USD/CHF Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9939; (P) 0.9957; (R1) 0.9973; More…..

Intraday bias in USD/CHF remains neutral and consolidation from 0.9879 might extend. As long as 1.0010 minor resistance holds, further decline is mildly in favor. On the downside, below 0.9879 will resume the fall from 1.0124 to 0.9716 key support. Nevertheless, break of 1.0010 will turn bias back to the upside for 1.0124/28 resistance zone.

In the bigger picture, focus is back on medium term trend line (now at 0.9846). Decisive break there will argue that whole rise from 0.9186 has completed. Further break of 0.9716 will confirm reversal and target next support level at 0.9541. Nevertheless, there is still a chance that price action from 1.0128 are forming a consolidative pattern with fall from 1.0124 as third leg. If this is the case, stronger support should be seen between 0.9716 and the trend line to contain downside.

USD/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.8975; (P) 0.9035; (R1) 0.9064; More….

Intraday bias in USD/CHF remains on the downside at this point. Sustained trading below 61.8% retracement of 0.8756 to 0.9471 at 0.9029 will pave the way to retest 0.8756 low. On the upside, break of 0.9163 resistance is needed to indicate short term bottoming. Otherwise, outlook will remain mildly bearish in case of recovery.

In the bigger picture, rejection by 61.8% retracement of 0.9901 to 0.8756 at 0.9464 argues that rebound from 0.8756 was probably just a corrective move. That is, larger down trend from 1.0237 might be still in progress. Medium term bearish is also affirmed as the pair is now far below falling 55 week EMA. Firm break of 0.8756 low will target 61.8% projection of 1.0237 to 0.8756 from 0.9471 at 0.8556 next.

USD/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9188; (P) 0.9240; (R1) 0.9271; More

USD/CHF’s decline is still in progress and intraday bias remains on the downside. Current down trend should target 0.9115 medium term projection level next. On the upside, break of 0.9469 resistance is needed to indicate short term bottoming. Otherwise, outlook will remain bearish in case of recovery.

In the bigger picture, fall from 1.0342 is developing into a medium term down trend. Deeper decline should be seen to 100% projection of 1.0342 to 0.9420 from 1.0037 at 0.9115. Break will target 161.8% projection at 0.8545. In any case, sustained trading above 55 day EMA is needed to be the first sign of medium term reversal. Otherwise, outlook will stay bearish even in case of strong rebound.

USD/CHF 4 Hours Chart

USD/CHF Daily Chart

USD/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9977; (P) 0.9989; (R1) 1.0007; More

USD/CHF continues to lose upside momentum as seen in 4 hour MACD. But further rise is expected with 0.9960 minor support intact. As noted before, consolidation from 1.0027 should have completed at 0.9869. Further rise should be seen to retest 1.0027 first. Break will resume whole rise from 0.9659 to 78.6% retracement of 1.0237 to 0.9659 at 1.0113. On the downside, however, break of 0.9960 minor support will turn bias to the downside to extend the consolidation with another falling leg.

In the bigger picture, medium term outlook remains neutral as USD/CHF is staying in range of 0.9659/1.0237. In any case, decisive break of 1.0237 is needed to indicate up trend resumption. Otherwise, more sideway trading would be seen with risk of another fall. Meanwhile, break of 0.9695 support will target 0.9541 support instead.

USD/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9335; (P) 0.9361; (R1) 0.9401; More

Intraday bias in USD/CHF remains neutral as consolidation from 0.9288 is extending. Near term outlook will remain bearish as long as 0.9536 support turned resistance holds. Break of 0.9288 will resume the larger down trend and target next key fibonacci level at 0.9115.

In the bigger picture, the strong break of 0.9420 support suggests that fall from 1.0342 is developing into a medium term down trend. Deeper fall should be seen to 100% projection of 1.0342 to 0.9420 from 1.0037 at 0.9115. Break will target 161.8% projection at 08545. In any case, break of 0.9640 resistance is needed to be the first sign of medium term bottoming. Otherwise, outlook will stay bearish even in case of strong rebound.

USD/CHF 4 Hours Chart

USD/CHF Daily Chart

USD/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9875; (P) 0.9895; (R1) 0.9913; More….

Intraday bias in USD/CHF remains neutral for the moment. On the upside, above 0.9977 will resume the rebound from 0.9734 for 1.0037 resistance. On the downside, below 0.9834 will probably extend the correction from 1.0037 through 0.9734. But we’d expect strong support from 61.8% retracement of 0.9420 to 0.1.0037 at 0.9656 to complete the correction from 1.0037 and bring rebound.

