USD/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9083; (P) 0.9106; (R1) 0.9126; More

Intraday bias in USD/CHF remains neutral at this point. With 0.9165 resistance intact, further decline is still in favor. On the downside, break of 0.9030 will target 0.8998 low first. Firm break there will resume larger down trend to 61.8% projection of 0.9901 to 0.8998 from 0.9304 at 0.8746. However, break of 0.9165 will invalidate this bearish view and turn bias back to the upside for 0.9304 resistance.

In the bigger picture, decline from 1.0237 is seen as the third leg of the pattern from 1.0342 (2016 high). There is no clear sign of completion yet. On resumption, next target will be 138.2% projection of 1.0342 to 0.9186 from 1.0237 at 0.8639. Nevertheless, strong break of 0.9304 resistance will be an early sign of trend reversal and turn focus back to 0.9901 key resistance for confirmation.

USD/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9068; (P) 0.9107; (R1) 0.9140; More….

Intraday bias in USD/CHF is turned neutral first with current retreat, and some consolidations would be seen. But further rally is expected as long as 0.8996 support holds. Break of 0.9146 will resume whole rally from 0.8332. Next target is 161.8% projection of 0.8550 to 0.8884 from 0.8728 at 0.8818.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 0.8332 medium term bottom as tentatively seen as developing into a corrective pattern to the down trend from 1.0146 (2022 high). Further rise would be seen as long as 0.8728 support holds. But upside should be limited by 0.9243 resistance, at least on first attempt.

USD/CHF Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9180; (P) 0.9206; (R1) 0.9240; More….

USD/CHF is still bounded in range of 0.9116/9273 and intraday bias remains neutral first. On the downside, break of 0.9116 support will affirm the case that rebound from 0.8925 has completed at 0.9273. Deeper fall would then be seen back to retest 0.8925 low. On the upside, however, break of 0.9273 and sustained trading above 61.8% retracement of 0.9471 to 0.8925 at 0.9262 will target 0.9471 resistance next.

In the bigger picture, medium term outlook is currently neutral with focus on 0.9471 resistance. Sustained break there will indicate completion of whole decline from 1.0342 (2016 high). Medium term outlook will be turned bullish for a test on 1.0342 high. But, rejection by 0.9471 again will revive bearishness for another fall through 0.8756 low.

USD/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9658; (P) 0.9709; (R1) 0.9745; More

Intraday bias in USD/CHF remains on the downside a this point. Current fall form 1.0023 should target 0.9659 support next. On the upside, above 0.9739 minor resistance will turn intraday bias neutral and bring consolidation first, before staging another decline.

In the bigger picture, medium term outlook remains neutral as USD/CHF is staying in range of 0.9659/1.0237. In any case, decisive break of 1.0237 is needed to indicate up trend resumption. Otherwise, more sideway trading would be seen with risk of another fall. Meanwhile, break of 0.9695 support will target 0.9541 support instead.

USD/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.8977; (P) 0.8986; (R1) 0.9004; More….

USD/CHF is staying in consolidation below 0.9019 temporary top and intraday bias stays neutral. Another retreat might be seen but downside should be contained by 0.8884 resistance turned support to bring rebound. Break of 0.9019 will resume larger rally from 0.8332. Next target is 100% projection projection of 0.8550 to 0.8884 from 0.8728 at 0.9062.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 0.8332 medium term bottom as tentatively seen as developing into a corrective pattern to the down trend from 1.0146 (2022 high). Further rise would be seen as long as 0.8728 support holds. But upside should be limited by 0.9243 resistance, at least on first attempt.

USD/CHF Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9710; (P) 0.9766; (R1) 0.9799; More….

USD/CHF recovers after dropping support from near term channel. Intraday bias is turned neutral for some consolidations. But upside of recovery should be limited well below 0.9963 resistance to bring another decline. Current fall from 1.0128 should be correcting whole rise from 0.9186. Below 0.9716 will target 0.9541 (61.8% retracement of 0.9186 to 1.0128 at 0.9546).

