Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9520; (P) 0.9558; (R1) 0.9601; More…

A temporary low is in place at 0.9515 in USD/CHF with current recovery. Intraday bias in turned neutral for some consolidations first. Upside of recovery should be limited by 4 hour 55 EMA (now at 0.9681) to bring fall resumption. On the downside, break of 0.9151 will extend larger fall from 1.0237 to 100% projection of 1.0023 to 0.9613 from 0.9848 at 0.9438.

In the bigger picture, medium term outlook remains neutral as USD/CHF is staying sideway trading started from 1.0342 (2016 high). Fall from 1.0237 is a leg inside the pattern and rejection by 55 week EMA affirms bearishness. Such decline could target 0.9186 (2018 low) and below. In case of another rise, break of 1.0237 is needed to indicate up trend resumption. Otherwise, more sideway trading would be seen with risk of another fall.

USD/CHF’s decline from 1.0037 extended to as low as 0.9776 last week. The development argues that rebound from 0.9420 is completed at 1.0037 already. Initial bias remains on the downside this week for 61.8% retracement of 0.9420 to 1.0037 at 0.9656. We’ll look for bottoming again below 0.9656 and above 0.9420. On the upside, break of 0.9946 resistance will indicate that the decline from 1.0037 has completed and bring retest of this resistance.

In the bigger picture, range trading continues between 0.9420/1.0342. At this point, 0.9420 appears to be a strong support level. Therefore, in case of decline attempt, we don’t expect a firm break of this level. Nonetheless, strong break of 1.0342 is also needed to confirm upside momentum. Otherwise, medium term outlook will stay neutral.

In the long term picture, while upside momentum is unconvincing, with 0.9443 key support intact, rise from 0.7065 (2011 low) is still expected to continue. Break of 1.0342 will target 38.2% retracement of 1.8305 (2000 high) to 0.7065 at 1.1359.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9089; (P) 0.9118; (R1) 0.9143; More….

USD/CHF is extending consolidation from 0.9079 and intraday bias remains neutral first. Further fall is expected with 0.9180 minor resistance intact. On the downside, break of 0.9079 will resume the decline from 0.9471 to 61.8% retracement of 0.8756 to 0.9471 at 0.9029. Sustained break there will pave the way to retest 0.8756 low. On the upside, however, break of 0.9180 will turn bias back to the upside for stronger rebound.

In the bigger picture, rejection by 61.8% retracement of 0.9901 to 0.8756 at 0.9464 argues that rebound from 0.8756 was probably just a corrective move. That is, larger down trend from 1.0237 might be still in progress. We’ll monitor the downside momentum of the decline from 0.9471, to assess the chance of breakthrough 0.8756 low at a later stage.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9905; (P) 0.9953; (R1) 0.9985; More…..

Intraday bias in USD/CHF remains on the downside and fall from 1.0169 should target 0.9860 support next. Whole decline from 1.0342 is likely resuming and break of 0.9860 will target 100% projection of 1.0342 to 0.9860 from 1.0169 at 0.9687. Nonetheless, on the upside, break of 1.0002 minor resistance will turn bias back to the upside for 1.0169 resistance instead.

In the bigger picture, USD/CHF is staying in medium term sideway pattern between 0.9443/1.0342. In any case, decisive break of 1.0342 resistance is needed to confirm underlying strength. Otherwise, we’ll stay neutral in the pair first. In case of another fall, we’d expect strong support from 0.9443/9548 support zone.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9842; (P) 0.9857; (R1) 0.9880; More…

USD/CHF lost some upside momentum as seen in 4 hour MACD. But with 0.9809 minor support intact, rebound from 0.9695 is in favor to extend to 1.0014 resistance. Upside could be limited by 61.8% retracement of 1.0237 to 0.9695 at 1.0030. On the downside, below 0.9809 minor support will turn bias back to the downside for retesting 0.9695 low instead.

