Further rise is expected with 0.8727 resistance turned support intact. On the upside, above 0.8884 will resume the rally from 0.8332 to 100% projection of 0.8332 to 0.8727 from 0.8550 at 0.8954. However, sustained break of 0.8727 will dampen this bullish view, and turn bias back to the downside for 0.8550 support instead.

In the bigger picture, a medium term bottom should be formed at 0.8332, on bullish convergence condition in W MACD, just ahead of 0.8317 long term fibonacci support. It’s still early to decide if the larger down trend from 1.0146 (2022 high) is reversing. But further rise should be seen to 0.9243 resistance even as a correction.

In the long term picture, price action from 0.7065 (2011 high) are seen as a corrective pattern to the multi-decade down trend from 1.8305 (2000 high). Strong rebound from 61.8% retracement of 0.7065 to 1.0342 (2016 high) will start the third leg as a medium term rally. But there will be no sign of long term reversal until firm break of 38.2% retracement of 1.8305 to 0.7065 at 1.1359.

USD/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9713; (P) 0.9741; (R1) 0.9768; More

Intraday bias in USD/CHF remains neutral first while consolidation pattern from 0.9901 might extend. On the downside, break of 0.9712 minor support should start the third leg. Intraday bias will be turned to the downside for 0.9592 support first. In this case, downside should be contained by 61.8% retracement of 0.9181 to 0.9901 at 0.9456 to rebound. On the upside, break of 0.9502 will target a test on 0.9901 high.

In the bigger picture, decline from 1.0237 is seen as the third leg of the pattern from 1.0342 (2016 low). It could have completed at 0.9181 after hitting 0.9186 key support (2018 low). Break of 0.9901 will extend the rebound form 0.9181 through 1.0023 resistance. After all, medium term range trading will likely continue between 0.9181/1.0237 for some more time.

USD/CHF Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9029; (P) 0.9053; (R1) 0.9090; More

Intraday bias in USD/CHF is turned neutral first with a temporary low formed at 0.9005. Further decline is expected as long as 0.9118 resistance holds. Break of 0.9005 and sustained trading below 38.2% projection of 1.0146 to 0.9058 from 0.9439 at 0.9023 will extend the down trend from 1.0146 to 61.8% projection at 0.8767.

In the bigger picture, outlook will stay bearish as long as 0.9439 resistance holds, and fall from 1.1046 (2022 high) is still in progress. Prior rejection by 55 week EMA was a medium term bearish sign. Sustained of 0.9058 will resume such decline towards 0.8756 support (2021 low). But overall, this fall is still as a leg in the long term range pattern from 1.0342 (2016 high). So, downside should be contained by 0.8756 to bring reversal.

USD/CHF Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9042; (P) 0.9072; (R1) 0.9117; More….

USD/CHF’s rally accelerates to as high as 0.9143 so far today, and intraday bias remains on the upside. Current rise from 0.8756 is in progress for 100% projection of 0.8756 to 0.9044 from 0.8869 at 0.9127 next. Break there will target 0.9181 support turned resistance next. On the downside, break of 0.9069 minor support will turn intraday bias neutral first.

In the bigger picture, decline from 1.0237 is seen as the third leg of the pattern from 1.0342 (2016 high). There is no clear sign of completion yet. Next target will be 138.2% projection of 1.0342 to 0.9186 from 1.0237 at 0.8639. In any case, break of 0.9295 resistance is needed to signal medium term bottoming. Otherwise, outlook will remain bearish in case of rebound.

USD/CHF Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0070; (P) 1.0096; (R1) 1.0112; More

Outlook in USD/CHF remains unchanged and intraday bias remains neutral first. With 1.0126 support turned resistance intact, another decline is mildly in favor. On the downside, break of 1.0050 will resume the fall from 1.0237 to retest 0.9879 key support. However, firm break of 1.0126 will turn bias back to the upside for 1.0237 resistance.

In the bigger picture, as long as 0.9879 support holds, medium term up trend form 0.9186 is still in progress. Break of 1.0237 will target 1.0342 resistance next. For now, we’d be cautious on strong resistance from there to limit upside, until we see medium term upside acceleration. However, decisive break of 0.9879 will be a strong sign of medium term reversal. Focus will be turned back to 0.9716 support for confirmation.