Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.8904; (P) 0.8921; (R1) 0.8946; More….

USD/CHF is staying in consolidation from 0.8943 and intraday bias remains neutral. While deeper pull back cannot be ruled out, downside should be contained above 0.8743 support to bring another rally. Break of 0.8943 will extend the rise from 0.8551 to 0.9146 cluster resistance.

In the bigger picture, rebound from 0.8551 medium term bottom is currently seen as a correction to the downtrend from 1.0146 (2022 high). Further rally would be seen to 0.9146 cluster resistance (38.2% retracement of 1.0146 to 0.8551 at 0.9160). Strong resistance could be seen there to limit upside, at least on first attempt.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.8791; (P) 0.8814; (R1) 0.8843; More….

USD/CHF dips mildly today but stays in range of 0.8727/8884. Intraday bias remains neutral and more consolidations could be seen. With 0.8727 resistance turned support intact, further rally is still expected. On the upside, break of 0.8885 will resume the rise from 0.8332 and target and 100% projection of 0.8332 to 0.8727 from 0.8550 at 0.8954. However, sustained break of 0.8727 will dampen this bullish view, and turn bias back to the downside for 0.8550 support instead.

In the bigger picture, a medium term bottom should be formed at 0.8332, on bullish convergence condition in W MACD, just ahead of 0.8317 long term fibonacci support. It’s still early to decide if the larger down trend from 1.0146 (2022 high) is reversing. But further rise should be seen to 0.9243 resistance even as a correction.

USD/CHF stayed in tight range below 0.8919 last week and outlook is unchanged. Initial bias remains neutral this week first. On the upside, decisive break of 0.8919 should confirm short term bottoming at 0.8756, on bullish convergence condition in 4 hour MACD. Considering bullish convergence condition in daily MACD too, USD/CHF could be corrective whole fall form 0.9901 in this case. Intraday bias will be turned back to the upside for 38.2% retracement of 0.9901 to 0.8756 at 0.9193. Though, break of 0.8821 minor support will bring retest of 0.8756 low instead.

In the bigger picture, decline from 1.0237 is seen as the third leg of the pattern from 1.0342 (2016 high). There is no clear sign of completion yet. Next target will be 138.2% projection of 1.0342 to 0.9186 from 1.0237 at 0.8639. In any case, break of 0.9294 resistance is needed to signal medium term bottoming. Otherwise, outlook will remain bearish in case of rebound.

In the long term picture, price actions from 0.7065 (2011 low) are currently seen as developing into a long term corrective pattern, at least until a firm break of 1.0342 resistance.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9987; (P) 1.0022; (R1) 1.0060; More…

Upside momentum remains unconvincing in USD/CHF. But with 0.9982 minor support intact, intraday bias remains on the upside. Sustained trading above 1.0037 will pave the way to 1.0342 key resistance next. On the downside, though, below 0.9982 minor support will indicate short term topping. And, in that case, deeper retreat could be seen to 4 hour 55 EMA (now at 0.9932) and below before staging another rise.

In the bigger picture, medium term decline from 1.0342 has completed with three waves down to 0.9186. Rise from there is currently viewed as a leg inside the long term range pattern. Hence, while further rally would be seen, we’d be cautious on strong resistance from 1.0342 to limit upside. For now, further rise is expected as long as 0.9648 resistance turned support holds, even in case of pull back.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9467; (P) 0.9484; (R1) 0.9499; More…

Range trading continues in USD/CHF and intraday bias remains neutral first. On the downside, below 0.9420 minor support will bring retest of 0.9376 low. Break will resume the whole decline form 0.9901 and target 100% projection of 0.9901 to 0.9502 from 0.9736 at 0.9337. On the upside, firm break of 0.9554 will resume the rebound from 0.9376 instead. In this case, further rally would be seen to 55 day EMA (now at 0.9593).

In the bigger picture, decline from 1.0237 is seen as the third leg of the pattern from 1.0342 (2016 low). It could have completed at 0.9181 after hitting 0.9186 key support (2018 low). Break of 0.9901 will extend the rebound from 0.9181 through 1.0023 resistance. After all, medium term range trading will likely continue between 0.9181/1.0237 for some more time.

