Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9665; (P) 0.9709; (R1) 0.9737; More…

USD/CHF’s firm break of 0.9695 support now suggests resumption of fall from 1.0237. Intraday bias is back on the downside for 0.9587 fibonacci level first. Break will target 100% projection of 1.0237 to 0.9695 from 0.9975 at 0.9433. On the upside, break of 0.9797 minor resistance is needed to indicate short term bottoming. Otherwise, outlook will remain bearish in case of recovery.

In the bigger picture, up trend from 0.9186 (2018 low) should have completed at 1.0237 already. Deeper decline would be seen to 61.8% retracement of 0.9186 to 1.0237 at 0.9587 and below. For now, USD/CHF is seen as in long term range pattern between 0.9186 and 1.0342. Hence, we’d pay attention to bottoming signal below 0.9587. Nevertheless, break of 0.9975 resistance is needed to indicate completion of the decline from 1.0237. Otherwise, risk will stay on the downside.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9044; (P) 0.9060; (R1) 0.9086; More….

Intraday bias in USD/CHF remains on the upside for the moment. Current rise from 0.8551 is in progress for 0.9146/60 cluster resistance. On the downside, break of 0.9019 minor support will turn intraday bias neutral first. But further rally will remain in favor as long as 0.8874 resistance turned support holds, in case of retreat.

In the bigger picture, rebound from 0.8551 medium term bottom is currently seen as a correction to the downtrend from 1.0146 (2022 high). Further rally would be seen to 0.9146 cluster resistance (38.2% retracement of 1.0146 to 0.8551 at 0.9160). Strong resistance could be seen there to limit upside, at least on first attempt. However, decisive break of 0.9146/60 will indicate trend reversal, and target 61.8% retracement at 0.9537.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.8659; (P) 0.8694; (R1) 0.8737; More….

Intraday bias in USD/CHF is mildly on the upside at this point. Sustained trading above 38.2% retracement of 0.9243 to 0.8332 at 0.8680 and 55 D EMA (now at 0.8686) will turn near term outlook bullish for 61.8% retracement 0.8995. Nevertheless, break of 0.8632 minor support will turn intraday bias back to the downside for deeper pullback.

In the bigger picture, while rebound from 0.8332 could be strong, there is no clear sign of medium term bottoming yet. This rebound is tentatively seen as a corrective move for now. Also, outlook will stay bearish as long as 0.9243 resistance holds. Larger down trend from 1.0146 (2022 high) should resume through 0.8332 low at a later stage.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9893; (P) 0.9939; (R1) 0.9977; More…

USD/CHF’s pull back from 0.9983 extends lower today. But it’s still holding well above 0.9854 support. Intraday bias remains neutral at this point. On the upside, decisive break of 0.9975 will confirm completion of fall form 1.0237. Further rally would then be seen to retest this high. On the downside, though, break of 0.9854 will turn intraday bias to the downside for 0.9659 low.

In the bigger picture, the structure of the fall from 1.0237 suggests that it’s a corrective move. Break of 0.9975 will argue that such correction has completed at 0.9659, ahead of 61.8% retracement of 0.9186 to 1.0237 at 0.9587. But decisive break of 1.0237 is needed to indicate up trend resumption. Otherwise, medium term outlook will stay neutral first. Meanwhile, break of 0.9695 support will extend the correction to 0.9541 support instead.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9684; (P) 0.9705; (R1) 0.9744; More…

Intraday bias in USD/CHF is turned neutral as it recovered after dipping to 0.9665. Outlook is unchanged that corrective pattern from 0.9901 might extend. Break of 0.9665 will bring another fall to 0.9588 support and possibly below. But in that case, downside should be contained by 61.8% retracement of 0.9181 to 0.9901 at 0.9456 to rebound. On the upside, break of 0.9802 will target a test on 0.9901 high.

