USD/CHF Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9889; (P) 0.9913; (R1) 0.9950; More

USD/CHF is staying in consolidation pattern from 1.0027 and intraday bias remains neutral. Further rise is expected as long as 0.9851 support holds. On the upside, break of 0.9970 will bring retest of 1.0027 resistance next. On the downside, though, break of 0.9851 will indicate completion of whole rise from 0.9659 and turn outlook bearish for retesting this low.

In the bigger picture, medium term outlook remains neutral as USD/CHF is staying in range of 0.9659/1.0237. In any case, decisive break of 1.0237 is needed to indicate up trend resumption. Otherwise, more sideway trading would be seen with risk of another fall. Meanwhile, break of 0.9695 support will target 0.9541 support instead.

USD/CHF Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9528; (P) 0.9621; (R1) 0.9694; More

USD/CHF’s fall from 0.9868, as a leg inside the correction pattern from 1.0063, is still in progress. Intraday bias stays on the downside for 0.9369 support next. On the upside above 0.9625 minor resistance will turn intraday bias neutral first.

In the bigger picture, current development suggests that up trend from 0.8756 (2021 low) is still in progress. Sustained break of 1.0063 will target 100% projection of 0.9149 to 1.0063 from 0.9369 at 1.0283, and then 1.0342 (2016 high). For now, this will remain the favored case as long as 0.9369 support holds, even in case of deep pull back.

USD/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9733; (P) 0.9745; (R1) 0.9759; More

USD/CHF is still bounded in range of 0.9613/9766 and intraday bias remains neutral. Further decline is expected with 0.9766 resistance intact. On the downside, decisive break of 0.9613 will resume whole down trend from 1.0237. Next target is 100% projection of 1.0237 to 0.9659 from 1.0023 at 0.9445. However, break of 0.9766 will indicate short term reversal and bring stronger rebound.

In the bigger picture, medium term outlook remains neutral as USD/CHF is staying sideway trading started from 1.0342 (2016 high). Fall from 1.0237 is a leg inside the pattern and could target 0.9186 (2018 low). In case of another rise, break of 1.0237 is needed to indicate up trend resumption. Otherwise, more sideway trading would be seen with risk of another fall.

USD/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0042; (P) 1.0082; (R1) 1.0124; More…..

Intraday bias in USD/CHF remains neutral as it’s staying in range of 1.0019/0342. As long as 1.0019 support holds, further rally is still mildly in favor. Firm break of 1.0342 will confirm up trend resumption. However, sustained break of 1.0019 will indicate near term reversal and could bring deeper fall bring to 0.9443/9548 support zone.

In the bigger picture, the corrective fall from 1.0327 should have completed at 0.9443 already. Rise from 0.9443 could be resuming the long term rally from 2011 low at 0.7065. But decisive break of 1.0327 is needed to confirm. In that case, next medium term upside target will be 38.2% retracement of 1.8305 to 0.7065 at 1.1359. Rejection from 1.0327 will extend the sideway pattern with another fall back to 0.9443/9548 support zone.

USD/CHF 4 Hours Chart

USD/CHF Daily Chart

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USD/CHF Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9379; (P) 0.9402; (R1) 0.9424; More

Sideway consolidation continues in USD/CHF and intraday bias remains neutral first. On the downside, break of 0.9362 will target 100% projection of 0.9901 to 0.9502 from 0.9736 at 0.9337. Sustained break there will pave the way to retest 0.9181 low. However, firm break of 0.9453 will turn bias back to the upside for 0.9532 resistance instead.

In the bigger picture, decline from 1.0237 is seen as the third leg of the pattern from 1.0342 (2016 low). It could have completed at 0.9181 after hitting 0.9186 key support (2018 low). Break of 0.9901 will extend the rebound from 0.9181 through 1.0023 resistance. After all, medium term range trading will likely continue between 0.9181/1.0237 for some more time.

USD/CHF Weekly Outlook

USD/CHF’s decline extended to as low as 0.9724 last week after brief intra-week consolidation. Initial bias stays on the downside this week. Current decline from 1.0342 would now target 100% projection of 1.0342 to 0.9860 from 1.0099 at 0.9617. We’ll start to look for bottoming signal again below there. On the upside, above 0.9824 minor resistance will turn intraday bias neutral again and bring consolidations first, before staging another fall.

