Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9484; (P) 0.9516; (R1) 0.9546; More…

Intraday bias in USD/CHF remains on the upside at this point. The rebound from 0.9186 is in progress for 0.9626 fibonacci level. Firm break there will carry larger bullish implications. On the downside, break of 0.9423 is needed to indicate completion of the rebound. Otherwise, outlook will remain bullish in case of retreat.

In the bigger picture, fall from 1.0342 is seen as a medium term down trend. Current development is raising the chance that it is completed. But there is no confirmation yet. Focus will now be back on 38.2% retracement of 1.0342 (2016 high) to 0.9186 (2018 low) at 0.9626. Sustained break there will add much credence to the case of trend reversal and target 61.8% retracement at 0.9900 and above. However, rejection from 0.9626 will maintain medium term bearishness for another low below 0.9186.

USD/CHF’s rise from 0.8551 resumed last week. Initial bias stays on the upside this week. Further rally is expected to 0.9146 cluster resistance next. On the downside, break of 0.8758 support is needed to indicate completion of the rebound from 0.8551. Otherwise, near term outlook is cautiously bullish in case of retreat.

In the bigger picture, rebound from 0.8551 medium term bottom is currently seen as a correction to the downtrend from 1.0146 (2022 high). Further rally would be seen to 0.9146 cluster resistance (38.2% retracement of 1.0146 to 0.8551 at 0.9160). Strong resistance could be seen there to limit upside, at least on first attempt. Nevertheless, medium term outlook is neutral at best as long as 0.8551 holds, until further developments.

In the long term picture, there is no clear sign that down trend from 1.8305 (2000 high) has completed. With 38.2% retracement of 1.8305 to 0.7065 at 1.1359 intact, outlook is neutral at best. Sustained break of 61.8% retracement of 0.7065 (2011 low) to 1.0342 (2016 high) at 0.8317 will bring retest of 0.7065 low.

USD/CHF’s rebound from 0.9862 extended higher last week. The development argues that corrective pull back from 1.0128 has completed with three waves down to 0.9862, ahead of 0.9484 support, on bullish convergence condition in 4 hour MACD. Initial bias is now on the upside this week for 1.0008 resistance first. Break will confirm this bullish case and target a test on 1.0128 high. On the downside, though, below 0.9911 minor support will turn focus back to 0.9848 support instead.

In the bigger picture, current development suggests that the medium term rally from 0.9186 hasn’t completed yet. Break of 1.0128 will target 1.0342 key resistance next (2016 high). On the downside, break of 0.9848 support will dampen this bullish view and turn focus back to 0.9541 key support instead.

In the long term picture, price actions from 0.7065 (2011 low) are not clearly impulsive yet. Thus, we’ll treat it as developing into a corrective pattern, at least, until a firm break of 1.0342 resistance.

USD/CHF stayed in consolidation above 0.9090 last week and outlook is unchanged. Initial bias stays neutral this week first. On the downside, firm break of 0.9084 support will argue that choppy rise from 0.8925 has completed. Fall from 0.9471 might be ready to resuming. Further decline would be seen back to 0.8925 support first. On the upside, above 0.9276 will target 0.9372 resistance instead.

In the bigger picture, the corrective structure of the rebound from 0.8925 argues that fall from 0.9471 is not complete yet. It could either be the second leg of pattern from 0.8756 (2021 low), or resuming larger down trend from 1.0237 (2018 high). We’d pay attention to the downside momentum and assess the odds later. But for now, medium term outlook will be neutral at best as long as 0.9471 resistance holds.

In the long term picture, price actions from 0.7065 (2011 low) are currently seen as developing into a long term corrective pattern, at least until a firm break of 1.0342 resistance.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9619; (P) 0.9640; (R1) 0.9667; More…

USD/CHF is losing some downside momentum. But further decline is in favor with 0.9738 minor resistance intact. Fall from 0.9884 is seen as a falling leg of the consolidation from 1.0063. Deeper decline would be seen to 0.9493 support. On the upside, though, above 0.9738 minor resistance will turn bias back to the upside for 0.9884 resistance.

In the bigger picture, medium term up trend from 0.8756 (2021 low) is still in progress. On resumption, next target is 1.0342 (2016 high). Sustained break there will resume long term up trend from 0.7065 (2011 low). This will remain the favored case as long as 0.9471 resistance turned support holds.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9896; (P) 0.9963; (R1) 1.0006; More….

