USD/CHF Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0033; (P) 1.0045; (R1) 1.0062; More….

USD/CHF rises to as high as 1.0076 so far and intraday bias remains on the upside for 1.0098/0128 resistance. Decisive break there will resume larger rally from 0.9186. On the downside, below 1.0027 minor support will turn intraday bias back to the downside for 0.9926 support instead.

In the bigger picture, USD/CHF drew strong support from medium term trend line and rebounded. That suggests rise from 0.9186 is still in progress. Further break of 1.0128 will confirm up trend resumption and target 1.0342 key resistance. Nevertheless, break of 0.9716 will dampen this bullish view and at least bring deeper fall to 0.9541 key support.

USD/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9909; (P) 0.9940; (R1) 0.9966; More…..

Intraday bias in USD/CHF remains neutral and some more consolidations could be seen above 0.9879 temporary low. But further decline remains in favor with 1.0010 minor resistance intact. On the downside, below 0.9879 will resume the fall from 1.0124 to 0.9716 key support. Nevertheless, break of 1.0010 will turn bias back to the upside for 1.0124/28 resistance zone.

In the bigger picture, focus is back on medium term trend line (now at 0.9846). Decisive break there will argue that whole rise from 0.9186 has completed. Further break of 0.9716 will confirm reversal and target next support level at 0.9541. Nevertheless, there is still a chance that price action from 1.0128 are forming a consolidative pattern with fall from 1.0124 as third leg. If this is the case, stronger support should be seen between 0.9716 and the trend line to contain downside.

USD/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9521; (P) 0.9546; (R1) 0.9595; More

USD/CHF’s strong break of near term channel resistance argues that fall from 0.9884 might be finished. Intraday bias is cautiously on the upside for 0.9648 resistance fir. Firm break there will bring stronger rally back to 0.9884 resistance next. On the downside, below 0.9496 minor support will revive near term bearishness and bring retest of 0.9369 low.

In the bigger picture, break of 0.9471 support turned resistance argues that medium term up trend from 0.8756 has completed with three waves up to 1.0063. Long term sideway pattern might have started another falling leg. Deeper decline would now be in favor as long as 0.9648 resistance holds, to 0.9149 structural support. Sustained break there could pave the way back to 0.8756. However, firm break of 0.648 will revive the case that price actions from 1.0063 are just a corrective pattern, and the larger up trend is no over yet.

USD/CHF Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9490; (P) 0.9507; (R1) 0.9533; More

Intraday bias in USD/CHF stays neutral for the moment and some more sideway trading could be seen. On the upside, break of 0.9554 will resume the rebound from 0.9376 short term bottoming. Sustained trading above 55 day EMA (now at 0.9626) will pave the way back to 0.9901 resistance. Though, on the downside, break of 0.9376 will resume the fall from 0.9901 instead.

In the bigger picture, decline from 1.0237 is seen as the third leg of the pattern from 1.0342 (2016 low). It could have completed at 0.9181 after hitting 0.9186 key support (2018 low). Break of 0.9901 will extend the rebound form 0.9181 through 1.0023 resistance. After all, medium term range trading will likely continue between 0.9181/1.0237 for some more time.

USD/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9218; (P) 0.9240; (R1) 0.9258; More….

Intraday bias in USD/CHF remains neutral as range trading continues. Further rise will remain mildly in favor as long as 0.9090 support holds. break of 0.9372 will resume the choppy rally from 0.8925 to 0.9471 high. However, break of 0.9090 will turn bias back to the downside for 0.8925 support instead.

In the bigger picture, medium term outlook will be neutral at best as long as 0.9471 resistance holds. Larger down trend could still extend through 0.8756 (2021 low). However, firm break of 0.9471 will argue that the trend has already reversed and rebound the rally from 0.8756 with another impulsive move.

USD/CHF Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9282; (P) 0.9314; (R1) 0.9373; More

Outlook in USD/CHF is unchanged and intraday bias stays neutral. On the downside, break of 0.9214 will resume the fall and target 61.8% projection of 1.0146 to 0.9355 from 0.9545 at 0.9056. However, break of 0.9378 resistance will indicate short term bottoming and turn bias back to the upside for 0.9545 resistance instead.

