USD/CHF Weekly Outlook

USD/CHF’s correction from 1.0056 continued last week and reached 0.9787 before recovering. With a temporary low in place, initial bias remains neutral this week first. Below 0.9878 will extend the decline. But we’d expect strong support from 0.9724 fibonacci level to contain downside and bring rebound. On the upside, break of 0.9911 will argue that the pull back from 1.0056 has completed. In such case, intraday bias will be turned back to the upside for retesting 1.0056.

In the bigger picture, medium term decline from 1.0342 has completed with three waves down to 0.9186. Rise from there is currently viewed as a leg inside the long term range pattern. Hence, while further rally would be seen, we’d be cautious on strong resistance from 1.0342 to limit upside. For now, further rise is expected as long as 38.2% retracement of 0.9186 to 1.0056 at 0.9724 holds. However, sustained break of 0.9724 will dampen this bullish view and would at least bring deeper fall to 61.8% retracement at 0.9518.

In the long term picture, price actions from 0.7065 (2011 low) are not clearly impulsive yet. Thus, we’ll treat it as developing into a corrective pattern, at least, until a firm break of 1.0342 resistance.

USD/CHF Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9772; (P) 0.9821; (R1) 0.9853; More

Intraday bias in USD/CHF is turned neutral with today’s rebound. But outlook is unchanged. Choppy decline is seen as a correction. Below 0.9787 will extend to 0.9724 fibonacci level. We’d expect strong support from there to bring rebound. On the upside, break of 0.9911 minor resistance should indicate completion of the fall, on bullish convergence condition in 4 hour MACD. In such, case, intraday bias will be turned back to the upside for retesting 1.0056 high.

In the bigger picture, medium term decline from 1.0342 has completed with three waves down to 0.9186. Rise from there is currently viewed as a leg inside the long term range pattern. Hence, while further rally would be seen, we’d be cautious on strong resistance from 1.0342 to limit upside. For now, further rise is expected as long as 38.2% retracement of 0.9186 to 1.0056 at 0.9724 holds. However, sustained break of 0.9724 will dampen this bullish view and would at least bring deeper fall to 61.8% retracement at 0.9518.

USD/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9772; (P) 0.9821; (R1) 0.9853; More

USD/CHF’s corrective fall from 1.0056 is still in progress. Intraday bias stays on the downside for 0.9724 fibonacci level. We’d expect strong support from there to bring rebound. Though, on the upside, break of 0.9911 minor resistance is needed to indicate completion of the fall. Otherwise, near term outlook will remain mildly bearish in case of recovery.

In the bigger picture, medium term decline from 1.0342 has completed with three waves down to 0.9186. Rise from there is currently viewed as a leg inside the long term range pattern. Hence, while further rally would be seen, we’d be cautious on strong resistance from 1.0342 to limit upside. For now, further rise is expected as long as 38.2% retracement of 0.9186 to 1.0056 at 0.9724 holds. However, sustained break of 0.9724 will dampen this bullish view and would at least bring deeper fall to 61.8% retracement at 0.9518.

USD/CHF Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9838; (P) 0.9863; (R1) 0.9890; More

Intraday bias in USD/CHF remains on the downside at this point. Correction from 1.0056 is in progress and should target 0.9724 fibonacci level. On the upside, break of 0.9911 minor resistance is needed to indicate completion of the fall. Otherwise, near term outlook will remain mildly bearish in case of recovery.

In the bigger picture, medium term decline from 1.0342 has completed with three waves down to 0.9186. Rise from there is currently viewed as a leg inside the long term range pattern. Hence, while further rally would be seen, we’d be cautious on strong resistance from 1.0342 to limit upside. For now, further rise is expected as long as 38.2% retracement of 0.9186 to 1.0056 at 0.9724 holds. However, sustained break of 0.9724 will dampen this bullish view and would at least bring deeper fall to 61.8% retracement at 0.9518.

USD/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9838; (P) 0.9863; (R1) 0.9890; More

USD/CHF’s break of 0.9825 finally indicates resumption of the correction decline from 1.0056. As it’s seen as correcting rise from 0.9186, intraday bias is now on the downside for 0.9724 fibonacci level. On the upside, break of 0.9911 minor resistance is needed to indicate completion of the fall. Otherwise, near term outlook will remain mildly bearish in case of recovery.

