USD/CHF rebounded to 0.9467 last week but reversed from there and dropped sharply. The development argues that larger fall form 0.9901 is not finished. Initial bias remains neutral this week first. Break of 0.9382 will target a test on 0.9181 low. Meanwhile, break of 0.9467 resistance will indicate short term bottoming and turn bias back to the upside for 0.9532 resistance and above.

In the bigger picture, decline from 1.0237 is seen as the third leg of the pattern from 1.0342 (2016 low). It could have completed at 0.9181 after hitting 0.9186 key support (2018 low). Break of 0.9901 will extend the rebound from 0.9181 through 1.0023 resistance. After all, medium term range trading will likely continue between 0.9181/1.0237 for some more time.

In the long term picture, price actions from 0.7065 (2011 low) are not clearly impulsive yet. Thus, we’ll treat it as developing into a corrective pattern, at least, until a firm break of 1.0342 resistance.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0154; (P) 1.0175; (R1) 1.0200; More…..

USD/CHF rebounds notably today but stays in range of 1.0126/0237. Intraday bias remains neutral first and more sideway trading could be seen. On the upside, break of 1.0237 will resume larger rise from 0.9186 to 1.0342 key resistance. However, break of 1.0126 will turn bias to the downside for deeper decline to 55 day EMA (now at 1.0066).

In the bigger picture, medium term up trend from 0.9186 is extending. Current rise should target 1.0342 resistance next. For now, we’d be cautious on strong resistance from there to limit upside, until we see medium term upside acceleration. On the downside, break of 0.9879 support is needed to indicate reversal. Otherwise, outlook will stay bullish in case of deep pull back.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9861; (P) 0.9886; (R1) 0.9934; More….

USD/CHF reaches as high as 0.9939 so far and intraday bias remains on the upside. Current rise from 0.9420 should target 61.8% retracement of 1.0342 to 0.9420 at 0.9990. Sustained break there will pave the way to retest 1.0342 high. On the downside, below 0.9837 minor support will turn bias neutral and bring consolidation. But outlook will remain bullish as long as 0.9736 support holds.

In the bigger picture, current development suggests that USD/CHF has defended 0.9443 (2016 low) key support level again. Rise from 0.9420 could develop into a medium term move and target a test on 1.0342 high. This represents the upper end of a long term range that started back in 2015. On the downside, break of 0.9587 support is now needed to indicate completion of the rise from 0.9420. Otherwise, further rally will remain in favor in medium term.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9963; (P) 0.9981; (R1) 0.9997; More…

USD/CHF failed to break through 1.0006 minor resistance again and intraday bias stays neutral first. On the downside, break of 38.2% retracement of 0.9541 to 1.0128 at 0.9904 will resume the fall from 1.0128 to 0.9848 key support level. Break there will indicate near term reversal and target 61.8% at 0.9765. On the upside, break of 1.0006 will argue that the pull back from 1.0128 has completed. Intraday bias will be turned back to the upside for retesting 1.1028.

In the bigger picture, rise from 0.9541 could have topped at 1.0128. But as long as 0.9541 support holds, we’d still expect rise from 0.9186 to resume at a later stage. Break of 1.0128 will target 1.0342 key resistance. However, break of 0.9514 will pave the way back to 0.9186 low.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9295; (P) 0.9360; (R1) 0.9397; More…

Intraday bias in USD/CHF remains on the downside for the moment. Deeper fall could be seen to next key fibonacci level at 0.9115. On the upside, above 0.9448 will turn bias neutral and bring consolidations. But outlook will remain bearish as long as 0.9640 resistance holds.