In the bigger picture, current development suggests that up trend from 0.9186 (2018 low) has completed at 1.0237 already. Deeper decline would be seen to 61.8% retracement of 0.9186 to 1.0237 at 0.9587 and below. For now, USD/CHF is seen as in long term range pattern between 0.9186 and 1.0342. Hence, we’d pay attention to bottoming signal below 0.9587. However, sustained break of 1.0014 will revive medium term bullishness and turn focus back to 1.0237 high.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9092; (P) 0.9124; (R1) 0.9183; More….

Intraday bias in USD/CHF stays mildly on the upside at this point. Corrective fall from 0.9273 should have completed with three waves down to 0.9017. Further rally would be seen to retest 0.9273 first. Break there will resume rise from 0.8925 to 100% projection of 0.8925 to 0.9273 from 0.9017 at 0.9365. On the downside, below 0.9085 minor support will turn bias back to the downside for 0.9017 support instead.

In the bigger picture, the failure to sustain above 55 week EMA (now at 0.9183) retains medium term bearish in USD/CHF. Break of 0.8925 support should resume the whole decline form 1.0342 (2016 high) through 0.8756 low. However, break of 0.9273 resistance and sustained trading above 55 week EMA will be an early sign of bullish trend reversal. Focus will then turn to 0.9471 resistance for confirmation.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9955; (P) 1.0030; (R1) 1.0077; More…..

USD/CHF’s sharp decline and break of 1.0008 support indicates that corrective rise from 0.9860 has completed at 1.0169 already. In other words, the whole decline from 1.0342 could be resuming. Intraday bias is turned back to the downside for 0.9860 support first. Break will confirm this view and target 100% projection of 1.0342 to 0.9860 from 1.0169 at 0.9687. On the upside, 1.0059 minor resistance will turn bias neutral. But outlook will now stay bearish as long as 1.0169 resistance holds.

In the bigger picture, prior rejection from 1.0327 resistance argues that USD/CHF is staying in a medium term sideway pattern. In any case, decisive break of 1.0342 resistance is needed to confirm underlying strength. Otherwise, we’ll stay neutral in the pair first. In case of another fall, we’d expect strong support from 0.9443/9548 support zone.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9615; (P) 0.9646; (R1) 0.9676; More…..

USD/CHF is staying in tight range above 0.9613 temporary low for the moment and intraday bias stays neutral first. Deeper decline is still expected as long as 0.9807 resistance holds. But in case of deeper fall, we’d start to look for bottoming signal again as it approaches 0.9443 key support level. However, considering bullish convergence condition in 4 hour MACD, break of 0.9807 will indicate near term reversal and turn outlook bullish for 1.0099 resistance next.

In the bigger picture, USD/CHF is still bounded in medium term range of 0.9443/1.0342 for the moment. Consolidative trading would likely continue and medium term outlook remains neutral. Break of 1.0342 key resistance is needed to confirm underlying bullish momentum in the pair. Meanwhile, downside attempts should be contained by 0.9443 key support level. However, sustained break of 0.9443 will carry larger bearish implication and target 0.9 handle.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0078; (P) 1.0099; (R1) 1.0128; More….

USD/CHF is staying in consolidation below 1.0124 temporary top and intraday bias remains neutral. In case of another retreat, downside should be contained by 1.0027 minor support to bring another rally. On the upside, break of 1.0124 will target 61.8% projection of 0.9716 to 1.0098 from 0.9926 at 1.0162 and then 100% projection at 1.0308.

In the bigger picture, USD/CHF drew strong support from medium term trend line and rebounded. That suggests rise from 0.9186 is still in progress. Further break of 1.0128 will confirm up trend resumption and target 1.0342 key resistance. Nevertheless, break of 0.9926 support will be the first signal of medium term reversal and bring another test on the trend line.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.8523; (P) 0.8631; (R1) 0.8689; More…

USD/CHF’s decline accelerates lower today. There so no sign of bottoming yet, and intraday bias stays on the downside for retesting 0.8332 low. On the upside, above 0.8594 minor resistance will turn intraday bias neutral and bring consolidations, before staging another fall.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 0.8332 (2023 low) are currently seen as a medium term corrective pattern, with fall from 0.9223 as the second leg. Strong support could be seen from 0.8332 to bring rebound. Yet, overall outlook will continue to stay bearish as long as 0.9243 resistance holds. Firm break of 0.8332, however, will resume larger down trend from 1.0146 (2022 high).

