USD/CHF Weekly Outlook

USD/CHF’s rebound last week was limited below 0.9802 resistance. Initial bias remains neutral this week first. Corrective pattern from might extend further. Break of 0.9681 minor support will turn bias to the downside for 0.9588 support and below. Overall, downside should be contained by 61.8% retracement of 0.9181 to 0.9901 at 0.9456 to rebound. On the upside, break of 0.9802 will target a test on 0.9901 high.

In the bigger picture, decline from 1.0237 is seen as the third leg of the pattern from 1.0342 (2016 low). It could have completed at 0.9181 after hitting 0.9186 key support (2018 low). Break of 0.9901 will extend the rebound form 0.9181 through 1.0023 resistance. After all, medium term range trading will likely continue between 0.9181/1.0237 for some more time.

In the long term picture, price actions from 0.7065 (2011 low) are not clearly impulsive yet. Thus, we’ll treat it as developing into a corrective pattern, at least, until a firm break of 1.0342 resistance.

USD/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9258; (P) 0.9282; (R1) 0.9316; More….

Intraday bias in USD/CHF remains neutral for the moment. Choppy rise from 0.8925 would still be in favor to extend higher as long as 0.9090 support holds. Break of 0.9341 will target 0.9372 resistance and then 0.9471. On the downside, however, break of 0.9090 will bring deeper fall back to 0.8925 support.

In the bigger picture, medium term outlook will be neutral at best as long as 0.9471 resistance holds. Larger down trend could still extend through 0.8756 (2021 low). However, firm break of 0.9471 will argue that the trend has already reversed and rebound the rally from 0.8756 with another impulsive move.

USD/CHF Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0087; (P) 1.0103; (R1) 1.0128; More

USD/CHF is still staying in consolidation from 1.0050 temporary low and intraday bias remains neutral. Also, with 1.0126 support turned resistance intact, another decline is mildly in favor. On the downside, break of 1.0050 will resume the fall from 1.0237 to retest 0.9879 key support. However, firm break of 1.0126 will turn bias back to the upside for 1.0237 resistance.

In the bigger picture, as long as 0.9879 support holds, medium term up trend form 0.9186 is still in progress. Break of 1.0237 will target 1.0342 resistance next. For now, we’d be cautious on strong resistance from there to limit upside, until we see medium term upside acceleration. However, decisive break of 0.9879 will be a strong sign of medium term reversal. Focus will be turned back to 0.9716 support for confirmation.

USD/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9580; (P) 0.9599; (R1) 0.9631; More

Intraday bias in USD/CHF remains on the upside as rise from 0.9181 is in progress for 0.9848 resistance. Decisive break there will confirm completion of whole fall from 1.0237 and target 1.0023 resistance next. On the downside, below 0.9566 minor support will turn intraday bias neutral first.

In the bigger picture, decline from 1.0237 is seen as the third leg of the pattern from 1.0342 (2016 low). It could have completed at 0.9181 after hitting 0.9186 key support (2018 low). Further rise could be seen to retest 1.0237 high. After all, medium term range trading will likely continue between 0.9181/1.0237 for some time.

USD/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0059; (P) 1.0077; (R1) 1.0110; More….

USD/CHF’s rise resumed after brief retreat and intraday bias is back on the upside. Current rise from 0.9716 is in progress for 1.0128 resistance. Decisive break there will confirm resumption of up trend from 0.9186. Next target will be 100% projection of 0.9541 to 1.0128 from 0.9716 at 1.0303. On the downside, below 1.0043 minor support will turn intraday bias neutral and bring consolidation again.

In the bigger picture, USD/CHF drew strong support from medium term trend line and rebounded. That suggests rise from 0.9186 is still in progress. Further break of 1.0128 will confirm up trend resumption and target 1.0342 key resistance. Nevertheless, break of 0.9716 will dampen this bullish view and at least bring deeper fall to 0.9541 key support.