In the bigger picture, the strong break of 0.9420 support suggests that fall from 1.0342 is developing into a medium term down trend. Deeper fall should be seen to 100% projection of 1.0342 to 0.9420 from 1.0037 at 0.9115. Break will target 161.8% projection at 08545. In any case, break of 0.9640 resistance is needed to be the first sign of medium term bottoming. Otherwise, outlook will stay bearish even in case of strong rebound.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9486; (P) 0.9518; (R1) 0.9543; More…

USD/CHF’s rise resumed after brief retreat. Intraday bias is back on the upside. Rebound from 0.9186 is targeting 0.9626 fibonacci level. Considering bearish divergence condition in 4 hour MACD, we’d be cautious on strong resistance from 0.9626 to limit upside. Nonetheless, sustained break of 0.9626 will carry larger bullish implications. On the downside, break of 0.9423 will indicate completion of the rebound from 0.9186. And intraday bias would then be turned back to the downside for 0.9356 support and below.

In the bigger picture, fall from 1.0342 is seen as a medium term down trend. Current development is raising the chance that it is completed. But there is no confirmation yet. Focus will now be back on 38.2% retracement of 1.0342 (2016 high) to 0.9186 (2018 low) at 0.9626. Sustained break there will add much credence to the case of trend reversal and target 61.8% retracement at 0.9900 and above. However, rejection from 0.9626 will maintain medium term bearishness for another low below 0.9186.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.8817; (P) 0.8843; (R1) 0.8860; More….

Range trading continues in USD/CHF and intraday bias remains neutral. Further rally is in favor as long as 0.8741 support holds. Break of 0.8891 will resume the whole rebound from 0.8332 towards 0.9243 key resistance. Nevertheless, break of 0.8741 support will turn bias back to the downside for deeper pullback.

In the bigger picture, a medium term bottom should be formed at 0.8332, on bullish convergence condition in W MACD, just ahead of 0.8317 long term fibonacci support. It’s still early to decide if the larger down trend from 1.0146 (2022 high) is reversing. But further rise should be seen to 0.9243 resistance even as a correction.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9860; (P) 0.9892; (R1) 0.9927; More…

Intraday bias in USD/CHF is turned neutral with today’s recovery, after drawing support from 4 hour 55 EMA. Consolidation from 0.9954 could extend with another decline. But in that case, we’d expect strong support from 38.2% retracement of 0.9541 to 0.9954 at 0.9796 to bring rebound, and then rise resumption. On the upside, break of 0.9954 will resume the rally from 0.90541 and target 1.0067 resistance next.

In the bigger picture, the pullback from 1.0067 has completed at 0.9541 already. And rise from 0.9186 is likely resuming. Firm break of 1.0067 will pave the way to retest 1.0342 key resistance. We’d be cautious on strong resistance from there to limit upside to bring another medium term fall to extend long term range trading.

USD/CHF’s steep decline last week suggested that, at least, USD/CHF is not ready for rally resumption yet. Initial bias is mildly on the downside this week for 0.9856 support first. Break there will pave the way to key support level at 0.9787. On the upside, above 0.9957 minor resistance will turn intraday bias neutral first.

In the bigger picture, as long as 0.9787 support holds, we’re still favoring the bullish case. That is, rise fro 0.9787 is resuming the whole up trend from 0.9186 and should target 1.0342 key resistance on resumption. However, break of 0.9787 will indicate medium term reversal and turn outlook bearish.

In the long term picture, price actions from 0.7065 (2011 low) are not clearly impulsive yet. Thus, we’ll treat it as developing into a corrective pattern, at least, until a firm break of 1.0342 resistance.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9843; (P) 0.9916; (R1) 0.9957; More…

Range trading continues in USD/CHF and intraday bias remains neutral for the moment. Further rally is expected as long as 0.9840 support holds. Break of 1.0146 will resume larger up trend to 1.0283 projection level. However, sustained break of 0.9840 will now complete a double top pattern, and turn bias back to the downside for 0.9478 support instead.

In the bigger picture, up trend from 0.8756 (2021 low) is still in progress. Next target is 100% projection of 0.9149 to 1.0063 from 0.9369 at 1.0283, and then 1.0342 (2016 high). For now, this will remain the favored case as long as 0.9779 support holds, even in case of deep pull back.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9174; (P) 0.9258; (R1) 0.9333; More…

With 4 hour MACD crossed above signal line, a temporary low should be formed at 0.9181 in USD/CHF. Intraday bias is turned neutral for consolidations first. But upside of recovery should be limited well below 0.9613 support turned resistance to bring fall resumption. On the downside, break of 0.9181 will target 200% projection of 1.0023 to 0.9613 from 0.9848 at 0.9028 next.

