Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9442; (P) 0.9469; (R1) 0.9493; More…

Intraday bias in USD/CHF remains neutral and outlook is unchanged. While rebound from 0.9186 might extend higher, we’d expect strong resistance from0.9626 key fibonacci level to limit upside. That’s supported by divergence condition in 4 hour MACD. On the downside, break of 0.9432 support will indicate near term reversal and completion of rebound from 0.9186. In this case, intraday bias will be turned back to the downside for retesting 0.9186 low. However, sustained break of 0.9626 will carry larger bullish implications.

In the bigger picture, fall from 1.0342 is seen as a medium term down trend. Main focus is on 38.2% retracement of 1.0342 (2016 high) to 0.9186 (2018 low) at 0.9626. Sustained break there will add to the case of trend reversal and target 61.8% retracement at 0.9900 and above). However, rejection from 0.9626 will maintain medium term bearishness for another low below 0.9186.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.8920; (P) 0.8969; (R1) 0.9001; More…

Range trading continues in USD/CHF and intraday bias remains neutral first. Near term outlook stays bearish for now. On the downside, break of 0.8900 will resume the fall from 0.9146 to 0.8818 low or below. On the upside, above 0.9015 will bring stronger rise towards 0.9146 resistance instead.

In the bigger picture, fall from 1.1046 (2022 high) is seen as a leg in the long term range pattern from 1.0342 (2016 high). While further decline cannot be ruled out, strong support is expected from 0.8756 long term support to bring reversal. Firm break of 0.9146 resistance should confirm medium term bottoming.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9560; (P) 0.9605; (R1) 0.9669; More…

USD/CHF is staying in range above 0.9541 and intraday bias remains neutral first. On the upside, break of 0.9647 minor resistance will argue that consolidation pattern from 0.9901 has completed Intraday bias will be turned back to the upside for 0.9784 resistance first. On the downside, break of 0.9541 will bring another fall, but downside should be contained by 61.8% retracement of 0.9181 to 0.9901 at 0.9456 to rebound.

In the bigger picture, decline from 1.0237 is seen as the third leg of the pattern from 1.0342 (2016 low). It could have completed at 0.9181 after hitting 0.9186 key support (2018 low). Break of 0.9901 will extend the rebound form 0.9181 through 1.0023 resistance. After all, medium term range trading will likely continue between 0.9181/1.0237 for some more time.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.8498; (P) 0.8518; (R1) 0.8528; More….

Intraday bias in USD/CHF stays neutral for the moment. Consolidation from 0.8332 is extending and stronger recovery cannot be ruled out. But outlook will stay bearish as long as 0.8665 support turned resistance holds. On the downside, break of 0.8332 will resume larger fall from 0.9243 to 0.8257 projection level.

In the bigger picture, the down trend from 1.0146 (2022 high) is in progress. Next target is 61.8% retracement of 1.0146 to 0.8551 from 0.9243 at 0.8257. Sustained break there could prompt downside acceleration to 100% projection at 0.7648. This will now remain the favored case as long as 0.8819 resistance holds.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9527; (P) 0.9546; (R1) 0.9570; More…

No change in USD/CHF’s outlook. While the corrective rise from 0.9186 might extend higher, we’d expect strong resistance from 0.9626 key fibonacci level to limit upside. On the downside, break of 0.9432 support will indicate near term reversal and completion of rebound from 0.9186. In this case, intraday bias will be turned back to the downside for retesting 0.9186 low. However, sustained break of 0.9626 will be another evidence of larger reversal. In this case, further rise would be seen to next fibonacci level at 0.9900.

In the bigger picture, fall from 1.0342 is seen as a medium term down trend. Main focus is on 38.2% retracement of 1.0342 (2016 high) to 0.9186 (2018 low) at 0.9626. Sustained break there will add to the case of trend reversal and target 61.8% retracement at 0.9900 and above). However, rejection from 0.9626 will maintain medium term bearishness for another low below 0.9186.

USD/CHF stayed in consolidation above 0.8332 last week and outlook is unchanged. Initial bias stays neutral this week first. Outlook will also remain bearish as long as 0.8665 support turned resistance holds. On the downside, break of 0.8332 will resume larger fall from 0.9243 to 0.8257 projection level.

