USD/CHF Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9699; (P) 0.9727; (R1) 0.9745; More…..

USD/CHF weakens further today after being rejected by 4 hour 55 EMA, but it’s staying in range of 0.9651/9975. Intraday bias stays neutral first. With 0.9775 intact, another decline is mildly in favor. On the downside, break of 0.9651 will target 200% projection of 1.0067 to 0.9866 from 0.9981 at 0.8579 next. However, firm break of 0.9775 will be an early sign of near term reversal. That is, fall from 1.0067 could have completed. In this case, further rally would be seen back to 0.9866 support turned resistance for confirmation.

In the bigger picture, current development suggests that rise from 0.9186 low has completed at 1.0067, after failing to sustain above 1.0037 resistance. Fall from 1.0067 could extend to 61.8% retracement of 0.9816 to 1.0067 at 0.9523 and below. But for now, we don’t expect a break of 0.9186 low. On the upside, firm break of 0.9866 support turned resistance will suggests that fall from 1.0067 has completed and rise from 0.9186 is resuming.

USD/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9699; (P) 0.9727; (R1) 0.9745; More…..

Intraday bias in USD/CHF remains neutral as this point as it’s bounded in range of 0.9651/9975. With 0.9775 intact, another decline is mildly in favor. On the downside, break of 0.9651 will target 200% projection of 1.0067 to 0.9866 from 0.9981 at 0.8579 next. However, firm break of 0.9775 will be an early sign of near term reversal. That is, fall from 1.0067 could have completed. In this case, further rally would be seen back to 0.9866 support turned resistance for confirmation.

In the bigger picture, current development suggests that rise from 0.9186 low has completed at 1.0067, after failing to sustain above 1.0037 resistance. Fall from 1.0067 could extend to 61.8% retracement of 0.9816 to 1.0067 at 0.9523 and below. But for now, we don’t expect a break of 0.9186 low. On the upside, firm break of 0.9866 support turned resistance will suggests that fall from 1.0067 has completed and rise from 0.9186 is resuming.

USD/CHF Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9696; (P) 0.9732; (R1) 0.9778; More…..

USD/CHF is still staying in range below 0.9775 minor resistance and intraday bias remains neutral. With 0.9775 intact, another decline is mildly in favor. On the downside, break of 0.9651 will target 200% projection of 1.0067 to 0.9866 from 0.9981 at 0.8579 next. However, Firm break of 0.9775 will be an early sign of near term reversal. That is, fall from 1.0067 could have completed. In this case, further rally would be seen back to 0.9866 support turned resistance for confirmation.

In the bigger picture, current development suggests that rise from 0.9186 low has completed at 1.0067, after failing to sustain above 1.0037 resistance. Fall from 1.0067 could extend to 61.8% retracement of 0.9816 to 1.0067 at 0.9523 and below. But for now, we don’t expect a break of 0.9186 low. On the upside, firm break of 0.9866 support turned resistance will suggests that fall from 1.0067 has completed and rise from 0.9186 is resuming.

USD/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9696; (P) 0.9732; (R1) 0.9778; More…..

At this point, USD/CHF is limited below 0.9775 minor resistance. Intraday bias stays neutral first. With 0.9775 intact, another decline is mildly in favor. On the downside, break of 0.9651 will target 200% projection of 1.0067 to 0.9866 from 0.9981 at 0.8579 next. However, Firm break of 0.9775 will be an early sign of near term reversal. That is, fall from 1.0067 could have completed. In this case, further rally would be seen back to 0.9866 support turned resistance for confirmation.

In the bigger picture, current development suggests that rise from 0.9186 low has completed at 1.0067, after failing to sustain above 1.0037 resistance. Fall from 1.0067 could extend to 61.8% retracement of 0.9816 to 1.0067 at 0.9523 and below. But for now, we don’t expect a break of 0.9186 low. On the upside, firm break of 0.9866 support turned resistance will suggests that fall from 1.0067 has completed and rise from 0.9186 is resuming.

