Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9553; (P) 0.9602; (R1) 0.9665; More…

Intraday bias in USD/CHF remains neutral for the moment. On the upside, break of 0.9650, and sustained trading above 55 day EMA (now at 0.9647) will raise the chance that corrective pattern from 1.0063 has completed. Further rally should then be seen to 0.9884 resistance next. However, decisive break of 0.9471 support will carry larger bearish implication.

In the bigger picture, medium term up trend from 0.8756 (2021 low) is still in progress. On resumption, next target is 1.0342 (2016 high). Sustained break there will resume long term up trend from 0.7065 (2011 low). This will remain the favored case as long as 0.9471 resistance turned support holds. However, firm break of 0.9471 will raise the chance that such up trend is over.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9107; (P) 0.9147; (R1) 0.9219; More….

USD/CHF’s rally from 0.8925 short term bottom is still in progress. Intraday bias remains on the upside for 61.8% retracement of 0.9471 to 0.8925 at 0.9262 next. On the downside, below 0.9131 minor support will turn intraday bias neutral, and bring consolidations first, before staging another rally.

In the bigger picture, prior rejection by 61.8% retracement of 0.9901 to 0.8756 at 0.9464 argues that rebound from 0.8756 was probably just a corrective move. That is, larger down trend from 1.0237 might be still in progress. Medium term bearish is also affirmed as the pair is now below falling 55 week EMA. Firm break of 0.8756 low will target 61.8% projection of 1.0237 to 0.8756 from 0.9471 at 0.8556 next.

USD/CHF rebounded further to 0.9236 last week. But as a temporary top was formed at 0.9236, initial bias is neutral this week first. On the upside, break of 0.9236 will resume the rise from 0.9084 to 0.9367 resistance. On the downside, below 0.9172 minor support will turn intraday bias back to the downside for 0.9084 instead.

In the bigger picture, the corrective structure of the rebound from 0.8925 argues that fall from 0.9471 is not complete yet. It could either be the second leg of pattern from 0.8756 (2021 low), or resuming larger down trend from 1.0237 (2018 high). We’d pay attention to the downside momentum and assess the odds later. But for now, medium term outlook will be neutral at best as long as 0.9471 resistance holds.

In the long term picture, price actions from 0.7065 (2011 low) are currently seen as developing into a long term corrective pattern, at least until a firm break of 1.0342 resistance.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9199; (P) 0.9230; (R1) 0.9253; More….

Range trading continues in USD/CHF and intraday bias remains neutral at this point. Overall, further rally is mildly in favor as long as 0.9090 support holds. On the upside, break of 0.9372 will resume the choppy rally from 0.8925 to 0.9471 high. However, break of 0.9090 will turn bias back to the downside for 0.8925 support instead.

In the bigger picture, medium term outlook will be neutral at best as long as 0.9471 resistance holds. Larger down trend could still extend through 0.8756 (2021 low). However, firm break of 0.9471 will argue that the trend has already reversed and rebound the rally from 0.8756 with another impulsive move.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9128; (P) 0.9176; (R1) 0.9207; More….

Intraday bias in USD/CHF remains neutral for the moment. Further rally is still in favor as long as 0.9087 support holds. On the upside, above 0.9223 will resume larger rally to 0.9243 resistance. Decisive break there will carry larger bullish implication. However, firm break of 0.9087 will indicate rejection by 0.9243 and turn bias back to the downside 0.9009 support instead.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 0.8332 medium term bottom as tentatively seen as developing into a corrective pattern to the down trend from 1.0146 (2022 high). Further rise would be seen as long as 0.8884 resistance turned support holds. But upside should be limited by 0.9243 resistance, at least on first attempt. However, decisive break of 0.9243 will argue that the trend has already reversed and turn medium term outlook bullish for 1.0146.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9690; (P) 0.9715; (R1) 0.9764; More…

Intraday bias in USD/CHF remains neutral as consolidation from 0.9646 is extending. With 0.9770 resistance intact, further decline is expected. Break of 0.9646 will resume whole decline form 1.0237 and target 100% projection of 1.0237 to 0.9659 from 1.0023 at 0.9445. Nevertheless, on the upside, break of 0.9770 will indicate short term bottoming and turn bias to the upside for 55 day EMA (now at 0.9834) instead.