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9062; (P) 0.9080; (R1) 0.9110; More….

No change in USD/CHF’s outlook and intraday bias stays neutral. On the upside, firm break of 0.9101 will argue that corrective fall from 0.9223 has completed with three waves down to 0.8987 already. Further rise should then be seen to retest 0.9223. On the downside, though, break of 0.8987 will resume the fall to 38.2% retracement of 0.8332 to 0.9223 at 0.8883.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 0.8332 medium term bottom are tentatively seen as developing into a corrective pattern to the down trend from 1.0146 (2022 high). Rejection by 0.9243 resistance, followed by sustained break of 38.2% retracement of 0.8332 to 0.9223 at 0.8883 will strengthen this case, and maintain medium term bearishness. However, decisive break of 0.9243 will argue that the trend has already reversed and turn medium term outlook bullish for 1.0146.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0078; (P) 1.0162; (R1) 1.0224; More…..

USD/CHF is holding above 1.0019 support and intraday bias stays neutral first. Price actions from 1.0342 are seen as a consolidation pattern. Firm break of 1.0342 will confirm up trend resumption. However, sustained break of 1.0019 will indicate near term reversal and could bring deeper fall bring to 0.9443/9548 support zone.

In the bigger picture, the corrective fall from 1.0327 should have completed at 0.9443 already. Rise from 0.9443 could be resuming the long term rally from 2011 low at 0.7065. But decisive break of 1.0327 is needed to confirm. In that case, next medium term upside target will be 38.2% retracement of 1.8305 to 0.7065 at 1.1359. Rejection from 1.0327 will extend the sideway pattern with another fall back to 0.9443/9548 support zone.

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Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9724; (P) 0.9762; (R1) 0.9788; More….

Intraday bias in USD/CHF remains neutral for the moment. Considering bearish divergence condition in 4 hour MACD, break of 0.9704 resistance turned support will argue that rebound from 0.9420 has completed. This will also mixed up the near term outlook and turn bias back to the downside for 0.9587 support. Meanwhile, break of 0.9835 temporary top will extend the rebound to 61.8% retracement of 1.0342 to 0.9420 at 0.9990.

In the bigger picture, current development suggests that USD/CHF has defended 0.9443 (2016 low) key support level again. Rise from 0.9420 could develop into a medium term move and target a test on 1.0342 high. This represents the upper end of a long term range that started back in 2015. On the downside, break of 0.9587 support is now needed to indicate completion of the rise from 0.9420. Otherwise, further rally will remain in favor in medium term.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9538; (P) 0.9600; (R1) 0.9709; More…

USD/CHF’s rebound from 0.9437 accelerated to as high as 0.9720 so far. The break of 0.9699 resistance now suggests that it has bottomed at 0.9437 after defending 0.9443 key support level. This is also supported by bullish convergence condition in daily MACD. Intraday bias is on the upside for 38.2% retracement of 1.0342 to 0.9437 at 0.9783 first. Break will target channel resistance (now at 0.9912). On the downside, below 0.9633 minor support will turn intraday bias neutral and bring consolidations first.

In the bigger picture, current development argues that USD/CHF has successfully defended 0.9443 key support level. And long term range trading in 0.9443/1.0342 is extending with another rising level. At this point, there is no sign of an up trend yet. Hence, while further rise is expected in USD/CHF, we’ll start to be cautious on loss of momentum above 61.8% retracement of 1.0342 to 0.9437 at 0.9996.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.8878; (P) 0.8890; (R1) 0.8909; More…

Intraday bias in USD/CHF is back on the upside with break of 0.8914 support turned resistance. Further rally should be seen to 55 D EMA (now at 0.8967) and possibly above. But still, break of 0.9049 resistance is needed to confirm that fall from 0.9223 has completed. Otherwise, risk will stay on the downside for another fall at a later stage.