In the bigger picture, rise from 0.8756 (2021 low) has completed at 1.0146, well ahead of 1.0342 long term resistance (2016 high). Based on current downside momentum, fall from 1.0146 might be a medium term down trend itself. Sustained break of 61.8% retracement of 0.8756 to 1.0146 at 0.9287 will pave the way to 0.8756. In any case, risk will stay on the downside as long as 0.9545 resistance holds.

USD/CHF Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9900; (P) 0.9914; (R1) 0.9938; More

USD/CHF’s corrective pull back from 1.0027 should have completed at 0.9841. Intraday bias is mildly on the upside for retest 1.0027 key resistance. Break will resume larger rise from 0.9659. However, on the downside, sustained break of 0.9843 support will indicate that choppy rebound from 0.9659 has completed at 1.0027. Deeper fall should be seen to 0.9659 support and below.

In the bigger picture, corrective fall from 1.0237 should have completed at 0.9659 already, ahead of 61.8% retracement of 0.9186 to 1.0237 at 0.9587. But decisive break of 1.0237 is needed to indicate up trend resumption. Otherwise, medium term outlook will stay neutral first. Meanwhile, break of 0.9695 support will extend the correction to 0.9541 support instead.

USD/CHF Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.8973; (P) 0.8998; (R1) 0.9020; More….

Intraday bias in USD/CHF stays neutral as consolidations continue above 0.8952 temporary low. On the downside, below 0.8952 will target a test on 0.8886 support first. Break there will resume whole decline from 0.9243 to 0.8815 fibonacci level. However, break of 0.9111 will resume the rebound from 0.8886 instead, and target 0.9243 resistance.

In the bigger picture, outlook is mixed up by the deeper than expected pull back from 0.9243. Yet there was no follow through selling after hitting 0.8886. On the upside, break of 0.9243 resistance will revive the case of medium term bottoming at 0.8851, and turn outlook bullish. However, sustained break of 61.8% retracement of 0.8551 to 0.9243 at 0.8815 will argue that larger decline from 1.0146 is ready to resume through 0.8551 low.

USD/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9585; (P) 0.9612; (R1) 0.9645; More….

At this point, deeper fall is mildly in favor in USD/CHF for 0.9420 support. Also, with 0.9772 resistance intact, outlook remains bearish. Break of 0.9420 will resume medium term fall from 1.0342 and target next long term fibonacci level at 0.9090. However, firm break of 0.9772 will indicate trend reversal and turn outlook bullish.

In the bigger picture, current development suggests that 0.9443 key support (2016 low) could be taken out firmly as down trend form 1.0342 extends. There are various interpretation of the price actions. But in any case, medium term outlook will stay bearish as long as 0.9772 resistance holds. Current down trend could extend to 38.2% retracement of 0.7065 (2011 low) to 1.0342 (2016 high) at 0.9090. However, break of 0.9772 will indicate that USD/CHF has successfully defended 0.9443 again and turn outlook bullish for 1.0099 resistance.

USD/CHF 4 Hours Chart

USD/CHF Daily Chart

USD/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9928; (P) 0.9947; (R1) 0.9967; More

Intraday bias in USD/CHF remains neutral for the moment as consolidation from 1.0027 is still in progress. Though, further rise is expected as long as 0.9843 support holds. On the upside, break of 1.0027 will resume the rise from 0.9659 for 78.6% retracement of 1.0237 to 0.9659 at 1.0113 next. Break will target retest on 1.0237 high.

In the bigger picture, corrective fall from 1.0237 should have completed at 0.9659 already, ahead of 61.8% retracement of 0.9186 to 1.0237 at 0.9587. But decisive break of 1.0237 is needed to indicate up trend resumption. Otherwise, medium term outlook will stay neutral first. Meanwhile, break of 0.9695 support will extend the correction to 0.9541 support instead.

USD/CHF Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9863; (P) 0.9890; (R1) 0.9937; More

Intraday bias in USD/CHF remains on the upside for the moment. Rise from 0.9695 is likely in progress. Break of 0.9951 resistance will confirm and target 1.0014 resistance next. On the downside, break of 0.9803 will turn bias to the downside for 0.9695 instead.

