USD/CAD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.3111; (P) 1.3191; (R1) 1.3241; More….

USD/CAD is staying in range above 1.3102 and intraday bias remains neutral first. On the upside, considering bullish convergence condition in 4 hour MACD, break of 1.3185 resistance will indicate short term bottoming. Fall from 1.3327 could have completed in this case. Intraday bias will be turned back to the upside for 1.3327 resistance. On the downside, break of 1.3102 will target 1.3042 key support next.

In the bigger picture, 38.2% retracement of 1.2061 to 1.364 at 1.3052 remains intact. Medium term rise from 1.2061 low is in favor to resume sooner or later. Firm break of 61.8% retracement of 1.4689 (2016 high) to 1.2061 at 1.3685 will confirm and target 1.4689 high. However, sustained break of 1.3052 will confirm completion of up trend from 1.2061 (2017 low). Further fall should be seen to 61.8% retracement at 1.2673 next.

USD/CAD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.2271; (P) 1.2331; (R1) 1.2371; More

Intraday bias in USD/CAD remains neutral for consolidation above 1.2281 temporary low. Near term outlook will remain bearish as long as 1.2490 resistance holds. Below 1.2281 will extend the decline from 1.2919 and target a test on 1.2061 low. However, considering bullish convergence condition in 4 hour MACD, break of 1.2490 will indicate short term bottoming and bring stronger rebound.

In the bigger picture, rebound from 1.2061 is likely completed completed at 1.2919, rejected by 55 week EMA and kept below 38.2% retracement of 1.4689 to 1.2061 at 1.3065. The development also suggests that long term fall from 1.4689 is not completed yet. Decisive break of 1.2061 low will target 61.8% retracement of 0.9406 to 1.4689 at 1.1424. This will now be the favored case as long as 1.2919 resistance holds.

USD/CAD 4 Hours Chart

USD/CAD Daily Chart

USD/CAD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.2634; (P) 1.2655; (R1) 1.2670; More

USD/CAD is staying in consolidation from 1.2743 and intraday bias remains neutral first. Further rise is expected as long as 1.2491 support holds. Above 1.2743 will resume the rise from 1.2286 to retest 1.2894/2947 resistance zone. However, break of 1.2491 will indicate that such rise has completed, and turn bias back to the downside for 1.2286 support.

In the bigger picture, medium term outlook is neutral for now. The pair drew support from 1.2061 cluster and rebounded. Yet, upside was limited below 38.2% retracement of 1.4667 to 1.2005 at 1.3022. On the upside, firm break of 1.3022 should affirm the case of medium term bullish reversal. However, break of 1.2286 will turn focus back to 1.2005 low again.

USD/CAD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.2571; (P) 1.2607; (R1) 1.2627; More

Intraday bias in USD/CAD remains mildly on the downside, as fall from 1.2947 would target 1.2421 support. Firm break there will suggest rejection by 1.3022 fibonacci level. Rise from 1.2005 could have completed in this case and deeper fall would be seen to retest this low. On the other hand, break of 1.2711 minor resistance will revive near term bullishness, and turn bias back to the upside for retesting 1.2947 high instead.

In the bigger picture, fall from 1.4667 is seen as the third leg of the corrective pattern from 1.4689 (2016 high). It should have completed after hitting 1.2061 (2017 low) and 50% retracement of 0.9406 to 1.4689 at 1.2048. Sustained break of 38.2% retracement of 1.4667 to 1.2005 at 1.3022 will pave the way to 61.8% retracement at 1.3650 and above. Overall, medium term outlook remains neutral at worst with 1.2048/61 support zone intact.

USD/CAD Weekly Outlook

USD/CAD’s break of 1.3494 support last week completes a head and should top pattern (1.3832; h: 1.3976; rs: 1.3807). Initial bias is now on the downside this week for deeper correction, to 1.3207 cluster support (61.8% retracement of 1.2726 to 1.3976 at 1.3204. Strong support should be seen there to bring rebound. But for now, risk will stay on the downside as long as 1.3807 resistance holds, in case of recovery.

In the bigger picture, up trend from 1.2005 (2021 low) is still in progress. Based on current impulsive momentum, it could be resuming long term up trend from 0.9056 (2007 low). Whether it is or it isn’t, retest of 1.4689 (2016 high) should be seen next. This will now remain the favored case as long as 1.3222 resistance turned support holds.