In the bigger picture, USD/CHF is bounded in medium term range of 0.9443/1.0342 for the moment. Consolidative trading would likely continue and medium term outlook remains neutral. Break of 1.0342 key resistance is needed to confirm underlying bullish momentum in the pair. Meanwhile, downside attempts should be contained by 0.9443 key support level.

USD/CHF Weekly Chart

USD/CHF Monthly Chart

USD/CHF Weekly Chart

USD/CHF Monthly Chart

USD/CHF Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9627; (P) 0.9671; (R1) 0.9720; More

Intraday bias in USD/CHF stays neutral at this point. Another fall cannot be ruled out. But decline from 1.0048 is viewed as the third leg of the corrective pattern from 1.0063. Strong support should be seen at around 0.9543 to contain downside to bring rebound. On the upside, above 0.9815 minor resistance will turn bias back to the upside for retesting 1.0063 resistance.

In the bigger picture, down trend from 1.0342 (2016 high) should have completed with three waves down to 0.8756 (2021 low) already. Rise from 0.8756 is likely a medium term up trend of its own. Next target is 1.0237/0342 resistance zone. This will remain the favored case as long as 0.9471 resistance turned support holds. However, sustained break of 0.9471 will extend long term range trading with another falling leg.

USD/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9111; (P) 0.9144; (R1) 0.9184; More….

Intraday bias in USD/CHF remains neutral at this point. But further decline is expected as long as 0.9225 resistance holds. On the downside, break of 0.9101 will target 0.9017 support, and then 0.8925. On the upside, however, break of 0.9225 resistance will turn bias back to the upside for 0.9367 resistance instead.

In the bigger picture, the corrective structure of the rebound from 0.8925 argues that fall from 0.9471 is not complete yet. It could either be the second leg of pattern from 0.8756 (2021 low), or resuming larger down trend from 1.0237 (2018 high). We’d pay attention to the downside momentum and assess the odds later. But for now, medium term outlook will be neutral at best as long as 0.9471 resistance holds.

USD/CHF Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9001; (P) 0.9036; (R1) 0.9057; More….

Intraday bias in USD/CHF is turned neutral again first with current recovery. But further decline is expected as long as 0.9101 resistance holds. Break of 0.8987 will resume the whole fall from 0.9223 and target 38.2% retracement of 0.8332 to 0.9223 at 0.8883 next. However, break of 0.9101 will turn bias back to the upside for stronger rebound.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 0.8332 medium term bottom are tentatively seen as developing into a corrective pattern to the down trend from 1.0146 (2022 high). Rejection by 0.9243 resistance, followed by sustained break of 38.2% retracement of 0.8332 to 0.9223 at 0.8883 will strengthen this case, and maintain medium term bearishness. However, decisive break of 0.9243 will argue that the trend has already reversed and turn medium term outlook bullish for 1.0146.

USD/CHF Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9919; (P) 0.9940; (R1) 0.9976; More

USD/CHF weakens mildly today but stays well inside consolidation for 0.9852. Intraday bias remains neutral at this point. In case of another recovery, upside should be limited by 1.0008 support turned resistance and bring fall resumption. On the downside, break of 0.9854 will extend the decline from 1.0237 to 0.9716 cluster support (50% retracement of 0.9186 to 1.0237 at 0.9712).

In the bigger picture, USD/CHF’s break of long term trend line support is the first indication of medium term reversal. Focus is now back on 0.9879 support. Sustained break should confirm that medium term up trend from 0.9186 has completed at 1.0237 already. Further fall should be seen to 0.9716 cluster support (50% retracement of 0.9186 to 1.0237 at 0.9712) next. Break will target 61.8% retracement at 0.9587.

USD/CHF Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9005; (P) 0.9050; (R1) 0.9074; More….

