Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9938; (P) 0.9996; (R1) 1.0027; More…..

Intraday bias in USD/CHF remains neutral for consolidation below 1.0118 temporary top. Near term outlook stays cautiously bullish as long as 0.9929 minor support holds. Fall from 1.0342 could have finished at 0.9860 already. Above 1.0118 will turn bias back to the upside for retesting 1.0342. However, break of 0.9929 will likely extend the decline from 1.0342 through 0.9860 low.

In the bigger picture, prior rejection from 1.0327 resistance argues that USD/CHF is staying in a medium term sideway pattern. In any case, decisive break of 1.0342 resistance is needed to confirm underlying strength. Otherwise, we’ll stay neutral in the pair first. In case of another fall, we’d expect strong support from 0.9443/9548 support zone. Meanwhile firm break of 1.0342 will target 38.2% retracement of 1.8305 to 0.7065 at 1.1359.

Subscribe to our daily and mid-day newsletter to get this report delivered to your mail box

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9160; (P) 0.9189; (R1) 0.9227; More…

Range trading continues in USD/CHF and intraday bias stays neutral. Outlook is unchanged that corrective pattern from 0.9058 low is in progress. Another rise cannot be ruled out, but upside should be limited by 0.9474 fibonacci level. On the downside, firm break of 0.9058 will resume larger down trend from 1.1046.

In the bigger picture, fall from 1.1046 (2022 high) should still be in progress with 38.2% retracement of 1.0146 to 0.9058 at 0.9474 intact. Prior rejection by 55 week EMA was a medium term bearish sign. Break of 0.9058 will resume such decline towards 0.8756 support (2021 low). But overall, this fall is still as a leg in the long term range pattern from 1.0342 (2016 high). So, downside should be contained by 0.8756 to bring reversal.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.8843; (P) 0.8862; (R1) 0.8874; More….

USD/CHF’s down trend resumes by breaking 0.8851. Intraday bias is back on the downside. Next near term target is 61.8% projection of 0.9901 to 0.8998 from 0.9304 at 0.8746. On the upside, break of 0.8909 resistance will indicate short term bottoming, turn bias back to the upside for stronger rebound.

In the bigger picture, decline from 1.0237 is seen as the third leg of the pattern from 1.0342 (2016 high). There is no clear sign of completion yet. Next target will be 138.2% projection of 1.0342 to 0.9186 from 1.0237 at 0.8639. In any case, break of 0.9304 resistance is needed to signal medium term bottoming. Otherwise, outlook will remain bearish in case of rebound.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9263; (P) 0.9276; (R1) 0.9303; More….

USD/CHF is still extending the consolidation from 0.9328 and intraday bias remains neutral first. On the upside, above 0.9328 will resume the rally from 0.9084 for 0.9367 resistance. On the downside, below 0.9236 minor support will turn intraday bias back to the downside for 0.9084 instead.

In the bigger picture, the corrective structure of the rebound from 0.8925 argues that fall from 0.9471 is not complete yet. It could either be the second leg of pattern from 0.8756 (2021 low), or resuming larger down trend from 1.0237 (2018 high). We’d pay attention to the downside momentum and assess the odds later. But for now, medium term outlook will be neutral at best as long as 0.9471 resistance holds.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9794; (P) 0.9827; (R1) 0.9849; More…

Intraday bias in USD/CHF is turned neutral first, but further rise is expected as long as 0.9680 minor support holds. . Consolidation pattern from 1.0063 should have completed with three waves down to 0.9493 already. Further rise would be seen to retest 1.0063 high first. Decisive break there will resume larger up trend. On the downside, break of 0.9670 minor support will dampen this bullish view and bias back to the downside for 0.9493 support instead.