USD/CHF Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9681; (P) 0.9695; (R1) 0.9706; More…..

USD/CHF’s rebound from 0.9651 extends higher today but it’s staying below 0.9775 minor resistance. Intraday bias remains neutral and deeper decline is still in favor. On the downside, break of 0.9651 will target 200% projection of 1.0067 to 0.9866 from 0.9981 at 0.8579 next. However, Firm break of 0.9775 will be an early sign of near term reversal. That is, fall from 1.0067 could have completed. In this case, further rally would be seen back to 0.9866 support turned resistance for confirmation.

In the bigger picture, current development suggests that rise from 0.9186 low has completed at 1.0067, after failing to sustain above 1.0037 resistance. Fall from 1.0067 could extend to 61.8% retracement of 0.9816 to 1.0067 at 0.9523 and below. But for now, we don’t expect a break of 0.9186 low. On the upside, firm break of 0.9866 support turned resistance will suggests that fall from 1.0067 has completed and rise from 0.9186 is resuming.

USD/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9681; (P) 0.9695; (R1) 0.9706; More…..

Intraday bias in USD/CHF remains neutral for consolidation from 0.9651 temporary low. Stronger recovery might be seen. But upside should be limited by 0.9775 minor resistance to bring another fall. On the downside, break of 0.9651 will extend the fall from 1.0067 and target 200% projection of 1.0067 to 0.9866 from 0.9981 at 0.8579 next.

In the bigger picture, current development suggests that rise from 0.9186 low has completed at 1.0067, after failing to sustain above 1.0037 resistance. Fall from 1.0067 could extend to 61.8% retracement of 0.9816 to 1.0067 at 0.9523 and below. But for now, we don’t expect a break of 0.9186 low. On the upside, firm break of 0.9866 support turned resistance will suggests that fall from 1.0067 has completed and rise from 0.9186 is resuming.

USD/CHF Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9658; (P) 0.9683; (R1) 0.9713; More…..

USD/CHF’s consolidation from 0.9651 temporary low is still in progress and intraday bias remains neutral for the moment. Further recovery could be seen. But upside should be limited by 0.9775 minor resistance to bring another fall. On the downside, break of 0.9651 will target 200% projection of 1.0067 to 0.9866 from 0.9981 at 0.8579 next.

In the bigger picture, current development suggests that rise from 0.9186 low has completed at 1.0067, after failing to sustain above 1.0037 resistance. Fall from 1.0067 could extend to 61.8% retracement of 0.9816 to 1.0067 at 0.9523 and below. But for now, we don’t expect a break of 0.9186 low. On the upside, firm break of 0.9866 support turned resistance will suggests that fall from 1.0067 has completed and rise from 0.9186 is resuming.

USD/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9658; (P) 0.9683; (R1) 0.9713; More…..

Intraday bias in USD/CHF remains neutral for consolidation above 0.9651 temporary low. Upside of recovery should be limited by 0.9775 minor resistance to bring another fall. On the downside, break of 0.9651 will target 200% projection of 1.0067 to 0.9866 from 0.9981 at 0.8579 next.

In the bigger picture, current development suggests that rise from 0.9186 low has completed at 1.0067, after failing to sustain above 1.0037 resistance. Fall from 1.0067 could extend to 61.8% retracement of 0.9816 to 1.0067 at 0.9523 and below. But for now, we don’t expect a break of 0.9186 low. On the upside, firm break of 0.9866 support turned resistance will suggests that fall from 1.0067 has completed and rise from 0.9186 is resuming.

USD/CHF Weekly Outlook

USD/CHF dropped sharply to as low as 0.9651 last week and the development argues that whole rise from 0.9186 has completed at 1.0067 already. A temporary low is in place after hitting 161.8% projection of 1.0067 to 0.9866 from 0.9981 at 0.9656. Initial bias is neutral this week for some consolidations. But upside of recovery should be limited by 0.9775 minor resistance to bring another fall. On the downside, break of 0.9651 will target 200% projection at 0.8579 next.

