Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.3881; (P) 1.3920; (R1) 1.3989; More….

USD/CAD recovers strongly after dipping to 1.3850 but stays below 1.4265 resistance. Intraday bias remains neutral first. Corrective fall from 1.4667 could still extend lower. But downside should be contained by 61.8% retracement of 1.3202 to 1.4667 at 1.3762 to bring rebound. Meanwhile, break of 1.4265 will indicate completion of the correction. Intraday bias will be turned back to the upside for retesting 1.4667.

In the bigger picture, rise from 1.2061 is likely resuming whole up trend from 0.9056 (2007 low). Decisive break of 1.4689 will confirm this bullish case. Next medium term target is 161.8% projection of 1.2061 to 1.3664 from 1.2951 at 1.5545. Rejection by 1.4689 will bring some consolidations first. But outlook will remain bullish as long as 1.3664 resistance turned support holds, even in case of deep pull back.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.3521; (P) 1.3543; (R1) 1.3573; More….

USD/CAD’s rally resumed after brief consolidations and intraday bias is back on the upside for 1.3653 resistance first. Decisive break there will confirm that correction from 1.3976 has completed, a target a test on this high. On the downside, break of 1.3495 support is needed to indicate short term topping. Otherwise, outlook will remain cautiously bullish in case of retreat.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 1.3976 are viewed as a corrective fall only. Upon completion, rise from 1.2005 (2021 low) would resume through 1.3976. Next target is 61.8% projection of 1.2005 to 1.3976 from 1.3091 at 1.4309. In case of another fall, downside should be contained by 61.8% retracement of 1.2005 to 1.3976 at 1.2758.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.3364; (P) 1.3407; (R1) 1.3435; More….

Intraday bias in USD/CAD remains neutral first. Rebound from 1.3330 short term top is still in favor to continue. On the upside, break of 1.3459 will turn bias back to the upside for 1.3715 resistance. Break will target 38.2% retracement of 1.4667 to 1.3315 at 1.3831. On the downside, firm break of 1.3315 will resume the fall from 1.4667 instead.

In the bigger picture, the rise from 1.2061 (2017 low) could have completed at 1.4667 after failing 1.4689 (2016 high). Fall from 1.4667 could be the third leg of the corrective pattern from 1.4689. Deeper fall is expected to 61.8% retracement of 1.2061 to 1.4667 at 1.3056 and possibly below. This will now remain the favored case as long as 1.3855 support turned resistance holds. However, sustained break of 1.3855 will turn focus back to 1.4689 key resistance.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.2597; (P) 1.2646; (R1) 1.2716; More….

Intraday bias in USD/CAD remains neutral first. Break of 1.2742 will resume the rebound from 1.2466. But still, outlook will remain bearish as long as 1.2880 resistance holds. Below 1.2574 will turn bias to the downside and bring retest of 1.2466 low first. However, sustained break of 1.2880 will argue that fall from 1.3389 has completed and bring stronger rise to 1.2994 support turned resistance.

In the bigger picture, fall from 1.4667 is seen as the third leg of the corrective pattern from 1.4689 (2016 high). Further decline should be seen back to 1.2061 (2017 low). In any case, break of 1.2994 support turned resistance resistance is needed to indicate medium term bottoming. Otherwise, outlook will remain bearish in case of strong rebound.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.3286; (P) 1.3313; (R1) 1.3339; More….

USD/CAD is staying in consolidation from 1.3345 and intraday bias remains neutral first. With 1.3177 minor support intact, further rise is still expected. On the upside, break of 1.3345 will extend the rebound from 1.3016 to 1.3564/3664 resistance zone. On the downside, however, break of 1.3177 support will turn bias back to the downside for retesting 1.3016 low instead.

In the bigger picture, focus stays on 1.3068 cluster support (38.2% retracement of 1.2061 to 1.3664 at 1.3052). Decisive break there will confirm completion of up trend from 1.2061 (2017 low). Further fall should be seen to 61.8% retracement at 1.2673 next. Strong rebound from there will retain medium term bullish. But sustained break of 61.8% retracement of 1.4689 (2016 high) to 1.2061 at 1.3685, is needed to confirm resumption of up trend from 1.2061 (2017 low). Otherwise, risk will stay on the downside.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.3140; (P) 1.3174; (R1) 1.3209; More…

Intraday bias in USD/CAD remains neutral for the moment. On the upside, break of 1.3242 support will turn bias back to the upside for 1.3340 resistance first. Break will confirm completion of decline from 1.3664. In that case, further rise should be seen back to 1.3664 resistance. On the downside, decisive break of 1.3068 low will firstly resume whole fall from 1.3664. Secondly, it will be a strong sign of medium term bearish reversal.