In the bigger picture, current development suggests that decline from 1.0237 is the third leg of the pattern from 1.0342 (2016 high). Focus will be on 100% projection 1.0342 to 0.9186 from 1.0237 at 0.9081. Sustained break there will argue that USD/CHF is in a long term down trend, which would target 138.2% projection at 0.8639 next. For now, outlook will remain bearish as long as 0.9613 support turned resistance holds, in case of rebound.

USD/CHF recovered ahead of 38.2% retracement of 0.8551 to 0.9243 at 0.8979 last week. But upside was capped by 55 4H EMA (now at 0.9075). Initial bias remains neutral this week first. On the upside, firm break of 0.9086 will indicate that pull back from 0.9243 has completed, and turn bias to the upside for retesting this high. However, sustained break of 0.8979 will argue that deeper fall is under way to 61.8% retracement at 0.8815.

In the bigger picture, as long as 55 D EMA (now at 0.8976) holds rise from 0.8551 is viewed as reversing whole down trend from 1.0146 (2022 high). On resumption, further rise should be seen to 61.8% retracement of 1.0146 to 0.8551 at 0.9537 and above. However, sustained break of 55 D EMA will revive medium term bearishness, for retesting 0.8551 low at a later stage.

In the long term picture, there is no clear sign that down trend from 1.8305 (2000 high) has completed. With 38.2% retracement of 1.8305 to 0.7065 at 1.1359 intact, outlook is neutral at best.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9583; (P) 0.9663; (R1) 0.9716; More…

USD/CHF is staying in range of 0.9594/9772 and intraday bias remains neutral for the moment. Outlook is a bit mixed as the pair is bounded inside medium term falling channel. The pair was also limited below 38.2% retracement of 1.0342 to 0.9437 at 0.9783. Firm break of 0.9594 will dampen our bullish view and turn bias back to the downside for 0.9437. This could also extend the fall through 1.0342 through 0.9437/43 key support level. On the upside, above 0.9772 will revive the bullish case of reversal and turn bias back to the upside.

In the bigger picture, current development argues that USD/CHF has successfully defended 0.9443 key support level. And long term range trading in 0.9443/1.0342 is extending with another rise. At this point, there is no sign of an up trend yet. Hence, while further rise is expected in USD/CHF, we’ll start to be cautious on loss of momentum above 61.8% retracement of 1.0342 to 0.9437 at 0.9996.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9551; (P) 0.9592; (R1) 0.9618; More….

USD/CHF drops to as low as 0.9499 so far today. Break of 0.9535 confirms resumption of fall from 1.0037. Intraday bias is back on the downside for retesting 0.9420 low. We’d expect strong support from there to bring rebound. On the upside, break of 0.9640 resistance will be the first sign of near term reversal. And, intraday bias will be turned back to the upside for 0.9844 resistance for confirmation.

In the bigger picture, range trading continues between 0.9420/1.0342. At this point, 0.9420 appears to be a strong support level. Therefore, in case of decline attempt, we don’t expect a firm break of this level. Nonetheless, strong break of 1.0342 is also needed to confirm upside momentum. Otherwise, medium term outlook will stay neutral.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.8587; (P) 0.8648; (R1) 0.8690; More….

Intraday bias in USD/CHF remains mildly on the downside for 0.8487 minor support. Break there will argue that rebound from 0.8332 has completed at 0.8727, after rejection by 55 D EMA (now at 0.8686). Deeper fall would be seen to retest 0.8332 low. On the upside, firm break of 0.8727 will resume the rebound to 61.8% retracement of 0.9243 to 0.8332 at 0.8995.

In the bigger picture, while rebound from 0.8332 could be strong, there is no clear sign of medium term bottoming yet. This rebound is tentatively seen as a corrective move for now. Also, outlook will stay bearish as long as 0.9243 resistance holds. Larger down trend from 1.0146 (2022 high) should resume through 0.8332 low at a later stage.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0176; (P) 1.0233; (R1) 1.0266; More…..