USD/CHF is staying in range below 1.0063 and intraday bias remains neutral. Considering bearish divergence condition in 4 hour MACD, break of 0.9871 support will indicate short term topping at 1.0063. Intraday bias will be turned to the downside for 38.2% retracement of 0.9193 to 1.0063 at 0.9731. On the upside, above 1.0063 will resume larger up trend.

In the bigger picture, down trend from 1.0342 (2016 high) should have completed with three waves down to 0.8756 (2021 low) already. Rise from 0.8756 is likely a medium term up trend of its own. Next target is 161.8% projection of 0.8756 to 0.9471 from 0.9149 at 1.0306, which is close to 1.0342 (2016 high). This will remain the favored case as long as 0.9459 resistance turned support holds.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.8924; (P) 0.8949; (R1) 0.8996; More….

Intraday bias in USD/CHF remains on the upside at this point. Rebound form 0.8756 short term bottom should target 0.8998 support turned resistance next. Decisive break there will argue that fall from 0.9901 has completed. Stronger rally would be seen to 38.2% retracement of 0.9901 to 0.8756 at 0.9193. On the downside, break of 0.8897 minor support will turn bias back to the downside for retesting 0.8756 low instead.

In the bigger picture, decline from 1.0237 is seen as the third leg of the pattern from 1.0342 (2016 high). There is no clear sign of completion yet. Next target will be 138.2% projection of 1.0342 to 0.9186 from 1.0237 at 0.8639. In any case, break of 0.9295 resistance is needed to signal medium term bottoming. Otherwise, outlook will remain bearish in case of rebound.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.8599; (P) 0.8625; (R1) 0.8654; More….

Intraday bias in USD/CHF stays on the downside for 0.8551 support. Strong support could be seen there to bring rebound. Break of 0.8650 minor resistance will indicate short term bottoming, and turn bias back to the upside for 0.8819 resistance. However, sustained break of 0.8551 could trigger downside acceleration to 100% projection of 0.9111 to 0.8665 from 0.8819 at 0.8373.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 0.8551 are currently seen as a corrective pattern to the decline from 1.0146 (2022 high). Fall from 0.9243 is seen as the second leg for now. Strong support should be seen 0.8551 to bring rebound. Meanwhile, break of 0.8819 resistance will argue that the third leg has started already, and target 0.9243. However, firm break of 0.8551 will confirm resumption of larger down trend from 1.0146 instead.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9901; (P) 0.9939; (R1) 0.9958; More….

Intraday bias in USD/CHF remains neutral for consolidation below 0.9977 temporary top. As noted before, current development argues that correction from 1.0037 has completed at 0.9734 already. Also, rise from 0.9420 might be resuming. On the upside, above 0.9977 will target 1.0037 high first. Break will extend the rise from 0.9420 to 61.8% projection of 0.9420 to 0.9734 from 1.0047 at 1.0115 next. Nevertheless, firm break of 0.9881 support will dampen this immediate bullish case and turn bias to the downside for 0.9734 instead.

In the bigger picture, range trading continues between 0.9420/1.0342. At this point, 0.9420 appears to be a strong support level. Therefore, in case of decline attempt, we don’t expect a firm break of this level. Nonetheless, strong break of 1.0342 is also needed to confirm upside momentum. Otherwise, medium term outlook will stay neutral.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.8818; (P) 0.8836; (R1) 0.8852; More….

No change in USD/CHF’s outlook and intraday bias stays mildly on the upside. As noted before, consolidation from 0.8884 should have completed with three waves to 0.8728. Further rally should be seen to retest 0.8891 resistance first. Firm break there will resume whole rally from 0.8332. Next target is 61.8% projection of 0.8550 to 0.8884 from 0.8728 at 0.8934. For now, this will remain the favored case as long as 0.8728 support holds, in case of retreat.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 0.8332 medium term bottom as seen as developing into a corrective pattern to the down trend from 1.0146 (2022 high). Further rise would be seen as long as 0.8555 support holds. But upside should be limited by 0.9243 resistance, at least on first attempt.

