USD/CHF Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9693; (P) 0.9717; (R1) 0.9756; More

Intraday bias in USD/CHF remains neutral for the moment. On the upside, firm break of 0.9762 will indicate short term bottoming at 0.9613, on bullish convergence condition in 4 hour MACD. Further rise would be seen back towards 1.0023 resistance. On the downside, break of 0.9678 minor support will retain near term bearishness and turn bias back to the downside for retesting 0.9613 low.

In the bigger picture, medium term outlook remains neutral as USD/CHF is staying sideway trading started from 1.0342 (2016 high). Fall from 1.0237 is a leg inside the pattern and could target 0.9186 (2018 low). In case of another rise, break of 1.0237 is needed to indicate up trend resumption. Otherwise, more sideway trading would be seen with risk of another fall.

USD/CHF Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9194; (P) 0.9220; (R1) 0.9268; More….

USD/CHF’s break of 0.9276 resistance suggests that pull back from 0.8925 has completed already. Intraday bias is on the upside for 0.9372 first. Firm break there will target 0.9471 resistance next. On the downside, below 0.9243 minor support will turn intraday bias neutral first.

In the bigger picture, the corrective structure of the rebound from 0.8925 argues that fall from 0.9471 is not complete yet. It could either be the second leg of pattern from 0.8756 (2021 low), or resuming larger down trend from 1.0237 (2018 high). We’d pay attention to the downside momentum and assess the odds later. But for now, medium term outlook will be neutral at best as long as 0.9471 resistance holds.

USD/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.8884; (P) 0.8899; (R1) 0.8930; More….

Focus stays on 0.8919 resistance in USD/CHF. Decisive break there should confirm short term bottoming at 0.8756, on bullish convergence condition in 4 hour MACD. Considering bullish convergence condition in daily MACD too, USD/CHF could be corrective whole fall form 0.9901 in this case. Intraday bias will be turned back to the upside for 38.2% retracement of 0.9901 to 0.8756 at 0.9193. Though, break of 0.8821 minor support will bring retest of 0.8756 low instead.

In the bigger picture, decline from 1.0237 is seen as the third leg of the pattern from 1.0342 (2016 high). There is no clear sign of completion yet. Next target will be 138.2% projection of 1.0342 to 0.9186 from 1.0237 at 0.8639. In any case, break of 0.9294 resistance is needed to signal medium term bottoming. Otherwise, outlook will remain bearish in case of rebound.

USD/CHF Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9989; (P) 1.0025; (R1) 1.0049; More….

Intraday bias in USD/CHF remains neutral at this point. With 0.9988 support intact, further rise is still mildly in favor. On the upside, above 1.0098 will target 1.0128 first. Break will confirm resumption of up trend from 0.9186. Next target will be 100% projection of 0.9541 to 1.0128 from 0.9716 at 1.0303. However, break of 0.9988 will indicate rejection by 1.0128 and turn intraday bias to the downside for 0.9716 support again.

In the bigger picture, USD/CHF drew strong support from medium term trend line and rebounded. That suggests rise from 0.9186 is still in progress. Further break of 1.0128 will confirm up trend resumption and target 1.0342 key resistance. Nevertheless, break of 0.9716 will dampen this bullish view and at least bring deeper fall to 0.9541 key support.

USD/CHF Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.8573; (P) 0.8630; (R1) 0.8667; More….

Intraday bias in USD/CHF stays on the downside and outlook is unchanged. Current fall from 0.9243 is in progress for retesting 0.8551 key support next. On the upside, above 0.8710 minor resistance will turn intraday bias neutral again first. But outlook will remain bearish as long as 0.8819 resistance holds.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 0.8551 are currently seen as a corrective pattern to the decline from 1.0146 (2022 high). Fall from 0.9243 is seen as the second leg for now. Strong support should be seen 0.8551 to bring rebound. Meanwhile, break of 0.9111 resistance will argue that the third leg has started already, and target 0.9243.

USD/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9206; (P) 0.9225; (R1) 0.9262; More….

