USD/CHF Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9813; (P) 0.9844; (R1) 0.9880; More

Intraday bias in USD/CHF remains neutral for the moment. Some more consolidation could be seen above 0.9805. But still, further decline is expected as long as 0.9917 resistance holds. Rebound from 0.9659 should have completed already. Below 0.9805 will target a test on 0.9659 low. On the upside, break of 0.9917 will dampen this bearish view and turn bias back to the upside for 1.0023 resistance instead.

In the bigger picture, medium term outlook remains neutral as USD/CHF is staying in range of 0.9659/1.0237. In any case, decisive break of 1.0237 is needed to indicate up trend resumption. Otherwise, more sideway trading would be seen with risk of another fall. Meanwhile, break of 0.9695 support will target 0.9541 support instead.

USD/CHF Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.8936; (P) 0.8954; (R1) 0.8986; More….

Intraday bias in USD/CHF remains neutral for the moment. On the downside, break of 0.8886 will resume the fall from 0.9243 to 61.8% retracement of 0.8551 to 0.9243 at 0.8815 next. However, firm break of 0.9000 resistance will indicate short term bottoming, and turn bias back to the upside for stronger rebound.

In the bigger picture, rebound from 0.8551 might be completed as a correction at 0.9243. In other words, larger fall from 1.0146 (2022 high) is possibly not over yet. Risk will now stay on the downside as long as 0.9243 resistance holds. Firm break of 0.8551 will confirm down trend resumption.

USD/CHF Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9369; (P) 0.9403; (R1) 0.9443; More

Intraday bias in USD/CHF stays neutral as range trading is still in progress. Considering bullish convergence condition in 4 hour MACD, break of 0.9545 will indicate short term bottoming at 0.9325. Intraday bias will be back on the upside for 55 day EMA (now at 0.9642). On the downside, below 0.9325 will resume the near term decline and target 0.9287 fibonacci level.

In the bigger picture, rise from 0.8756 (2021 low) has completed at 1.0146, well ahead of 1.0342 long term resistance (2016 high). Based on current downside momentum, fall from 1.0146 might be a medium term down trend itself. Break of 61.8% retracement of 0.8756 to 1.0146 at 0.9287 will pave the way to 0.8756. In any case, risk will stay on the downside as long as 55 day EMA (now at 0.9690) holds.

USD/CHF Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.8828; (P) 0.8849; (R1) 0.8872; More….

USD/CHF is losing some downside momentum as seen in 4H MACD. But intraday bias stays on the downside with 0.8898 minor resistance intact. Current fall from 0.9243 should target 100% projection of 0.9243 to 0.8886 from 0.9111 at 0.8754 next. On the upside, above 0.8898 minor resistance will turn intraday bias neutral and bring consolidations again. But in case of recovery, outlook will stay bearish as long as 0.8952 support turned resistance holds.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 0.8551 are currently seen as part of a corrective pattern to the decline from 1.0146 (2022 high). Fall from 0.9243 is seen as the second leg for now. Deeper fall would be seen to 61.8% retracement of 0.8551 to 0.9243 at 0.8815. Sustained break there will bring retest of 0.8551 low. For now, this will remain the favored case as long as 0.9111 resistance holds.

USD/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9170; (P) 0.9199; (R1) 0.9246; More….

Intraday bias in USD/CHF remains neutral first. Sideway trading could continued. And choppy rise from 0.8925 would still be in favor to extend higher as long as 0.9090 support holds. Break of 0.9341 will target 0.9372 resistance and then 0.9471. On the downside, however, break of 0.9090 will bring deeper fall back to 0.8925 support.

In the bigger picture, medium term outlook will be neutral at best as long as 0.9471 resistance holds. Larger down trend could still extend through 0.8756 (2021 low). However, firm break of 0.9471 will argue that the trend has already reversed and rebound the rally from 0.8756 with another impulsive move.

USD/CHF Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9132; (P) 0.9159; (R1) 0.9209; More….

