Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.2428; (P) 1.2459; (R1) 1.2496; More…

Intraday bias in USD/CAD is turned neutral for some consolidations first. But further fall is expected as long as 1.2605 resistance holds. On the downside, break of 1.2421 will resume the decline from 1.2805 to 1.2301 cluster support (61.8% retracement of 1.2005 to 1.2805 at 1.2311). However, firm break of 1.2605 will turn bias back to the upside for retesting 1.2805 resistance.

In the bigger picture, fall from 1.4667 is seen as the third leg of the corrective pattern from 1.4689 (2016 high). It should have completed after hitting 1.2061 (2017 low) and 50% retracement of 0.9406 to 1.4689 at 1.2048. Sustained break of 38.2% retracement of 1.4667 to 1.2005 at 1.3022 will pave the way to 61.8% retracement at 1.3650 and above. Overall, medium term outlook remains neutral at worst with 1.2048/61 support zone intact.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.3226; (P) 1.3281; (R1) 1.3335; More….

Intraday bias in USD/CAD is turned neutral as it continued to lose downside momentum. Strong support could be seen from 1.3207 cluster support (61.8% retracement of 1.2726 to 1.3976 at 1.3204) to bring rebound. Break of 1.3494 support turned resistance will turn bias back to the upside. However, sustained break of 1.3204/7 will carry larger bearish implication and target 1.2952 support next.

In the bigger picture, as long as 1.3222 cluster support (38.2% retracement of 1.2005 to 1.3976 at 1.3223) holds, larger up trend from 1.2005 (2021 low) is still expected to resume through 1.3976 high at a later stage. . However, firm break of 1.3222/3 will indicate that the trend might have reversed. Deeper fall would be seen to next cluster support at 1.2726 (61.8% retracement at 1.2758).

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.2348; (P) 1.2441; (R1) 1.2527; More…

USD/CAD is staying in range above 1.2354 and intraday bias remains neutral. More consolidations could be seen. But again, 1.2623 support turned resistance holds, deeper decline is expected. Break of 1.2354 will extend the fall from 1.2910 to retest 1.2061 low. However, sustained break of 1.2623 will argue that the fall has completed and turn bias back to the upside for 1.2919 resistance.

In the bigger picture, current development argues that rebound from 1.2061 has completed at 1.2919, rejected by 55 week EMA (now at 1.2850) and kept below 38.2% retracement of 1.4689 to 1.2061 at 1.3065. The development also suggests that long term fall from 1.4689 is not completed yet. Decisive break of 1.2061 low will target 61.8% retracement of 0.9406 to 1.4689 at 1.1424. This will now be the favored case as long as 1.2919 resistance holds.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.2771; (P) 1.2797; (R1) 1.2842; More….

USD/CAD’s strong rally and break of 1.2836 resistance suggests that corrective pattern from 1.2916 has completed at 1.2672 already. Intraday bias is turned back to the upside for 1.2916 first. Break will resume whole rise from 1.2061 and target 1.3065 medium term fibonacci level. On the downside, below 1.2753 will delay the bullish case and extend the correction from 1.2916 with another fall. But still, we’d expect downside to be contained by 1.2598 resistance turned support and bring rebound.

In the bigger picture, USD/CAD should have defended 50% retracement of 0.9406 (2011 low) to 1.4689 (2016 high) at 1.2048. And with 1.2048 intact, we’d favor the case that fall from 1.4689 is a correction. Rise from 1.2061 medium term bottom should now target 38.2% retracement of 1.4689 to 1.2061 at 1.3065. Firm break there will target 1.3793 key resistance next (61.8% retracement at 1.3685). We’ll now hold on to this bullish view as long as 1.2450 support holds.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.3443; (P) 1.3545; (R1) 1.3680; More….

Intraday bias in USD/CAD stays on the upside at this point. Correction form 1.3976 should have completed at 1.3224. Next target is 161.8% projection of 1.3224 to 1.3494 from 1.3315 at 1.3752. This will now remain the favored case as long as 1.3315 support holds, in case of retreat.

In the bigger picture, as long as 1.3222 cluster support (38.2% retracement of 1.2005 to 1.3976 at 1.3223) holds, larger up trend from 1.2005 (2021 low) is still expected to resume through 1.3976 high at a later stage. However, firm break of 1.3222/3 will indicate that the trend might have reversed. Deeper fall would be seen to next cluster support at 1.2726 (61.8% retracement at 1.2758).