In the bigger picture, up trend from 0.9186 (2018 low) should have completed at 1.0237 already. Deeper decline would be seen to 61.8% retracement of 0.9186 to 1.0237 at 0.9587 and below. For now, USD/CHF is seen as in long term range pattern between 0.9186 and 1.0342. Hence, we’d pay attention to bottoming signal below 0.9587. However, sustained break of 1.0014 will revive medium term bullishness and turn focus back to 1.0237 high.

USD/CHF Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0156; (P) 1.0194; (R1) 1.0236; More

Intraday bias in USD/CHF is turned neutral as a temporary top is formed at 1.0230. Some consolidations could be seen but downside should be contained by 1.0130 minor support to bring rise resumption. On the upside, above 1.0230 will extend recent rally to 100% projection of 0.9716 to 1.0124 from 0.9879 at 1.0287, and then 1.0342 key resistance. However, break of 1.0130 will indicate short term topping and bring deeper retreat first.

In the bigger picture, medium term up trend from 0.9186 is extending. Current rise should target 1.0342 resistance next. For now, we’d be cautious on strong resistance from there to limit upside, until we see medium term upside acceleration. On the downside, break of 0.9879 support is needed to indicate reversal. Otherwise, outlook will stay bullish in case of deep pull back.

USD/CHF Weekly Outlook

USD/CHF’s rise resumed last week and edged higher to 0.9367, but lost momentum again. Initial bias remains neutral this week first. On the upside, break of 0.9367 will resume the rise from 0.8925 to 0.9471 key resistance next. On the downside, however, break of 0.9214 will turn bias back to the downside for 0.9017 support again.

In the bigger picture, the strong rally above 55 week EMA (now at 0.9188) now tilts favor to the case of bullish trend reversal. That is, decline from 1.3042 (2016 high) is probably completed at 0.8756 already. Sustained break of 0.9471 resistance should confirm this case and pave the way to retest 1.0342 ahead. However, rejection by 0.9471 will mix up the outlook again and retain some medium term bearishness.

In the long term picture, price actions from 0.7065 (2011 low) are currently seen as developing into a long term corrective pattern, at least until a firm break of 1.0342 resistance.

USD/CHF Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9450; (P) 0.9489; (R1) 0.9512; More

USD/CHF’s break of 0.9463 minor support suggests that corrective rebound form 0.9376 has completed. Intraday bias is back on the downside for retesting 0.9376 first. Firm break there will resume whole decline from 0.9901. Next downside target will be 100% projection of 0.9901 to 0.9502 from 0.9736 at 0.9337. On the upside, break of 0.9554 will turn bias back to the upside to resume the rebound instead.

In the bigger picture, decline from 1.0237 is seen as the third leg of the pattern from 1.0342 (2016 low). It could have completed at 0.9181 after hitting 0.9186 key support (2018 low). Break of 0.9901 will extend the rebound form 0.9181 through 1.0023 resistance. After all, medium term range trading will likely continue between 0.9181/1.0237 for some more time.

USD/CHF Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9246; (P) 0.9264; (R1) 0.9282; More….

Intraday bias in USD/CHF remains neutral as consolidation form 0.9193 is extending. Further decline is expected with 0.9380 resistance intact. On the downside, below 0.9193 will resume the decline from 0.9459 to 0.9149 support. Firm break there will turn near term outlook bearish for 0.9090 support and below. On the upside, above 0.9380 resistance will flip bias back to the upside for 0.9459 resistance instead.

In the bigger picture, medium term outlook will be neutral at best as long as 0.9471 resistance holds. Larger down trend could still extend through 0.8756 (2021 low). However, firm break of 0.9471 will argue that whole down trend form 1.0342 (2016 high), has completed with waves down to 0.8756. A medium term up trend should be set up to target 1.0237/0342 resistance zone.