Intraday bias in USD/CHF remains neutral for consolidation below 0.9094. On the downside, break of 55 4H EMA (now at 0.9018) will bring deeper pullback. But downside should be contained by 0.8884 resistance turned support to bring rebound. On the upside, break of 0.9094 will resume larger rise from 0.8332 to 0.9243 key resistance.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 0.8332 medium term bottom as tentatively seen as developing into a corrective pattern to the down trend from 1.0146 (2022 high). Further rise would be seen as long as 0.8728 support holds. But upside should be limited by 0.9243 resistance, at least on first attempt.

USD/CHF Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9928; (P) 0.9987; (R1) 1.0020; More…..

Intraday bias in USD/CHF remains on the downside for the moment. Rebound from 0.9812 has completed at 1.0107 and correction from 1.0342 is still in progress. Such correction should have started another falling leg. Deeper decline would be seen for 0.9812 support and possibly below. On the upside, above 1.0008 minor resistance will turn bias back to the upside for 1.0107 resistance instead.

In the bigger picture, we’re still maintaining that firm break of 1.0342 key resistance is needed to confirm underlying bullish momentum in the cross. However, the corrective nature of the fall from 1.0342 is starting to give the medium term outlook a bullish favor. Hence, in stead of looking for topping signal around 1.0342, we’d now pay closer attention to upside acceleration as USD/CHF approaches this level again.

USD/CHF 4 Hours Chart

USD/CHF Daily Chart

USD/CHF Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9764; (P) 0.9780; (R1) 0.9802; More

Intraday bias in USD/CHF remains neutral with focus on 0.9686 minor support. Break will suggest completion of rebound from 0.9502. Correction from 0.9901 should have then started the third leg. Intraday bias will be turned back to the downside for 61.8% retracement of 0.9181 to 0.9901 at 0.9456 again. On the upside, above 0.9797 will target 0.9901 high instead.

In the bigger picture, decline from 1.0237 is seen as the third leg of the pattern from 1.0342 (2016 low). It could have completed at 0.9181 after hitting 0.9186 key support (2018 low). Further rise could be seen to retest 1.0237 high. After all, medium term range trading will likely continue between 0.9181/1.0237 for some time.

USD/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9927; (P) 0.9942; (R1) 0.9970; More

Intraday bias in USD/CHF remains neutral focus focus now on 0.9977 minor resistance. Break of 0.9977 will suggests that the pull back from 1.0067 has completed. And that will bring retest of 1.0067 first. Decisive break there will resume larger rally from 0.9186. On the downside, below 0.9866 will extend the fall from 1.0067 through 0.9856 to 0.9787 support. As price actions from 1.0056 are seen as a corrective pattern, downside should be contained by 38.2% retracement of 0.9186 to 1.0056 at 0.9724 to bring rebound.

In the bigger picture, current development suggests that the consolidation pattern from 1.0056 is extending with another leg. As long as 38.2% retracement of 0.9186 to 1.0056 at 0.9724 holds, we’d expect rise from 0.9186 to resume at a later stage to retest 1.0342 key resistance (2016 high). However, sustained break of 0.9724 will bring deeper fall, as another declining leg in the long term range pattern.

USD/CHF Weekly Outlook

USD/CHF recovered after dipping to 0.9478 last week but recovered. Initial bias stays neutral this week first. Overall, corrective pattern from 1.0063 is probably still extending. On the upside, firm break of 4 hour 55 EMA (now at 0.9644) will target 0.9868 resistance first. Further break there will argue that larger up trend is ready to resume through 1.0063. On the downside, below 0.9478 will extend the fall from 0.9868 towards 0.9369 support.

In the bigger picture, current development suggests that up trend from 0.8756 (2021 low) is still in progress. Sustained break of 1.0063 will target 100% projection of 0.9149 to 1.0063 from 0.9369 at 1.0283, and then 1.0342 (2016 high). For now, this will remain the favored case as long as 0.9369 support holds, even in case of deep pull back.

In the long term picture, outlook is mixed with deeper than expected fall from 1.0063, but some support is seen from 55 week EMA (now at 0.9460). Overall, though, USD/CHF is seen as in sideway pattern from 1.0342 (2016 high). Range trading should continue until further development.

USD/CHF Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9943; (P) 0.9983; (R1) 1.0015; More

Intraday bias in USD/CHF remains neutral at this point. Correction from 1.0056 could extend with another fall. But we’d expect strong support from trend line (now at 0.9799) to contain downside to bring rebound. On the upside, firm break of 1.0056 will confirm rise resumption for 1.0342 key resistance.