In the bigger picture, with 0.9243 resistance intact, medium term outlook in USD/CHF is neutral at best. For now, more sideway trading is likely between 0.8332/9243. However, firm break of 0.9243 will indicate larger bullish trend reversal.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9603; (P) 0.9639; (R1) 0.9660; More…

USD/CHF is staying in range of 0.9594/9772 and intraday bias remains neutral for the moment. Outlook is a bit mixed as the pair is bounded inside medium term falling channel. The pair was also limited below 38.2% retracement of 1.0342 to 0.9437 at 0.9783. Firm break of 0.9594 will dampen our bullish view and turn bias back to the downside for 0.9437. This could also extend the fall through 1.0342 through 0.9437/43 key support level. On the upside, above 0.9772 will revive the bullish case of reversal and turn bias back to the upside.

In the bigger picture, current development argues that USD/CHF has successfully defended 0.9443 key support level. And long term range trading in 0.9443/1.0342 is extending with another rise. At this point, there is no sign of an up trend yet. Hence, while further rise is expected in USD/CHF, we’ll start to be cautious on loss of momentum above 61.8% retracement of 1.0342 to 0.9437 at 0.9996.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9050; (P) 0.9098; (R1) 0.9123; More….

Intraday bias in USD/CHF remains on the downside at this point. Fall from 0.9471 should target 61.8% retracement of 0.8756 to 0.9471 at 0.9029. Sustained break there will pave the way to retest 0.8756 low. On the upside, though, break of 0.9163 minor resistance should indicate short term bottoming, and turn bias to the upside for stronger rebound.

In the bigger picture, rejection by 61.8% retracement of 0.9901 to 0.8756 at 0.9464 argues that rebound from 0.8756 was probably just a corrective move. That is, larger down trend from 1.0237 might be still in progress. We’ll monitor the downside momentum of the decline from 0.9471, to assess the chance of breakthrough 0.8756 low at a later stage.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9808; (P) 0.9830; (R1) 0.9860; More….

USD/CHF’s recovery from 0.9776 extends higher but it’s limited well below 0.9946 resistance so far. Intraday bias remains neutral first. As long as 0.9946 resistance holds, another fall is still expected. Below 0.9776 will extend the decline from 1.0037 to 61.8% retracement of 0.9420 to 1.0037 at 0.9656. We’ll look for bottoming again below 0.9656 and above 0.9420. On the upside, break of 0.9946 resistance will indicate that the decline from 1.0037 has completed and bring retest of this resistance.

In the bigger picture, range trading continues between 0.9420/1.0342. At this point, 0.9420 appears to be a strong support level. Therefore, in case of decline attempt, we don’t expect a firm break of this level. Nonetheless, strong break of 1.0342 is also needed to confirm upside momentum. Otherwise, medium term outlook will stay neutral.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9938; (P) 0.9958; (R1) 0.9981; More….

Intraday bias in USD/CHF remains neutral as consolidation from 0.9990 is in progress. Deeper retreat might be seen. But downside should be contained above 0.9856 support to bring another rise. As noted before, correction from 1.0128 should have completed at 0.9716 already. On the upside, above 0.9990 will target a test on 1.0128 high next.

In the bigger picture, current development suggests that rise from 0.9186 has possibly completed with three waves up to 1.0128 already. Decline from 1.0128 could either be correcting this move, or reversing the trend. As long as 0.9541 support holds, we’d slightly favor the former scenario, and expect another rise through 1.0128 at a later stage. However, sustained break of 0.9541 will confirm trend reversal and bring deeper fall back to 0.9186 low.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0070; (P) 1.0096; (R1) 1.0112; More…

Intraday bias in USD/CHF remains neutral for now and, with 1.0126 support turned resistance intact, another decline is mildly in favor. On the downside, break of 1.0050 will resume the fall from 1.0237 to retest 0.9879 key support. However, firm break of 1.0126 will turn bias back to the upside for 1.0237 resistance.

In the bigger picture, as long as 0.9879 support holds, medium term up trend form 0.9186 is still in progress. Break of 1.0237 will target 1.0342 resistance next. For now, we’d be cautious on strong resistance from there to limit upside, until we see medium term upside acceleration. However, decisive break of 0.9879 will be a strong sign of medium term reversal. Focus will be turned back to 0.9716 support for confirmation.