USD/CHF’s up trend continued last week and hit as high as 0.9592, hitting 0.9591 medium term projection level. Initial bias remains on the upside this week first. Sustained break of 0.9591 will pave the way to next projection level at 0.9864. On the downside, break of 0.9453 support is needed to indicate short term topping. Otherwise, outlook will remain bullish in case of retreat.

In the bigger picture, down trend from 1.0342 (2016 high) could have completed with three waves down to 0.8756 (2021 low) already. Rise from 0.8756 is likely a medium term up trend of its own. Sustained break of 61.8% projection of 0.8756 to 0.9471 from 0.9149 at 0.9591 will pave the way to 100% projection at 0.9864. This will now remain the favored case as long as 0.9193 support holds.

In the long term picture, price actions from 0.7065 (2011 low) are currently seen as developing into a long term corrective pattern, at least until a firm break of 1.0342 resistance.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9167; (P) 0.9206; (R1) 0.9249; More…

Current development argues that USD/CHF’s corrective rebound from 0.8998 has completed with three waves up to 0.9304. Intraday bias is turned back to the downside for retesting 0.8998 low. On the upside, break of 0.9244 will likely resume the rebound through 0.9304, to 38.2% retracement of 0.9901 to 0.8998 at 0.9343.

In the bigger picture, decline from 1.0237 is seen as the third leg of the pattern from 1.0342 (2016 high). There is no clear sign of completion yet. On resumption, next target will be 138.2% projection of 1.0342 to 0.9186 from 1.0237 at 0.8639. Nevertheless, strong break of 0.9376 support turned resistance will be an early sign of trend reversal and turn focus back to 0.9901 key resistance for confirmation.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.8914; (P) 0.8943; (R1) 0.8979; More…

Intraday bias in USD/CHF is turned neutral again with current retreat. On the upside, above 0.9011 will bring stronger rise towards 0.9146 resistance. On the downside, through, break of 0.8900 will target 0.8818 and possibly below.

In the bigger picture, fall from 1.1046 (2022 high) is seen as a leg in the long term range pattern from 1.0342 (2016 high), which might have completed at 0.8818 already, just ahead of 0.8756 long term support. Sustained trading above 0.9058 support turned resistance should confirm medium term bottoming.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.8998; (P) 0.9019; (R1) 0.9052; More…

Intraday bias in USD/CHF is neutral for the moment. But risk stays on the downside as long as 0.9146 resistance holds. Corrective recovery from 0.8818 has probably completed at 0.9146 already. Deeper decline could be seen to 0.8818 support and possibly below. But strong support is still needed at around 0.8756 long term support to bring another rebound.

In the bigger picture, fall from 1.1046 (2022 high) is seen as a leg in the long term range pattern from 1.0342 (2016 high), which might have completed at 0.8818 already, just ahead of 0.8756 long term support. Sustained trading above 0.9058 support turned resistance should confirm medium term bottoming. Further break of 0.9439 resistance will confirm bullish trend reversal.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9184; (P) 0.9250; (R1) 0.9291; More…

Outlook in USD/CHF remains unchanged and intraday bias stays neutral. Corrective pattern from 0.9058 low should still be in progress with rise from 0.9070 as the third leg. Above 0.9339 will target 0.9439 resistance and possibly above. But overall, outlook will stay bearish as long as 0.9474 fibonacci level holds, and another decline through 0.9058 is expected at a later stage.

In the bigger picture, fall from 1.1046 (2022 high) should still be in progress with 38.2% retracement of 1.0146 to 0.9058 at 0.9474 intact. Rejection by 55 week EMA was a medium term bearish sign. Break of 0.9058 will resume such decline towards 0.8756 support (2021 low). But overall, such fall is still as a leg in the long term range pattern from 1.0342 (2016 high). So, downside should be contained by 0.8756 to bring reversal.

USD/CHF’s rebound from 0.9659 extended higher last even though it continued to lose upside momentum, as seen bearish divergence condition in 4 hour MACD. Initial bias is neutral this week first. Further rise is in favor as long as 0.9798 support holds. Break of 0.9946 will target 0.9975 resistance first. But break o f0.9798 will turn bias to the downside for retesting 0.9659/9713 support zone instead.