In the bigger picture, decline from 1.0237 is seen as the third leg of the pattern from 1.0342 (2016 low). It could have completed at 0.9181 after hitting 0.9186 key support (2018 low). Break of 0.9901 will extend the rebound form 0.9181 through 1.0023 resistance. After all, medium term range trading will likely continue between 0.9181/1.0237 for some more time.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0076; (P) 1.0094; (R1) 1.0124; More…

USD/CHF’s rally accelerates to as high as 1.0137 so far. Break of 1.0128 resistance confirms larger up trend resumption. Intraday bias stays on the upside for 100% projection of 0.9716 to 1.0124 from 0.9879 at 1.0287 next. On the downside, below 1.0092 minor support will turn intraday bias neutral and bring consolidations, before staging another rise.

In the bigger picture, medium term up trend from 0.9186 is resuming. Current rise should now target 1.0342 resistance next. For now, we’d be cautious on strong resistance from there to limit upside, until we see medium term upside acceleration. On the downside, break of 0.9879 support is needed to indicate reversal. Otherwise, outlook will stay bullish in case of deep pull back.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 110.39; (P) 110.67; (R1) 110.96; More…

USD/JPY continues to lose upside momentum as seen in 4 hour MACD. But there is no sign of topping yet. Intraday bias stays cautiously on the upside for 111.39 high. Break there will also resume the rise from 104.62 and target 114.73 key resistance. On the downside, though, below 110.55 minor will argue that a temporary top is at least formed. More importantly, the corrective pattern from 111.39 could then extend with another down leg. Hence, in that case, intraday bias will be turned to the downside for 109.36 support and below.

In the bigger picture, at this point, we’re slightly favoring the case that corrective decline from 118.65 (2016 high) has completed with three waves down to 104.62. Above 111.39 will affirm this view and target 114.73 for confirmation. However, it should be noted that USD/JPY is bounded in medium term falling channel from 118.65 (2016 high). Sustained break of 61.8% retracement of 104.62 to 111.39 at 107.20 will likely resume the fall from 118.65 through 104.62 low.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9641; (P) 0.9690; (R1) 0.9716; More…

Intraday bias in USD/CHF stays neutral at this point. Fall from 0.9884 is seen as a falling leg of the consolidation from 1.0063. Below 0.9652 will target 0.9493 support. On the upside, though, above 0.9788 minor resistance will turn bias back to the upside for 0.9884 resistance.

In the bigger picture, medium term up trend from 0.8756 (2021 low) is still in progress. Next target is 1.0342 (2016 high). Sustained break there will resume long term up trend from 0.7065 (2011 low). This will remain the favored case as long as 0.9471 resistance turned support holds.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.8884; (P) 0.8899; (R1) 0.8930; More….

Focus stays on 0.8919 resistance in USD/CHF. Decisive break there should confirm short term bottoming at 0.8756, on bullish convergence condition in 4 hour MACD. Considering bullish convergence condition in daily MACD too, USD/CHF could be corrective whole fall form 0.9901 in this case. Intraday bias will be turned back to the upside for 38.2% retracement of 0.9901 to 0.8756 at 0.9193. Though, break of 0.8821 minor support will bring retest of 0.8756 low instead.

In the bigger picture, decline from 1.0237 is seen as the third leg of the pattern from 1.0342 (2016 high). There is no clear sign of completion yet. Next target will be 138.2% projection of 1.0342 to 0.9186 from 1.0237 at 0.8639. In any case, break of 0.9294 resistance is needed to signal medium term bottoming. Otherwise, outlook will remain bearish in case of rebound.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9071; (P) 0.9106; (R1) 0.9130; More…

USD/CHF is staying in range of 0.8998/9161 and intraday bias remains neutral first. With 0.9161 resistance intact, further decline is still expected. On the downside, break of 0.8998 temporary low will resume larger down trend to 100% projection of 1.0237 to 0.9181 from 0.9901 at 0.8845. Nevertheless, sustained break of 0.9161 will confirm short term bottoming, and turn bias to the upside for stronger rebound, to 55 day EMA (now at 0.9231) and above.