In the longer term picture, price actions from 1.4689 (2016 high) are seen as a consolidation pattern only, which might have completed at 1.2005. That is, up trend from 0.9506 (2007 low) is expected to resume at a later stage. This will remain the favored case as long as 1.2061 support holds, which is close to 50% retracement of 0.9406 to 1.4689 at 1.2048.

USD/CAD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.3548; (P) 1.3576; (R1) 1.3603; More

No change in USD/CAD’s outlook and intraday bias stays neutral. On the downside, below 1.3547 minor support will argue that recovery from 1.3479 has completed. Intraday bias will be turned back to the downside for 1.3479 and below, to resume the decline from 1.3897. But downside should be contained by 1.3378 support, which is close to 61.8% retracement of 1.3091 to 1.3897 at 1.3399, to bring rebound. On the upside, break of 1.3625 resistance will indicate short term bottoming, and turn bias to the upside for stronger rise.

In the bigger picture, rise from 1.3091 is seen as the fifth leg of the whole rise from 1.2005 (2021 low). Further rally is expected as long as 1.3378 support holds, to 61.8% projection of 1.2401 to 1.3976 from 1.3091 at 1.4064. However, decisive break of 1.3378 will dampen this view and bring deeper fall back to 1.3091 instead.

USD/CAD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.2311; (P) 1.2348; (R1) 1.2406; More

Intraday bias in USD/CAD is turned neutral with current recovery. Some consolidations would be seen but upside should be limited by 1.2497 resistance to bring another fall. Break of 1.22896 will extend larger decline from 1.2947 to 161.8% projection of 1.2947 to 1.2492 from 1.2894 at 1.2158 next.

In the bigger picture, the rejection by 38.2% retracement of 1.4667 to 1.2005 at 1.3022 argues that rebound from 1.2005 is merely a corrective rise, which is complete. More importantly, the down trend from 1.4667 (2020 high). is not over yet. Sustained break of 1.2005 will extend the down trend to next long term fibonacci level at 61.8% retracement of 0.9406 to 1.4689 at 1.1424. In any case, outlook will not turn bullish as long as 1.2947 resistance holds.

USD/CAD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.3435; (P) 1.3459; (R1) 1.3503; More

Intraday bias in USD/CAD stays neutral as consolidation from 1.3540 is still extending. But further rally is expected as long as 1.3342 minor support holds. Fall from 1.3897 should have completed at 1.3716. Break of 1.3540w ill target 1.3617 cluster resistance (61.8% retracement of 1.3897 to 1.3176 at 1.3622). Decisive break there will pave the way to 1.3897/3976 key resistance zone.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 1.3976 (2022 high) are viewed as a corrective pattern only. In case of another fall, strong support should emerge above 1.2947 resistance turned support to bring rebound. Overall, larger up trend from 1.2005 (2021 low) is still expected to resume through 1.3976 at a later stage.

USD/CAD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.3351; (P) 1.3386; (R1) 1.3428; More….

USD/CAD is staying in consolidation above 1.3299 and intraday bias remains neutral. Overall, fall from 1.3860 is seen as the third leg of the corrective pattern from 1.3976. In case of another decline, down side should be contained by 1.3224/61 support zone to bring rebound. Break of 1.3552 should turn bias back to the upside for stronger rally.

In the bigger picture, the up trend from 1.2005 (2021 low) is still in progress. Break of 1.3976 will confirm resumption and target 61.8% projection of 1.2401 to 1.3976 from 1.3261 at 1.4234. Firm break there will pave the way to long term resistance zone at 1.4667/89 (2016, 2020 highs). On the downside, sustained break of 55 W EMA (now at 1.3282) is needed to confirm medium term topping. Otherwise, outlook will remain bullish even in case of deep pull back.

USD/CAD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.3681; (P) 1.3696; (R1) 1.3717; More

Current strong rebound suggests that USD/CAD’s fall from 1.3790 has finished at 1.3626. Intraday bias is back on the upside for 1.3790 resistance. Firm break there should indicate that consolidation from 1.3845 has completed with three waves to 1.3626. Retest of 1.3845 high should be seen next. On the downside, below 1.3675 minor support will turn intraday bias neutral again first.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 1.3976 (2022 high) are viewed as a corrective pattern. In case of another fall, strong support should emerge above 1.2947 resistance turned support to bring rebound. Firm break of 1.3976 will confirm up resumption of whole up trend from 1.2005 (2021 low). Next target is 61.8% projection of 1.2401 to 1.3976 from 1.3176 at 1.4149.

