USD/CHF Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9717; (P) 0.9786; (R1) 0.9823; More

Intraday bias in USD/CHF stays neutral as corrective trading from 0.9964 continues. On the upside, above 0.9964 will resume the rally from 0.9369 to retest 1.0063 high. On the downside, break of 0.9694 support will extend the corrective pattern from 1.0063 with another falling leg, towards 0.9478 support first.

In the bigger picture, current development suggests that up trend from 0.8756 (2021 low) is still in progress. Sustained break of 1.0063 will target 100% projection of 0.9149 to 1.0063 from 0.9369 at 1.0283, and then 1.0342 (2016 high). For now, this will remain the favored case as long as 0.9369 support holds, even in case of deep pull back.

USD/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9738; (P) 0.9759; (R1) 0.9788; More

Break of 0.9741 minor support argues that corrective rise from 0.9613 has completed at 0.9848, after rejection by 38.2% retracement of 1.0237 to 0.9613 at 0.9851. Intraday bias in USD/CHF is back on the downside for retesting 0.9613/29 support zone. Firm break there will resume larger fall from 1.0237. For now, risk will stay on the downside as long as 0.9848 resistance holds, in case of recovery.

In the bigger picture, medium term outlook remains neutral as USD/CHF is staying sideway trading started from 1.0342 (2016 high). Fall from 1.0237 is a leg inside the pattern and could target 0.9186 (2018 low). In case of another rise, break of 1.0237 is needed to indicate up trend resumption. Otherwise, more sideway trading would be seen with risk of another fall.

USD/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9889; (P) 0.9922; (R1) 0.9960; More…..

USD/CHF’s downside momentum diminished mildly after hitting 0.9860 and intraday bias is turned neutral first. Deeper decline is still expected as long as 1.0043 minor resistance holds. As noted before, decline from 1.0342 is seen as the third leg of the pattern from 1.0327. Below 0.9860 will target 61.8% retracement of 0.9443 to 1.0342 at 0.9786 and below. Meanwhile, break of 1.0043 will indicate short term bottoming and turn bias back to the upside.

In the bigger picture, rejection from 1.0327 resistance suggests that consolidation pattern from there is still in progress. Fall from 1.0342 is seen as the third leg and retest of 0.9443/9548 support zone could be seen. But we’d expect strong support from there to contain downside. At this point, we’re still expecting the larger rally to resume later to 38.2% retracement of 1.8305 to 0.7065 at 1.1359.

USD/CHF 4 Hours Chart

USD/CHF Daily Chart

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USD/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9910; (P) 0.9943; (R1) 0.9963; More….

Intraday bias in USD/CHF remains neutral at this point. Consolidation from 0.9990 might extend lower. But downside of retreat should be contained by 0.9856 resistance turn support to bring another rally. As note before, corrective pull back from 1.0128 has completed at 0.9716 already. Above 0.9990 will extend the rise from 0.9716 to retest 1.0128 high.

In the bigger picture, USD/CHF drew strong support from medium term trend line and rebounded. That suggests rise from 0.9186 is still in progress. Break of 0.9963 will affirm this bullish case. Further break of 1.0128 will confirm up trend resumption and target 1.0342 key resistance. Nevertheless, break of 0.9716 will dampen this bullish view and at least bring deeper fall to 0.9541 key support.

USD/CHF Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.8679; (P) 0.8729; (R1) 0.8768; More….

USD/CHF recovered ahead of 0.8665 support and intraday bias is turned neutral first. Risk will stay on the downside as long as 0.8819 resistance holds. On the downside, firm break of 0.8665 will resume the whole fall from 0.9243 to 0.8551 key support level.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 0.8551 are currently seen as part of a corrective pattern to the decline from 1.0146 (2022 high). Fall from 0.9243 is seen as the second leg for now. Deeper decline could be seen to 0.8551 low but strong support should be seen there to bring rebound. Meanwhile, break of 0.9111 resistance will argue that the third leg has started already, and target 0.9243 and above.

USD/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.8854; (P) 0.8872; (R1) 0.8894; More….

Intraday bias in USD/CHF remains neutral for the moment. On the upside, decisive break of 0.8918 resistance will indicate short term bottoming, on bullish convergence condition in 4 hour MACD. Intraday bias will be turned back to the upside for stronger rebound, back towards 0.8998 support turned resistance. Though, rejection by 0.8918 will maintain bearishness. On the downside, break of 0.8821 minor support will bring retest of 0.8756 low first.

In the bigger picture, decline from 1.0237 is seen as the third leg of the pattern from 1.0342 (2016 high). There is no clear sign of completion yet. Next target will be 138.2% projection of 1.0342 to 0.9186 from 1.0237 at 0.8639. In any case, break of 0.9304 resistance is needed to signal medium term bottoming. Otherwise, outlook will remain bearish in case of rebound.

USD/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9644; (P) 0.9702; (R1) 0.9735; More…..

Break of 0.9691 indicates resumption of recent decline in USD/CHF. Intraday bias is turned back to the downside. Current fall from 1.0342 will target 100% projection of 1.0342 to 0.9860 from 1.0099 at 0.9617. We’ll start to look for reversal signal below there. But in any case, break of 0.9807 resistance is needed to indicate short term bottoming. Otherwise, near term outlook will remain bearish in case of recovery.

