Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.3518; (P) 1.3607; (R1) 1.3710; More…

Intraday bias in USD/CAD is turned neutral with 4 hour MACD crossed above signal line. Correction from 1.3832 could extend lower. But downside should be contained above 1.3222 resistance turned support to bring rebound. On the upside, break of 1.3832 will resume larger up trend to 161.8% projection of 1.2005 to 1.2947 from 1.2401 at 1.3925.

In the bigger picture, up trend from 1.2005 (2021 low) is still in progress. Based on current impulsive momentum, it could be resuming long term up trend from 0.9056 (2007 low). Whether it is or it isn’t, retest of 1.4689 (2016 high) should be seen next. This will now remain the favored case as long as 1.3222 resistance turned support holds.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.3188; (P) 1.3224; (R1) 1.3255; More….

Intraday bias in USD/CAD remains on the downside at this point. Current fall from 1.4667 should target long term fibonacci level at 1.3056. On the upside, break of 1.3398 resistance should indicate short term bottoming and turn bias back to the upside for 1.3715 resistance instead.

In the bigger picture, the rise from 1.2061 (2017 low) could have completed at 1.4667 after failing 1.4689 (2016 high). Fall from 1.4667 could be the third leg of the corrective pattern from 1.4689. Deeper fall is expected to 61.8% retracement of 1.2061 to 1.4667 at 1.3056 and possibly below. This will now remain the favored case as long as 1.3715 resistance holds. However, sustained break of 1.3715 will turn focus back to 1.4689 key resistance.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.3127; (P) 1.3140; (R1) 1.3161; More….

Intraday bias in USD/CAD remains neutral for consolidation below 1.3171 temporary top. We’re favoring the case that corrective pattern from 1.3664 has completed as a triangle at 1.2951. Further rise is expected as long as 1.3036 support holds. Above 1.3171 will target 1.3327 resistance to confirm this bullish view. Nevertheless, break of 1.3036 will dampen this view and bring retest of 1.2951 low.

In the bigger picture, rise from 1.2061 (2017 low) could have completed at 1.3664, after failing 61.8% retracement of 1.4689 (2016 high) to 1.2061 at 1.3685. However, structure of price actions from 1.3664 argues that it’s probably just a corrective move. Hence, while further fall is expected, downside should be contained by 50% retracement of 1.2061 to 1.3664 at 1.2863.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.3261; (P) 1.3294; (R1) 1.3319; More….

Intraday bias in USD/CAD remains neutral and outlook is unchanged. On the downside, sustained break of 1.3259 resistance turned support will argue that rebound from 1.2994 has completed. Intraday bias will be turned back to the downside for retesting 1.2994 low. On the upside, break of 1.3418 will resume the rebound to 38.2% retracement of 1.4667 to 1.2994 at 1.3633, to correct the whole fall from 1.4667.

In the bigger picture, fall from 1.4667 is seen as the third leg of the corrective pattern from 1.4689 (2016 high). Sustained break of 61.8% retracement of 1.2061 to 1.4667 at 1.3056 will target a test on 1.2061 (2017 low). But we’d expect loss of downside momentum as it approaches this key support. On the upside, firm break of 1.3715 resistance will argue that this falling leg has completed and turn focus back to 1.4667/89 resistance zone.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.3230; (P) 1.3401; (R1) 1.3492; More….

Intraday bias in USD/CAD remains on the downside as fall from 1.3976 is in progress. Strong support should be seen at 1.3207 cluster support (61.8% retracement of 1.2726 to 1.3976 at 1.3204) to bring rebound. Break of 1.3570 minor resistance will turn intraday bias neutral first. But sustained break of 1.3204/7 will carry larger bearish implications.

In the bigger picture, as long as 1.3222 resistance turned support holds, larger up trend from 1.2005 (2021 low) is still expected to continue at a later stage. Break of 1.3976 will target 1.4667/89 resistance zone. However, firm break of 1.3222 will be a sign of trend reversal and target 55 week EMA (now at 1.3016).