Intraday bias in USD/CHF remains on the upside for the moment. Rebound from 0.9084 short term bottom would extend higher to 0.9367 resistance first. On the downside, below 0.9172 minor support will turn intraday bias back to the downside for 0.9084 instead.

In the bigger picture, the corrective structure of the rebound from 0.8925 argues that fall from 0.9471 is not complete yet. It could either be the second leg of pattern from 0.8756 (2021 low), or resuming larger down trend from 1.0237 (2018 high). We’d pay attention to the downside momentum and assess the odds later. But for now, medium term outlook will be neutral at best as long as 0.9471 resistance holds.

USD/CHF Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9942; (P) 0.9980; (R1) 1.0003; More…..

Intraday bias in USD/CHF remains on the downside for the moment. Current fall from 1.0342 would extend to 100% projection of 1.0342 to 0.9860 from 1.0099 at 0.9617 on breaking of lower trend line support. On the upside, above 0.9849 minor resistance will turn bias neutral and bring consolidation before staging another decline.

In the bigger picture, USD/CHF is bounded in medium term range of 0.9443/1.0342 for the moment. Consolidative trading would likely continue and medium term outlook remains neutral. Break of 1.0342 key resistance is needed to confirm underlying bullish momentum in the pair. Meanwhile, downside attempts should be contained by 0.9443 key support level.

USD/CHF 4 Hours Chart

USD/CHF Daily Chart

USD/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9750; (P) 0.9766; (R1) 0.9791; More

Intraday bias in USD/CHF remains mildly on the upside at this point. Rebound from 0.9613 short term bottom should target 38.2% retracement of 1.0237 to 0.9613 at 0.9851 first. On the downside, below 0.9703 minor support will bring retest of 0.9613 low instead.

In the bigger picture, medium term outlook remains neutral as USD/CHF is staying sideway trading started from 1.0342 (2016 high). Fall from 1.0237 is a leg inside the pattern and could target 0.9186 (2018 low). In case of another rise, break of 1.0237 is needed to indicate up trend resumption. Otherwise, more sideway trading would be seen with risk of another fall.

USD/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9044; (P) 0.9071; (R1) 0.9090; More

USD/CHF’s breach of 0.9050 support suggest resumption of larger decline. Intraday bias is back on the downside. Next near term target is 61.8% projection of 0.9467 to 0.9050 from 0.9197 at 0.8939. On the upside, break of 0.9197 resistance is needed to indicate short term bottoming. Otherwise, outlook will stay bearish in case of recovery.

In the bigger picture, decline from 1.0237 is seen as the third leg of the pattern from 1.0342 (2016 low). Current development suggests that such pattern is still extending. Sustain trading below 100% projection of 1.0342 to 0.9186 from 1.0237 at 0.9081 will pave the way to 138.2% projection at 0.8639. On the upside, break of 0.9376 resistance is needed to be the first sign of medium term bottoming.

USD/CHF Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9225; (P) 0.9257; (R1) 0.9295; More

Intraday bias in USD/CHF remains neutral for the moment. Outlook stays bearish as long as 0.9407 resistance holds. Break of 0.9165 will resume whole fall from 1.0146. However, firm break of 0.9407 will turn bias back to the upside for stronger rebound.

In the bigger picture, rise from 0.8756 (2021 low) has completed at 1.0146, well ahead of 1.0342 long term resistance (2016 high). Based on current downside momentum, fall from 1.0146 should be a medium term down trend itself. Next target is a test on 0.8756 low. Strong support should be seen there to bring rebound. Still, further decline will now be expected as long as 0.9407 resistance holds, in any case.

USD/CHF Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9191; (P) 0.9213; (R1) 0.9242; More….

Intraday bias in USD/CHF remains neutral as sideway trading continues. On the upside, break of 0.9241 resistance should resume the rise from 0.8925 through 0.9273. On the downside, break of 0.9098 will target 0.9017 support first. Further break there will likely resume the decline from 0.9471 through 0.8925 low.