USD/CHF Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9813; (P) 0.9844; (R1) 0.9880; More

Intraday bias in USD/CHF remains neutral for the moment. Some more consolidation could be seen above 0.9805. But still, further decline is expected as long as 0.9917 resistance holds. Rebound from 0.9659 should have completed already. Below 0.9805 will target a test on 0.9659 low. On the upside, break of 0.9917 will dampen this bearish view and turn bias back to the upside for 1.0023 resistance instead.

In the bigger picture, medium term outlook remains neutral as USD/CHF is staying in range of 0.9659/1.0237. In any case, decisive break of 1.0237 is needed to indicate up trend resumption. Otherwise, more sideway trading would be seen with risk of another fall. Meanwhile, break of 0.9695 support will target 0.9541 support instead.

USD/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9892; (P) 0.9930; (R1) 0.9952; More….

USD/CHF’s sharp decline and strong break of 0.9894 support suggests that fall from 1.0067 is resuming. Intraday bias is back on the downside for 0.9866 first. Break will extend the fall from 1.0067 to 0.9787 support and possibly below. Price actions from 1.0056 are seen as a corrective pattern from fall from 1.0067 as the third leg. Hence, we’d expect strong support from 38.2% retracement of 0.9186 to 1.0056 at 0.9724 to bring rebound.

In the bigger picture, current development suggests that the consolidation pattern from 1.0056 is extending. As long as 38.2% retracement of 0.9186 to 1.0056 at 0.9724 holds, we’d expect rise from 0.9186 to resume at a later stage to retest 1.0342 key resistance (2016 high). However, sustained break of 0.9724 fibonacci level will bring deeper fall, as another declining leg in the long term range pattern.

USD/CHF Weekly Outlook

USD/CHF’s up trend resumed last week and hit as high as 0.9891. Initial bias stays on the upside this week for next near term target at 261.8% projection of 0.9149 to 0.9459 from 0.9193 at 1.0005 next. On the downside, break of 0.9708 support is needed to indicate short term topping. Otherwise, outlook will stay bullish in case of retreat.

In the bigger picture, down trend from 1.0342 (2016 high) should have completed with three waves down to 0.8756 (2021 low) already. Rise from 0.8756 is likely a medium term up trend of its own. Sustained trading above 100% projection of 0.8756 to 0.9471 from 0.9149 at 0.9864 will pave the way to 161.8% projection at 1.0306, which is close to 1.0342 (2016 high). This will remain the favored case as long as 0.9459 resistance turned support holds.

In the long term picture, current development argues that the correction from 1.0342 (2016 high) has completed at 0.8756 (2020 low) already. Rise form 0.7065 (2011 low) might be ready to resume. Firm break of 1.0342 will confirm and target 38.2% retracement of 1.8305 (2000 high) to 0.7065 at 1.1359.

USD/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9219; (P) 0.9249; (R1) 0.9264; More….

Intraday bias in USD/CHF is turned neutral again with current retreat. Overall, with 0.9084 support intact, choppy rise from 0.8925 could still extend higher. Break of 0.9276 will target a test on 0.9372 high first. However, break of 0.9199 minor support will turn bias back to the downside for 0.9101 instead.

In the bigger picture, the corrective structure of the rebound from 0.8925 argues that fall from 0.9471 is not complete yet. It could either be the second leg of pattern from 0.8756 (2021 low), or resuming larger down trend from 1.0237 (2018 high). We’d pay attention to the downside momentum and assess the odds later. But for now, medium term outlook will be neutral at best as long as 0.9471 resistance holds.

USD/CHF Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.8956; (P) 0.8970; (R1) 0.8993; More….

USD/CHF is staying in consolidation from 0.8982 and intraday bias remains neutral. Further rally is expected as long as 0.8893 support holds. Above 0.8982 will resume the rally from 0.8551 to 0.9146 cluster resistance. However, firm break of 0.8893 will argue that a short term top is possibly formed, and turn bias back to the downside for 55 D EMA (now at 0.8858).

In the bigger picture, rebound from 0.8551 medium term bottom is currently seen as a correction to the downtrend from 1.0146 (2022 high). Further rally would be seen to 0.9146 cluster resistance (38.2% retracement of 1.0146 to 0.8551 at 0.9160). Strong resistance could be seen there to limit upside, at least on first attempt.