In the bigger picture, medium term outlook remains neutral as USD/CHF is staying sideway trading started from 1.0342 (2016 high). Fall from 1.0237 is a leg inside the pattern and could target 0.9186 (2018 low). In case of another rise, break of 1.0237 is needed to indicate up trend resumption. Otherwise, more sideway trading would be seen with risk of another fall.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9938; (P) 0.9959; (R1) 0.9993; More…

USD/CHF’s break of 0.9978 resistance suggests that consolidation pattern from 1.0027 has completed at 0.9868. Intraday bias is now on the upside for retesting 1.0027 first. Break will resume whole rise from 0.9659 to 78.6% retracement of 1.0237 to 0.9659 at 1.0113. On the downside, however, break of 0.9949 minor support will turn bias to the downside to extend the consolidation with another falling leg.

In the bigger picture, medium term outlook remains neutral as USD/CHF is staying in range of 0.9659/1.0237. In any case, decisive break of 1.0237 is needed to indicate up trend resumption. Otherwise, more sideway trading would be seen with risk of another fall. Meanwhile, break of 0.9695 support will target 0.9541 support instead.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9903; (P) 0.9945; (R1) 0.9973; More…

Intraday bias in USD/CHF remains neutral with focus on 0.9911 minor support. Break there will confirm completion of the rebound from 0.9862. Deeper decline would be seen back to 0.9862. For now, price actions from 1.0128 are viewed as a corrective move. We’d expect strong support from 0.9848 support to bring reversal. On the upside, above 0.9989 will turn bias back to the upside. Break of 1.0008 will target a test on 1.0128 high.

In the bigger picture, current development suggests that the medium term rally from 0.9186 hasn’t completed yet. Break of 1.0128 will target 1.0342 key resistance next (2016 high). On the downside, break of 0.9848 support will dampen this bullish view and turn focus back to 0.9541 key support instead.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9272; (P) 0.9312; (R1) 0.9337; More…

Outlook in USD/CHF remains unchanged and intraday bias stays on the downside. Fall from 0.9901 should target a test on 0.9181 low. We’ll look for bottoming around there. On the upside, break of 0.9362 support turned resistance will turn intraday bias neutral first. But break of 0.9467 resistance is needed to indicate short term bottoming. Otherwise, near term outlook will stay bearish in case of recovery.

In the bigger picture, USD/CHF is still staying in long term range pattern from 1.0342, (2016 high). While deeper fall could be seen, we do not expect a firm break of 0.9181/86 support zone (2018 and 2020 low). Hence, we’d look for bottoming signal as it approaches this zone. However, sustained break there will carry long term bearish implications for next key support at 0.8336.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9227; (P) 0.9255; (R1) 0.9272; More….

Intraday bias in USD/CHF remains neutral first. With 0.9350 minor resistance intact, deeper fall could be seen. But we’d expect strong support from 38.2% retracement of 0.8756 to 0.9471 at 0.9198 to contain downside and bring rebound. On the upside, above 0.9350 minor resistance will bring retest of 0.9471 high. However, sustained break of 0.9198 will bring deeper fall to 61.8% retracement at 0.9029.

In the bigger picture, fall from 1.0237 should have completed at 0.8756, on bullish convergence condition in daily and weekly MACD. Current rally from 0.8756 should target 0.9901 resistance first. Break there will target 1.0237/0342 resistance zone in the medium term. However, sustained trading below 55 day EMA (now at 0.9192) will dampen revive medium term bearishness for down trend extension through 0.8756 at a later stage.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.8919; (P) 0.8932; (R1) 0.8943; More….