In the bigger picture, current development suggests that rise from 0.9186 has possibly completed with three waves up to 1.0128 already. Decline from 1.0128 could either be correcting this move, or reversing the trend. As long as 0.9541 support holds, we’d slightly favor the former scenario, and expect another rise through 1.0128 at a later stage. However, sustained break of 0.9541 will confirm trend reversal and bring deeper fall back to 0.9186 low.

 

USD/CHF Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9605; (P) 0.9641; (R1) 0.9670; More

Intraday bias in USD/CHF remains neutral as consolidation from 0.9691 is still in progress. Outlook is unchanged that triangle correction from 1.0063 could have completed at 0.9369 already. Above 0.9691 will resume the rise from 0.9369 and target 0.9884 resistance next. Break there will argue that larger up trend is ready for resumption through 1.0063. On the downside, below 0.9551 minor support will dampen this view and turn bias back to the downside for 0.9369 support instead.

In the bigger picture, current development suggests that up trend from 0.8756 (2021 low) is still in progress. Sustained break of 1.0063 will target 100% projection of 0.9149 to 1.0063 from 0.9369 at 1.0283, and then 1.0342 (2016 high). For now, this will remain the favored case as long as 0.9369 support holds, even in case of deep pull back.

USD/CHF Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9543; (P) 0.9593; (R1) 0.9644; More

Intraday bias in USD/CHF stays neutral and outlook is unchanged. Price actions from 1.0063 are still seen as a consolidation pattern. On the upside, break of 0.9731 resistance will argue that such consolidation has completed and bring stronger rally back to retest 1.0063 high. However, another fall below 0.9493 will dampen this view and target 0.9459 resistance turned support.

In the bigger picture, down trend from 1.0342 (2016 high) should have completed with three waves down to 0.8756 (2021 low) already. Rise from 0.8756 is likely a medium term up trend of its own. Next target is 1.0237/0342 resistance zone. This will remain the favored case as long as 0.9471 resistance turned support holds. However, sustained break of 0.9471 will extend long term range trading with another falling leg.

USD/CHF Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.8991; (P) 0.9014; (R1) 0.9048; More….+

USD/CHF’s rebounded from 0.8886 is still in progress and intraday bias stays on the upside. Sustained break of 0.9086 resistance will pave the way back to 0.9342 resistance next. On the downside, however, below 0.8962 minor support will turn bias back to the downside for 0.8886 and possibly below.

In the bigger picture, outlook is mixed up by the deeper than expected pull back from 0.9243. Yet there was no follow through selling after hitting 0.8886. On the upside, break of 0.9243 resistance will revive the case of medium term bottoming at 0.8851, and turn outlook bullish. However, sustained break of 61.8% retracement of 0.8551 to 0.9243 at 0.8815 will argue that larger decline from 1.0146 is ready to resume through 0.8551 low.

USD/CHF Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0154; (P) 1.0175; (R1) 1.0200; More…..

USD/CHF rebounds notably today but stays in range of 1.0126/0237. Intraday bias remains neutral first and more sideway trading could be seen. On the upside, break of 1.0237 will resume larger rise from 0.9186 to 1.0342 key resistance. However, break of 1.0126 will turn bias to the downside for deeper decline to 55 day EMA (now at 1.0066).

In the bigger picture, medium term up trend from 0.9186 is extending. Current rise should target 1.0342 resistance next. For now, we’d be cautious on strong resistance from there to limit upside, until we see medium term upside acceleration. On the downside, break of 0.9879 support is needed to indicate reversal. Otherwise, outlook will stay bullish in case of deep pull back.

USD/CHF Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9026; (P) 0.9038; (R1) 0.9052; More

Intraday bias in USD/CHF is turned neutral first with current retreat. Further rise is mildly in favor as long as 0.8956 support holds. Above 0.9049 will affirm the case that corrective fall from 0.9223 has completed at 0.8825. Further rally would then be seen to 0.9157 resistance next. However, firm break of 0.8956 will bring retest of 0.8825 support instead.