In the bigger picture, down trend from 1.0146 (2022 high) is in progress. Next target is 61.8% retracement of 1.0146 to 0.8551 from 0.9243 at 0.8257. Sustained break there could prompt downside acceleration to 100% projection at 0.7648. This will now remain the favored case as long as 0.8819 resistance holds.

In the long term picture, there is no clear sign that down trend from 1.8305 (2000 high) has completed. With 38.2% retracement of 1.8305 to 0.7065 at 1.1359 intact, outlook is neutral at best.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9887; (P) 0.9925; (R1) 0.9979; More….

Further rally could be seen in USD/CHF for now. But considering bearish divergence condition in 4 hour MACD, upside should be limited by 261.8% projection of 0.9149 to 0.9459 from 0.9193 at 1.0005 to bring correction. On the downside, break of 0.9826 will indicate short term topping, and turn bias to the downside for pull back.

In the bigger picture, down trend from 1.0342 (2016 high) should have completed with three waves down to 0.8756 (2021 low) already. Rise from 0.8756 is likely a medium term up trend of its own. Sustained trading above 100% projection of 0.8756 to 0.9471 from 0.9149 at 0.9864 will pave the way to 161.8% projection at 1.0306, which is close to 1.0342 (2016 high). This will remain the favored case as long as 0.9459 resistance turned support holds.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9749; (P) 0.9768; (R1) 0.9801; More…

USD/CHF’s rise is still in progress and reaches as high as 0.9823 so far. Intraday bias remains on the upside and current rally from 0.9186 should target .9900 fibonacci level next. On the downside, below 0.9766 minor support will turn bias neutral and bring consolidations. But outlook will stay bullish as long as 0.9576 support holds.

In the bigger picture, fall from 1.0342 is seen as a medium term down trend. The break of 38.2% retracement of 1.0342 (2016 high) to 0.9186 (2018 low) at 0.9626 suggests that it’s likely completed at 0.9186 already. Further rally would be seen back to 61.8% retracement at 0.9900 and above. Sustained break there would pave the way to retest 1.0342 key resistance next. This will now be the preferred case as long as 0.9576 support holds.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9984; (P) 1.0013; (R1) 1.0043; More…

Intraday bias in USD/CHF remains neutral as consolidation pattern from 1.0056 is extending. Deeper pull back cannot be ruled out. But in that case, downside should be contained by trend line support (now at 0.9778) to bring rebound. On the upside, sustained break of 1.0037 will resume recent rise for 1.0342 key resistance next.

In the bigger picture, medium term decline from 1.0342 has completed with three waves down to 0.9186. Rise from there is currently viewed as a leg inside the long term range pattern. Hence, while further rally would be seen, we’d be cautious on strong resistance from 1.0342 to limit upside. For now, further rise is expected as long as 38.2% retracement of 0.9186 to 1.0056 at 0.9724 holds.

USD/CHF’s recovery was limited at 1.0098 last week, below 1.0119 resistance. Fall from 1.0237 then resumed through 1.0008. Initial bias is back on the downside this week. Next target is 0.9879 low. On the upside, break of 1.0098 is needed to indicate completion of such decline. Otherwise, outlook will stay mildly bearish in case of recovery.

In the bigger picture, USD/CHF is losing upside momentum ahead of 1.0342 key resistance (2016 high). There is no clear sign of reversal yet. But even in case of another rise, we’d be cautious on strong resistance from 1.0342 to limit upside. On the downside, break of 0.9879 support will suggest that larger rise from 0.9186 (2018 low) has completed. Deeper fall will be seen to 0.9716 support for confirmation.

In the long term picture, price actions from 0.7065 (2011 low) are not clearly impulsive yet. Thus, we’ll treat it as developing into a corrective pattern, at least, until a firm break of 1.0342 resistance.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.8950; (P) 0.8972; (R1) 0.8998; More….