In the bigger picture, decline from 1.0237 is seen as the third leg of the pattern from 1.0342 (2016 low), which is still extending. Sustained trading below 100% projection of 1.0342 to 0.9186 from 1.0237 at 0.9081 will pave the way to 138.2% projection at 0.8639. On the upside, break of 0.9376 resistance is needed to be the first sign of medium term bottoming.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9881; (P) 0.9896; (R1) 0.9912; More…

Outlook in USD/CHF remains unchanged and intraday bias stays neutral first. Consolidation from 1.0027 might extend further through 0.9851. In that case, deeper fall could be seen back towards 0.9659 low. On the upside, break of 0.9978 will target 1.0027 first.

In the bigger picture, medium term outlook remains neutral as USD/CHF is staying in range of 0.9659/1.0237. In any case, decisive break of 1.0237 is needed to indicate up trend resumption. Otherwise, more sideway trading would be seen with risk of another fall. Meanwhile, break of 0.9695 support will target 0.9541 support instead.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9052; (P) 0.9072; (R1) 0.9110; More…

USD/CHF is staying in consolidation below 0.9146 and intraday bias remains neutral. Further rally is expected as long as 0.9013 minor support holds. Rise from 0.8818 short term bottom is seen as corrective whole down trend from 1.0146. Above 0.9146 will target 38.2% retracement of 1.0146 to 0.8818 at 0.9325. On the downside, however, break of 0.9013 will turn bias back to the downside for retesting 0.8818 low instead.

In the bigger picture, fall from 1.1046 (2022 high) is seen as a leg in the long term range pattern from 1.0342 (2016 high), which might have completed at 0.8818 already, just ahead of 0.8756 long term support. Sustained trading above 0.9058 support turned resistance should confirm medium term bottoming. Further break of 0.9439 resistance will confirm bullish trend reversal.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9750; (P) 0.9766; (R1) 0.9791; More…

No change in USD/CHF’s outlook as rebound from 0.9613 is still in progress. Intraday bias stays on the upside for 38.2% retracement of 1.0237 to 0.9613 at 0.9851 first. On the downside, below 0.9703 minor support will bring retest of 0.9613 low instead.

In the bigger picture, medium term outlook remains neutral as USD/CHF is staying sideway trading started from 1.0342 (2016 high). Fall from 1.0237 is a leg inside the pattern and could target 0.9186 (2018 low). In case of another rise, break of 1.0237 is needed to indicate up trend resumption. Otherwise, more sideway trading would be seen with risk of another fall.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.8964; (P) 0.8986; (R1) 0.9006; More….

Sideway trading continues in USD/CHF and intraday bias remains neutral first. Further decline is expected as long as 0.9052 resistance holds. On the downside, break of 0.8925 will resume the fall from 0.9471 to retest 0.8756 low. However, firm break of 0.9052 resistance will now confirm short term bottoming. Intraday bias will be turned back to the upside for stronger rebound.

In the bigger picture, prior rejection by 61.8% retracement of 0.9901 to 0.8756 at 0.9464 argues that rebound from 0.8756 was probably just a corrective move. That is, larger down trend from 1.0237 might be still in progress. Medium term bearish is also affirmed as the pair is now far below falling 55 week EMA. Firm break of 0.8756 low will target 61.8% projection of 1.0237 to 0.8756 from 0.9471 at 0.8556 next.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9732; (P) 0.9754; (R1) 0.9787; More…

Intraday bias in USD/CHF remains neutral for more consolidations above 0.9659. With 0.9797 minor resistance intact, further fall is expected. Break of 0.9659 will extend the decline from 1.0237 to 0.9587 fibonacci level first. Break will target 100% projection of 1.0237 to 0.9695 from 0.9975 at 0.9433. However, break of 0.9797 will indicate short term bottoming and bring stronger rebound to 55 day EMA (now at 0.9866).