In the bigger picture, focus remains is now on 0.9223/9243 resistance zone. Decisive break there would complete a head and shoulder bottom pattern (ls: 0.8551; h: 0.8332; rs: 0.8825). That would indicate larger bullish trend reversal. Nevertheless, rejection by 0.9223/43 will keep medium term outlook neutral at best, for more range trading between 0.8332/9243 first.

USD/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9132; (P) 0.9151; (R1) 0.9181; More

USD/CHF’s break of 0.9161 resistance should confirm short term bottoming at 0.8998, on bullish convergence condition in 4 hour MACD. Intraday bias is turned back to the upside for 55 day EMA (now at 0.9230) and above. Such rise is currently seen as a corrective move and hence, we’d pay attention to topping around 38.2% retracement of 0.9901 to 0.8998 at 0.9343. On the downside, below 0.9082 minor support will turn bias back to the downside for retesting 0.8998 low instead.

In the bigger picture, decline from 1.0237 is seen as the third leg of the pattern from 1.0342 (2016 low), which is still extending. Sustained trading below 100% projection of 1.0342 to 0.9186 from 1.0237 at 0.9081 will pave the way to 138.2% projection at 0.8639. On the upside, break of 0.9376 resistance is needed to be the first sign of medium term bottoming.

USD/CHF Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9657; (P) 0.9704; (R1) 0.9742; More

Intraday bias in USD/CHF remains mildly on the downside for the moment. Fall from 0.9784 could be another falling leg inside the corrective pattern from 0.9901. Deeper fall could be seen to 0.9588 support. But overall, downside should be contained by 61.8% retracement of 0.9181 to 0.9901 at 0.9456 to rebound. On the upside, above 0.9750 minor resistance will turn intraday bias neutral first. Break of 0.9802 will target a test on 0.9901 high.

In the bigger picture, decline from 1.0237 is seen as the third leg of the pattern from 1.0342 (2016 low). It could have completed at 0.9181 after hitting 0.9186 key support (2018 low). Break of 0.9901 will extend the rebound form 0.9181 through 1.0023 resistance. After all, medium term range trading will likely continue between 0.9181/1.0237 for some more time.

USD/CHF Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.8898; (P) 0.8912; (R1) 0.8926; More….

Intraday bias in USD/CHF remains neutral for the moment. On the upside, decisive break of 0.8919 resistance should confirm short term bottoming at 0.8756, on bullish convergence condition in 4 hour MACD. Considering bullish convergence condition in daily MACD too, USD/CHF could be corrective whole fall form 0.9901 in this case. Intraday bias will be turned back to the upside for 38.2% retracement of 0.9901 to 0.8756 at 0.9193. Though, break of 0.8821 minor support will bring retest of 0.8756 low instead.

In the bigger picture, decline from 1.0237 is seen as the third leg of the pattern from 1.0342 (2016 high). There is no clear sign of completion yet. Next target will be 138.2% projection of 1.0342 to 0.9186 from 1.0237 at 0.8639. In any case, break of 0.9294 resistance is needed to signal medium term bottoming. Otherwise, outlook will remain bearish in case of rebound.

USD/CHF Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9695; (P) 0.9725; (R1) 0.9778; More….

Despite breaking 0.9772 key resitsance, USD/CHF failed to sustain above so far. Intradaybias stays neutral first. On the upside, firm break of 0.9772 key resistance will suggest that whole down trend form 1.0342 has completed. In that case, near term outlook will be turned bullish for 0.9860/1.0099 resistance zone. However, break of 09669 minor support will suggest rejection from 09772 and turn bias back to the downside for 0.9587 support. Break will target retesting 0.9420 low.

In the bigger picture, focus remains on whether 0.9443 key support (2016 low) could be taken out firmly as down trend from 1.0342 extends. There are various interpretation of the price actions. But in any case, medium term outlook will stay bearish as long as 0.9772 resistance holds. Current down trend could extend to 38.2% retracement of 0.7065 (2011 low) to 1.0342 (2016 high) at 0.9090. However, break of 0.9772 will indicate that USD/CHF has successfully defended 0.9443 again and turn outlook bullish for 1.0099 resistance.

USD/CHF 4 Hours Chart

USD/CHF Daily Chart

USD/CHF Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9780; (P) 0.9811; (R1) 0.9863; More….