Intraday bias in USD/CHF remains on the upside at this point. Decisive break of 0.8898 support turned resistance will indicate that rise from 0.8756 short term bottom is at least correcting the fall from 0.9901. Further rally would be seen to 38.2% retracement of 0.9901 to 0.8756 at 0.9193. On the downside, break of 0.8925 resistance turned support will turn intraday bias to the downside for 0.8837 support first.

In the bigger picture, decline from 1.0237 is seen as the third leg of the pattern from 1.0342 (2016 high). There is no clear sign of completion yet. Next target will be 138.2% projection of 1.0342 to 0.9186 from 1.0237 at 0.8639. In any case, break of 0.9295 resistance is needed to signal medium term bottoming. Otherwise, outlook will remain bearish in case of rebound.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9879; (P) 0.9922; (R1) 0.9983; More….

Intraday bias in USD/CHF remains mildly on the upside for 261.8% projection of 0.9149 to 0.9459 from 0.9193 at 1.0005 next. On the downside, break of 0.9708 support is needed to indicate short term topping. Otherwise, outlook will stay bullish in case of retreat.

In the bigger picture, down trend from 1.0342 (2016 high) should have completed with three waves down to 0.8756 (2021 low) already. Rise from 0.8756 is likely a medium term up trend of its own. Sustained trading above 100% projection of 0.8756 to 0.9471 from 0.9149 at 0.9864 will pave the way to 161.8% projection at 1.0306, which is close to 1.0342 (2016 high). This will remain the favored case as long as 0.9459 resistance turned support holds.

USD/CHF fell sharply last week after completing a double top and hit as low as 0.9363. The strong down trend momentum suggests that larger trend has reversed. Initial bias stays on the downside this week for 0.9369 support, and then 0.9287 fibonacci level. On the upside, break of 0.9544 minor resistance will turn intraday bias neutral first and bring consolidation, before staging another decline.

In the bigger picture, rise from 0.8756 (2021 low) has completed at 1.0146, well ahead of 1.0342 long term resistance (2016 high). Based on current downside momentum, fall form 1.0146 might be a medium term down trend itself. Break of 61.8% retracement of 0.8756 to 1.0146 at 0.9287 will pave the way to 0.8756. In any case, risk will stay on the downside as long as 55 day EMA (now at 0.9834) holds.

In the long term picture, long term sideway pattern from 1.0342 (2016 high) is extending and it’s probably in another medium term down leg. Downside will likely be contained by 0.8756 support in case of deeper fall. Overall, range trading should continue until further development.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9826; (P) 0.9859; (R1) 0.9876; More…

Intraday bias in USD/CHF remains on the downside, with focus on 0.9843 support. Sustained break there will indicate that choppy rebound from 0.9659 has completed at 1.0027. Deeper fall should be seen to 0.9659 support and below. On the upside, above 0.9904 minor resistance will turn focus back to 1.0027 instead.

In the bigger picture, corrective fall from 1.0237 should have completed at 0.9659 already, ahead of 61.8% retracement of 0.9186 to 1.0237 at 0.9587. But decisive break of 1.0237 is needed to indicate up trend resumption. Otherwise, medium term outlook will stay neutral first. Meanwhile, break of 0.9695 support will extend the correction to 0.9541 support instead.

USD/CHF rebounded further to 0.8804 last week but failed to break through 0.8818 resistance. Initial bias remains neutral this week first. On the downside break of 0.8663 minor support should confirm rejection by 0.8818 and turn intraday bias back to the downside for retesting 0.8551 first. Nevertheless, decisive break of 0.8818 will carry larger bullish implication, and target 0.9146 cluster resistance next.

In the bigger picture, down trend from 1.0146 is seen as in progress as long as 0.8188 support turned resistance holds. Next target is 61.8% retracement of 0.7065 (2011 low) to 1.0342 (2016 high) at 0.8317. However, sustained break of 0.8818 should indicate medium term bottoming, and bring stronger rise back to 0.9146 cluster resistance (38.2% retracement of 1.0146 to 0.8551 at 0.9160), even as a correction.

In the long term picture, there is no clear sign that down trend from 1.8305 (2000 high) has completed. With 38.2% retracement of 1.8305 to 0.7065 at 1.1359 intact, outlook is neutral at best. Sustained break of 61.8% retracement of 0.7065 (2011 low) to 1.0342 (2016 high) at 0.8317 will bring retest of 0.7065 low.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.8665; (P) 0.8701; (R1) 0.8740; More….