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.2461; (P) 1.2495; (R1) 1.2522; More…

Intraday bias in USD/CAD remains neutral for the moment and outlook is unchanged. Further decline is expected with 1.2591 resistance intact. As noted before, corrective pattern from 1.2005 could have completed already. Break of 1.2428 will target 1.2886 support and then 1.2005 low. On the upside, nevertheless, break of 1.2591 resistance will turn bias back to the upside for 1.2899 resistance instead.

In the bigger picture, focus stays on 38.2% retracement of 1.4667 (2020 high) to 1.2005 (2021 low) at 1.3022. Sustained break there should confirm that the down trend from 1.4667 has completed after defending 1.2061 long term cluster support. Further rise would then be seen towards 61.8% retracement at 1.3650. However, rejection by 1.3022 will maintain medium term bearishness. Break of 1.2005 will resume the down trend from 1.4667 and that carries larger bearish implications too.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.2829; (P) 1.2910; (R1) 1.2951; More…

USD/CAD recovers mildly but stays well below 1.2988 minor resistance. Intraday bias stays on the downside for 1.2818 support. Firm break there will bring deeper fall back to 1.2516 key support. On the upside, above 1.2988 minor resistance will turn bias back to the upside for retesting 1.3222 instead.

In the bigger picture, down trend from 1.4667 (2020 high) should have completed at 1.2005, after defending 1.2061 long term cluster support. Rise from there should target 61.8% retracement of 1.4667 to 1.2005 (2021 low) at 1.3650. This will remain the favored case now as long as 1.2516 support holds.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.3381; (P) 1.3413; (R1) 1.3431; More…

Intraday bias in USD/CAD stays mildly on the downside and deeper fall could be seen to 1.3342 support. Firm break there will argue that rebound from 1.3176 has completed at 1.3540, and target this low for resuming whole fall from 1.3897. On the upside, however, break of 1.3540 will resume the rebound from 1.3176 instead.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 1.3976 (2022 high) are viewed as a corrective pattern only. In case of another fall, strong support should emerge above 1.2947 resistance turned support to bring rebound. Overall, larger up trend from 1.2005 (2021 low) is still expected to resume through 1.3976 at a later stage.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.2345; (P) 1.2420; (R1) 1.2537; More…

Breach of 1.2485 resistance suggests resumption of whole rebound from 1.2005. Intraday bias is now on the upside for 1.2653 key structural resistance next. Support from 55 day EMA is a sign of near term bullishness for USD/CAD. Hence, for now, break of 1.2301 support is needed to indicate short term topping. Otherwise, further rally will remain in favor in case of retreat.

In the bigger picture, fall from 1.4667 is seen as the third leg of the corrective pattern from 1.4689 (2016 high). It might have completed after hitting 1.2061 (2017 low) and 50% retracement of 0.9406 to 1.4689 at 1.2048. Sustained break of 38.2% retracement of 1.4667 to 1.2005 at 1.3022 will pave the way to 61.8% retracement at 1.3650. Overall, medium term outlook remains neutral at worst with 1.2048/61 support zone intact.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.3490; (P) 1.3518; (R1) 1.3559; More….

Intraday bias in USD/CAD stays on the upside for the moment. As noted before, corrective fall from 1.3976 should have completed with three waves down to 1.3091. Further rally would be seen to retest 1.3653 resistance next. Break there will further confirm this case and target 1.3976 high. For now, further rally is expected as long as 1.3371 support holds, in case of retreat.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 1.3976 are viewed as a corrective fall only. Upon completion, rise from 1.2005 (2021 low) would resume through 1.3976 towards 1.4667/89 long term resistance zone. In case of another fall, downside should be contained by 61.8% retracement of 1.2005 to 1.3976 at 1.2758.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.3490; (P) 1.3510; (R1) 1.3524; More…

USD/CAD is staying in sideway trading below 1.3585 and intraday bias remains neutral. With 1.3357 support intact, further rally is expected. On the upside, break of 1.3585 will resume the rebound from 1.3176 for 1.3897 resistance. However, break of 1.3357 will argue that the rebound from 1.3176 has completed and bring retest of this low.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 1.3976 (2022 high) are viewed as a corrective pattern only. In case of another fall, strong support should emerge above 1.2947 resistance turned support to bring rebound. Overall, larger up trend from 1.2005 (2021 low) is still expected to resume through 1.3976 at a later stage.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.2705; (P) 1.2770; (R1) 1.2826; More….