USD/CHF dropped sharply to as low as 0.9855 last week but recovered ahead of 0.9841 support. Initial bias is neutral this week first. With 0.9841 intact, rise from 0.9659 is extend to resume sooner or later. On the upside, above 0.9926 minor resistance will bring retest of 1.0027 resistance first. However, sustained break of 0.9841 will indicate near term reversal and pave the way back to 0.9659 support.

In the bigger picture, medium term outlook remains neutral as USD/CHF is staying in range of 0.9659/1.0237. In any case, decisive break of 1.0237 is needed to indicate up trend resumption. Otherwise, more sideway trading would be seen with risk of another fall. Meanwhile, break of 0.9695 support will target 0.9541 support instead.

In the long term picture, price actions from 0.7065 (2011 low) are not clearly impulsive yet. Thus, we’ll treat it as developing into a corrective pattern, at least, until a firm break of 1.0342 resistance.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.8992; (P) 0.9017; (R1) 0.9053; More….

Intraday bias in USD/CHF remains neutral for the moment, as it’s still bounded in range of 0.8952/9111. On the downside, below 0.8952 will target a test on 0.8886 support first. Break there will resume whole decline from 0.9243 to 0.8815 fibonacci level. However, break of 0.9111 will resume the rebound from 0.8886 instead, and target 0.9243 resistance.

In the bigger picture, outlook is mixed up by the deeper than expected pull back from 0.9243. Yet there was no follow through selling after hitting 0.8886. On the upside, break of 0.9243 resistance will revive the case of medium term bottoming at 0.8851, and turn outlook bullish. However, sustained break of 61.8% retracement of 0.8551 to 0.9243 at 0.8815 will argue that larger decline from 1.0146 is ready to resume through 0.8551 low.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9197; (P) 0.9208; (R1) 0.9223; More….

Intraday bias in USD/CHF mildly on the downside with break of 0.9176 support. Fall from 0.9341 could now target 0.9090 near term support. Firm break there will argue that choppy rise from 0.8925 has completed and bring deeper decline to this support. Nevertheless, above 0.9217 minor resistance will turn intraday bias neutral again, and retain some mild near term bullish flavor.

In the bigger picture, medium term outlook will be neutral at best as long as 0.9471 resistance holds. Larger down trend could still extend through 0.8756 (2021 low). However, firm break of 0.9471 will argue that the trend has already reversed and rebound the rally from 0.8756 with another impulsive move.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9626; (P) 0.9647; (R1) 0.9674; More….

No change in USD/CHF’s outlook as it’s bounded in range of 0.9582/9772. Intraday bias remains neutral at this moment. On the upside, decisive break of 0.9772 resistance will revive the bullish case of reversal. That is, whole decline from 1.0342 has completed at 0.9437 after defending 0.9443 support. USD/CHF should then target channel resistance (now at 0.9849) next. Meanwhile, the pair is bounded inside medium term falling channel and limited below 38.2% retracement of 1.0342 to 0.9437 at 0.9783 for the moment. Break of 0.9582 will turn bias back to the downside for 0.9437. This could also extend the fall from 1.0342 through 0.9437/43 key support level.

In the bigger picture, we’re slightly favoring the case that USD/CHF has successfully defended 0.9443 key support level. And long term range trading in 0.9443/1.0342 is extending with another rise. At this point, there is no sign of an up trend yet. Hence, while further rise is expected in USD/CHF, we’ll start to be cautious on loss of momentum above 61.8% retracement of 1.0342 to 0.9437 at 0.9996. However, firm break of 0.9443 will carry larger bearish implication and would target next key support at 0.9072.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9397; (P) 0.9467; (R1) 0.9542; More…

USD/CHF quickly recovered after dipping to 0.9391. Intraday bias is turned neutral again. No change in view that rebound from 0.9181 is a corrective move. Upside should be limited by 0.9613 resistance. On the downside, break of 0.9391 will turn bias to the downside for retesting 0.9181/6 key support zone. On the upside, however, sustained break of 0.9613 support turned resistance will indicate bullish reversal and target 0.9484 resistance and above.

In the bigger picture, decline from 1.0237 is seen as the third leg of the pattern from 1.0342 (2016 low). As long as 0.9613 support turned resistance holds, further fall could be seen to 100% projection 1.0342 to 0.9186 from 1.0237 at 0.9081. However, firm break of 0.9613 will suggest that 0.9186 key support (2018 low) was defended. USD/CHF should have then started another rising leg in the long term range pattern, towards resistance zone of 1.0237 and 1.0342 (2016 high).