In the bigger picture, medium term up trend from 0.8756 (2021 low) is still in progress. Next target is 1.0342 (2016 high). Sustained break there will resume long term up trend from 0.7065 (2011 low). This will remain the favored case as long as 0.9471 resistance turned support holds.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.8953; (P) 0.8965; (R1) 0.8984; More…

Range trading continues in USD/CHF and intraday bias remains neutral. Also, near term outlook stays bearish for now. On the downside, break of 0.8900 will resume the fall from 0.9146 to 0.8818 low or below. On the upside, above 0.9015 will bring stronger rise towards 0.9146 resistance instead.

In the bigger picture, fall from 1.1046 (2022 high) is seen as a leg in the long term range pattern from 1.0342 (2016 high). While further decline cannot be ruled out, strong support is expected from 0.8756 long term support to bring reversal. Firm break of 0.9146 resistance should confirm medium term bottoming.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9804; (P) 0.9836; (R1) 0.9881; More….

USD/CHF is staying in range of 0.9734/9881 and intraday bias remains neutral at this point. On the upside, break of 0.9881 resistance will indicate completion of the pull back from 1.0037. Intraday bias will then be turned back to the upside for retesting 1.0037. Below 0.9734 will extend the pull back. But we’ll look for bottoming again below 61.8% retracement of 0.9420 to 1.0037 at 0.9656.

In the bigger picture, range trading continues between 0.9420/1.0342. At this point, 0.9420 appears to be a strong support level. Therefore, in case of decline attempt, we don’t expect a firm break of this level. Nonetheless, strong break of 1.0342 is also needed to confirm upside momentum. Otherwise, medium term outlook will stay neutral.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9145; (P) 0.9168; (R1) 0.9192; More….

USD/CHF is still bounded in tight range above 0.9127 temporary low and intraday bias stays neutral first. With 0.9244 resistance intact, further fall is still expected. On the downside, below 0.9127 will extend the decline from 0.9471 to 61.8% retracement of 0.8756 to 0.9471 at 0.9029. Nevertheless, break of 0.9244 will indicate short term bottoming and turn bias to the upside for rebound.

In the bigger picture, rejection by 61.8% retracement of 0.9901 to 0.8756 at 0.9464 argues that rebound from 0.8756 was probably just a corrective move. That is, larger down trend from 1.0237 might be still in progress. We’ll monitor the downside momentum of the decline from 0.9471, to assess the chance of breakthrough 0.8756 low.

USD/CHF dropped to 0.9839 last week but drew support from 55 day EMA and recovered. Near term outlook is mixed up a bit and initial bias is neutral this week first. on the upside, above 0.9977 will resume the rebound fro m0.9734 for 1.0037 resistance. Break there will resume whole rally from 0.9420 and target 1..0342 key resistance next. on the downside, below 0.9839 will likely extend the correction from 1.0037 through 0.9734. But in that case, we’d expect strong support from 61.8% retracement of 0.9420 to 0.1.0037 at 0.9656 to contain downside and bring rebound.

In the bigger picture, range trading continues between 0.9420/1.0342. At this point, 0.9420 appears to be a strong support level. Therefore, in case of decline attempt, we don’t expect a firm break of this level. Nonetheless, strong break of 1.0342 is also needed to confirm upside momentum. Otherwise, medium term outlook will stay neutral.

In the long term picture, while upside momentum is unconvincing, with 0.9443 key support intact, rise from 0.7065 (2011 low) is still expected to continue. Break of 1.0342 will target 38.2% retracement of 1.8305 (2000 high) to 0.7065 at 1.1359.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9024; (P) 0.9041; (R1) 0.9059; More….

Intraday bias in USD/CHF remains on the downside at this point. Fall from 0.9273 is in progress for retesting 0.8925 low. On the upside, break of 0.9074 minor resistance will turn intraday bias neutral first. But another fall will remain in favor as long as 55 day EMA (now at 0.9126) holds.

In the bigger picture, failure to sustain above 55 week EMA (now at 0.9183) affirms medium term bearish in USD/CHF. Break of 0.8925 support should resume the whole decline form 1.0342 (2016 high) through 0.8756 low. For now, risk will stay on the downside as long as 0.9273 resistance holds, in case of rebound.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9124; (P) 0.9161; (R1) 0.9181; More….