In the bigger picture, current development suggests that rise from 0.9186 low has completed at 1.0067, after failing to sustain above 1.0037 resistance. Fall from 1.0067 could extend to 61.8% retracement of 0.9816 to 1.0067 at 0.9523 and below. But for now, we don’t expect a break of 0.9186 low. On the upside, firm break of 0.9866 support turned resistance will suggests that fall from 1.0067 has completed and rise from 0.9186 is resuming.

In the long term picture, price actions from 0.7065 (2011 low) are not clearly impulsive yet. Thus, we’ll treat it as developing into a corrective pattern, at least, until a firm break of 1.0342 resistance.

USD/CHF Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9679; (P) 0.9701; (R1) 0.9716; More…..

USD/CHF reaches as low as 0.9651 so far today as the decline from 0.9981 accelerates. Intraday bias stays on the downside. Sustained break of 161.8% projection of 1.0067 to 0.9866 from 0.9981 at 0.9656 will target 200% projection at 0.8579 next. On the upside, above 0.9714 minor resistance will turn intraday bias neutral and bring recovery. But outlook will now stay bearish as long as 0.9866 support turned resistance holds. And deeper fall will remain in favor even in case of recovery.

In the bigger picture, current development suggests that rise from 0.9186 low has completed at 1.0067, after failing to sustain above 1.0037 resistance. Fall from 1.0067 could extend to 61.8% retracement of 0.9816 to 1.0067 at 0.9523 and below. But for now, we don’t expect a break of 0.9186 low. On the upside, firm break of 1.0067 will resume the rise to 1.0342 key resistance (2016 high).

USD/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9679; (P) 0.9701; (R1) 0.9716; More…..

USD/CHF’s fall extends to as low as 0.9672 so far. Intraday bias remains on the downside for 161.8% projection of 1.0067 to 0.9866 from 0.9981 at 0.9656 next. Break will target 200% projection at 0.8579 next. On the upside, above 0.9714 minor resistance will turn intraday bias neutral and bring recovery. . But outlook will now stay bearish as long as 0.9866 support turned resistance holds. And deeper fall will remain in favor even in case of recovery.

In the bigger picture, current development suggests that rise from 0.9186 low has completed at 1.0067, after failing to sustain above 1.0037 resistance. Fall from 1.0067 could extend to 61.8% retracement of 0.9816 to 1.0067 at 0.9523 and below. But for now, we don’t expect a break of 0.9186 low. On the upside, firm break of 1.0067 will resume the rise to 1.0342 key resistance (2016 high).

USD/CHF Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9736; (P) 0.9773; (R1) 0.9801; More…..

Intraday bias in USD/CHF remains on the downside at this point. Current fall from 1.0067 should target 161.8% projection of 1.0067 to 0.9866 from 0.9981 at 0.9656 next. On the upside, above 0.9744 minor resistance will turn intraday bias neutral first. But outlook will now stay bearish as long as 0.9866 support turned resistance holds. And deeper fall will remain in favor even in case of recovery.

In the bigger picture, current development suggests that rise from 0.9186 low has completed at 1.0067, after failing to sustain above 1.0037 resistance. Fall from 1.0067 could extend to 61.8% retracement of 0.9816 to 1.0067 at 0.9523 and below. But for now, we don’t expect a break of 0.9186 low. On the upside, firm break of 1.0067 will resume the rise to 1.0342 key resistance (2016 high).

USD/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9736; (P) 0.9773; (R1) 0.9801; More…..

USD/CHF drops to as low as 0.9700 so far and there is no sign of bottoming yet. The decline came deeper than we expected. Intraday bias is staying on the downside for 161.8% projection of 1.0067 to 0.9866 from 0.9981 at 0.9656 next. On the upside, above 0.9744 minor resistance will turn intraday bias neutral first. But outlook will now stay bearish as long as 0.9866 support turned resistance holds. And deeper fall will remain in favor even in case of recovery.