Intraday bias in USD/CHF remains neutral as sideway trading continues. On the upside, break of 0.9274 will suggest that the pull back from 0.9372 is finished. Intraday bias will be turned back to the upside for 0.9372. On the downside, below 0.9156 will target 0.9084 support. Firm break there should confirm that choppy rise from 0.8925 has completed, and suggests that fall from 0.9471 is resuming. Deeper decline would be seen through 0.8925.

In the bigger picture, the corrective structure of the rebound from 0.8925 argues that fall from 0.9471 is not complete yet. It could either be the second leg of pattern from 0.8756 (2021 low), or resuming larger down trend from 1.0237 (2018 high). We’d pay attention to the downside momentum and assess the odds later. But for now, medium term outlook will be neutral at best as long as 0.9471 resistance holds.

USD/CHF Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9062; (P) 0.9087; (R1) 0.9105; More….

Intraday bias in USD/CHF stays neutral first, and further rise remains mildly in favor as long as 0.9007 support holds. Above 0.9111 will resume the rebound from 0.8886 to retest 0.9243 resistance next. However, firm break of 0.9007 will turn bias to the downside for 0.8886 support instead.

In the bigger picture, outlook is mixed up by the deeper than expected pull back from 0.9243. Yet there was no follow through selling after hitting 0.8886. On the upside, break of 0.9243 resistance will revive the case of medium term bottoming at 0.8851, and turn outlook bullish. However, sustained break of 61.8% retracement of 0.8551 to 0.9243 at 0.8815 will argue that larger decline from 1.0146 is ready to resume through 0.8551 low.

USD/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.8900; (P) 0.8944; (R1) 0.8967; More

Intraday bias in USD/CHF remains neutral at this point. Another decline cannot be ruled out with 0.9070 support turned resistance intact. On the downside, below 0.8858 will resume the down trend from 1.0146 to 61.8% projection of 1.0146 to 0.9058 from 0.9439 at 0.8767, which is close to 0.8756 long term support. Strong support is expected there to bring rebound, at least on first attempt. On the upside, break of 0.9070 support turned resistance will confirm short term bottoming and turn bias back to the upside.

In the bigger picture, fall from 1.1046 (2022 high) is in progress for 0.8756 support (2021 low). But overall, this fall is still seen as a leg in the long term range pattern from 1.0342 (2016 high). So, downside should be contained by 0.8756 to bring reversal. Sustained break of 0.9058 support turned resistance will be the first sign of medium term bottoming. However, decisive break of 0.8756 will carry larger bearish implications.

USD/CHF Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9816; (P) 0.9862; (R1) 0.9888; More

Intraday bias in USD/CHF remains mildly on the downside for the moment. Corrective rebound from 0.9695 should have completed at 0.9951, after rejection by 55 day EMA. Deeper fall should be seen back to retest 0.9695 low first. On the upside, above 0.9951 will extend the rebound from 0.9695. In that case, upside should be limited by 61.8% retracement of 1.0237 to 0.9695 at 1.0030.

In the bigger picture, up trend from 0.9186 (2018 low) should have completed at 1.0237 already. Deeper decline would be seen to 61.8% retracement of 0.9186 to 1.0237 at 0.9587 and below. For now, USD/CHF is seen as in long term range pattern between 0.9186 and 1.0342. Hence, we’d pay attention to bottoming signal below 0.9587. However, sustained break of 1.0014 will revive medium term bullishness and turn focus back to 1.0237 high.

USD/CHF Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9388; (P) 0.9439; (R1) 0.9468; More

USD/CHF’s fall from 0.9490 continues but it’s staying above 0.9321 minor support. Intraday bias remains neutral first. Rejection from 0.9469 resistance retained near term bearishness. Below 0.9321 will target a test on 0.9186 low. Break will resume larger down trend to 0.9115 medium term projection level next. On the upside, break of 0.9490 should indicate near term trend reversal, on bullish convergence condition in 4 hour MACD.

In the bigger picture, fall from 1.0342 is seen as a medium term down trend. Deeper decline should be seen to 100% projection of 1.0342 to 0.9420 from 1.0037 at 0.9115. Break will target 161.8% projection at 0.8545. In any case, sustained trading above 55 day EMA is needed to be the first sign of medium term reversal. Otherwise, outlook will stay bearish even in case of strong rebound.