USD/CHF Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9154; (P) 0.9199; (R1) 0.9226; More

Intraday bias in USD/CHF remains neutral for the moment. On the downside, sustained break of 61.8% projection of 1.0146 to 0.9355 from 0.9545 at 0.9056 will pave the way to 100% projection at 0.8754, which is close to 0.8756 long term support. Nevertheless, on the upside, break of 0.9407 should confirm short term bottoming and turn bias back to the upside.

In the bigger picture, rise from 0.8756 (2021 low) has completed at 1.0146, well ahead of 1.0342 long term resistance (2016 high). Based on current downside momentum, fall from 1.0146 should be a medium term down trend itself. Next target is a test on 0.8756 low. Strong support should be seen there to bring rebound. Still, further decline will now be expected as long as 0.9407 resistance holds, in any case.

USD/CHF Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9800; (P) 0.9824; (R1) 0.9841; More

Intraday bias in USD/CHF remains mildly on the downside. Fall from 0.9951 should extend to retest 0.9695 low first. Break will resume whole decline from 1.0237. On the upside, break of 0.9908 resistance will likely resume the rebound from 0.9695, through 0.9951, to 1.0014 resistance.

In the bigger picture, up trend from 0.9186 (2018 low) should have completed at 1.0237 already. Deeper decline would be seen to 61.8% retracement of 0.9186 to 1.0237 at 0.9587 and below. For now, USD/CHF is seen as in long term range pattern between 0.9186 and 1.0342. Hence, we’d pay attention to bottoming signal below 0.9587. However, sustained break of 1.0014 will revive medium term bullishness and turn focus back to 1.0237 high.

USD/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9965; (P) 1.0026; (R1) 1.0062; More

At this point, USD/CHF remains bounded in range of 0.9952/1.0128. Intraday bias remains neutral first. Also, near term outlook stays bullish with 0.9952 support intact and further rally is in favor. On the upside, above 1.0128 will resume the whole rise from 0.9186 and target 1.0342 key resistance next. However, firm break of 0.9952 will indicate short term topping and bring deeper fall back to 0.9848 support first.

In the bigger picture, the pullback from 1.0067 has completed at 0.9541 already. And rise from 0.9186 is likely resuming. Firm break of 1.0067 will pave the way to retest 1.0342 key resistance. We’d be cautious on strong resistance from there to limit upside to bring another medium term fall to extend long term range trading. However, break of 0.9848 near term support will dampen this view and bring deeper decline back to 0.9541 support and possibly below.

USD/CHF Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9974; (P) 0.9998; (R1) 1.0023; More….

Intraday bias in USD/CHF remains on the upside and rise from 0.9716 is still in progress. As noted before, t corrective decline from 1.0128 should have completed at 0.9716 already, after hitting trend line support. Further rally should now be seen back to retest 1.0128. On the downside, break of 0.9908 is needed to indicate completion of the rebound. Otherwise, outlook will stay cautiously bullish in case of retreat.

In the bigger picture, USD/CHF drew strong support from medium term trend line and rebounded. That suggests rise from 0.9186 is still in progress. Further break of 1.0128 will confirm up trend resumption and target 1.0342 key resistance. Nevertheless, break of 0.9716 will dampen this bullish view and at least bring deeper fall to 0.9541 key support.

USD/CHF Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9874; (P) 0.9909; (R1) 0.9931; More

Intraday bias in USD/CHF remains on on the downside at this point, for 0.9841 support. Firm break there will complete a head and shoulder top pattern (ls: 0.9983; h: 1.0027; rs: 0.9970). That should confirm completion of rise from 0.9659 and turn outlook bearish for retest this low. On the upside, above 0.9970 will bring retest of 1.0027 resistance first.

In the bigger picture, corrective fall from 1.0237 should have completed at 0.9659 already, ahead of 61.8% retracement of 0.9186 to 1.0237 at 0.9587. But decisive break of 1.0237 is needed to indicate up trend resumption. Otherwise, medium term outlook will stay neutral first. Meanwhile, break of 0.9695 support will extend the correction to 0.9541 support instead.