In the bigger picture, USD/CHF is bounded in medium term range of 0.9443/1.0342 for the moment. Consolidative trading would likely continue and medium term outlook remains neutral. Break of 1.0342 key resistance is needed to confirm underlying bullish momentum in the pair. Meanwhile, downside attempts should be contained by 0.9443 key support level.

USD/CHF 4 Hours Chart

USD/CHF Daily Chart

USD/CHF Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.8656; (P) 0.8678; (R1) 0.8719; More

USD/CHF’s rebound from 0.8553 is still in progress and intraday bias stays mildly on the upside. Further rally would be seen towards 0.8818 support turned resistance. Rejection by 0.8818 will retain near term bearishness for another decline through 0.8553. Meanwhile for now, risk will stay mildly on the upside as long as 0.8553 holds, in case of retreat.

In the bigger picture, the break of 0.8756 (2021 low) indicates break out from the long term range pattern. For now, medium term outlook will stay bearish as long as 0.9146 resistance holds. Further fall would be seen to 61.8% retracement of 0.7065 (2011 low) to 1.0342 (2016 high) at 0.8317 next.

USD/CHF Weekly Outlook

USD/CHF edged higher to 1.0094 but failed to sustain above 1.0067 key resistance and retreated. Nonetheless, with a temporary low formed at 0.9968, initial bias is neutral this week first. A short term top is possibly in place considering bearish divergence condition in 4 hour MACD. On the downside, below 0.9968 will extend the decline from 1.0094 into 0.9848/9954 support zone. On the upside, though, break of 1.0094 and sustained trading above 1.0067 will confirm resumption of larger rise from 0.9186 and should target 1.0342 key resistance next.

In the bigger picture, the pullback from 1.0067 has completed at 0.9541 already. And rise from 0.9186 is likely resuming. Firm break of 1.0067 will pave the way to retest 1.0342 key resistance. We’d be cautious on strong resistance from there to limit upside to bring another medium term fall to extend long term range trading. However, firm break of 0.9848 near term resistance will dampen this view and bring deeper decline back to 0.9541 support and possibly below.

In the long term picture, price actions from 0.7065 (2011 low) are not clearly impulsive yet. Thus, we’ll treat it as developing into a corrective pattern, at least, until a firm break of 1.0342 resistance.

USD/CHF Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9213; (P) 0.9238; (R1) 0.9272; More

USD/CHF rebounds notably today and break of 0.9341 resistance suggests short term bottoming at 0.9199, on bullish convergence condition in 4 hour MACD. Intraday bias is back on the upside for 55 day EMA (now at 0.9473). For now, rise will stay mildly on the upside as long as 0.9199 support holds, in case of retreat.

In the bigger picture, rise from 0.8756 (2021 low) has completed at 1.0146, well ahead of 1.0342 long term resistance (2016 high). Based on current downside momentum, fall from 1.0146 might be a medium term down trend itself. Sustained break of 61.8% retracement of 0.8756 to 1.0146 at 0.9287 will pave the way to 0.8756. In any case, risk will stay on the downside as long as 0.9545 resistance holds.

USD/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.8842; (P) 0.8864; (R1) 0.8880; More….

Intraday bias in USD/CHF is turned neutral with current retreat, and some consolidations would be seen first. Downside should be contained by 0.8727 resistance turned support to bring another rally. On the upside, above 0.8884 will resume the rise from 0.8332 to 100% projection of 0.8332 to 0.8727 from 0.8550 at 0.8954. Firm break there will pave the way to 161.8% projection at 0.9189.

In the bigger picture, a medium term bottom should be formed at 0.8332, on bullish convergence condition in W MACD, just ahead of 0.8317 long term fibonacci support, on bullish convergence condition in W MACD. It’s still early to decide if the larger down trend from 1.0146 (2022 high) is reversing. But further rise should be seen to 0.9243 resistance even as a correction.

USD/CHF Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9523; (P) 0.9578; (R1) 0.9634; More

Intraday bias in USD/CHF is neutral for the moment. Fall from 1.0048 is still seen as the third leg of the consolidation pattern from 1.0063. Strong support should be seen around 0.9543 to bring rebound. On the upside, above 0.9731 minor resistance will turn bias back to the upside for retesting 1.0063 resistance. However, sustained break of 0.9543 will bring deeper fall back to 0.9459 resistance turned support.

In the bigger picture, down trend from 1.0342 (2016 high) should have completed with three waves down to 0.8756 (2021 low) already. Rise from 0.8756 is likely a medium term up trend of its own. Next target is 1.0237/0342 resistance zone. This will remain the favored case as long as 0.9471 resistance turned support holds. However, sustained break of 0.9471 will extend long term range trading with another falling leg.

USD/CHF Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9044; (P) 0.9071; (R1) 0.9090; More

Intraday bias in USD/CHF remains on the downside for the moment. Current down trend should target 61.8% projection of 0.9467 to 0.9050 from 0.9197 at 0.8939. Break will target 100% projection at 0.8780. On the upside, break of 0.9197 resistance is needed to indicate short term bottoming. Otherwise, outlook will stay bearish in case of recovery.

In the bigger picture, decline from 1.0237 is seen as the third leg of the pattern from 1.0342 (2016 low). Current development suggests that such pattern is still extending. Sustain trading below 100% projection of 1.0342 to 0.9186 from 1.0237 at 0.9081 will pave the way to 138.2% projection at 0.8639. On the upside, break of 0.9376 resistance is needed to be the first sign of medium term bottoming.