In the bigger picture, current development suggests that rise from 0.9186 low has completed at 1.0067, after failing to sustain above 1.0037 resistance. Fall from 1.0067 could extend to 61.8% retracement of 0.9816 to 1.0067 at 0.9523 and below. But for now, we don’t expect a break of 0.9186 low. On the upside, firm break of 1.0067 will resume the rise to 1.0342 key resistance (2016 high).

USD/CHF Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9736; (P) 0.9773; (R1) 0.9801; More…..

USD/CHF’s decline continues to as low as 0.9734 so far today and intraday bias remains on the downside for 38.2% retracement of 0.9186 to 1.0056 at 0.9724. At this point, we’re still view price actions from 1.0056 as a consolidation pattern. Thus, downside should be contained by 0.9724 to bring rebound. On the upside, above 0.9775 minor resistance will turn intraday bias neutral first. Break of 0.9865 resistance should confirm near term reversal. However, sustained break of 0.9724 will carry larger bearish implications.

In the bigger picture, current development suggests that the consolidation pattern from 1.0056 is extending. As long as 38.2% retracement of 0.9186 to 1.0056 at 0.9724 holds, we’d expect rise from 0.9186 to resume at a later stage to retest 1.0342 key resistance (2016 high). However, sustained break of 38.2% retracement of 0.9186 to 1.0056 at 0.9724 will at least bring deeper fall to 61.8% retracement at 0.9518 before completion.

USD/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9736; (P) 0.9773; (R1) 0.9801; More…..

Intraday bias in USD/CHF remains on the downside and current decline should target 38.2% retracement of 0.9186 to 1.0056 at 0.9724. At this point, we’re still view price actions from 1.0056 as a consolidation pattern. Thus, downside should be contained by 0.9724 to bring rebound. Nonetheless, break of 0.9865 resistance is needed to indicate short term bottoming. Otherwise, further decline will remain in favor even in case of recovery. Meanwhile, sustained break of 0.9724 will carry larger bearish implications.

In the bigger picture, current development suggests that the consolidation pattern from 1.0056 is extending. As long as 38.2% retracement of 0.9186 to 1.0056 at 0.9724 holds, we’d expect rise from 0.9186 to resume at a later stage to retest 1.0342 key resistance (2016 high). However, sustained break of 38.2% retracement of 0.9186 to 1.0056 at 0.9724 will at least bring deeper fall to 61.8% retracement at 0.9518 before completion.

USD/CHF Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9773; (P) 0.9810; (R1) 0.9832; More…..

USD/CHF’s decline accelerates to as low as 0.9751 so far today and breaks 100% projection of 1.0067 to 0.9866 from 0.9981 at 0.9780 decisively. There is no sign of bottoming yet. Intraday bias stays on the downside for 38.2% retracement of 0.9186 to 1.0056 at 0.9724. For now, we’d expect strong support from 0.9724 to contain downside and bring rebound. But, break of 0.9865 resistance is needed to indicate short term bottoming. Otherwise, further decline will remain in favor even in case of recovery. Meanwhile, sustained break of 0.9724 will carry larger bearish implications.

In the bigger picture, current development suggests that the consolidation pattern from 1.0056 is extending. As long as 38.2% retracement of 0.9186 to 1.0056 at 0.9724 holds, we’d expect rise from 0.9186 to resume at a later stage to retest 1.0342 key resistance (2016 high). However, sustained break of 38.2% retracement of 0.9186 to 1.0056 at 0.9724 will at least bring deeper fall to 61.8% retracement at 0.9518 before completion.

USD/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9773; (P) 0.9810; (R1) 0.9832; More….

USD/CHF’s fall resumed by breaking 0.9807 and reaches as low as 0.9786 so far. Intraday bias is back on the downside for 100% projection of 1.0067 to 0.9866 from 0.9981 at 0.9780 and possibly below. As current decline from 1.0067 is seen as the third leg of consolidation from 1.0056, we’d expect strong support from 38.2% retracement of 0.9186 to 1.0056 at 0.9724 to bring rebound. On the upside, break of 0.9865 resistance should indicate short term bottoming and turn bias to the upside for 0.9981 resistance.