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.3368; (P) 1.3447; (R1) 1.3507; More….

Intraday bias in USD/CAD stays on the downside at this point. As noted before, a head and should top pattern (1.3832; h: 1.3976; rs: 1.3807) was formed already. Deeper decline would be seen to 100% projection of 1.3976 to 1.3494 from 1.3807 at 1.3325 and possibly below. But downside should be contained by 1.3207 cluster support (61.8% retracement of 1.2726 to 1.3976 at 1.3204) to bring rebound. On the upside, above 1.3551 minor resistance will turn intraday bias neutral first.

In the bigger picture, up trend from 1.2005 (2021 low) is still in progress. Based on current impulsive momentum, it could be resuming long term up trend from 0.9056 (2007 low). Whether it is or it isn’t, retest of 1.4689 (2016 high) should be seen next. This will now remain the favored case as long as 1.3222 resistance turned support holds.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.3223; (P) 1.3242; (R1) 1.3259; More…

Intraday bias in bias remains neutral for the moment. With 1.3209 minor support, we’re still favoring the bullish case. That is, corrective pull back from 1.3382 has completed at 1.3133 and another rise is expected. On the upside, above 1.3310 will target 1.3382 resistance first. Break will resume the whole rise from 1.3016 and target 1.3564 resistance next. However, break of 1.3209 will dampen our bullish view and turn bias back to the downside for 1.3016 low.

In the bigger picture, key cluster support of 1.3068 (38.2% retracement of 1.2061 to 1.3664 at 1.3052) remains intact. Medium term rise from 1.2061 low is in favor to resume sooner or later. Firm break of 61.8% retracement of 1.4689 (2016 high) to 1.2061 at 1.3685 will confirm and target 1.4689 high. However, sustained break of 1.3052/68 will confirm completion of up trend from 1.2061 (2017 low). Further fall should be seen to 61.8% retracement at 1.2673 next.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.3636; (P) 1.3657; (R1) 1.3683; More…

Intraday bias in USD/CAD is turned neutral with current recovery. On the downside, below 1.3631 will resume the fall from 1.3845 short term top to 55 D EMA (now at 1.3600). On the upside, above 1.3730 minor resistance will turn bias back to the upside for retesting 1.3845 instead.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 1.3976 (2022 high) are viewed as a corrective pattern only. In case of another fall, strong support should emerge above 1.2947 resistance turned support to bring rebound. Firm break of 1.3976 will confirm up resumption of whole up trend from 1.2005 (2021 low). Next target is 61.8% projection of 1.2401 to 1.3976 from 1.3176 at 1.4149.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.3007; (P) 1.3042; (R1) 1.3073; More…

Intraday bias in USD/CAD stays neutral at this point and further rise is mildly in favor with 1.2818 support intact. On the upside, break of 1.3077 and sustained trading above 1.3022 fibonacci level will carry larger bullish implications, and bring up trend resumption. Next target is 100% projection of 1.2005 to 1.2947 from 1.2401 at 1.3343. On the downside, break of 1.2818 minor support will bring deeper fall back to 1.2516 support instead.

In the bigger picture, focus stays on 38.2% retracement of 1.4667 (2020 high) to 1.2005 (2021 low) at 1.3022. Sustained break there should confirm that the down trend from 1.4667 has completed after defending 1.2061 long term cluster support. Further rise would then be seen towards 61.8% retracement at 1.3650. However, rejection by 1.3022 will maintain medium term bearishness.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.3384; (P) 1.3431; (R1) 1.3505; More….

Break of 1.3474 resistance should confirm short term bottoming at 1.3261. Also, corrective fall from 1.3704 should have completed too. Intraday bias is back on the upside. Firm break of 1.3519 will pave the way to retest 1.3704 high. Nevertheless, break of 1.3356 minor support will dampen this bullish case and turn intraday bias neutral again.

In the bigger picture, as long as 1.3222 cluster support (38.2% retracement of 1.2005 to 1.3976 at 1.3223) holds, larger up trend from 1.2005 (2021 low) is still expected to resume through 1.3976 high at a later stage. However, firm break of 1.3222/3 will indicate that the trend might have reversed. Deeper fall would be seen to next cluster support at 1.2726 (61.8% retracement at 1.2758).