USD/CAD’s correction from 1.2916 is still in progress and could dip lower. But after all, as long as 1.2598 resistance turned support holds, near term outlook remains bullish. On the upside, break of 1.2916 will extend the rise from 1.2061 to 38.2% retracement of 1.4689 to 1.2061 at 1.3065. However, sustained break of 1.2598 will argue that rebound from 1.2061 has completed after hitting 55 week EMA (now at 1.2916). Near term outlook will be turned bearish in this case.

In the bigger picture, USD/CAD should have defended 50% retracement of 0.9406 (2011 low) to 1.4689 (2016 high) at 1.2048. And with 1.2048 intact, we’d favor the case that fall from 1.4689 is a correction. Rise from 1.2061 medium term bottom should now target 38.2% retracement of 1.4689 to 1.2061 at 1.3065. Firm break there will target 1.3793 key resistance next (61.8% retracement at 1.3685). We’ll now hold on to this bullish view as long as 1.2450 support holds.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.3288; (P) 1.3318; (R1) 1.3356; More….

Intraday bias in USD/CAD remains neutral first but further rise is expected with 1.3225 support intact. Rebound from 1.2994 is likely resuming. Break of 1.3389 should turn bias to the upside, through 1.3418 resistance, to 100% projection of 1.2994 to 1.3418 from 1.3081 at 1.3505. On the downside, though, break of 1.3225 minor support will mix up the near term outlook again, and turn bias to the downside for 1.3081 support.

In the bigger picture, fall from 1.4667 is seen as the third leg of the corrective pattern from 1.4689 (2016 high). Sustained break of 61.8% retracement of 1.2061 to 1.4667 at 1.3056 will target a test on 1.2061 (2017 low). But we’d expect loss of downside momentum as it approaches this key support. On the upside, firm break of 1.3715 resistance will argue that this falling leg has completed and turn focus back to 1.4667/89 resistance zone.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.2579; (P) 1.2614; (R1) 1.2660; More…

Intraday bias in USD/CAD remains on the upside for the moment. Rebound from 1.2421 should target a test on 1.2805 resistance first. Break there will resume whole rise from 1.2005 for 1.3022 fibonacci level next. On the downside, break of 1.2488 minor support will turn bias back to the downside for 1.2421 support and below.

In the bigger picture, fall from 1.4667 is seen as the third leg of the corrective pattern from 1.4689 (2016 high). It should have completed after hitting 1.2061 (2017 low) and 50% retracement of 0.9406 to 1.4689 at 1.2048. Sustained break of 38.2% retracement of 1.4667 to 1.2005 at 1.3022 will pave the way to 61.8% retracement at 1.3650 and above. Overall, medium term outlook remains neutral at worst with 1.2048/61 support zone intact.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.2850; (P) 1.2893; (R1) 1.2959; More…

Intraday bias in USD/CAD stays neutral first. On the upside, firm break of 1.2984 resistance will argue that corrective fall from 1.3222 has completed with three waves down to 1.2726. Further rally would be seen back to retest 1.3222 high. On the downside, break of 1.2726 will resume the fall from 1.3222 to 1.2516 key support instead.

In the bigger picture, down trend from 1.4667 (2020 high) should have completed at 1.2005, after defending 1.2061 long term cluster support. Rise from there should target 61.8% retracement of 1.4667 to 1.2005 (2021 low) at 1.3650. This will remain the favored case now as long as 1.2516 support holds.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.3429; (P) 1.3472; (R1) 1.3509; More…

Much volatility is seen in USD/CAD but it’s, after all, bounded in consolidation from 1.3521. Intraday bias remains neutral for more consolidative trading first. In case of deeper retreat, downside should be contained above 1.3274 support to bring rally resumption. On the upside, firm break of 1.3521 will resume the whole rise from 1.3068 to retest 1.3664 high. However, decisive break of 1.3274 support will indicate completion of rise from 1.3068 and turn outlook bearish.