USD/CHF 4 Hours Chart

USD/CHF Daily Chart

USD/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9860; (P) 0.9915; (R1) 0.9949; More….

No change in USD/CHF’s outlook. As long as 0.9835 resistance turned support holds, further rally is expected. Break of 1.0047 will extend the rise from 0.9420 and target 1.0342 high. However, sustained break of 0.9835 will argue that whole rebound form 0.9420 is completed and turn outlook bearish.

In the bigger picture, current development suggests that USD/CHF has defended 0.9443 (2016 low) key support level again. Rise from 0.9420 could is a medium term up move and should target a test on 1.0342 high. This represents the upper end of a long term range that started back in 2015. On the downside, break of 0.9736 support is now needed to indicate completion of the rise from 0.9420. Otherwise, further rally will remain in favor in medium term.

USD/CHF 4 Hours Chart

USD/CHF Daily Chart

USD/CHF Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9123; (P) 0.9154; (R1) 0.9186; More

USD/CHF is staying in range above 0.9050 and intraday bias remain neutral first. With 0.9241 resistance intact, further fall is still expected. On the downside, break of 0.9050 will resume larger down trend. Though, break of of 0.9241 will confirm short term bottoming and turn bias to the upside for 0.9376 support turned resistance.

In the bigger picture, decline from 1.0237 is seen as the third leg of the pattern from 1.0342 (2016 low). Current development suggests that such pattern is still extending. Sustain trading below 100% projection of 1.0342 to 0.9186 from 1.0237 at 0.9081 will pave the way to 138.2% projection at 0.8639. On the upside, break of 0.9376 resistance is needed to be the first sign of medium term bottoming.

USD/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9951; (P) 0.9965; (R1) 0.9987; More

Intraday bias in USD/CHF remains on the upside with 0.9911 minor support intact. Consolidation from 1.0227 could have completed at 0.9851 already. Further rise should be seen to retest 1.0027 first. Break will resume whole rally from 0.9659. On the downside, however, break of 0.9911 will turn bias back to the downside for 0.9851.

In the bigger picture, medium term outlook remains neutral as USD/CHF is staying in range of 0.9659/1.0237. In any case, decisive break of 1.0237 is needed to indicate up trend resumption. Otherwise, more sideway trading would be seen with risk of another fall. Meanwhile, break of 0.9695 support will target 0.9541 support instead.

USD/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9876; (P) 0.9895; (R1) 0.9923; More

Intraday bias in USD/CHF remains on the downside for 0.9484 support first. Sustained break there will confirm near term reversal and target 61.8% retracement of 0.9541 to 1.0128 at 0.9765 and below. On the upside, above 0.9943 minor resistance will turn intraday bias neutral first. But break of 1.0008 resistance is needed to indicate short term bottoming. Otherwise, near term outlook will now remain bearish in case of recovery.

In the bigger picture, rise from 0.9541 could have topped at 1.0128. But as long as 0.9541 support holds, we’d still expect rise from 0.9186 to resume at a later stage. Break of 1.0128 will target 1.0342 key resistance. However, break of 0.9514 will pave the way back to 0.9186 low.

USD/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9743; (P) 0.9766; (R1) 0.9781; More

Intraday bias in USD/CHF is turned neutral with a temporary top formed at 0.9788. Further rise is expected as long as 0.9740 minor support holds. Above 0.9788 will target 38.2% retracement of 1.0237 to 0.9613 at 0.9851. Reactions from there would unveil whether it’s just a corrective move, or reversing near term trend. On the downside, however, break of 0.9740 minor support will bring retest of 0.9613 low instead.

In the bigger picture, medium term outlook remains neutral as USD/CHF is staying sideway trading started from 1.0342 (2016 high). Fall from 1.0237 is a leg inside the pattern and could target 0.9186 (2018 low). In case of another rise, break of 1.0237 is needed to indicate up trend resumption. Otherwise, more sideway trading would be seen with risk of another fall.

USD/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9409; (P) 0.9422; (R1) 0.9439; More….