No change in USD/CHF’s outlook as consolidation continues above 0.8825. Intraday bias stays neutral for the moment. Near term outlook remains bearish with 0.8992 resistance intact. Break of 0.8825 will resume the fall from 0.9223 to 61.8% retracement of 0.8332 to 0.9223 at 0.8672.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 0.8332 medium term bottom are seen as developing into a corrective pattern to the down trend from 1.0146 (2022 high). Rejection by 0.9243 resistance affirms this case, and maintains medium term bearishness. While more range trading could be seen between 0.8332/0.9243 first, downside break out is mildly in favor at a later stage.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9066; (P) 0.9082; (R1) 0.9102; More…

USD/CHF recovers mildly today but stays in consolidation form 0.9030. Intraday bias remains neutral at this point. In case of stronger recovery, upside should be limited below 0.9165 resistance. On the downside, break of 0.9030 will target 0.8998 low first. Firm break there will resume larger down trend to 61.8% projection of 0.9901 to 0.8998 from 0.9304 at 0.8746. However, break of 0.9165 will invalidate this bearish view and turn bias back to the upside for 0.9304 resistance.

In the bigger picture, decline from 1.0237 is seen as the third leg of the pattern from 1.0342 (2016 high). There is no clear sign of completion yet. On resumption, next target will be 138.2% projection of 1.0342 to 0.9186 from 1.0237 at 0.8639. Nevertheless, strong break of 0.9304 resistance will be an early sign of trend reversal and turn focus back to 0.9901 key resistance for confirmation.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9079; (P) 0.9101; (R1) 0.9115; More…

Further decline is expected in USD/CHF with 0.9197 resistance intact. Firm break of 0.8998 low will resume larger down trend. Next target will be 61.8% projection of 0.9901 to 0.8998 from 0.9304 at 0.8746 next. On the upside, break of 0.9197 resistance is needed to indicate completion of the fall from 0.9304. Otherwise, outlook will remain mildly bearish in case of recovery.

In the bigger picture, decline from 1.0237 is seen as the third leg of the pattern from 1.0342 (2016 high). There is no clear sign of completion yet. On resumption, next target will be 138.2% projection of 1.0342 to 0.9186 from 1.0237 at 0.8639. Nevertheless, strong break of 0.9376 support turned resistance will be an early sign of trend reversal and turn focus back to 0.9901 key resistance for confirmation.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9199; (P) 0.9228; (R1) 0.9251; More….

Intraday bias in USD/CHF remains neutral for the moment, and outlook is unchanged. On the upside, break of 0.9274 will suggest that the pull back from 0.9372 is finished. Intraday bias will be turned back to the upside for 0.9372. On the downside, below 0.9156 will target 0.9084 support. Firm break there should confirm that choppy rise from 0.8925 has completed, and suggests that fall from 0.9471 is resuming. Deeper decline would be seen through 0.8925.

In the bigger picture, the corrective structure of the rebound from 0.8925 argues that fall from 0.9471 is not complete yet. It could either be the second leg of pattern from 0.8756 (2021 low), or resuming larger down trend from 1.0237 (2018 high). We’d pay attention to the downside momentum and assess the odds later. But for now, medium term outlook will be neutral at best as long as 0.9471 resistance holds.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9083; (P) 0.9106; (R1) 0.9126; More…

Intraday bias in USD/CHF remains neutral at this point. With 0.9165 resistance intact, further decline is still in favor. On the downside, break of 0.9030 will target 0.8998 low first. Firm break there will resume larger down trend to 61.8% projection of 0.9901 to 0.8998 from 0.9304 at 0.8746. However, break of 0.9165 will invalidate this bearish view and turn bias back to the upside for 0.9304 resistance.

In the bigger picture, decline from 1.0237 is seen as the third leg of the pattern from 1.0342 (2016 high). There is no clear sign of completion yet. On resumption, next target will be 138.2% projection of 1.0342 to 0.9186 from 1.0237 at 0.8639. Nevertheless, strong break of 0.9304 resistance will be an early sign of trend reversal and turn focus back to 0.9901 key resistance for confirmation.