In the bigger picture, current development suggests that the consolidation pattern from 1.0056 is extending. As long as 38.2% retracement of 0.9186 to 1.0056 at 0.9724 holds, we’d expect rise from 0.9186 to resume at a later stage to retest 1.0342 key resistance (2016 high). However, sustained break of 0.9724 fibonacci level will bring deeper fall, as another declining leg in the long term range pattern.

USD/CHF Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9808; (P) 0.9837; (R1) 0.9863; More….

USD/CHF is still bounded in tight range above 0.9807 temporary low and intraday bias remains neutral. With 0.9889 minor resistance intact, near term outlook stays mildly bearish for deeper fall. On the downside, below 0.9807 will target 100% projection of 1.0067 to 0.9866 from 0.9981 at 0.9780 and possibly below. As current decline is seen as the third leg of consolidation from 1.0056, we’d expect strong support from 38.2% retracement of 0.9186 to 1.0056 at 0.9724 to bring rebound. On the upside, above 0.9889 will turn bias to the upside for 0.9981 resistance first. Break will bring retest of 1.0067 high.

In the bigger picture, current development suggests that the consolidation pattern from 1.0056 is extending. As long as 38.2% retracement of 0.9186 to 1.0056 at 0.9724 holds, we’d expect rise from 0.9186 to resume at a later stage to retest 1.0342 key resistance (2016 high). However, sustained break of 0.9724 fibonacci level will bring deeper fall, as another declining leg in the long term range pattern.

USD/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9808; (P) 0.9837; (R1) 0.9863; More….

Intraday bias in USD/CHF remains neutral for consolidation above 0.9807 temporary low. But with 0.9889 minor resistance intact, near term outlook stays mildly bearish for deeper fall. On the downside, below 0.9807 will target 100% projection of 1.0067 to 0.9866 from 0.9981 at 0.9780 and possibly below. As current decline is seen as the third leg of consolidation from 1.0056, we’d expect strong support from 38.2% retracement of 0.9186 to 1.0056 at 0.9724 to bring rebound. On the upside, above 0.9889 will turn bias to the upside for 0.9981 resistance first. Break will bring retest of 1.0067 high.

In the bigger picture, current development suggests that the consolidation pattern from 1.0056 is extending. As long as 38.2% retracement of 0.9186 to 1.0056 at 0.9724 holds, we’d expect rise from 0.9186 to resume at a later stage to retest 1.0342 key resistance (2016 high). However, sustained break of 0.9724 fibonacci level will bring deeper fall, as another declining leg in the long term range pattern.

USD/CHF Weekly Outlook

USD/CHF dropped sharply to as low as 0.9807 last week and the development suggests that consolidation from 1.0056 is extending with fall from 1.0067 as the third leg. With a temporary low in place at 0.9807, initial bias is neutral this week first. On the downside, below 0.9807 will target 100% projection of 1.0067 to 0.9866 from 0.9981 at 0.9780 and possibly below. But, we’d expect strong support from 38.2% retracement of 0.9186 to 1.0056 at 0.9724 to bring rebound. On the upside, above 0.9889 will turn bias to the upside for 0.9981 resistance first. Break will bring retest of 1.0067 high.

In the bigger picture, current development suggests that the consolidation pattern from 1.0056 is extending. As long as 38.2% retracement of 0.9186 to 1.0056 at 0.9724 holds, we’d expect rise from 0.9186 to resume at a later stage to retest 1.0342 key resistance (2016 high). However, sustained break of 0.9724 fibonacci level will bring deeper fall, as another declining leg in the long term range pattern.

In the long term picture, price actions from 0.7065 (2011 low) are not clearly impulsive yet. Thus, we’ll treat it as developing into a corrective pattern, at least, until a firm break of 1.0342 resistance.