USD/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9806; (P) 0.9832; (R1) 0.9857; More….

A temporary low is in place at 0.9807 in USD/CHF and intraday bias is turned neutral first. For now, deeper fall could be seen as long as 0.9889 minor resistance holds. Below 0.9807 will target 100% projection of 1.0067 to 0.9866 from 0.9981 at 0.9780 and possibly below. But fall from 1.0067 is seen as the third leg of the consolidation pattern from 1.0056. Hence, we’d expect strong support from 38.2% retracement of 0.9186 to 1.0056 at 0.9724 to bring rebound. On the upside, above 0.9889 will turn bias to the upside for 0.9981 resistance first. Break will bring retest of 1.0067 high.

In the bigger picture, current development suggests that the consolidation pattern from 1.0056 is extending. As long as 38.2% retracement of 0.9186 to 1.0056 at 0.9724 holds, we’d expect rise from 0.9186 to resume at a later stage to retest 1.0342 key resistance (2016 high). However, sustained break of 0.9724 fibonacci level will bring deeper fall, as another declining leg in the long term range pattern.

USD/CHF Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9193; (P) 0.9232; (R1) 0.9295; More….

USD/CHF is still bounded in sideway trading and intraday bias remains neutral. Choppy rise from 0.8925 would still be in favor to extend higher as long as 0.9090 support holds. Break of 0.9341 will target 0.9372 resistance and then 0.9471. On the downside, however, break of 0.9090 will bring deeper fall back to 0.8925 support.

In the bigger picture, medium term outlook will be neutral at best as long as 0.9471 resistance holds. Larger down trend could still extend through 0.8756 (2021 low). However, firm break of 0.9471 will argue that the trend has already reversed and rebound the rally from 0.8756 with another impulsive move.

USD/CHF Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0136; (P) 1.0168; (R1) 1.0209; More

Intraday bias in USD/CHF remains neutral at this point and larger rise is expected to extend as long as 1.0130 support holds. On the upside, break of 1.0237 will resume larger up trend to 1.0342 key resistance. However, sustained break of 1.0130 will confirm short term topping. In that case, deeper pull back would be seen back to 55 day EMA (now at 1.0058) and below.

In the bigger picture, medium term up trend from 0.9186 is extending. Current rise should target 1.0342 resistance next. For now, we’d be cautious on strong resistance from there to limit upside, until we see medium term upside acceleration. On the downside, break of 0.9879 support is needed to indicate reversal. Otherwise, outlook will stay bullish in case of deep pull back.

USD/CHF Weekly Outlook

USD/CHF stayed in the consolidation pattern from 1.0342 last week and outlook is unchanged. Initial bias remains neutral this week first. We’d expect strong support from 1.0019 to contain downside and bring rally resumption. Firm break of 1.0342 will confirm up trend resumption. However, sustained break of 1.0019 will indicate near term reversal and could bring deeper fall bring to 0.9443/9548 support zone.

In the bigger picture, the corrective fall from 1.0327 should have completed at 0.9443 already. Rise from 0.9443 could be resuming the long term rally from 2011 low at 0.7065. But decisive break of 1.0327 is needed to confirm. In that case, next medium term upside target will be 38.2% retracement of 1.8305 to 0.7065 at 1.1359. Rejection from 1.0327 will extend the sideway pattern with another fall back to 0.9443/9548 support zone.

USD/CHF Weekly Chart

USD/CHF Monthly Chart

USD/CHF Weekly Chart

USD/CHF Monthly Chart

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USD/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9098; (P) 0.9125; (R1) 0.9152; More….

Intraday bias in USD/CHF remains neutral for the moment. On the upside, decisive break of 0.9207 would be an early sign of bullish reversal and target 0.9304 resistance for confirmation. On the downside, below 0.9097 minor support will turn bias back to the downside for 0.8982 low instead.