USD/CHF dipped to 0.9116 earlier today, but failed to sustain below 55 day EMA. Intraday bias remains neutral first. On the downside, sustained trading below 55 day EMA (now at 0.9126) will affirm the case that rebound from 0.8925 has completed at 0.9273. Deeper fall would then be seen back to retest 0.8925 low. On the upside though, break of 0.9273 and sustained trading above 61.8% retracement of 0.9471 to 0.8925 at 0.9262 will target 0.9471 resistance next.

In the bigger picture, medium term outlook is currently neutral with focus on 0.9471 resistance. Sustained break there will indicate completion of whole decline from 1.0342 (2016 high). Medium term outlook will be turned bullish for a test on 1.0342 high. But, rejection by 0.9471 again will revive bearishness for another fall through 0.8756 low.

USD/CHF’s rally was rejected by near term falling channel last week and reversed from there. Immediate focus is now on 0.8956 support this week. Firm break there will argue that rebound from 0.8825 has completed and bring retest of this low. On the upside, break of 0.9049 will resume the rebound instead.

In the bigger picture, focus remains on 0.9223/9243 resistance zone. Decisive break there would suggest larger bullish trend reversal and turn outlook bullish. Nevertheless, rejection by 0.9223/43 will keep medium term outlook neutral at best, for more range trading between 0.8332/9243 first.

In the long term picture, price action from 0.7065 (2011 high) are seen as a corrective pattern to the multi-decade down trend from 1.8305 (2000 high). Strong rebound from 61.8% retracement of 0.7065 to 1.0342 (2016 high) will start the third leg as a medium term rally. But there will be no sign of long term reversal until firm break of 38.2% retracement of 1.8305 to 0.7065 at 1.1359.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9214; (P) 0.9262; (R1) 0.9294; More….

Intraday bias in USD/CHF remains neutral and further rise is still in favor as long a s0.9214 support holds. On the upside, break of 0.9367 will resume the rise from 0.8925 to 0.9471 key resistance next. On the downside, however, break of 0.9214 will turn bias back to the downside for 0.9017 support again.

In the bigger picture, the strong rally above 55 week EMA (now at 0.9188) now tilts favor to the case of bullish trend reversal. That is, decline from 1.3042 (2016 high) is probably completed at 0.8756 already. Sustained break of 0.9471 resistance should confirm this case and pave the way to retest 1.0342 ahead. However, rejection by 0.9471 will mix up the outlook again and retain some medium term bearishness.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.8747; (P) 0.8787; (R1) 0.8823; More….

Intraday bias in USD/CHF stays neutral for the moment. On the upside, sustained trading above 0.8818 support turned resistance will carry larger bullish implication. Further rally should then be seen to 0.9146 cluster resistance next. However, break of 0.8688 support will indicate rejection by 0.8818, and turn bias back to the downside for retesting 0.8551 low.

In the bigger picture, a medium term bottom could be in place at 0.8551 already, on bullish convergence condition in D MACD. Sustained trading above 0.8818 will bring further rise to 0.9146 cluster resistance (38.2% retracement of 1.0146 to 0.8551 at 0.9160), even as a correction. Nevertheless, break of 0.8851 will resume the down trend from 1.0146 instead.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9189; (P) 0.9239; (R1) 0.9305; More….

Intraday bias in USD/CHF remains neutral as range trading continues. Choppy rise from 0.8925 would still be in favor to extend higher as long as 0.9090 support holds. Break of 0.9341 will target 0.9372 resistance and then 0.9471. On the downside, however, break of 0.9090 will bring deeper fall back to 0.8925 support.