USD/CAD rebounded strong last week but reversed after hitting 1.3742. Initial bias is turned neutral this week first. Break 1.3742 will affirm the case that correction from 1.3845 has completed at 1.3589. Further rally would then be seen to retest 1.3845 high. However, sustained trading below 55 D EMA (now at 1.3635) will argue that whole rise from 1.3176 has completed already.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 1.3976 (2022 high) are viewed as a corrective pattern. In case of another fall, strong support should emerge above 1.2947 resistance turned support to bring rebound. Firm break of 1.3976 will confirm up resumption of whole up trend from 1.2005 (2021 low). Next target is 61.8% projection of 1.2401 to 1.3976 from 1.3176 at 1.4149.

In the longer term picture, price actions from 1.4689 (2016 high) are seen as a consolidation pattern, which might have completed at 1.2005. That is, up trend from 0.9506 (2007 low) is expected to resume at a later stage. This will remain the favored case as long as 1.2947 resistance turned support holds.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.3262; (P) 1.3298; (R1) 1.3347; More…

Intraday bias in USD/CAD remains neutral as consolidation from 1.3345 is extending. Further rise is expected with 1.3177 support intact. On the upside, break of 1.3345 will resume the rebound from 1.3016 for 1.3564/3664 resistance zone. However, break of 1.3177 will turn bias back to the downside for 1.3016 instead.

In the bigger picture, key cluster support of 1.3068 (38.2% retracement of 1.2061 to 1.3664 at 1.3052) remains intact. Medium term rise from 1.2061 low is in favor to resume sooner or later. Firm break of 61.8% retracement of 1.4689 (2016 high) to 1.2061 at 1.3685 will confirm and target 1.4689 high. However, sustained break of 1.3052/68 will confirm completion of up trend from 1.2061 (2017 low). Further fall should be seen to 61.8% retracement at 1.2673 next.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.3439; (P) 1.3459; (R1) 1.3482; More….

USD/CAD is still bounded in consolidation below 1.3501 and intraday bias stays neutral. Outlook is unchanged that corrective fall from 1.3976 should have completed with three waves down to 1.3091. Above 1.3501 will resume the rebound from 1.3091 to 1.3653 resistance next. Break there will further confirm this case and target 1.3976 high.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 1.3976 are viewed as a corrective fall only. Upon completion, rise from 1.2005 (2021 low) would resume through 1.3976 towards 1.4667/89 long term resistance zone. In case of another fall, downside should be contained by 61.8% retracement of 1.2005 to 1.3976 at 1.2758.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.2527; (P) 1.2562; (R1) 1.2585; More….

USD/CAD’s fall from 1.2777 resumed after brief recovery. Intraday bias is back on the downside for retesting 1.2412 low. Break there will resume the larger decline and target next long term fibonacci level at 1.2048. On the upside, above 1.2690 will extend the correction from 1.2412 with another rise. But we’d expect upside to be limited by 38.2% retracement of 1.3793 to 1.2412 at 1.2940 to bring fall resumption eventually.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 1.4689 medium term top are seen as a correction pattern. Such corrective fall is still expected to extend to 50% retracement of 0.9406 to 1.4869 at 1.2048. At this point, we’d look for strong support from there to contain downside and bring rebound. Nonetheless, on the upside, sustained break of 1.2968, 38.2% retracement of 1.3793 to 1.2412 at 1.2940 will be the first sign of completion of the correction and will turn focus back to 1.3793 key resistance.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.3171; (P) 1.3242; (R1) 1.3293; More…

Intraday bias in USD/CAD remains on the downside as the fall from 1.3598 would extend lower to 1.3080 support. As noted before, price actions from 1.2460 are viewed as a corrective move. Decisive break of 1.3080 will indicate that it’s completed and turn outlook bearish for retesting 1.2460 low. On the upside, above 1.3383 minor resistance will turn bias neutral again with focus back on 1.3588/98 resistance zone.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 1.4689 medium term top are seen as a correction pattern. The first leg has completed at 1.2460. The second leg is possibly finished at 1.3588 too after hitting 50% retracement of 1.4689 to 1.2460 at 1.3575. Break of 1.3005 would likely resume the fall from 1.4689 through 1.2460 to 50% retracement of 0.9406 to 1.4689 at 1.2048. We’d start to look for reversal signal below 1.2460 to complete the correction. In case of another rise, we’ll look for topping sign at 61.8% retracement of 1.4689 to 1.2460 at 1.3838.

