Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9122; (P) 0.9158; (R1) 0.9180; More….

Intraday bias in USD/CHF remains neutral as consolidations from 0.9192 temporary top could still extend. But overall, But further rally is expected as long as 0.9044 resistance turned support holds. Sustained break of 38.2% retracement of 0.9901 to 0.8756 at 0.9193 will target 0.9295 resistance. Firm break there will carry larger bullish implications and target 61.8% retracement at 0.9464 next.

In the bigger picture, decline from 1.0237 is seen as the third leg of the pattern from 1.0342 (2016 high). There is no clear sign of completion yet. Next target will be 138.2% projection of 1.0342 to 0.9186 from 1.0237 at 0.8639. In any case, break of 0.9295 resistance is needed to signal medium term bottoming. Otherwise, outlook will remain bearish in case of rebound. Firm break of 0.9295, though, will be an early sign of medium term bullish reversal.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9007; (P) 0.9070; (R1) 0.9104; More…

Intraday bias in USD/CHF remains on the downside for retesting 0.8998 low. Next near term target is 100% projection of 0.9304 to 0.9030 from 0.9207 at 0.8933. On the upside, break of 0.9101 minor resistance will mix up the near term outlook and turn intraday bias neutral again.

In the bigger picture, decline from 1.0237 is seen as the third leg of the pattern from 1.0342 (2016 high). There is no clear sign of completion yet. On resumption, next target will be 138.2% projection of 1.0342 to 0.9186 from 1.0237 at 0.8639. Nevertheless, strong break of 0.9304 resistance will be an early sign of trend reversal and turn focus back to 0.9901 key resistance for confirmation.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9584; (P) 0.9601; (R1) 0.9630; More…

Intraday bias in USD/CHF stays neutral first. Price actions from 1.0063 are still seen as a consolidation pattern. On the upside, break of 0.9731 resistance will argue that such consolidation has completed and bring stronger rally back to retest 1.0063 high. However, another fall below 0.9493 will dampen this view and target 0.9459 resistance turned support.

In the bigger picture, down trend from 1.0342 (2016 high) should have completed with three waves down to 0.8756 (2021 low) already. Rise from 0.8756 is likely a medium term up trend of its own. Next target is 1.0237/0342 resistance zone. This will remain the favored case as long as 0.9471 resistance turned support holds. However, sustained break of 0.9471 will extend long term range trading with another falling leg.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9221; (P) 0.9259; (R1) 0.9329; More….

Intraday bias in USD/CHF remains on the upside at this point. Firm break of 0.9295 resistance will carry larger bullish implication and target 61.8% retracement of 0.9901 to 0.8756 at 0.9464. On the downside, break of 0.9192 minor support will turn intraday bias neutral again. But further rally is expected as long as 0.9044 resistance turned support holds.

In the bigger picture, decline from 1.0237 is seen as the third leg of the pattern from 1.0342 (2016 high). Firm break of 0.9295 resistance, and sustained trading above 55 week EMA (now at 0.9227), will suggest that the pattern has completed. In this case, further rise could be seen back to 1.0237/0342 resistance zone in the medium term. Though, rejection by 0.9295 will retain medium term bearishness for 138.2% projection of 1.0342 to 0.9186 from 1.0237 at 0.8639.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.8965; (P) 0.9009; (R1) 0.9037; More….

USD/CHF is extending the consolidation from 0.8929 and intraday bias remains neutral. Outlook stays bearish for deeper decline. On the downside, break of 0.8929 will resume the fall from 0.9471 to retest 0.8756 low. However, firm break of 0.9052 will turn bias to the upside for stronger rebound, and target 38.2% retracement of 0.9471 to 0.8929 at 0.9136 first.