In the bigger picture, USD/CHF is still struggling around 55 week EMA (now at 0.9176) and outlook is mixed for now. Confirmed rejection by the 55 week EMA will retain medium term bearishness. That is, larger fall from 1.0342 would resume through 0.8756 low at a later stage. However, sustained trading above 55 week EMA will tilt favor to the case of bullish reversal. Focus would then be turned to 0.9471 resistance for confirmation.

USD/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9098; (P) 0.9144; (R1) 0.9169; More

Intraday bias in USD/CHF remains neutral first. Another rise is in favor with 0.9082 minor support intact. Brea of 0.9200 will resume the rebound from 0.8998 to 55 day EMA (now at 0.9230) and then 38.2% retracement of 0.9901 to 0.8998 at 0.9343. On the downside, below 0.9082 minor support will turn bias back to the downside for retesting 0.8998 low instead.

In the bigger picture, decline from 1.0237 is seen as the third leg of the pattern from 1.0342 (2016 low), which is still extending. Sustained trading below 100% projection of 1.0342 to 0.9186 from 1.0237 at 0.9081 will pave the way to 138.2% projection at 0.8639. On the upside, break of 0.9376 resistance is needed to be the first sign of medium term bottoming.

USD/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.8858; (P) 0.8894; (R1) 0.8912; More

USD/CHF is still bounded in range above 0.8858 and more consolidations could be seen. But further decline is expected with 0.9070 support turned resistance intact. On the downside, below 0.8858 will resume the down trend from 1.0146 to 61.8% projection of 1.0146 to 0.9058 from 0.9439 at 0.8767, which is close to 0.8756 long term support. Strong support is expected there to bring rebound, at least on first attempt. On the upside, break of 0.9070 support turned resistance will confirm short term bottoming and turn bias back to the upside.

In the bigger picture, fall from 1.1046 (2022 high) is in progress for 0.8756 support (2021 low). But overall, this fall is still seen as a leg in the long term range pattern from 1.0342 (2016 high). So, downside should be contained by 0.8756 to bring reversal. Sustained break of 0.9058 support turned resistance will be the first sign of medium term bottoming. However, decisive break of 0.8756 will carry larger bearish implications.

USD/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.8837; (P) 0.8933; (R1) 0.8988; More….

A temporary low is formed at 0.8853 and intraday bias in USD/CHF is turned neutral for consolidations. Stronger recovery cannot be ruled out. But upside should be limited by 0.8952 support turn resistance to bring another fall. Break of 0.8852 will resume the decline from 0.9243 to 100% projection of 0.9243 to 0.8886 from 0.9111 at 0.8754.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 0.8551 are currently seen as a correction to the decline from 1.0146. Fall from 0.9243 is seen as the second leg for now. Deeper fall would be seen to 61.8% retracement of 0.8551 to 0.9243 at 0.8815. Sustained break there will bring retest of 0.8551 low. For now, this will remain the favored case as long as 0.9111 resistance holds.

USD/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9435; (P) 0.9451; (R1) 0.9473; More

Intraday bias in USD/CHF remains mildly on the upside at this point. Rise from 0.9362 short term bottom should target 0.9532. Sustained break there will confirm this case and turn near term outlook bullish for stronger rise. Nevertheless, break of 0.9362 will resume the fall from 0.9901 to 100% projection of 0.9901 to 0.9502 from 0.9736 at 0.9337.

In the bigger picture, decline from 1.0237 is seen as the third leg of the pattern from 1.0342 (2016 low). It could have completed at 0.9181 after hitting 0.9186 key support (2018 low). Break of 0.9901 will extend the rebound from 0.9181 through 1.0023 resistance. After all, medium term range trading will likely continue between 0.9181/1.0237 for some more time.

USD/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.8823; (P) 0.8854; (R1) 0.8884; More….

USD/CHF is still staying below 0.8918 resistance for now and intraday bias remains neutral. On the upside, firm break of 0.8918 will indicate short term bottoming, on bullish convergence condition in 4 hour MACD. Intraday bias will be turned back to the upside for stronger rebound, back towards 0.8998 support turned resistance. Though, rejection by 0.8918 will maintain bearishness. On the downside, break of 0.8756 will target long term projection level at 0.8639.