USD/CHF’s rebound from 0.8551 is in progress, and intraday bias stays on the upside for further rise. But strong resistance could be seen from 0.8818 support turned resistance to complete the recovery and bring down trend resumption. On the downside, firm break of 0.8551 will resume larger down trend from 1.0146, targeting 0.8317 fibonacci level.

In the bigger picture, down trend from 1.0146 is seen as in progress as long as 0.8188 support turned resistance holds. Next target is 61.8% retracement of 0.7065 (2011 low) to 1.0342 (2016 high) at 0.8317. However, sustained break of 0.8818 will be the first sign of medium term bottoming, and turn focus back to 0.9146 resistance for confirmation.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9842; (P) 0.9876; (R1) 0.9899; More…

Intraday bias in USD/CHF remains neutral at this point. Fall from 1.0128 is seen as a correction. Thus, in case of another decline, downside should be contained by 0.9765/8 cluster support (61.8% retracement of 0.9541 to 1.0128 at 0.9765, 38.2% retracement of 0.9186 to 1.0128 at 0.9768) to bring rebound. On the upside, break of 0.9963 resistance will suggest that such correction has completed and turn bias to the upside for retesting 1.0128 resistance. However, sustained break of 0.9765/8 will bring deeper fall back to 0.9541 support next.

In the bigger picture, while the fall from 1.0128 was slightly deeper than expected, the structure suggests it’s a corrective move. As long as 0.9765/8 cluster support (61.8% retracement of 0.9541 to 1.0128 at 0.9765, 38.2% retracement of 0.9186 to 1.0128 at 0.9768) holds, we’d expect up trend from 0.9541 and 0.9186 to resume later through 1.0128. However firm break of 0.9765/8 will argue that the trend has reversed. Further break of 0.9541 support will confirm this bearish scenario and bring deeper fall back to 0.9186 low.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.8573; (P) 0.8630; (R1) 0.8667; More….

Intraday bias in USD/CHF remains on the downside for the moment. Current fall from 0.9243 should target 0.8551 key support next. On the upside, above 0.8710 minor resistance will turn intraday bias neutral again first. But outlook will remain bearish as long as 0.8819 resistance holds.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 0.8551 are currently seen as a corrective pattern to the decline from 1.0146 (2022 high). Fall from 0.9243 is seen as the second leg for now. Strong support should be seen 0.8551 to bring rebound. Meanwhile, break of 0.9111 resistance will argue that the third leg has started already, and target 0.9243.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.8563; (P) 0.8588; (R1) 0.8610; More…

No change in USD/CHF’s outlook. While another decline cannot be ruled out, some support could be seen from 100% projection of 0.9439 to 0.8818 from 0.9146 at 0.8525 to bring rebound. Break of 0.8629 minor resistance will turn bias to the downside for 55 4H EMA (now at 0.8675) and above.

In the bigger picture, the break of 0.8756 (2021 low) indicates break out from the long term range pattern. For now, medium term outlook will stay bearish as long as 0.9146 resistance holds. Further fall would be seen to 61.8% retracement of 0.7065 (2011 low) to 1.0342 (2016 high) at 0.8317 next.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9671; (P) 0.9705; (R1) 0.9729; More…

Intraday bias in USD/CHF remains neutral at this point and outlook remains bearish with 0.9762 resistance intact. On the downside, break of 0.9678 minor support will bring retest of 0.9613 low first. Break will resume larger down trend. On the upside, firm break of 0.9762 will indicate short term bottoming at 0.9613, on bullish convergence condition in 4 hour MACD. Further rise would be seen back towards 1.0023 resistance.

In the bigger picture, medium term outlook remains neutral as USD/CHF is staying sideway trading started from 1.0342 (2016 high). Fall from 1.0237 is a leg inside the pattern and could target 0.9186 (2018 low). In case of another rise, break of 1.0237 is needed to indicate up trend resumption. Otherwise, more sideway trading would be seen with risk of another fall.