USD/CAD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.3534; (P) 1.3600; (R1) 1.3672; More….

USD/CAD’s rally from 1.3261 is in progress and intraday bias stays on the upside for 1.3684 resistance. As noted before, corrective pattern from 1.3976 should have completed at 1.3261. Firm break of 1.3684 will bring retest of 1.3976 high. In case of retreat, further rally will remain in favor as long as 1.3515 support holds.

In the bigger picture, outlook stays bullish with 1.3222 cluster support (38.2% retracement of 1.2005 to 1.3976 at 1.3223) intact. Break of 1.3976 resistance will resume larger up trend from 1.2005 (2021 low) to 61.8% projection of 1.2401 to 1.3976 from 1.3261 at 1.4234.

USD/CAD Weekly Outlook

USD/CAD recover ahead of 1.3207 cluster support (61.8% retracement of 1.2726 to 1.3976 at 1.3204) last week. But upside is limited well below 1.3494 support turned resistance. Initial bias remains neutral this week first. On the upside, firm break of 1.3494 will indicate that correction from 1.3976 has completed at 1.3224. Intraday bias will be turned back to the upside for 1.3807/3976 resistance zone. However, on the downside, sustained break of 1.3204/7 will carry larger bearish implication and target 1.2952 support next.

In the bigger picture, as long as 1.3222 cluster support (38.2% retracement of 1.2005 to 1.3976 at 1.3223) holds, larger up trend from 1.2005 (2021 low) is still expected to resume through 1.3976 high at a later stage. . However, firm break of 1.3222/3 will indicate that the trend might have reversed. Deeper fall would be seen to next cluster support at 1.2726 (61.8% retracement at 1.2758).

In the longer term picture, price actions from 1.4689 (2016 high) are seen as a consolidation pattern only, which might have completed at 1.2005. That is, up trend from 0.9506 (2007 low) is expected to resume at a later stage. This will remain the favored case as long as 1.2061 support holds, which is close to 50% retracement of 0.9406 to 1.4689 at 1.2048.

USD/CAD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.3084; (P) 1.3117; (R1) 1.3177; More….

USD/CAD’s rebound from 1.2928 extended higher today and the break of 1.3097 resistance suggest short term bottoming. Strong rebound would be seen to 55 day EMA (now at 1.3207). But overall outlook remains bearish as long as 1.3389 resistance holds. On the downside, break of 1.2928 will resume larger down trend from 1.4667.

In the bigger picture, fall from 1.4667 is seen as the third leg of the corrective pattern from 1.4689 (2016 high). Rejection by 55 week EMA is keeping outlook bearish. Sustained break of 61.8% retracement of 1.2061 to 1.4667 at 1.3056 will target a test on 1.2061 (2017 low). But we’d expect loss of downside momentum as it approaches this key support. On the upside, firm break of 1.3389 resistance is needed to indicate medium term bottoming. Otherwise, outlook will remain bearish in case of rebound.

USD/CAD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.3322; (P) 1.3366; (R1) 1.3430; More….

Intraday bias in USD/CAD remains neutral for the moment. On the upside, firm break of 1.3494 will indicate that correction from 1.3976 has completed at 1.3224, ahead of 1.3207 cluster support (61.8% retracement of 1.2726 to 1.3976 at 1.3204). Intraday bias will be turned back to the upside for 1.3807/3976 resistance zone. However, on the downside, sustained break of 1.3204/7 will carry larger bearish implication and target 1.2952 support next.

In the bigger picture, as long as 1.3222 cluster support (38.2% retracement of 1.2005 to 1.3976 at 1.3223) holds, larger up trend from 1.2005 (2021 low) is still expected to resume through 1.3976 high at a later stage. . However, firm break of 1.3222/3 will indicate that the trend might have reversed. Deeper fall would be seen to next cluster support at 1.2726 (61.8% retracement at 1.2758).

USD/CAD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.3544; (P) 1.3590; (R1) 1.3653; More….