Intraday bias in USD/CHF is turned neutral for now. A temporary top was formed at 0.9471 after hitting 61.8% retracement of 0.9901 to 0.8756 at 0.9464. Some consolidations could be seen, but further rally is expected as long as 0.9221 support holds. On the upside, sustained break of 0.9464 will extend the rise from 0.8756 towards 0.9901 resistance next.

In the bigger picture, fall from 1.0237 should have completed at 0.8756, on bullish condition in daily and weekly MACD. Current rally from 0.8756 should target 0.9901 resistance first. Break there will target 1.0237/0342 resistance zone in the medium term. This will now remain the favored case as long as 0.9044 resistance turned support holds.

USD/CHF Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9255; (P) 0.9272; (R1) 0.9293; More….

USD/CHF is still bounded in consolidation from 0.9367 and intraday bias remains neutral. On the upside, break of 0.9367 will resume the rise from 0.8925 to 0.9471 key resistance next. On the downside, however, break of 0.9214 will turn bias back to the downside for 0.9017 support again.

In the bigger picture, the strong rally above 55 week EMA (now at 0.9188) now tilts favor to the case of bullish trend reversal. That is, decline from 1.3042 (2016 high) is probably completed at 0.8756 already. Sustained break of 0.9471 resistance should confirm this case and pave the way to retest 1.0342 ahead. However, rejection by 0.9471 will mix up the outlook again and retain some medium term bearishness.

USD/CHF Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.8717; (P) 0.8758; (R1) 0.8783; More….

Intraday bias in USD/CHF remains neutral at this point. Near term outlook stays bearish for now, with 0.8818 support turned resistance intact. On the downside, break of 0.8663 minor support should confirm rejection by 0.8818 and turn intraday bias back to the downside for retesting 0.8551 first. Nevertheless, decisive break of 0.8818 will carry larger bullish implication, and target 0.9146 cluster resistance next.

In the bigger picture, down trend from 1.0146 is seen as in progress as long as 0.8188 support turned resistance holds. Next target is 61.8% retracement of 0.7065 (2011 low) to 1.0342 (2016 high) at 0.8317. However, sustained break of 0.8818 should indicate medium term bottoming, and bring stronger rise back to 0.9146 cluster resistance (38.2% retracement of 1.0146 to 0.8551 at 0.9160), even as a correction.

USD/CHF Weekly Outlook

USD/CHF gyrated lower last week as fall from 0.9951 extended. Initial bias stays on the downside this week for retesting 0.9695 low first. Break will resume whole decline from 1.0237. On the upside, break of 0.9908 resistance will likely resume the rebound from 0.9695, through 0.9951, to 1.0014 resistance.

In the bigger picture, up trend from 0.9186 (2018 low) should have completed at 1.0237 already. Deeper decline would be seen to 61.8% retracement of 0.9186 to 1.0237 at 0.9587 and below. For now, USD/CHF is seen as in long term range pattern between 0.9186 and 1.0342. Hence, we’d pay attention to bottoming signal below 0.9587. However, sustained break of 1.0014 will revive medium term bullishness and turn focus back to 1.0237 high.

In the long term picture, price actions from 0.7065 (2011 low) are not clearly impulsive yet. Thus, we’ll treat it as developing into a corrective pattern, at least, until a firm break of 1.0342 resistance.

USD/CHF Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9105; (P) 0.9132; (R1) 0.9160; More….

No change in USD/CHF’s outlook as consolidation from 0.9079 continues. Intraday bias remains neutral at this point. Further fall is expected with 0.9180 minor resistance intact. On the downside, break of 0.9079 will resume the decline from 0.9471 to 61.8% retracement of 0.8756 to 0.9471 at 0.9029. Sustained break there will pave the way to retest 0.8756 low. On the upside, however, break of 0.9180 will turn bias back to the upside for stronger rebound.

In the bigger picture, rejection by 61.8% retracement of 0.9901 to 0.8756 at 0.9464 argues that rebound from 0.8756 was probably just a corrective move. That is, larger down trend from 1.0237 might be still in progress. We’ll monitor the downside momentum of the decline from 0.9471, to assess the chance of breakthrough 0.8756 low at a later stage.