USD/CHF’s rally extended to as high as 0.9919 last week and met target of 0.9900 fibonacci level. A temporary top is likely in place and thus, initial bias is neutral this week for some consolidations first. Downside of retreat should be contained above 0.9648 resistance turned support and bring another rally. Above 0.9919 will target 1.0037 resistance next.

In the bigger picture, medium term decline from 1.0342 has completed with three waves down to 0.9186. Rise from there is currently viewed as a leg inside the long term range pattern. Hence, while further rally would be seen, we’d be cautious on strong resistance from 1.0342 to limit upside. For now, further rise is expected as long as 0.9648 resistance turned support holds, even in case of pull back.

In the long term picture, price actions from 0.7065 (2011 low) are not clearly impulsive yet. Thus, we’ll treat it as developing into a corrective pattern, at least, until a firm break of 1.0342 resistance.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0127; (P) 1.0141; (R1) 1.0159; More…..

Intraday bias in USD/CHF remains on the upside as the rebound from 0.9860 is in progress. The pair would now target a test on 1.0342 key resistance level. As noted before, based on neutral medium term outlook, we’d be cautious on topping at around 1.0342. On the downside, break of 1.0008, however, will indicate completion of the rebound from 0.9860. And intraday bias will be turned back to the downside for 0.9860.

In the bigger picture, prior rejection from 1.0327 resistance argues that USD/CHF is staying in a medium term sideway pattern. In any case, decisive break of 1.0342 resistance is needed to confirm underlying strength. Otherwise, we’ll stay neutral in the pair first. In case of another fall, we’d expect strong support from 0.9443/9548 support zone. Meanwhile firm break of 1.0342 will target 38.2% retracement of 1.8305 to 0.7065 at 1.1359.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.8498; (P) 0.8518; (R1) 0.8528; More….

Intraday bias in USD/CHF remains neutral as consolidation from 0.8332 is extending. Also, outlook stays bearish as long as 0.8665 support turned resistance holds. On the downside, break of 0.8332 will resume larger fall from 0.9243 to 0.8257 projection level.

In the bigger picture, down trend from 1.0146 (2022 high) is in progress. Next target is 61.8% retracement of 1.0146 to 0.8551 from 0.9243 at 0.8257. Sustained break there could prompt downside acceleration to 100% projection at 0.7648. This will now remain the favored case as long as 0.8819 resistance holds.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.8855; (P) 0.8891; (R1) 0.8949; More….

Intraday bias in USD/CHF remains neutral as consolidations continue above 0.8825. Outlook will stay bearish as long as 0.8992 resistance holds. On the downside, break of 0.8825 will resume the fall from 0.9223. Next target is 61.8% retracement of 0.8332 to 0.9223 at 0.8672.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 0.8332 medium term bottom are seen as developing into a corrective pattern to the down trend from 1.0146 (2022 high). Rejection by 0.9243 resistance affirms this case, and maintains medium term bearishness. While more range trading could be seen between 0.8332/0.9243 first, downside break out is mildly in favor at a later stage.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9447; (P) 0.9492; (R1) 0.9528; More….

Intraday bias in USD/CHF remains neutral for consolidation below 0.9535. Downside of retreat retreat should be contained by 0.9372 resistance turned support to bring another rally. On the upside, above 0.9535 will turn bias back to the upside and target 0.9591 medium term projection level.

In the bigger picture, down trend from 1.0342 (2016 high) could have completed with three waves down to 0.8756 (2021 low) already. Rise from 0.8756 is likely a medium term up trend of its own. Next target is 61.8% projection of 0.8756 to 0.9471 from 0.9149 at 0.9591. Sustained break there will pave the way to 100% projection at 0.9864. This will now remain the favored case as long as 0.9149 support holds.