In the bigger picture, medium term decline from 1.0342 has completed with three waves down to 0.9186. Rise from there is currently viewed as a leg inside the long term range pattern. Hence, while further rally would be seen, we’d be cautious on strong resistance from 1.0342 to limit upside. For now, further rise is expected as long as 38.2% retracement of 0.9186 to 1.0056 at 0.9724 holds. However, sustained break of 0.9724 will dampen this bullish view and would at least bring deeper fall to 61.8% retracement at 0.9518.

USD/CHF Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9821; (P) 0.9857; (R1) 0.9884; More

No change in USD/CHF’s outlook as it’s staying in tight range above 0.9825. Intraday bias remains neutral for the moment. On the downside, break of 0.9825 will indicate that fall from 1.0056 is correcting whole rise from 0.9186. In that case, deeper decline would be seen to 0.9724 fibonacci level before completion. On the upside, above 0.9982 minor resistance will suggest that the pull back is finished and bring retest of 1.0056.

In the bigger picture, medium term decline from 1.0342 has completed with three waves down to 0.9186. Rise from there is currently viewed as a leg inside the long term range pattern. Hence, while further rally would be seen, we’d be cautious on strong resistance from 1.0342 to limit upside. For now, further rise is expected as long as 38.2% retracement of 0.9186 to 1.0056 at 0.9724 holds.

USD/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9821; (P) 0.9857; (R1) 0.9884; More

USD/CHF continues to stay in right range above 0.9825 and intraday bias remains neutral first. On the downside, break of 0.9825 will indicate that fall from 1.0056 is correcting whole rise from 0.9186. In that case, deeper decline would be seen to 0.9724 fibonacci level before completion. On the upside, above 0.9982 minor resistance will suggest that the pull back is finished and bring retest of 1.0056.

In the bigger picture, medium term decline from 1.0342 has completed with three waves down to 0.9186. Rise from there is currently viewed as a leg inside the long term range pattern. Hence, while further rally would be seen, we’d be cautious on strong resistance from 1.0342 to limit upside. For now, further rise is expected as long as 38.2% retracement of 0.9186 to 1.0056 at 0.9724 holds.

USD/CHF Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9842; (P) 0.9868; (R1) 0.9908; More

Intraday bias in USD/CHF stays neutral as it’s bounded in tight range above 0.9825. On the downside, break of 0.9825 will indicate that fall from 1.0056 is correcting whole rise from 0.9186. In that case, deeper decline would be seen to 0.9724 fibonacci level before completion. On the upside, above 0.9982 minor resistance will suggest that the pull back is finished and bring retest of 1.0056.

In the bigger picture, medium term decline from 1.0342 has completed with three waves down to 0.9186. Rise from there is currently viewed as a leg inside the long term range pattern. Hence, while further rally would be seen, we’d be cautious on strong resistance from 1.0342 to limit upside. For now, further rise is expected as long as 38.2% retracement of 0.9186 to 1.0056 at 0.9724 holds.

USD/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9842; (P) 0.9868; (R1) 0.9908; More

Intraday bias in USD/CHF remains neutral at this point. On the downside, break of 0.9825 will indicate that fall from 1.0056 is correcting whole rise from 0.9186. In that case, deeper decline would be seen to 0.9724 fibonacci level before completion. On the upside, above 0.9982 minor resistance will suggest that the pull back is finished and bring retest of 1.0056.

In the bigger picture, medium term decline from 1.0342 has completed with three waves down to 0.9186. Rise from there is currently viewed as a leg inside the long term range pattern. Hence, while further rally would be seen, we’d be cautious on strong resistance from 1.0342 to limit upside. For now, further rise is expected as long as 38.2% retracement of 0.9186 to 1.0056 at 0.9724 holds.

USD/CHF Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9842; (P) 0.9878; (R1) 0.9914; More

USD/CHF is staying in tight range above 0.9825 and intraday bias remains neutral. On the downside, break of 0.9825 will indicate that fall from 1.0056 is correcting whole rise from 0.9186. In that case, deeper decline would be seen to 0.9724 fibonacci level before completion. On the upside, above 0.9982 minor resistance will suggest that the pull back is finished and bring retest of 1.0056.