Intraday bias in USD/CAD remains neutral and further rise is still expected with 1.3501 support intact. On the upside, firm break of 1.3976 will target 200% projection of 1.2005 to 1.2947 from 1.2401 at 1.4285. However, firm break of 1.3501 will bring deeper correction to 55 day EMA (now at 1.3439) and possibly below.

In the bigger picture, up trend from 1.2005 (2021 low) is still in progress. Based on current impulsive momentum, it could be resuming long term up trend from 0.9056 (2007 low). Whether it is or it isn’t, retest of 1.4689 (2016 high) should be seen next. This will now remain the favored case as long as 1.3222 resistance turned support holds.

USD/CAD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.3322; (P) 1.3344; (R1) 1.3371; More

Intraday bias in USD/CAD remains on the upside at this point. Rebound from 1.3176 short term bottom is in progress for 38.2% retracement of 1.3897 to 1.3176 at 1.3451. Firm break there will pave the way to 61.8% retracement at 1.3622. On the downside, however, break of 1.3299 minor support will turn bias back to the downside for retesting 1.3176 low instead.

In the bigger picture, outlook is mixed up by deeper then expected fall from 1.3897. But after all, price actions from 1.3976 (2022 high) are viewed as a corrective pattern that’s in progress. Larger up trend from 1.2005 (2021 low) is still expected to resume at a later stage as long as 1.2947 resistance turned support holds.

USD/CAD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.2651; (P) 1.2691; (R1) 1.2717; More….

Intraday bias in USD/CAD remains neutral and outlook is unchanged. Further fall is in favor with 1.2762 minor resistance intact. On the downside, firm break of 1.2588 will resume larger down from 1.4667, to 61.8% projection of 1.3389 to 1.2588 from 1.2880 at 1.2385. On the upside, though, break of 1.2762 will extend the consolidation pattern from 1.2588 with another rise, towards 1.2880 resistance.

In the bigger picture, fall from 1.4667 is seen as the third leg of the corrective pattern from 1.4689 (2016 high). Further decline should be seen back to 1.2061 (2017 low). In any case, break of 1.3389 resistance is needed to indicate medium term bottoming. Otherwise, outlook will remain bearish in case of rebound.

USD/CAD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.3527; (P) 1.3680; (R1) 1.3757; More

Intraday bias in USD/CAD is turned neutral with current retreat, and some consolidations would be seen below 1.3831 temporary top. Downside of retreat should be contained above 1.3222 support turned resistance to bring another rally. Break of 1.3831 will resume recent up trend to 161.8% projection of 1.2005 to 1.2947 from 1.2401 at 1.3925. Firm break there will target 200% projection at 1.4285.

In the bigger picture, up trend from 1.2005 (2021 low) is still in progress. Based on current impulsive momentum, it could be resuming long term up trend from 0.9056 (2007 low). Whether it is or it isn’t, retest of 1.4689 (2016 high) should be seen next. This will now remain the favored case as long as 1.3222 resistance turned support holds.

USD/CAD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.3122; (P) 1.3148; (R1) 1.3168; More

USD/CAD is staying in consolidation from 1.3207 temporary top and intraday bias remains neutral. Further rise is expected with 1.2971 support intact. On the upside, decisive break of 1.3222 will resume larger up trend from 1.2005. Next target is 100% projection of 1.2005 to 1.2947 from 1.2401 at 1.3343.

In the bigger picture, down trend from 1.4667 (2020 high) should have completed at 1.2005, after defending 1.2061 long term cluster support. Rise from there should target 61.8% retracement of 1.4667 to 1.2005 (2021 low) at 1.3650. This will remain the favored case now as long as 1.2516 support holds.

USD/CAD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.3607; (P) 1.3682; (R1) 1.3759; More

Intraday bias in USD/CAD stays neutral for consolidation below 1.3831 temporary top Downside of retreat should be contained well above 1.3222 support turned resistance to bring another rally. Break of 1.3831 will resume recent up trend to 161.8% projection of 1.2005 to 1.2947 from 1.2401 at 1.3925. Firm break there will target 200% projection at 1.4285.

In the bigger picture, up trend from 1.2005 (2021 low) is still in progress. Based on current impulsive momentum, it could be resuming long term up trend from 0.9056 (2007 low). Whether it is or it isn’t, retest of 1.4689 (2016 high) should be seen next. This will now remain the favored case as long as 1.3222 resistance turned support holds.