In the bigger picture, the structure of the fall from 1.0237 suggests that it’s a corrective move. Break of 0.9975 will argue that such correction has completed at 0.9659, ahead of 61.8% retracement of 0.9186 to 1.0237 at 0.9587. But decisive break of 1.0237 is needed to indicate up trend resumption. Otherwise, medium term outlook will stay neutral first. Meanwhile, break of 0.9695 support will extend the correction to 0.9541 support instead.

In the long term picture, price actions from 0.7065 (2011 low) are not clearly impulsive yet. Thus, we’ll treat it as developing into a corrective pattern, at least, until a firm break of 1.0342 resistance.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9162; (P) 0.9193; (R1) 0.9245; More….

USD/CHF’s rally continues and hit as high as 0.9224. Intraday bias stays on the upside for 0.9439 resistance next. On the downside, below 0.9152 minor support will turn intraday bias neutral and bring consolidations, before staging another rally.

In the bigger picture, current development indicates that rise from 0.8551 is reversing whole down trend from 1.0146. Further rally would then be seen to 61.8% retracement at 0.9537 and above. For now, this will be the favored case as long as 55 D EMA (now at 0.8917) holds, even in case of deep pullback.

USD/CHF’s up trend continued last week and there is no clear sign of topping. Initial bias stays on the upside this week. Next target is 1.0306 medium term fibonacci projection level. On the downside, considering bearish divergence condition in 4 hour MACD, break of 0.9871 support will indicate short term topping, and turn bias to the downside for pull back.

In the bigger picture, down trend from 1.0342 (2016 high) should have completed with three waves down to 0.8756 (2021 low) already. Rise from 0.8756 is likely a medium term up trend of its own. Next target is 161.8% projection of 0.8756 to 0.9471 from 0.9149 at 1.0306, which is close to 1.0342 (2016 high). This will remain the favored case as long as 0.9459 resistance turned support holds.

In the long term picture, current development argues that the correction from 1.0342 (2016 high) has completed at 0.8756 (2020 low) already. Rise form 0.7065 (2011 low) might be ready to resume. Firm break of 1.0342 will confirm and target 38.2% retracement of 1.8305 (2000 high) to 0.7065 at 1.1359.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9832; (P) 0.9863; (R1) 0.9887; More…

USD/CHF’s rally and break of 0.9911 minor resistance argues that the correction from 1.0056 has completed at 0.9787 already. Intraday bias is now on the upside for 1.0056 first. Decisive break there will resume the whole rise from 0.9186 and target 1.0342 key resistance next. On the downside, below 0.9824 will extend the correction from 1.0056. But we’d expect strong support from 0.9724 fibonacci level to contain downside and bring rebound.

In the bigger picture, medium term decline from 1.0342 has completed with three waves down to 0.9186. Rise from there is currently viewed as a leg inside the long term range pattern. Hence, while further rally would be seen, we’d be cautious on strong resistance from 1.0342 to limit upside. For now, further rise is expected as long as 38.2% retracement of 0.9186 to 1.0056 at 0.9724 holds. However, sustained break of 0.9724 will dampen this bullish view and would at least bring deeper fall to 61.8% retracement at 0.9518.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9525; (P) 0.9575; (R1) 0.9605; More…

USD/CHF’s decline resumed after recovery was rejected by 4 hour 55 EMA. Intraday bias is back on the downside for 0.9502 support and below. Though, we’d still expect strong support from 61.8% retracement of 0.9181 to 0.9901 at 0.9456 to complete the consolidation pattern from 0.9901. On the upside, break of 0.9647 resistance should turn bias back to the upside for rebound. However, sustained trading below 0.9456 could pave the way to 0.9181 low.

In the bigger picture, decline from 1.0237 is seen as the third leg of the pattern from 1.0342 (2016 low). It could have completed at 0.9181 after hitting 0.9186 key support (2018 low). Break of 0.9901 will extend the rebound form 0.9181 through 1.0023 resistance. After all, medium term range trading will likely continue between 0.9181/1.0237 for some more time.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.8665; (P) 0.8701; (R1) 0.8740; More….