In the bigger picture, range trading continues between 0.9420/1.0342. At this point, 0.9420 appears to be a strong support level. Therefore, in case of decline attempt, we don’t expect a firm break of this level. Nonetheless, strong break of 1.0342 is also needed to confirm upside momentum. Otherwise, medium term outlook will stay neutral.

USD/CHF 4 Hours Chart

USD/CHF Daily Chart

USD/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.8943; (P) 0.8971; (R1) 0.9010; More….

Intraday bias in USD/CHF remains neutral for the moment. Further decline is expected as long as 0.9052 resistance holds. On the downside, break of 0.8925 will resume the fall from 0.9471 to retest 0.8756 low. However, firm break of 0.9052 resistance will now confirm short term bottoming. Intraday bias will be turned back to the upside for stronger rebound.

In the bigger picture, prior rejection by 61.8% retracement of 0.9901 to 0.8756 at 0.9464 argues that rebound from 0.8756 was probably just a corrective move. That is, larger down trend from 1.0237 might be still in progress. Medium term bearish is also affirmed as the pair is now far below falling 55 week EMA. Firm break of 0.8756 low will target 61.8% projection of 1.0237 to 0.8756 from 0.9471 at 0.8556 next.

USD/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9300; (P) 0.9327; (R1) 0.9375; More….

A temporary top is formed at 0.9367 in USD/CHF with current retreat. Intraday bias is turned neutral for consolidations first. But further rally will remain in favor as long as 0.9214 support holds. On the upside, break of 0.9367 will resume the rise from 0.8925 to 0.9471 key resistance next.

In the bigger picture, the strong rally above 55 week EMA (now at 0.9190) now tilts favor to the case of bullish trend reversal. That is, decline from 1.3042 (2016 high) is probably completed at 0.8756 already. Sustained break of 0.9471 resistance should confirm this case and pave the way to retest 1.0342 ahead. However, rejection by 0.9471 will mix up the outlook again and retain some medium term bearishness.

USD/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9526; (P) 0.9552; (R1) 0.9577; More….

USD/CHF’s fall extends to as low as 0.9490 so far. Intraday bias remains on the downside for retesting 0.9437 low. Note again that the pair is bounded in medium falling channel and limited below 38.2% retracement of 1.0342 to 0.9437 at 0.9783. Break of 0.9427 will extend the whole decline from 1.0342 and carries larger bearish implications. On the upside, above 0.9577 minor resistance will turn intraday bias neutral first.

In the bigger picture, we’re slightly favoring the case that USD/CHF has successfully defended 0.9443 key support level. And long term range trading in 0.9443/1.0342 is extending with another rise. At this point, there is no sign of an up trend yet. Hence, while further rise is expected in USD/CHF, we’ll start to be cautious on loss of momentum above 61.8% retracement of 1.0342 to 0.9437 at 0.9996. However, firm break of 0.9443 will carry larger bearish implication and would target next key support at 0.9072.

USD/CHF 4 Hours Chart

USD/CHF Daily Chart

USD/CHF Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9098; (P) 0.9125; (R1) 0.9144; More….

No change in USD/CHF’s outlook and further fall is expected with 0.9174 resistance intact. Decline from 0.9367 should target 0.9017 support first and then 0.8925. On the upside, however, break of 0.9174 resistance will indicate short term bottoming and turn bias back to the upside for stronger rebound instead.

In the bigger picture, the corrective structure of the rebound from 0.8925 argues that fall from 0.9471 is not complete yet. It could either be the second leg of pattern from 0.8756 (2021 low), or resuming larger down trend from 1.0237 (2018 high). We’d pay attention to the downside momentum and assess the odds later. But for now, medium term outlook will be neutral at best as long as 0.9471 resistance holds.

USD/CHF Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9886; (P) 0.9938; (R1) 0.9981; More

Intraday bias in USD/CHF remains mildly on the downside for the 0.9848 support. Firm break there will confirm near term reversal and target target 61.8% retracement of 0.9541 to 1.0128 at 0.9765. On the upside, though, break of 1.0008 resistance will indicate that the pull back from 1.0128 has completed. Intraday bias will be turned back to the upside for retesting 1.0128 high.

In the bigger picture, rise from 0.9541 could have topped at 1.0128. But as long as 0.9541 support holds, we’d still expect rise from 0.9186 to resume at a later stage. Break of 1.0128 will target 1.0342 key resistance. However, break of 0.9541 will pave the way back to 0.9186 low.