In the bigger picture, up trend from 0.9186 (2018 low) should have completed at 1.0237 already. Deeper decline would be seen to 61.8% retracement of 0.9186 to 1.0237 at 0.9587 and below. For now, USD/CHF is seen as in long term range pattern between 0.9186 and 1.0342. Hence, we’d pay attention to bottoming signal below 0.9587. Nevertheless, break of 0.9975 resistance is needed to indicate completion of the decline from 1.0237. Otherwise, risk will stay on the downside.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9837; (P) 0.9879; (R1) 0.9911; More…

No change in USD/CHF’s outlook. The correction from 0.9954 is still in progress and deeper fall could be seen. But downside should be contained by 38.2% retracement of 0.9541 to 0.9954 at 0.9796 to bring rise resumption. On the upside, break of 0.9954 will resume the rise from 0.9541 and target 1.0067 resistance next.

In the bigger picture, the pullback from 1.0067 has completed at 0.9541 already. And rise from 0.9186 is likely resuming. Firm break of 1.0067 will pave the way to retest 1.0342 key resistance. We’d be cautious on strong resistance from there to limit upside to bring another medium term fall to extend long term range trading.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9861; (P) 0.9878; (R1) 0.9888; More…

USD/CHF’s recovery is limited below 0.9926 minor resistance and intraday bias remains neutral for the moment. We’d continue to look for strong support from 0.9841 to contain downside and bring rebound. On the upside, above 0.9926 minor resistance will turn bias back to the upside for retesting 1.0023/27 resistance zone. However, sustained break of 0.9841 will indicate near term reversal and pave the way back to 0.9659 support.

In the bigger picture, medium term outlook remains neutral as USD/CHF is staying in range of 0.9659/1.0237. In any case, decisive break of 1.0237 is needed to indicate up trend resumption. Otherwise, more sideway trading would be seen with risk of another fall. Meanwhile, break of 0.9695 support will target 0.9541 support instead.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9558; (P) 0.9621; (R1) 0.9654; More…

Intraday bias in USD/CHF remains on the downside as current decline is in progress for 0.9523 fibonacci level. We’d look for bottoming sign there to bring rebound. On the upside, break of 0.9699 minor resistance will indicate short term bottoming and target 0.9757 resistance. However, sustained break of 0.9523 would pave the way to retest 0.9186 low.

In the bigger picture, rise from 0.9186 low has completed at 1.0067, after failing to sustain above 1.0037 resistance. Fall from 1.0067 could extend to 61.8% retracement of 0.9816 to 1.0067 at 0.9523 and below. But for now, we don’t expect a break of 0.9186 low. On the upside, firm break of 0.9866 support turned resistance will suggests that fall from 1.0067 has completed and rise from 0.9186 is resuming.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9037; (P) 0.9078; (R1) 0.9105; More…

Intraday bias in USD/CHF remains neutral as consolidations continue, and further rally is expected with 0.9013 support intact. . Rise from 0.8818 short term bottom is seen as correcting whole down trend from 1.0146. Above 0.9146 will target 38.2% retracement of 1.0146 to 0.8818 at 0.9325. On the downside, however, break of 0.9013 will turn bias back to the downside for retesting 0.8818 low instead.

In the bigger picture, fall from 1.1046 (2022 high) is seen as a leg in the long term range pattern from 1.0342 (2016 high), which might have completed at 0.8818 already, just ahead of 0.8756 long term support. Sustained trading above 0.9058 support turned resistance should confirm medium term bottoming. Further break of 0.9439 resistance will confirm bullish trend reversal.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9918; (P) 0.9972; (R1) 1.0024; More…

USD/CHF’s rise from 0.9659 is still in progress. Further rise should be seen to 78.6% retracement of 1.0237 to 0.9659 at 1.0113 next. Break will target retest on 1.0237 high. For now, near term outlook will stay cautiously bullish as long as 0.9843 support holds, in case of retreat.

In the bigger picture, the structure of the fall from 1.0237 suggests that it’s a corrective move. Sustained break of 0.9975 will argue that such correction has completed at 0.9659, ahead of 61.8% retracement of 0.9186 to 1.0237 at 0.9587. But decisive break of 1.0237 is needed to indicate up trend resumption. Otherwise, medium term outlook will stay neutral first. Meanwhile, break of 0.9695 support will extend the correction to 0.9541 support instead.