In the bigger picture, medium term decline from 1.0342 has completed with three waves down to 0.9186. Rise from there is currently viewed as a leg inside the long term range pattern. Hence, while further rally would be seen, we’d be cautious on strong resistance from 1.0342 to limit upside. For now, further rise is expected as long as 38.2% retracement of 0.9186 to 1.0056 at 0.9724 holds.

USD/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9842; (P) 0.9878; (R1) 0.9914; More

Intraday bias in USD/CHF remains neutral first. On the downside, break of 0.9825 will indicate that fall from 1.0056 is correcting whole rise from 0.9186. In that case, deeper decline would be seen to 0.9724 fibonacci level before completion. On the upside, above 0.9982 minor resistance will suggest that the pull back is finished and bring retest of 1.0056.

In the bigger picture, medium term decline from 1.0342 has completed with three waves down to 0.9186. Rise from there is currently viewed as a leg inside the long term range pattern. Hence, while further rally would be seen, we’d be cautious on strong resistance from 1.0342 to limit upside. For now, further rise is expected as long as 38.2% retracement of 0.9186 to 1.0056 at 0.9724 holds.

USD/CHF Weekly Outlook

USD/CHF dropped to 0.9825 last week. But it failed to sustain below near term trend line support and recovered. Initial bias is neutral this week first. On the downside, break of 0.9825 will indicate that fall from 1.0056 is corrective whole rise from 0.9186. In that case, deeper decline would be seen to 0.9724 fibonacci level before completion. On the upside, above 0.9982 minor resistance will suggest that the pull back is finished and bring retest of 1.0056.

In the bigger picture, medium term decline from 1.0342 has completed with three waves down to 0.9186. Rise from there is currently viewed as a leg inside the long term range pattern. Hence, while further rally would be seen, we’d be cautious on strong resistance from 1.0342 to limit upside. For now, further rise is expected as long as 38.2% retracement of 0.9186 to 1.0056 at 0.9724 holds.

In the long term picture, price actions from 0.7065 (2011 low) are not clearly impulsive yet. Thus, we’ll treat it as developing into a corrective pattern, at least, until a firm break of 1.0342 resistance.

USD/CHF Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9823; (P) 0.9862; (R1) 0.9899; More

USD/CHF failed to sustain below trend line support and recovered. Intraday bias is turned neutral again. On the upside, break of 0.9982 will indicate that pull back from 1.0056 has completed and bring retest of this resistance. However, on the downside, break of 0.9825 will indicate that fall from 1.0056 is a larger scale correction. In such case, deeper decline would be seen back to 0.9724 fibonacci level before completion.

In the bigger picture, medium term decline from 1.0342 has completed with three waves down to 0.9186. Rise from there is currently viewed as a leg inside the long term range pattern. Hence, while further rally would be seen, we’d be cautious on strong resistance from 1.0342 to limit upside. For now, further rise is expected as long as 38.2% retracement of 0.9186 to 1.0056 at 0.9724 holds.

USD/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9823; (P) 0.9862; (R1) 0.9899; More

Intraday bias in USD/CHF remains on the downside, with focus on trend line support (now at 0.9872). Sustained trading below there will indicate that fall from 1.0056 is a larger scale correction, correcting rise from 0.9186. And deeper fall would be seen back to 0.9724 fibonacci level before completion. Though, rebound from current level, followed by break of 0.9982 minor resistance will bring retest of 1.0056 high.

In the bigger picture, medium term decline from 1.0342 has completed with three waves down to 0.9186. Rise from there is currently viewed as a leg inside the long term range pattern. Hence, while further rally would be seen, we’d be cautious on strong resistance from 1.0342 to limit upside. For now, further rise is expected as long as 38.2% retracement of 0.9186 to 1.0056 at 0.9724 holds.

USD/CHF Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9868; (P) 0.9902; (R1) 0.9927; More

Intraday bias is back on the downside in USD/CHF with focus on trend line support (now at 0.9865). Sustained trading below there will indicate that fall from 1.0056 is a larger scale correction, correcting rise from 0.9186. And deeper fall would be seen back to 0.9724 fibonacci level before completion. Though, rebound from current level, followed by break of 0.9982 minor resistance will bring retest of 1.0056 high.

In the bigger picture, medium term decline from 1.0342 has completed with three waves down to 0.9186. Rise from there is currently viewed as a leg inside the long term range pattern. Hence, while further rally would be seen, we’d be cautious on strong resistance from 1.0342 to limit upside. For now, further rise is expected as long as 38.2% retracement of 0.9186 to 1.0056 at 0.9724 holds.