USD/CHF Weekly Outlook

USD/CHF stayed in consolidation above 0.9005 last week. Initial bias remains neutral this week and more sideway trading could be seen. Further decline is in favor as long as 55 4H EMA (now at 0.9087) holds. On the downside, break of 0.9005 and sustained trading below 55 D EMA (now at 0.9004) will bring deeper fall to 38.2% retracement of 0.8332 to 0.9223 at 0.8883. However, firm break of 55 4H EMA will suggest that the pull back has completed, and bring stronger rebound to retest 0.9223 high.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 0.8332 medium term bottom are tentatively seen as developing into a corrective pattern to the down trend from 1.0146 (2022 high). Rejection by 0.9243 resistance, followed by sustained break of 38.2% retracement of 0.8332 to 0.9223 at 0.8883 will strengthen this case, and maintain medium term bearishness. However, decisive break of 0.9243 will argue that the trend has already reversed and turn medium term outlook bullish for 1.0146.

In the long term picture, price action from 0.7065 (2011 high) are seen as a corrective pattern to the multi-decade down trend from 1.8305 (2000 high). Strong rebound from 61.8% retracement of 0.7065 to 1.0342 (2016 high) will start the third leg as a medium term rally. But there will be no sign of long term reversal until firm break of 38.2% retracement of 1.8305 to 0.7065 at 1.1359.

USD/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9622; (P) 0.9683; (R1) 0.9725; More….

Intraday bias in USD/CHF remains neutral for the moment. On the upside decisive break of 0.9772 resistance will suggest that whole down trend form 1.0342 has completed. In that case, near term outlook will be turned bullish for 0.9860/1.0099 resistance zone. Nonetheless, with 0.9772 resistance intact, outlook remains bearish. Below 0.9587 minor support will turn bias back to the downside for retesting 0.9420 low.

In the bigger picture, current development suggests that 0.9443 key support (2016 low) could be taken out firmly as down trend form 1.0342 extends. There are various interpretation of the price actions. But in any case, medium term outlook will stay bearish as long as 0.9772 resistance holds. Current down trend could extend to 38.2% retracement of 0.7065 (2011 low) to 1.0342 (2016 high) at 0.9090. However, break of 0.9772 will indicate that USD/CHF has successfully defended 0.9443 again and turn outlook bullish for 1.0099 resistance.

USD/CHF 4 Hours Chart

USD/CHF Daily Chart

USD/CHF Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9625; (P) 0.9639; (R1) 0.9664; More

Intraday bias in USD/CHF remains neutral as consolidation from 0.9613 is extending. Upside is expected to be limited by 0.9762 resistance to bring down trend resumption. On the downside, break of 0.9613 will target 100% projection of 1.0237 to 0.9659 from 1.0023 at 0.9445. However, considering bullish convergence condition in 4 hour MACD, break of 0.9762 will indicate near term reversal and turn outlook bullish for stronger rebound.

In the bigger picture, medium term outlook remains neutral as USD/CHF is staying sideway trading started from 1.0342 (2016 high). Fall from 1.0237 is a leg inside the pattern and could target 0.9186 (2018 low). In case of another rise, break of 1.0237 is needed to indicate up trend resumption. Otherwise, more sideway trading would be seen with risk of another fall.

USD/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9830; (P) 0.9894; (R1) 0.9925; More…..

USD/CHF’s resumed by takin gout 0.9890 and reaches as low as 0.9858 so far. Intraday bias is back on the downside for 0.9812 and below. Note again that price actions from 1.0342 are seen as a correction. Break of 0.9812 should be brief and we will look for bottoming signal below there. On the upside, break of 0.9956 resistance will suggest that fall from 1.0107 is completed and turn bias back to the upside for this resistance.

In the bigger picture, we’re still maintaining that firm break of 1.0342 key resistance is needed to confirm underlying bullish momentum in the pair. However, the corrective nature of the fall from 1.0342 is starting to give the medium term outlook a bullish favor. Hence, in stead of looking for topping signal around 1.0342, we’d now pay closer attention to upside acceleration as USD/CHF approaches this level again.

USD/CHF 4 Hours Chart

USD/CHF Daily Chart

USD/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9160; (P) 0.9172; (R1) 0.9195; More….

Range trading continues in USD/CHF and intraday bias remains neutral for the moment. On the downside, break of 0.9098 will target 0.9017 support first. Further break there will likely resume the decline from 0.9471 through 0.8925 low. On the upside, break of 0.9241 resistance should resume the rise from 0.8925 through 0.927.