USD/CHF recovered after dipping to 0.9478 last week but recovered. Initial bias stays neutral this week first. Overall, corrective pattern from 1.0063 is probably still extending. On the upside, firm break of 4 hour 55 EMA (now at 0.9644) will target 0.9868 resistance first. Further break there will argue that larger up trend is ready to resume through 1.0063. On the downside, below 0.9478 will extend the fall from 0.9868 towards 0.9369 support.

In the bigger picture, current development suggests that up trend from 0.8756 (2021 low) is still in progress. Sustained break of 1.0063 will target 100% projection of 0.9149 to 1.0063 from 0.9369 at 1.0283, and then 1.0342 (2016 high). For now, this will remain the favored case as long as 0.9369 support holds, even in case of deep pull back.

In the long term picture, outlook is mixed with deeper than expected fall from 1.0063, but some support is seen from 55 week EMA (now at 0.9460). Overall, though, USD/CHF is seen as in sideway pattern from 1.0342 (2016 high). Range trading should continue until further development.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9535; (P) 0.9548; (R1) 0.9567; More…

A temporary low is in place at 0.9523 and intraday bias is turned neutral first. Upside of recovery should be limited well below 0.9699 resistance and bring fall resumption. Break of 0.9523 will extend the decline from 1.0342 and target 0.9443 key support level next. At this point, we’d expect strong support from there to bring rebound.

In the bigger picture, USD/CHF is still bounded in medium term range of 0.9443/1.0342 for the moment. Consolidative trading would likely continue and medium term outlook remains neutral. Break of 1.0342 key resistance is needed to confirm underlying bullish momentum in the pair. Meanwhile, downside attempts should be contained by 0.9443 key support level. However, sustained break of 0.9443 will carry larger bearish implication and target 0.9 handle.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9733; (P) 0.9786; (R1) 0.9816; More…

Intraday bias in USD/CHF remains on the downside at this point. Current decline should target 0.9716 support first. Break will target 0.9587 fibonacci level next. On the upside, break of 0.9838 minor resistance will turn intraday bias neutral and bring consolidations. But recovery should be limited well below 1.0014 resistance to bring fall resumption.

In the bigger picture, current development confirms that up trend from 0.9186 (2018 low) has completed at 1.0237 already. With 38.2% retracement of 0.9186 to 1.0237 at 0.9836 taken out, deeper fall should be seen to 61.8% retracement at 0.9587 and below. We’d pay attention to bottoming signal below 0.9587.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9489; (P) 0.9541; (R1) 0.9572; More…

Intraday bias in USD/CHF remains neutral for the moment. Near term outlook stays bearish with 0.9680 minor resistance intact. On the downside, break of 0.9474 minor support will bring retest of 0.9355 low first. Break there will resume the fall from 1.0146 to 0.9287 fibonacci level.

In the bigger picture, rise from 0.8756 (2021 low) has completed at 1.0146, well ahead of 1.0342 long term resistance (2016 high). Based on current downside momentum, fall from 1.0146 might be a medium term down trend itself. Break of 61.8% retracement of 0.8756 to 1.0146 at 0.9287 will pave the way to 0.8756. In any case, risk will stay on the downside as long as 55 day EMA (now at 0.9767) holds.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9473; (P) 0.9505; (R1) 0.9528; More…

Focus stays on 0.9471 resistance turned support in USD/CHF. Strong support should be seen there to bring rebound. On the upside, above 0.9598 minor resistance will turn bias back to the upside for recovery towards 55 day EMA (now at 0.9651) and above. However, sustained break of 0.9471 will carry larger bearish implication and target 0.9193 support next.

In the bigger picture, medium term up trend from 0.8756 (2021 low) is still in progress. On resumption, next target is 1.0342 (2016 high). Sustained break there will resume long term up trend from 0.7065 (2011 low). This will remain the favored case as long as 0.9471 resistance turned support holds. However, firm break of 0.9471 will raise the chance that such up trend is over. Sustained trading below 55 week EMA (now at 0.9424) could bring deeper medium term fall back to 0.9149 support and below.