Intraday bias in USD/CHF stays mildly on the upside at this point. Rebound from 0.8851 would extend higher towards 0.8818 support turned resistance. Strong resistance could be seen there to complete the recovery and bring down trend resumption. On the downside, firm break of 0.8551 will resume larger down trend from 1.0146, targeting 0.8317 fibonacci level.

In the bigger picture, down trend from 1.0146 is seen as in progress as long as 0.8188 support turned resistance holds. Next target is 61.8% retracement of 0.7065 (2011 low) to 1.0342 (2016 high) at 0.8317. However, sustained break of 0.8818 will be the first sign of medium term bottoming, and turn focus back to 0.9146 resistance for confirmation.

USD/CHF edged lower to 0.8665 last week but recovered notably since then. A short term bottom should be formed on bullish convergence condition in 4H MACD. Initial bias stays on the upside this week for 0.8886 support turned resistance first. Decisive break there will indicate that whole fall from 0.9243 has completed, and bring stronger rally to 0.9111 resistance next. On the downside, below 0.8727 minor support will turn intraday bias neutral first.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 0.8551 are currently seen as part of a corrective pattern to the decline from 1.0146 (2022 high). Fall from 0.9243 is seen as the second leg for now. Deeper decline could be seen to 0.8551 low but strong support should be seen there to bring rebound. Meanwhile, break of 0.9111 resistance will argue that the third leg has started already, and target 0.9243 and above.

In the long term picture, there is no clear sign that down trend from 1.8305 (2000 high) has completed. With 38.2% retracement of 1.8305 to 0.7065 at 1.1359 intact, outlook is neutral at best.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9584; (P) 0.9601; (R1) 0.9630; More…

USD/CHF’s recovery from 0.9493 continues today but stays below 0.9731 minor resistance. Intraday bias remains neutral first. On the upside, break of 0.9731 will argue that the consolidation from 1.0063 has completed and bring stronger rally back to retest 1.0063 high. However, another fall below 0.9493 will dampen this view and target 0.9459 resistance turned support.

In the bigger picture, down trend from 1.0342 (2016 high) should have completed with three waves down to 0.8756 (2021 low) already. Rise from 0.8756 is likely a medium term up trend of its own. Next target is 1.0237/0342 resistance zone. This will remain the favored case as long as 0.9471 resistance turned support holds. However, sustained break of 0.9471 will extend long term range trading with another falling leg.

USD/CHF edged lower to 0.8776 last week but recovered again. Initial bias stays neutral this week first. As long as 0.8923 resistance holds, further decline is expected. On the downside, break of 0.8776 will resume the fall from 0.9223 to 61.8% retracement of 0.8332 to 0.9223 at 0.8672 next. However, break of 0.8923 will turn bias back to the upside for stronger rebound instead.

In the bigger picture, with 0.9243 resistance intact, medium term outlook in USD/CHF is neutral at best. For now, more sideway trading is likely between 0.8332/9243. However, firm break of 0.9243 will indicate larger bullish trend reversal.

In the long term picture, price action from 0.7065 (2011 high) are seen as a corrective pattern to the multi-decade down trend from 1.8305 (2000 high). Strong rebound from 61.8% retracement of 0.7065 to 1.0342 (2016 high) at 0.8317 will start the third leg as a medium term rally. But there will be no sign of long term reversal until firm break of 38.2% retracement of 1.8305 to 0.7065 at 1.1359.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9442; (P) 0.9469; (R1) 0.9493; More…

Intraday bias in USD/CHF remains neutral and outlook is unchanged. While rebound from 0.9186 might extend higher, we’d expect strong resistance from0.9626 key fibonacci level to limit upside. That’s supported by divergence condition in 4 hour MACD. On the downside, break of 0.9432 support will indicate near term reversal and completion of rebound from 0.9186. In this case, intraday bias will be turned back to the downside for retesting 0.9186 low. However, sustained break of 0.9626 will carry larger bullish implications.

In the bigger picture, fall from 1.0342 is seen as a medium term down trend. Main focus is on 38.2% retracement of 1.0342 (2016 high) to 0.9186 (2018 low) at 0.9626. Sustained break there will add to the case of trend reversal and target 61.8% retracement at 0.9900 and above). However, rejection from 0.9626 will maintain medium term bearishness for another low below 0.9186.