In the bigger picture, USD/CHF is still struggling around 55 week EMA (now at 0.9176) and outlook is mixed for now. Confirmed rejection by the 55 week EMA will retain medium term bearishness. That is, larger fall from 1.0342 would resume through 0.8756 low at a later stage. However, sustained trading above 55 week EMA will tilt favor to the case of bullish reversal. Focus would then be turned to 0.9471 resistance for confirmation.

USD/CHF Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9630; (P) 0.9659; (R1) 0.9711; More….

Intraday bias in USD/CHF remains neutral as it’s bounded in range of 0.9582/9772. On the upside, decisive break of 0.9772 resistance will revive the bullish case of reversal. That is, whole decline from 1.0342 has completed at 0.9437 after defending 0.9443 support. USD/CHF should then target channel resistance (now at 0.9862) next. Meanwhile, the pair is bounded inside medium term falling channel and limited below 38.2% retracement of 1.0342 to 0.9437 at 0.9783 for the moment. Break of 0.9582 will turn bias back to the downside for 0.9437. This could also extend the fall from 1.0342 through 0.9437/43 key support level.

In the bigger picture, we’re slightly favoring the case that USD/CHF has successfully defended 0.9443 key support level. And long term range trading in 0.9443/1.0342 is extending with another rise. At this point, there is no sign of an up trend yet. Hence, while further rise is expected in USD/CHF, we’ll start to be cautious on loss of momentum above 61.8% retracement of 1.0342 to 0.9437 at 0.9996. However, firm break of 0.9443 will carry larger bearish implication and would target next key support at 0.9072.

USD/CHF 4 Hours Chart

USD/CHF Daily Chart

USD/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9897; (P) 0.9919; (R1) 0.9942; More….

Intraday bias in USD/CHF remains neutral for consolidation below 0.9977 temporary top. We’d holding on to the view that correction from 1.0037 has completed at 0.9734 already. Also, rise from 0.9420 might be resuming. On the upside, above 0.9977 will target 1.0037 high first. Break will extend the rise from 0.9420 to 61.8% projection of 0.9420 to 0.9734 from 1.0047 at 1.0115 next. Nevertheless, firm break of 0.9881 support will dampen this immediate bullish case and turn bias to the downside for 0.9734 instead.

In the bigger picture, range trading continues between 0.9420/1.0342. At this point, 0.9420 appears to be a strong support level. Therefore, in case of decline attempt, we don’t expect a firm break of this level. Nonetheless, strong break of 1.0342 is also needed to confirm upside momentum. Otherwise, medium term outlook will stay neutral.

USD/CHF 4 Hours Chart

USD/CHF Daily Chart

USD/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9915; (P) 0.9928; (R1) 0.9946; More…..

A temporary low is in place at 0.9881 in USD/CHF, ahead of 0.9860 support. Intraday bias is turned neutral first. Deeper decline is in favor as long as 1.0002 minor resistance holds. Break of 0.9860 will extend the whole fall from 1.0342 towards 100% projection of 1.0342 to 0.9860 from 1.0169 at 0.9687. However, break of 1.0002 will argue that fall from 1.0169 is finished and will turn bias back to the upside for this resistance instead.

In the bigger picture, USD/CHF is staying in medium term sideway pattern between 0.9443/1.0342. In any case, decisive break of 1.0342 resistance is needed to confirm underlying strength. Otherwise, we’ll stay neutral in the pair first. In case of another fall, we’d expect strong support from 0.9443/9548 support zone.

USD/CHF 4 Hours Chart

USD/CHF Daily Chart

USD/CHF Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9830; (P) 0.9894; (R1) 0.9925; More…..

Intraday bias in USD/CHF remains on the downside for 0.9812 support and below. Note again that price actions from 1.0342 are seen as a correction. Break of 0.9812 should be brief and we will look for bottoming signal below there. On the upside, break of 0.9956 resistance will suggest that fall from 1.0107 is completed and turn bias back to the upside for this resistance.

In the bigger picture, we’re still maintaining that firm break of 1.0342 key resistance is needed to confirm underlying bullish momentum in the pair. However, the corrective nature of the fall from 1.0342 is starting to give the medium term outlook a bullish favor. Hence, in stead of looking for topping signal around 1.0342, we’d now pay closer attention to upside acceleration as USD/CHF approaches this level again.

USD/CHF 4 Hours Chart

USD/CHF Daily Chart