In the bigger picture, medium term decline from 1.0342 has completed with three waves down to 0.9186. Rise from there is currently viewed as a leg inside the long term range pattern. Hence, while further rally would be seen, we’d be cautious on strong resistance from 1.0342 to limit upside. For now, further rise is expected as long as 38.2% retracement of 0.9186 to 1.0056 at 0.9724 holds.

USD/CHF Weekly Outlook

USD/CHF’s sharp decline last week suggests that corrective rebound from 0.9058 has completed at 0.9439 already, ahead of 38.2% retracement of 1.0146 to 0.9058 at 0.9474. Initial bias stays on the downside this week for retesting 0.9058 low. Decisive break there will resume larger down trend from 1.0146. Next target is 61.8% projection of 1.0146 to 0.9058 from 0.9439 at 0.8767. On the upside, above 0.9284 minor resistance will turn intraday bias neutral first. But risk will now stay on the downside as long as 0.9439 resistance holds.

In the bigger picture, fall from 1.1046 (2022 high) is should still be in progress with 38.2% retracement of 1.0146 to 0.9058 at 0.9474 intact. Rejection by 55 week EMA is also a medium term bearish sign. Break of 0.9058 will resume such decline towards 0.8756 support (2021 low). But overall, such fall is still as a leg in the long term range pattern from 1.0342 (2016 high). So, downside should be contained by 0.8756 to bring reversal. For now, this will remain the favored cas as long as 0.9439 resistance holds.

In the long term picture, long term sideway pattern from 1.0342 (2016 high) is extending. Overall, range trading should continue until further development.

USD/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9745; (P) 0.9781; (R1) 0.9839; More

USD/CHF’s rebound form 0.9543 resumes after brief consolidation and intraday bias back on the upside. Further rally would be seen to retest 1.0063 high. Firm break there will resume larger up trend. However, break of 0.9714 minor support will extend the correction from 1.0063 with another leg, and turn bias to the downside for 61.8% retracement of 0.9193 to 1.0063 at 0.9525.

In the bigger picture, down trend from 1.0342 (2016 high) should have completed with three waves down to 0.8756 (2021 low) already. Rise from 0.8756 is likely a medium term up trend of its own. Next target is 1.0237/0342 resistance zone. This will remain the favored case as long as 0.9471 resistance turned support holds. However, sustained break of 0.9471 will extend long term range trading with another falling leg.

USD/CHF Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9522; (P) 0.9577; (R1) 0.9675; More

Intraday bias in USD/CHF stays neutral for the moment. The pair is still in corrective pattern from 1.0063. Below 0.9478 will extend the fall from 0.9868 towards 0.9369 support. On the upside, firm break of 4 hour 55 EMA (now at 0.9658) will target 0.9868 resistance first. Further break there will argue that larger up trend is ready to resume through 1.0063.

In the bigger picture, current development suggests that up trend from 0.8756 (2021 low) is still in progress. Sustained break of 1.0063 will target 100% projection of 0.9149 to 1.0063 from 0.9369 at 1.0283, and then 1.0342 (2016 high). For now, this will remain the favored case as long as 0.9369 support holds, even in case of deep pull back.

USD/CHF Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9205; (P) 0.9225; (R1) 0.9244; More….

USD/CHF edges lower today but there is no follow through selling so far. Focus stays on 38.2% retracement of 0.8756 to 0.9471 at 0.9198. Sustained trading below this level will extend the fall from 0.9471 to 61.8% retracement at 0.9029. On the upside, break of 0.9258 minor resistance will argue that corrective pull back from 0.9471 has completed. Intraday bias will be turned back to the upside for retesting this high.

In the bigger picture, fall from 1.0237 should have completed at 0.8756, on bullish convergence condition in daily and weekly MACD. Current rally from 0.8756 should target 0.9901 resistance first. Break there will target 1.0237/0342 resistance zone in the medium term. However, sustained trading below 55 day EMA (now at 0.9192) will revive medium term bearishness for down trend extension through 0.8756 at a later stage.