In the bigger picture, structure of the medium term rise from 1.2061 (2017 low) to 1.3664 is not clearly impulsive. Hence, we’d stay cautious on strong resistance from 61.8% retracement of 1.4689 (2016 high) to 1.2061 at 1.3685 and 1.3793 resistance to limit upside, and bring medium term topping. But in any case, medium term outlook will stay bullish as long as channel support (now at 1.3099) holds. Sustained break of 1.3793 will pave the way to retest 1.4689 (2015 high). Firm break of the channel support should confirm reversal target 1.2061 low again.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.3470; (P) 1.3498; (R1) 1.3515; More…

Intraday bias in USD/CAD remains neutral as consolidation continues below 1.3540 temporary top. Further rally is expected as long as 1.3342 support holds. Above 1.3540 will resume the rise from 1.3176 to 1.3617 cluster resistance (61.8% retracement of 1.3897 to 1.3176 at 1.3622). Decisive break there will pave the way to 1.3897/3976 key resistance zone.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 1.3976 (2022 high) are viewed as a corrective pattern only. In case of another fall, strong support should emerge above 1.2947 resistance turned support to bring rebound. Overall, larger up trend from 1.2005 (2021 low) is still expected to resume through 1.3976 at a later stage.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.3155; (P) 1.3194; (R1) 1.3248; More…

Intraday bias in USD/CAD remains on the upside as rise from 1.2781 is in progress. Sustained trading above 1.3225 will confirm completion of choppy fall from 1.3385. Further rally should then be seen to retest 1.3385 high. On the downside, break of 1.3056 support is needed to indicate short term reversal. Otherwise, outlook will remain bullish in case of retreat.

In the bigger picture, current development revives the case that corrective fall from 1.3385 has completed at 1.2781 already. And whole up trend from 1.2061 (2016 low) is ready to resume. Break of 1.3385 will target 61.8% retracement of 1.4689 (2016 high) to 1.2061 at 1.3685. This will now be the favored case as long as 1.2781 support holds.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.3047; (P) 1.3109; (R1) 1.3149; More…

Intraday bias in USD/CAD is turned neutral with a temporary top in place at 1.3170. On the downside, break of 1.3068 minor support will bring turn bias to the downside for 1.2969 support. Firm break there will indicate completion of whole rebound from 1.2781. In that case, whole fall from 1.3385 might extend through 1.2781 support before completion. On the upside, above 1.3170 will extend the rise from 1.2781 to 1.3225 key near term resistance next.

In the bigger picture, current development revives the case that corrective fall from 1.3385 has completed at 1.2781 already. And whole up trend from 1.2061 (2016 low) is ready to resume. Break of 1.3385 will target 61.8% retracement of 1.4689 (2016 high) to 1.2061 at 1.3685. This will now be the favored case as long as 1.2781 support holds.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.3040; (P) 1.3082; (R1) 1.3118; More….

A temporary top is in place at USD/CAD at 1.3124 and intraday bias is turned neutral first. Some consolidations would be seen. But downside should be contained by 1.2802 support and bring rise resumption. Above 1.3124 will extend recent rally to 161.8% projection of 1.2061 to 1.2916 from 1.2246 at 1.3629 next.

In the bigger picture, we’re favoring the medium term bullish case. That is larger down trend from 1.4689 has completed at 1.2061 as a correction, drawing support from 50% retracement of 0.9406 (2011 low) to 1.4689 (2015 high) at 1.2048. Sustained break of 38.2% retracement of 1.4689 to 1.2061 at 1.3065 will pave the way to 61.8% retracement at 1.3685. This will be the preferred case now as long as 1.2802 support holds.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.3052; (P) 1.3069; (R1) 1.3086; More….

Intraday bias in USD/CAD remains on the downside as fall from 1.3327 is extending. Focus is now on 1.3042 key support. Decisive break there will carry larger bearish implication and target 1.2673 next. On the upside, though, break of 1.3102 support turned resistance will indicate short term bottoming and turn bias back to the upside.