In the bigger picture, prior rejection by 61.8% retracement of 0.9901 to 0.8756 at 0.9464 argues that rebound from 0.8756 was probably just a corrective move. That is, larger down trend from 1.0237 might be still in progress. Medium term bearish is also affirmed as the pair is now far below falling 55 week EMA. Firm break of 0.8756 low will target 61.8% projection of 1.0237 to 0.8756 from 0.9471 at 0.8556 next.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9607; (P) 0.9623; (R1) 0.9649; More…

Despite edging higher to 0.9648, USD/CHF failed to sustain above 0.9626 key fibonacci level. With 4 hour MACD turned below signal line, intraday bias is turned neutral first. Rejection from 0.9626, followed by by break of 0.9521 support, will turn bias back to the downside for 0.9432 support. Break there will indicate near term reversal and completion of rebound from 0.9186. Meanwhile, sustained break of 0.9626 will be another evidence of larger reversal. In this case, further rise would be seen to next fibonacci level at 0.9900.

In the bigger picture, fall from 1.0342 is seen as a medium term down trend. Main focus is on 38.2% retracement of 1.0342 (2016 high) to 0.9186 (2018 low) at 0.9626. Sustained break there will add to the case of trend reversal and target 61.8% retracement at 0.9900 and above. However, rejection from 0.9626 will maintain medium term bearishness for another low below 0.9186.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9724; (P) 0.9745; (R1) 0.9778; More…

Focus is immediately on 0.9802 resistance with today’s rally in USD/CHF. Break will resume the whole rebound from 0.9502. Intraday bias will be turned back to the upside for 0.9901 resistance. On the downside, break of 0.9712 support will extend the consolidation pattern from 0.9901 with another falling leg. Intraday bias will be turned to the downside for 0.9592 support first. Overall, downside should be contained by 61.8% retracement of 0.9181 to 0.9901 at 0.9456 to rebound.

In the bigger picture, decline from 1.0237 is seen as the third leg of the pattern from 1.0342 (2016 low). It could have completed at 0.9181 after hitting 0.9186 key support (2018 low). Break of 0.9901 will extend the rebound form 0.9181 through 1.0023 resistance. After all, medium term range trading will likely continue between 0.9181/1.0237 for some more time.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.8578; (P) 0.8604; (R1) 0.8629; More…

Intraday bias in USD/CHF remains neutral for the moment. Consolidation from 0.8564 could extend, but upside of recovery should be limited below 0.8818 support turned resistance to bring another fall. On the downside, break of 0.8564 will resume larger down trend from 1.0146 and target 100% projection of 0.9439 to 0.8818 from 0.9146 at 0.8525 next.

In the bigger picture, the break of 0.8756 (2021 low) indicates break out from the long term range pattern. For now, medium term outlook will stay bearish as long as 0.9146 resistance holds. Further fall would be seen to 61.8% retracement of 0.7065 (2011 low) to 1.0342 (2016 high) at 0.8317 next.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9854; (P) 0.9906; (R1) 0.9934; More…

USD/CHF recovers strongly after hitting 0.9866, ahead of 0.9856 support. Intraday bias is turned neutral again. On the upside, above 0.9977 will bring retest of 1.0067 first. Decisive break there will resume larger rally from 0.9186. On the downside, below 0.9866 will extend the fall from 1.0067 through 0.9856 to 0.9787 support. As price actions from 1.0056 are seen as a corrective pattern, downside should be contained by 38.2% retracement of 0.9186 to 1.0056 at 0.9724 to bring rebound.

In the bigger picture, current development suggests that the consolidation pattern from 1.0056 is extending with another leg. As long as 38.2% retracement of 0.9186 to 1.0056 at 0.9724 holds, we’d expect rise from 0.9186 to resume at a later stage to retest 1.0342 key resistance (2016 high). However, sustained break of 0.9724 will bring deeper fall, as another declining leg in the long term range pattern.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.8936; (P) 0.8968; (R1) 0.8984; More…

No change in USD/CHF’s outlook as consolidation from 0.8900 is extending. Intraday bias stays neutral and further decline is expected. On the downside, break of 0.8900 will resume the fall from 0.9146 to 0.8818 low or below. On the upside, above 0.9015 will bring stronger rise towards 0.9146 resistance instead.

In the bigger picture, fall from 1.1046 (2022 high) is seen as a leg in the long term range pattern from 1.0342 (2016 high). While further decline cannot be ruled out, strong support is expected from 0.8756 long term support to bring reversal. Firm break of 0.9146 resistance should confirm medium term bottoming.