Subscribe to our daily and mid-day newsletter to get this report delivered to your mail box

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.3148; (P) 1.3176; (R1) 1.3202; More…

USD/CAD falls to as low as 1.3115 so far and intraday bias remains on the downside. Current decline from 1.3327 should target 1.3042 key support. Decisive break there will carry larger bearish implication. On the upside, above 1.3204 minor resistance will turn bias back to the upside for 1.3327 resistance instead.

In the bigger picture, 38.2% retracement of 1.2061 to 1.364 at 1.3052 remains intact. Medium term rise from 1.2061 low is in favor to resume sooner or later. Firm break of 61.8% retracement of 1.4689 (2016 high) to 1.2061 at 1.3685 will confirm and target 1.4689 high. However, sustained break of 1.3052 will confirm completion of up trend from 1.2061 (2017 low). Further fall should be seen to 61.8% retracement at 1.2673 next.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.3510; (P) 1.3533; (R1) 1.3568; More….

USD/CAD’s rally is still in progress and intraday bias stays on the upside. As noted before, corrective fall from 1.3976 should have completed with three waves down to 1.3091. Further rise would be seen to retest 1.3653 resistance next. Break there will further confirm this case and target 1.3976 high. For now, further rally is expected as long as 1.3371 support holds, in case of retreat.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 1.3976 are viewed as a corrective fall only. Upon completion, rise from 1.2005 (2021 low) would resume through 1.3976 towards 1.4667/89 long term resistance zone. In case of another fall, downside should be contained by 61.8% retracement of 1.2005 to 1.3976 at 1.2758.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.3697; (P) 1.3739; (R1) 1.3786; More….

Intraday bias in USD/CAD is turned neutral with current retreat, and some consolidations could be seen first. But outlook will stay bullish as long as 1.3378 support holds. Above 1.3778 will resume the rally from 1.3091 and target 100% projection of 1.3091 to 1.3693 from 1.3378 at 1.3980.

In the bigger picture, current development revives the case that corrective pattern from 1.3976 (2022 high) has completed with three waves down to 1.3091. Decisive break of 1.3976 high will confirm resumption of up trend from 1.2005 (2021 low). Next target will be 61.8% projection of 1.2401 to 1.3976 from 1.3091 at 1.4064. This will now remain the favored case as long as 1.3378 support holds.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.3495; (P) 1.3527; (R1) 1.3576; More…

USD/CAD’s rally from 1.3716 resumed by breaking through 1.3613 resistance and intraday bias is back on the upside. Current rise should target channel resistance at 1.3664 first. Sustained break there would prompt upside acceleration towards 1.3897 resistance next. For now, near term outlook will stay bullish as long as 1.3477 support holds, in case of retreat.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 1.3976 (2022 high) are viewed as a corrective pattern only. In case of another fall, strong support should emerge above 1.2947 resistance turned support to bring rebound. Overall, larger up trend from 1.2005 (2021 low) is still expected to resume through 1.3976 at a later stage.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.3195; (P) 1.3225; (R1) 1.3260; More…

Intraday bias in USD/CAD is turned neutral with a temporary low formed at 1.3176. Another decline is expected as long as 1.3330 minor resistance holds. Below 1.3176 will target 1.3080 key support level. Decisive break there will confirm completion of whole corrective rise from 1.2460 and turn outlook bearish. However, above 1.3330 minor resistance will turn focus back on 1.3588/98 resistance zone instead.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 1.4689 medium term top are seen as a correction pattern. The first leg has completed at 1.2460. The second leg is possibly finished at 1.3598 too after hitting 50% retracement of 1.4689 to 1.2460 at 1.3575. Break of 1.3080 would likely resume the fall from 1.4689 through 1.2460 to 50% retracement of 0.9406 to 1.4689 at 1.2048. We’d start to look for reversal signal below 1.2460 to complete the correction. In case of another rise, we’ll look for topping sign at 61.8% retracement of 1.4689 to 1.2460 at 1.3838.

Subscribe to our daily and mid-day newsletter to get this report delivered to your mail box