USD/CHF’s rebound was limited at 0.9844 and drops sharply. Intraday bias is turned neutral first with mixed near term outlook. Nonetheless, we’re still slightly favoring that correction from 1.0037 has completed with three waves down to 0.9698. Above 0.9844 will turn bias back to the upside for 0.9977 resistance for confirming this bullish view. However, break of 0.9698 will extend such correction to 61.8% retracement of 0.9420 to 0.1.0037 at 0.9656 before completion.

In the bigger picture, range trading continues between 0.9420/1.0342. At this point, 0.9420 appears to be a strong support level. Therefore, in case of decline attempt, we don’t expect a firm break of this level. Nonetheless, strong break of 1.0342 is also needed to confirm upside momentum. Otherwise, medium term outlook will stay neutral.

USD/CHF 4 Hours Chart

USD/CHF Daily Chart

USD/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.8950; (P) 0.8977; (R1) 0.8996; More….

Intraday bias in USD/CHF remains on the downside at this point. Current fall from 0.9471 should target a test on 0.8756 low. However, break of 0.9046 resistance will now indicate short term bottoming. Intraday bias will be turned back to the upside for stronger rebound.

In the bigger picture, rejection by 61.8% retracement of 0.9901 to 0.8756 at 0.9464 argues that rebound from 0.8756 was probably just a corrective move. That is, larger down trend from 1.0237 might be still in progress. Medium term bearish is also affirmed as the pair is now far below falling 55 week EMA. Firm break of 0.8756 low will target 61.8% projection of 1.0237 to 0.8756 from 0.9471 at 0.8556 next.

USD/CHF Mid-Day Outlook

Break of 0.9827 indicates USD/CHF’s fall from 0.9977 has resumed. Intraday bias is back on the downside for 0.9734 and below. Price actions from 1.0037 are viewed as a correction pattern. Hence, we’d we’d expect strong support from 61.8% retracement of 0.9420 to 0.1.0037 at 0.9656 to contain downside and bring rebound. On the upside, above 0.9915 resistance will turn bias to the upside for 0.9977 resistance and above instead.

In the bigger picture, range trading continues between 0.9420/1.0342. At this point, 0.9420 appears to be a strong support level. Therefore, in case of decline attempt, we don’t expect a firm break of this level. Nonetheless, strong break of 1.0342 is also needed to confirm upside momentum. Otherwise, medium term outlook will stay neutral.

USD/CHF 4 Hours Chart

USD/CHF Daily Chart

USD/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9961; (P) 0.9976; (R1) 0.9997; More…..

With 1.0008 minor resistance intact, intraday bias in USD/CHF remains on the downside at this point. Rebound from 0.9812 has completed at 1.0107 and correction from 1.0342 is still in progress. Such correction should have started another falling leg. Deeper decline would be seen for 0.9812 support and possibly below. On the upside, above 1.0008 minor resistance will turn bias back to the upside for 1.0107 resistance instead.

In the bigger picture, we’re still maintaining that firm break of 1.0342 key resistance is needed to confirm underlying bullish momentum in the cross. However, the corrective nature of the fall from 1.0342 is starting to give the medium term outlook a bullish favor. Hence, in stead of looking for topping signal around 1.0342, we’d now pay closer attention to upside acceleration as USD/CHF approaches this level again.

USD/CHF 4 Hours Chart

USD/CHF Daily Chart

USD/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.8917; (P) 0.8931; (R1) 0.8958; More….

Intraday bias in USD/CHF stays neutral and more consolidations could be seen above 0.8825. Still, near term outlook remains bearish with 0.8992 resistance intact. Break of 0.8825 will resume the fall from 0.9223 to 61.8% retracement of 0.8332 to 0.9223 at 0.8672.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 0.8332 medium term bottom are seen as developing into a corrective pattern to the down trend from 1.0146 (2022 high). Rejection by 0.9243 resistance affirms this case, and maintains medium term bearishness. While more range trading could be seen between 0.8332/0.9243 first, downside break out is mildly in favor at a later stage.