USD/CHF’s rise from 0.8551 continued last week and hit as high as 0.8976. Initial bias stays on the upside this week for 0.9146 cluster resistance. On the downside, however, break of 0.8893 support will argue that a short term top is possibly formed, and turn bias back to the downside for 55 D EMA (now at 0.8850).

In the bigger picture, rebound from 0.8551 medium term bottom is currently seen as a correction to the downtrend from 1.0146 (2022 high). Further rally would be seen to 0.9146 cluster resistance (38.2% retracement of 1.0146 to 0.8551 at 0.9160). Strong resistance could be seen there to limit upside, at least on first attempt.

In the long term picture, there is no clear sign that down trend from 1.8305 (2000 high) has completed. With 38.2% retracement of 1.8305 to 0.7065 at 1.1359 intact, outlook is neutral at best. Deeper fall would still be seen to 61.8% retracement of 0.7065 (2011 low) to 1.0342 (2016 high) at 0.8317.

USD/CHF dropped sharply to as low as 0.9090, after rising to 0.9276 last week. As a temporary low was formed, initial bias is neutral this week first. On the downside, firm break of 0.9084 support will argue that choppy rise from 0.8925 has completed. Fall from 0.9471 might be ready to resuming. Further decline would be seen back to 0.8925 support first. On the upside, above 0.9276 will target 0.9372 resistance instead.

In the bigger picture, the corrective structure of the rebound from 0.8925 argues that fall from 0.9471 is not complete yet. It could either be the second leg of pattern from 0.8756 (2021 low), or resuming larger down trend from 1.0237 (2018 high). We’d pay attention to the downside momentum and assess the odds later. But for now, medium term outlook will be neutral at best as long as 0.9471 resistance holds.

In the long term picture, price actions from 0.7065 (2011 low) are currently seen as developing into a long term corrective pattern, at least until a firm break of 1.0342 resistance.

USD/CHF dipped to 0.9541 last week but recovered since then. Initial bias is neutral this week first. Corrective pattern from 0.9901 might still extend lower. But in that case, downside should be contained by 61.8% retracement of 0.9181 to 0.9901 at 0.9456 to rebound. On the upside, break of 0.9647 minor resistance will turn bias back to the upside for 0.9874 first.

In the bigger picture, decline from 1.0237 is seen as the third leg of the pattern from 1.0342 (2016 low). It could have completed at 0.9181 after hitting 0.9186 key support (2018 low). Break of 0.9901 will extend the rebound form 0.9181 through 1.0023 resistance. After all, medium term range trading will likely continue between 0.9181/1.0237 for some more time.

In the long term picture, price actions from 0.7065 (2011 low) are not clearly impulsive yet. Thus, we’ll treat it as developing into a corrective pattern, at least, until a firm break of 1.0342 resistance.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9743; (P) 0.9759; (R1) 0.9779; More…

USD/CHF rebounds further today but it’s staying below 0.9854 support turned resistance so far. Intraday bias remains neutral first. On the upside, firm break of 0.9854 will confirm short term bottoming. Stronger rebound should be seen back to 1.0014 resistance next. However, rejection by 0.9854 will retain near term bearishness. Break of 0.9738 will turn bias back to the downside to retest 0.9695 low.

In the bigger picture, current development suggests that up trend from 0.9186 (2018 low) has completed at 1.0237 already. Deeper decline would be seen to 61.8% retracement of 0.9186 to 1.0237 at 0.9587 and below. For now, USD/CHF is seen as in long term range pattern between 0.9186 and 1.0342. Hence, we’d pay attention to bottoming signal below 0.9587.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.8896; (P) 0.8909; (R1) 0.8933; More….

Intraday bias in USD/CHF stays neutral for some consolidations first. Upside of recovery should be limited by 0.8982 support turned resistance to bring another decline. On the downside, break of 0.8885 will target 61.8% projection of 0.9901 to 0.8998 from 0.9304 at 0.8746 next.