In the bigger picture, USD/CAD is staying well inside medium term rising channel (support at 1.3296). Thus, the up trend from 1.2061 (2017 low) should be in progress. On the upside, decisive break of 61.8% retracement of 1.4689 (2016 high) to 1.2061 at 1.3685 will pave the way to 78.6% retracement at 1.4127 next. This will remain the favored case as long as 1.3068 support holds. However, sustained break the channel support will be the first sign of medium term reversal. Firm break of 1.3068 would confirm.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.3534; (P) 1.3563; (R1) 1.3583; More….

USD/CAD is extending the consolidation from 1.3693 and intraday bias stays neutral. Further rally is expected as long as 1.3488 support holds. Above 1.3693 will resume the rally from 1.3091 to 1.3860 resistance, and then 1.3976 high.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 1.3976 are viewed as a corrective pattern only. Upon completion, rise from 1.2005 (2021 low) would resume through 1.3976. Next target is 61.8% projection of 1.2005 to 1.3976 from 1.3091 at 1.4309. For now, this will remain the favored case as long as 55 D EMA (now at 1.3463) holds.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.2535; (P) 1.2585; (R1) 1.2671; More….

USD/CAD’s strong rebound and break of 1.2597 minor resistance suggests that consolidation pattern from 1.2412 has started the third leg. Intraday bias is turned back to the upside for 1.2777 resistance and above. But upside should be limited by 38.2% retracement of 1.3793 to 1.2412 at 1.2940 to bring fall resumption eventually. On the downside, break of 1.2412 will extend larger fall from 1.3793 and target next long term fibonacci level at 1.2048.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 1.4689 medium term top are seen as a correction pattern. Such corrective fall is still expected to extend to 50% retracement of 0.9406 to 1.4869 at 1.2048. At this point, we’d look for strong support from there to contain downside and bring rebound. Nonetheless, on the upside, sustained break of 1.2968, 38.2% retracement of 1.3793 to 1.2412 at 1.2940 will be the first sign of completion of the correction and will turn focus back to 1.3793 key resistance.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.3623; (P) 1.3684; (R1) 1.3725; More….

Intraday bias in USD/CAD remains neutral as consolidation from 1.3784 is extending. While deeper pull back cannot be ruled out, outlook will stay bullish as long as 1.3378 support holds. Above 1.3784 will resume the rally from 1.3091 and target 100% projection of 1.3091 to 1.3693 from 1.3378 at 1.3980.

In the bigger picture, current development revives the case that corrective pattern from 1.3976 (2022 high) has completed with three waves down to 1.3091. Decisive break of 1.3976 high will confirm resumption of up trend from 1.2005 (2021 low). Next target will be 61.8% projection of 1.2401 to 1.3976 from 1.3091 at 1.4064. This will now remain the favored case as long as 1.3378 support holds.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.3659; (P) 1.3700; (R1) 1.3736; More….

USD/CAD is still stuck in range after failing to break through 1.3742 resistance. Intraday bias remains neutral for the moment and outlook is unchanged. On the upside, break of 1.3742 resistance will revive the case that correction from 1.3845 has completed at 1.3589. Intraday bias will be back on the upside for retesting 1.3845. On the downside, firm break of 1.3589 support will argue that whole rise from 1.3176 has completed at 1.3845 already. Fall from 1.3845 should then resume to 61.8% retracement of 1.3176 to 1.3845 at 1.3432.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 1.3976 (2022 high) are viewed as a corrective pattern. In case of another fall, strong support should emerge above 1.2947 resistance turned support to bring rebound. Firm break of 1.3976 will confirm up resumption of whole up trend from 1.2005 (2021 low). Next target is 61.8% projection of 1.2401 to 1.3976 from 1.3176 at 1.4149.