In the bigger picture, decline from 1.0237 is seen as the third leg of the pattern from 1.0342 (2016 high). There is no clear sign of completion yet. Next target will be 138.2% projection of 1.0342 to 0.9186 from 1.0237 at 0.8639. In any case, break of 0.9304 resistance is needed to signal medium term bottoming. Otherwise, outlook will remain bearish in case of rebound.

USD/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9115; (P) 0.9134; (R1) 0.9167; More….

Intraday bias in USD/CHF is turned neutral with current recovered, and near term is mixed. On the downside, below 0.9098 will target 0.9017 support first. Further break there will likely resume the decline from 0.9471 through 0.8925 low. On the upside, through, break of 0.9241 should resume the rise from 0.8925 through 0.9273 resistance.

In the bigger picture, the failure to sustain above 55 week EMA (now at 0.9184) retains medium term bearish in USD/CHF. Break of 0.8925 support should resume the whole decline form 1.0342 (2016 high) through 0.8756 low. However, break of 0.9273 resistance and sustained trading above 55 week EMA will be an early sign of bullish trend reversal. Focus will then turn to 0.9471 resistance for confirmation.

USD/CHF Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9110; (P) 0.9127; (R1) 0.9143; More….

Intraday bias stays neutral for the moment. Further fall is expected with 0.9174 resistance intact. Break of 0.9084 will resume the fall from 0.9367 to 0.9017 support first and then 0.8925. On the upside, however, break of 0.9174 resistance will indicate short term bottoming and turn bias back to the upside for stronger rebound instead.

In the bigger picture, the corrective structure of the rebound from 0.8925 argues that fall from 0.9471 is not complete yet. It could either be the second leg of pattern from 0.8756 (2021 low), or resuming larger down trend from 1.0237 (2018 high). We’d pay attention to the downside momentum and assess the odds later. But for now, medium term outlook will be neutral at best as long as 0.9471 resistance holds.

USD/CHF Weekly Outlook

USD/CHF’s pull back from 0.8874 was deeper than expected, but it recovered quickly after hitting 0.8743. Initial bias stays neutral this week first. On the upside, firm break of 0.8874 will resume the rise from 0.8551. Next target is 0.9146 cluster resistance. On the downside, though, break of 0.8743 minor support will argue that rebound from 0.8551 has completed, and bring retest of this low.

In the bigger picture, rebound from 0.8551 medium term bottom is currently seen as a correction to the downtrend from 1.0146 (2022 high). Further rally would be seen to 0.9146 cluster resistance (38.2% retracement of 1.0146 to 0.8551 at 0.9160). Strong resistance could be seen there to limit upside, at least on first attempt.

In the long term picture, there is no clear sign that down trend from 1.8305 (2000 high) has completed. With 38.2% retracement of 1.8305 to 0.7065 at 1.1359 intact, outlook is neutral at best. Sustained break of 61.8% retracement of 0.7065 (2011 low) to 1.0342 (2016 high) at 0.8317 will bring retest of 0.7065 low.

USD/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9236; (P) 0.9269; (R1) 0.9298; More

Intraday bias in USD/CHF stays neutral for the moment and outlook is unchanged. Corrective pattern from 0.9058 low should still be in progress with rise from 0.9070 as the third leg. Above 0.9339 will target 0.9439 resistance and possibly above. But overall, outlook will stay bearish as long as 0.9474 fibonacci level holds, and another decline through 0.9058 is expected at a later stage.

In the bigger picture, fall from 1.1046 (2022 high) should still be in progress with 38.2% retracement of 1.0146 to 0.9058 at 0.9474 intact. Rejection by 55 week EMA was a medium term bearish sign. Break of 0.9058 will resume such decline towards 0.8756 support (2021 low). But overall, such fall is still as a leg in the long term range pattern from 1.0342 (2016 high). So, downside should be contained by 0.8756 to bring reversal.