In the bigger picture, decline from 1.0237 is seen as the third leg of the pattern from 1.0342 (2016 high). There is no clear sign of completion yet. Next target will be 138.2% projection of 1.0342 to 0.9186 from 1.0237 at 0.8639. In any case, break of 0.9304 resistance is needed to signal medium term bottoming. Otherwise, outlook will remain bearish in case of rebound.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9968; (P) 1.0004; (R1) 1.0032; More…

USD/CHF’s retreat was contained at 0.9956 and recovered. Intraday bias is turned neutral first. More corrective trading could be seen and below 0.9956 will bring deeper fall. But downside should be contained by trend line support (now at 0.9764) to bring rebound. On the upside, sustained break of 1.0037 will resume recent rise for 1.0342 key resistance next.

In the bigger picture, medium term decline from 1.0342 has completed with three waves down to 0.9186. Rise from there is currently viewed as a leg inside the long term range pattern. Hence, while further rally would be seen, we’d be cautious on strong resistance from 1.0342 to limit upside. For now, further rise is expected as long as 38.2% retracement of 0.9186 to 1.0056 at 0.9724 holds.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.8549; (P) 0.8599; (R1) 0.8628; More….

Outlook in USD/CHF remains unchanged and intraday bias stays neutral for the moment. On the downside, below 0.8550 will resume the fall from 0.8727 for 0.8487 support. Break there will argue that rebound from 0.8332 has completed, and bring retest of this low. On the upside, firm break of 0.8727 will resume the rebound to 61.8% retracement of 0.9243 to 0.8332 at 0.8995 instead.

In the bigger picture, while rebound from 0.8332 could be strong, there is no clear sign of medium term bottoming yet. This rebound is tentatively seen as a corrective move for now. Also, outlook will stay bearish as long as 0.9243 resistance holds. Larger down trend from 1.0146 (2022 high) should resume through 0.8332 low at a later stage.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9333; (P) 0.9378; (R1) 0.9419; More…

At this point, USD/CHF is still staying above 0.9321 support and intraday bias remains neutral first. On the downside, On the downside, break of 0.9321 will indicate completion of the rebound from 0.9186. Intraday bias will be turned back to the downside for 0.9186 first. Break will resume larger down trend to 0.9115 projection level. On the upside, break of 0.9490 will revive the case of near term reversal, on bullish convergence condition in 4 hour MACD. In that case, outlook will be turned bullish.

In the bigger picture, fall from 1.0342 is seen as a medium term down trend. Deeper decline should be seen to 100% projection of 1.0342 to 0.9420 from 1.0037 at 0.9115. Break will target 161.8% projection at 0.8545. In any case, sustained trading above 55 day EMA is needed to be the first sign of medium term reversal. Otherwise, outlook will stay bearish even in case of strong rebound.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9028; (P) 0.9065; (R1) 0.9130; More…

Intraday bias in USD/CHF remains neutral for the moment. Outlook stays bearish for further decline as long as 0.9161 resistance holds. On the downside, break of 0.8998 temporary low will resume larger down trend to 100% projection of 1.0237 to 0.9181 from 0.9901 at 0.8845. Nevertheless, sustained break of 0.9161 will confirm short term bottoming, and turn bias to the upside for stronger rebound.

In the bigger picture, decline from 1.0237 is seen as the third leg of the pattern from 1.0342 (2016 low), which is still extending. Sustained trading below 100% projection of 1.0342 to 0.9186 from 1.0237 at 0.9081 will pave the way to 138.2% projection at 0.8639. On the upside, break of 0.9376 resistance is needed to be the first sign of medium term bottoming.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9720; (P) 0.9747; (R1) 0.9787; More…

Intraday bias in USD/CHF remains neutral with focus on 0.9797 resistance. On the upside, break of 0.9797 will resume rise from 0.9502 and target retest of 0.9901 high. On the downside, break of 0.9592 support will bring deeper decline. But downside should be contained by 61.8% retracement of 0.9181 to 0.9901 at 0.9456 to rebound. Overall, consolidation from 0.9901 is still in progress and could extend further.

In the bigger picture, decline from 1.0237 is seen as the third leg of the pattern from 1.0342 (2016 low). It could have completed at 0.9181 after hitting 0.9186 key support (2018 low). Break of 0.9901 will extend the rebound form 0.9181 through 1.0023 resistance. After all, medium term range trading will likely continue between 0.9181/1.0237 for some more time.