In the bigger picture, medium term outlook will be neutral at best as long as 0.9471 resistance holds. Larger down trend could still extend through 0.8756 (2021 low). However, firm break of 0.9471 will argue that the trend has already reversed and rebound the rally from 0.8756 with another impulsive move.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9996; (P) 1.0026; (R1) 1.0058; More…

Intraday bias in USD/CHF remains neutral for the moment. Consolidation should be brief as long as 0.9982 minor support holds. Break of 1.0056 will resume recent rise for 1.0342 key resistance. However, break of 0.9982 will turn bias to the downside for deeper pull back, possibly to trend line support (now at 0.9757) before staging another rally.

In the bigger picture, medium term decline from 1.0342 has completed with three waves down to 0.9186. Rise from there is currently viewed as a leg inside the long term range pattern. Hence, while further rally would be seen, we’d be cautious on strong resistance from 1.0342 to limit upside. For now, further rise is expected as long as 0.9648 resistance turned support holds, even in case of pull back.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9149; (P) 0.9173; (R1) 0.9192; More….

Intraday bias in USD/CHF remains neutral for consolidation above 0.9127 temporary low. With 0.9244 resistance intact, further fall is still expected. On the downside, below 0.9127 will extend the decline from 0.9471 to 61.8% retracement of 0.8756 to 0.9471 at 0.9029. Nevertheless, break of 0.9244 will indicate short term bottoming and turn bias to the upside for rebound.

In the bigger picture, rejection by 61.8% retracement of 0.9901 to 0.8756 at 0.9464 argues that rebound from 0.8756 was probably just a corrective move. That is, larger down trend from 1.0237 might be still in progress. We’ll monitor the downside momentum of the decline from 0.9471, to assess the chance of breakthrough 0.8756 low.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9548; (P) 0.9600; (R1) 0.9657; More…

Intraday bias in USD/CHF stays mildly on the upside as rebound from 0.9468 short term bottom is in progress. Sustained trading above 55 day EMA (now at 0.9650) will raise the chance that corrective pattern from 1.0063 has completed. Further rally should then be seen to 0.9884 resistance next. This will remain the favored case as long as 0.9468 support holds.

In the bigger picture, medium term up trend from 0.8756 (2021 low) is still in progress. On resumption, next target is 1.0342 (2016 high). Sustained break there will resume long term up trend from 0.7065 (2011 low). This will remain the favored case as long as 0.9471 resistance turned support holds. However, firm break of 0.9471 will raise the chance that such up trend is over. Sustained trading below 55 week EMA (now at 0.9424) could bring deeper medium term fall back to 0.9149 support and below.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9558; (P) 0.9621; (R1) 0.9654; More…

USD/CHF’s decline resumed by taking out 0.9599 and reaches as low as 0.9582 so far. Intraday bias is back on the downside as fall from 1.0067 would target 0.9523 fibonacci level. We’d look for bottoming sign there to bring rebound. On the upside, break of 0.9699 minor resistance will indicate short term bottoming and target 0.9757 resistance.

In the bigger picture, rise from 0.9186 low has completed at 1.0067, after failing to sustain above 1.0037 resistance. Fall from 1.0067 could extend to 61.8% retracement of 0.9816 to 1.0067 at 0.9523 and below. But for now, we don’t expect a break of 0.9186 low. On the upside, firm break of 0.9866 support turned resistance will suggests that fall from 1.0067 has completed and rise from 0.9186 is resuming.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0028; (P) 1.0051; (R1) 1.0096; More…..

With 1.0135 minor resistance intact, deeper fall could be seen in USD/CHF. Rise from 0.9443 could have completed at 1.0342 already, after failing to sustain above 1.0327 key resistance. Deeper fall would be seen back to 0.9443/9548 support zone. On the upside, above 1.0135 minor resistance will turn focus back to 1.0342 resistance instead.

In the bigger picture, rejection from 1.0327 resistance suggests that consolidation pattern from there is still in progress. Fall from 1.0342 is seen as the third leg and retest of 0.9443/9548 support zone could be seen. But we’d expect strong support from there to contain downside. At this point, we’re still extend the larger rally to resume later to 38.2% retracement of 1.8305 to 0.7065 at 1.1359.

Subscribe to our daily and mid-day newsletter to get this report delivered to your mail box