USD/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9868; (P) 0.9902; (R1) 0.9927; More

Intraday bias in USD/CHF remains neutral for the moment. We’d continue to expect strong support from near term trend line (now at 0.9863) to complete the correction from 1.0056 to bring rise resumption. On the upside, above 0.9982 will bring retest of 1.0056 first. However, sustained break of the trend line will argue that it’s a larger scale correction and will target 0.9724 fibonacci level.

In the bigger picture, medium term decline from 1.0342 has completed with three waves down to 0.9186. Rise from there is currently viewed as a leg inside the long term range pattern. Hence, while further rally would be seen, we’d be cautious on strong resistance from 1.0342 to limit upside. For now, further rise is expected as long as 38.2% retracement of 0.9186 to 1.0056 at 0.9724 holds.

USD/CHF Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9850; (P) 0.9916; (R1) 0.9981; More

Intraday bias in USD/CHF remains neutral at this point. For now, we’d continue to expect strong support from near term trend line (now at 0.9860) to complete the correction from 1.0056 to bring rise resumption. On the upside, above 0.9982 will bring retest of 1.0056 first. However, sustained break of the trend line will argue that it’s a larger scale correction and will target 0.9724 fibonacci level.

In the bigger picture, medium term decline from 1.0342 has completed with three waves down to 0.9186. Rise from there is currently viewed as a leg inside the long term range pattern. Hence, while further rally would be seen, we’d be cautious on strong resistance from 1.0342 to limit upside. For now, further rise is expected as long as 38.2% retracement of 0.9186 to 1.0056 at 0.9724 holds.

USD/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9850; (P) 0.9916; (R1) 0.9981; More

USD/CHF recovers after touching near term rising trend line support. But upside is limited below 0.9982 minor resistance. Intraday bias remains neutral first. We’d continue to expect strong support from the trend line to complete the correction from 1.0056 to bring rise resumption. Above 0.9982 will bring retest of 1.0056 first. However, sustained break of the trend line will argue that it’s a larger scale correction and will target 0.9724 fibonacci level.

In the bigger picture, medium term decline from 1.0342 has completed with three waves down to 0.9186. Rise from there is currently viewed as a leg inside the long term range pattern. Hence, while further rally would be seen, we’d be cautious on strong resistance from 1.0342 to limit upside. For now, further rise is expected as long as 38.2% retracement of 0.9186 to 1.0056 at 0.9724 holds.

USD/CHF Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9905; (P) 0.9931; (R1) 0.9963; More

Despite breaching 0.9977 minor resistance, there is no follow through buying yet. Intraday bias in USD/CHF remains neutral first. For now, we’re still treating price actions fro 1.0056 as a near term correction. Hence even in case of another fall, downside should be contained by trend line (now at 0.9853) to bring rebound. Above 0.9982 should bring retest of 1.0056 high. However, sustained break of the trend line will argue that it’s a larger scale correction and will target 0.9724 fibonacci level.

In the bigger picture, medium term decline from 1.0342 has completed with three waves down to 0.9186. Rise from there is currently viewed as a leg inside the long term range pattern. Hence, while further rally would be seen, we’d be cautious on strong resistance from 1.0342 to limit upside. For now, further rise is expected as long as 38.2% retracement of 0.9186 to 1.0056 at 0.9724 holds.

USD/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9905; (P) 0.9931; (R1) 0.9963; More

Intraday bias in USD/CHF remains neutral at this point. Focus stays on 0.9977 minor resistance. Break there will argue that corrective pull back from 1.0056 has completed already. Intraday bias will then be turned back to the upside for retesting 1.0056 high first. In case of another fall, we’d expect strong support from trend line (now at 0.9848) to contain downside and bring rebound. However, sustained break of the trend line will argue that it’s a larger scale correction and will target 0.9724 fibonacci level.

In the bigger picture, medium term decline from 1.0342 has completed with three waves down to 0.9186. Rise from there is currently viewed as a leg inside the long term range pattern. Hence, while further rally would be seen, we’d be cautious on strong resistance from 1.0342 to limit upside. For now, further rise is expected as long as 38.2% retracement of 0.9186 to 1.0056 at 0.9724 holds.