In the bigger picture, decline from 1.0237 is seen as the third leg of the pattern from 1.0342 (2016 high). There is no clear sign of completion yet. On resumption, next target will be 138.2% projection of 1.0342 to 0.9186 from 1.0237 at 0.8639. Nevertheless, strong break of 0.9304 resistance will be an early sign of trend reversal and turn focus back to 0.9901 key resistance for confirmation.

USD/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9899; (P) 0.9925; (R1) 0.9942; More

USD/CHF is staying neutral as it’s bounded in tight range of 0.9900/9957. With 0.9957 minor resistance intact, deeper decline remains mildly in favor. On the downside, break of 0.9900 will target 0.9856 support. Break there will pave the way to key support level at 0.9787. On the upside, above 0.9957 minor resistance will turn bias back to the upside for retesting 1.0067.

In the bigger picture, as long as 0.9787 support holds, we’re still favoring the bullish case. That is, rise fro 0.9787 is resuming the whole up trend from 0.9186 and should target 1.0342 key resistance on resumption. However, break of 0.9787 will indicate medium term reversal and turn outlook bearish.

USD/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9528; (P) 0.9621; (R1) 0.9694; More

Intraday bias in USD/CHF remains mildly on the downside at this point. fall from 0.9868 is seen as a leg inside the corrective pattern from 1.0063. Deeper decline would be seen towards 0.9369 support. On the upside above 0.9653 minor resistance will turn intraday bias neutral first.

In the bigger picture, current development suggests that up trend from 0.8756 (2021 low) is still in progress. Sustained break of 1.0063 will target 100% projection of 0.9149 to 1.0063 from 0.9369 at 1.0283, and then 1.0342 (2016 high). For now, this will remain the favored case as long as 0.9369 support holds, even in case of deep pull back.

USD/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0086; (P) 1.0111; (R1) 1.0135; More…..

No change in USD/CHF’s outlook as it’s still staying in range of 1.0019/0342 in spite of dollar weakness elsewhere. As long as 1.0019 support holds, further rally is still mildly in favor. Firm break of 1.0342 will confirm up trend resumption. However, sustained break of 1.0019 will indicate near term reversal and could bring deeper fall bring to 0.9443/9548 support zone.

In the bigger picture, the corrective fall from 1.0327 should have completed at 0.9443 already. Rise from 0.9443 could be resuming the long term rally from 2011 low at 0.7065. But decisive break of 1.0327 is needed to confirm. In that case, next medium term upside target will be 38.2% retracement of 1.8305 to 0.7065 at 1.1359. Rejection from 1.0327 will extend the sideway pattern with another fall back to 0.9443/9548 support zone.

USD/CHF 4 Hours Chart

USD/CHF Daily Chart

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USD/CHF Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0060; (P) 1.0089; (R1) 1.0110; More….

USD/CHF is staying in consolidation from 1.0124 temporary top and intraday bias remains neutral first. In case of deeper retreat, downside should be contained by 1.0027 minor support to bring another rally. On the upside, break of 1.0124 will target 61.8% projection of 0.9716 to 1.0098 from 0.9926 at 1.0162 and then 100% projection at 1.0308.

In the bigger picture, USD/CHF drew strong support from medium term trend line and rebounded. That suggests rise from 0.9186 is still in progress. Further break of 1.0128 will confirm up trend resumption and target 1.0342 key resistance. Nevertheless, break of 0.9926 support will be the first signal of medium term reversal and bring another test on the trend line.

USD/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9669; (P) 0.9698; (R1) 0.9726; More

Intraday bias in USD/CHF remains neutral as range trading continues. On the downside, break of 0.9592 will bring deeper decline. But downside should be contained by 61.8% retracement of 0.9181 to 0.9901 at 0.9456 to rebound. On the upside, break of 0.9797 will bring retest of 0.9901 high.

In the bigger picture, decline from 1.0237 is seen as the third leg of the pattern from 1.0342 (2016 low). It could have completed at 0.9181 after hitting 0.9186 key support (2018 low). Break of 0.9901 will extend the rebound form 0.9181 through 1.0023 resistance. After all, medium term range trading will likely continue between 0.9181/1.0237 for some more time.