In the bigger picture, 38.2% retracement of 1.2061 to 1.364 at 1.3052 remains intact. Medium term rise from 1.2061 low is in favor to resume sooner or later. Firm break of 61.8% retracement of 1.4689 (2016 high) to 1.2061 at 1.3685 will confirm and target 1.4689 high. However, sustained break of 1.3052 will confirm completion of up trend from 1.2061 (2017 low). Further fall should be seen to 61.8% retracement at 1.2673 next.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.2881; (P) 1.2941; (R1) 1.3023; More….

USD/CAD’s rally is still in progress and intraday bias stays on the upside. Medium term rebound from 1.2061 is now extended to target 1.3065 fibonacci level next. On the downside, below 1.2888 minor support will turn intraday bias neutral first. But outlook will now stay bullish as long as 1.2757 resistance turned support holds.

In the bigger picture, strong break of 1.2919 resistance adds much credence to the bullish case. That is larger down trend from 1.4589 has completed at 1.2061, drawing support from 50% retracement of 0.9406 (2011 low) to 1.4689 (2015 high) at 1.2048. Further rally should be seen back to 38.2% retracement of 1.4689 to 1.2061 at 1.3065 first. Break will target 61.8% retracement at 1.3685. This will be the preferred case now as long as 1.2687 support holds.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.3563; (P) 1.3590; (R1) 1.3632; More….

Intraday bias in USD/CAD remains neutral for the moment. We’d still expect rebound from 1.3315 to extend higher. On the upside, break of 1.3686 temporary top will target 38.2% retracement of 1.4667 to 1.3315 at 1.3831. Though, decisive break of 1.3315 will resume whole decline from 1.4667.

In the bigger picture, the rise from 1.2061 (2017 low) could have completed at 1.4667 after failing 1.4689 (2016 high). Fall from 1.4667 could be the third leg of the corrective pattern from 1.4689. Deeper fall is expected to 61.8% retracement at 1.3056 and possibly below. This will now remain the favored case as long as 1.3855 support turned resistance holds. However, sustained break of 1.3855 will turn focus back to 1.4689 key resistance.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.2271; (P) 1.2337; (R1) 1.2372; More…

Intraday bias in USD/CAD remains neutral as consolidation from 1.2485 is extending. On the upside, above 1.2485 will resume the rise from 1.2005 to 1.2653 resistance. Firm break there should confirm near term bullish reversal and target 38.2% retracement of 1.4667 to 1.2005 at 1.3022 next. However, on the downside, sustained break of 4 hour 55 EMA (now at 1.2278) will bring retest of 1.2005 low instead.

In the bigger picture, fall from 1.4667 is seen as the third leg of the corrective pattern from 1.4689 (2016 high). It might have completed after hitting 1.2061 (2017 low) and 50% retracement of 0.9406 to 1.4689 at 1.2048. Sustained break of 38.2% retracement of 1.4667 to 1.2005 at 1.3022 will pave the way to 61.8% retracement at 1.3650. Overall, medium term outlook remains neutral at worst with 1.2048/61 support zone intact.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.2782; (P) 1.2808; (R1) 1.2845; More….

USD/CAD’s fall resumes after brief consolidation and intraday bias is back on the downside. Current down trend should target 100% projection of 1.3389 to 1.2928 from 1.3172 at 1.2711 next. Break will target 161.8% projection at 1.2426. On the upside, however, break of 1.2833 minor resistance will turn intraday bias neutral again and bring more consolidations.

In the bigger picture, fall from 1.4667 is seen as the third leg of the corrective pattern from 1.4689 (2016 high). Further decline should be seen back to 1.2061 (2017 low). In any case, break of 1.3389 resistance is needed to indicate medium term bottoming. Otherwise, outlook will remain bearish in case of rebound.

Despite some brief recovery, USD/CAD’s decline from 1.3340 extended to as low as 1.3133 last week. Initial bias is back on the downside for 1.3068 key support. Decisive break there will firstly resume whole fall from 1.3664. Secondly, it will be a strong sign of medium term bearish reversal. On the upside, above 1.3242 minor resistance will turn bias back to the upside for 1.3340 resistance instead.

In the bigger picture, structure of the medium term rise from 1.2061 (2017 low) to 1.3664 is not clearly impulsive. Hence, we’d stay cautious on strong resistance from 61.8% retracement of 1.4689 (2016 high) to 1.2061 at 1.3685 and 1.3793 resistance to limit upside, and bring medium term topping. But in any case, medium term outlook will stay bullish as long as channel support (now at 1.3099) holds. Sustained break of 1.3793 will pave the way to retest 1.4689 (2015 high). Firm break of the channel support should confirm reversal target 1.2061 low again.