USD/CHF’s consolidation from 1.0342 is still in progress and intraday bias stays neutral first. Deeper fall cannot be ruled out. But we’d expect strong support from 1.0019 to contain downside and bring rally resumption. Firm break of 1.0342 will confirm up trend resumption. However, firm break of 1.0019 will indicate near term reversal and could bring deeper fall bring to 0.9443/9548 support zone.

In the bigger picture, the corrective fall from 1.0327 should have completed at 0.9443 already. Rise from 0.9443 could be resuming the long term rally from 2011 low at 0.7065. But decisive break of 1.0327 is needed to confirm. In that case, next medium term upside target will be 38.2% retracement of 1.8305 to 0.7065 at 1.1359. Rejection from 1.0327 will extend the sideway pattern with another fall back to 0.9443/9548 support zone.

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Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9135; (P) 0.9167; (R1) 0.9222; More….

Intraday bias in USD/CHF remains neutral for the moment. On the upside, break of 0.9200 resistance will argue that fall from 0.9372 has completed with three waves down to 0.9101. Intraday bias will be back on the upside for 0.9372 resistance. On the downside, sustained break of 0.9084 support should confirm that choppy rise from 0.8925 has completed, and suggests that fall from 0.9471 is resuming. Deeper decline would be seen through 0.8925.

In the bigger picture, the corrective structure of the rebound from 0.8925 argues that fall from 0.9471 is not complete yet. It could either be the second leg of pattern from 0.8756 (2021 low), or resuming larger down trend from 1.0237 (2018 high). We’d pay attention to the downside momentum and assess the odds later. But for now, medium term outlook will be neutral at best as long as 0.9471 resistance holds.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9866; (P) 0.9887; (R1) 0.9904; More…

Consolidation from 1.0027 is still in progress and deeper fall could be seen to 0.9841/51 support zone. Sustained break there could back the way back to 0.9695 low. On the upside, break of 0.9978 will target 1.0027 first.

In the bigger picture, medium term outlook remains neutral as USD/CHF is staying in range of 0.9659/1.0237. In any case, decisive break of 1.0237 is needed to indicate up trend resumption. Otherwise, more sideway trading would be seen with risk of another fall. Meanwhile, break of 0.9695 support will target 0.9541 support instead.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9183; (P) 0.9222; (R1) 0.9245; More….

Intraday bias in USD/CHF is turned neutral for the moment. Focus stays on 38.2% retracement of 0.8756 to 0.9471 at 0.9198. We’re still looking for support from here to bring rebound. On the upside, above 0.9258 will turn bias to the upside for retesting 0.9471. However, sustained break of 0.9198 will bring deeper fall to 61.8% retracement at 0.9029.

In the bigger picture, fall from 1.0237 should have completed at 0.8756, on bullish convergence condition in daily and weekly MACD. Current rally from 0.8756 should target 0.9901 resistance first. Break there will target 1.0237/0342 resistance zone in the medium term. However, sustained trading below 55 day EMA (now at 0.9192) will revive medium term bearishness for down trend extension through 0.8756 at a later stage.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9690; (P) 0.9715; (R1) 0.9764; More…

Intraday bias in USD/CHF remains neutral as consolidation from 0.9646 is extending. With 0.9770 resistance intact, further decline is expected. Break of 0.9646 will resume whole decline form 1.0237 and target 100% projection of 1.0237 to 0.9659 from 1.0023 at 0.9445. Nevertheless, on the upside, break of 0.9770 will indicate short term bottoming and turn bias to the upside for 55 day EMA (now at 0.9834) instead.

In the bigger picture, medium term outlook remains neutral as USD/CHF is staying sideway trading started from 1.0342 (2016 high). Fall from 1.0237 is a leg inside the pattern and could target 0.9186 (2018 low). In case of another rise, break of 1.0237 is needed to indicate up trend resumption. Otherwise, more sideway trading would be seen with risk of another fall.