In the longer term picture, corrective fall from 1.4689 (2015 high) should have completed with three waves down to 1.2061, just ahead of 50% retracement of 0.9406 (2011 low) to 1.4689 (2015 high) at 1.2048. The development keeps long term up trend from 0.9406 and that from 0.9056 (2007 low) intact. For now, there is still prospect of extending the long term up trend through 1.4689.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.3149; (P) 1.3180; (R1) 1.3218; More….

USD/CAD’s strong break of 1.3259 resistance suggests that choppy fall from 1.3418 has completed at 1.3081. More importantly, corrective rebound from 1.2994 is still in progress, and starting the third leg. Intraday bias is back on the upside for retesting 1.3418 resistance first. Break will confirm this case and target 100% projection of 1.2994 to 1.3418 from 1.3081 at 1.3505. On the downside, break of 1.3179 minor support will mix up the near term outlook again, and turn intraday bias neutral first.

In the bigger picture, fall from 1.4667 is seen as the third leg of the corrective pattern from 1.4689 (2016 high). Sustained break of 61.8% retracement of 1.2061 to 1.4667 at 1.3056 will target a test on 1.2061 (2017 low). But we’d expect loss of downside momentum as it approaches this key support. On the upside, firm break of 1.3715 resistance will argue that this falling leg has completed and turn focus back to 1.4667/89 resistance zone.

USD/CAD’s fall from 1.3664 accelerate through 55 day EMA last week and reached as low as 1.3180. A temporary low is in place and initial bias is neutral this week work. But further decline is expected as long as 1.3323 minor resistance holds. Break of 1.3180 will target 61.8% retracement of 1.2781 to 1.3664 at 1.3118. We’ll start look for bottoming sign below there. On the upside, above 1.3323 will suggest short term bottoming and turn bias back to the upside for stronger rebound.

In the bigger picture, the medium term rise from 1.2061 (2017 low) might continue further. But the structure of such rise is not clearly impulsive so far. Hence, we’d stay cautious on strong resistance from 61.8% retracement of 1.4689 (2016 high) to 1.2061 at 1.3685 and 1.3793 resistance to limit upside, and bring medium term topping. But in any case, medium term outlook will stay bullish as long as channel support (now at 1.3016) holds. Sustained break of 1.3793 will pave the way to retest 1.4689 (2015 high).

In the longer term picture, corrective fall from 1.4689 (2015 high) should have completed with three waves down to 1.2061, just ahead of 50% retracement of 0.9406 (2011 low) to 1.4689 (2015 high) at 1.2048. The development keeps long term up trend from 0.9406 and that from 0.9056 (2007 low) intact. For now, there is prospect of extending the long term up trend to 61.8% projection of 0.9406 to 1.4689 from 1.2061 at 1.5326 in medium to long term.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.4058; (P) 1.4102; (R1) 1.4188; More….

USD/CAD’s break of 1.4182 solidifies the case that correction from 1.4667 has completed at 1.3855. Intraday bias is back on the upside for 1.4349 resistance first. Break will target 1.4667/4689 key resistance zone. On the downside, break of 1.4005 minor support will extend the correction with another fall. but downside should be contained by 61.8% retracement of 1.3202 to 1.4667 at 1.3762 to bring rebound.

In the bigger picture, rise from 1.2061 is likely resuming whole up trend from 0.9056 (2007 low). Decisive break of 1.4689 will confirm this bullish case. Next medium term target is 161.8% projection of 1.2061 to 1.3664 from 1.2951 at 1.5545. Rejection by 1.4689 will bring some consolidations first. But outlook will remain bullish as long as 1.3664 resistance turned support holds, even in case of deep pull back.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.2673; (P) 1.2718; (R1) 1.2806; More….

USD/CAD’s rally continues to as high as 1.2839 so far. Firm break of 1.2814 support turned resistance invalidates our bearish view. Pull back from 1.3124 should be completed at 1.2526 already. And rise from 1.2061 low is not completed. Intraday bias stays on the upside for 1.3124 resistance next. On the downside, below 1.2749 minor support will turn intraday bias neutral first.

In the bigger picture, current development suggests that rebound from 1.2061 has not completed yet. Focus is back on 38.2% retracement of 1.4689 to 1.2061 at 1.3065. Sustained trading above there will confirm medium term bullish reversal. That is, down trend from 1.4689 has completed at 1.2061 already. In that case, next target will be 61.8% retracement at 1.3685.