Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.2621; (P) 1.2676; (R1) 1.2711; More…

USD/CAD’s break of 1.2635 minor support suggests that rebound from 1.2492 has completed. Fall from 1.2891 is seen as the third leg of the pattern from 1.2947. Intraday bias is back on the downside for 1.2492 support and possibly below. On the upside, above 1.2729 minor resistance will turn bias back to the upside for 1.2891/2947 resistance zone instead. Overall, with 1.2421 support intact, rise from 1.2005 should still be in progress for another rally through 1.2947 at a later stage.

In the bigger picture, fall from 1.4667 is seen as the third leg of the corrective pattern from 1.4689 (2016 high). It should have completed after hitting 1.2061 (2017 low) and 50% retracement of 0.9406 to 1.4689 at 1.2048. Sustained break of 38.2% retracement of 1.4667 to 1.2005 at 1.3022 will pave the way to 61.8% retracement at 1.3650 and above. Overall, medium term outlook remains neutral at worst with 1.2048/61 support zone intact.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.3051; (P) 1.3065; (R1) 1.3086; More….

Intraday bias in USD/CAD remains neutral as range trading continues. On the upside, firm break of 1.3104 resistance will confirm short term bottoming at 1.2951. Further rise should then be seen to 55 day EMA (now at 1.3126). Sustained trading above there will target 1.3327 resistance. On the downside, below 1.3029 minor support will turn bias to the downside for 1.2951 low. Break there will resume larger decline to 100% projection of 1.3564 to 1.3016 from 1.3327 at 1.2779 next.

In the bigger picture, rise from 1.2061 (2017 low) could have completed at 1.3664, after failing 61.8% retracement of 1.4689 (2016 high) to 1.2061 at 1.3685. However, structure of price actions from 1.3664 argues that it’s probably just a corrective move. Hence, while further fall is expected, downside should be contained by 61.8% retracement of 1.2061 to 1.364 at 1.2673. Nevertheless, sustained break of 1.2673 will put focus on 1.2061 low.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.2860; (P) 1.2880; (R1) 1.2916; More…

Intraday bias in USD/CAD remains neutral for the moment. On the downside, below 1.2818 will extend the fall from 1.3077 to 55 day EMA (now at 1.2800). Sustained break there will target 1.2516 support next. On the upside, break of 1.3077 and sustained trading above 1.3022 fibonacci level will carry larger bullish implications, and bring up trend resumption.

In the bigger picture, focus stays on 38.2% retracement of 1.4667 (2020 high) to 1.2005 (2021 low) at 1.3022. Sustained break there should confirm that the down trend from 1.4667 has completed after defending 1.2061 long term cluster support. Further rise would then be seen towards 61.8% retracement at 1.3650. However, rejection by 1.3022 will maintain medium term bearishness.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.3775; (P) 1.3803; (R1) 1.3845; More…

USD/CAD’s rally re-accelerates again and met 161.8% projection of 1.2005 to 1.2947 from 1.2401 at 1.3925. Initial bias stays on the upside. Sustained trading above 1.3925 will pave the way to 200% projection at 1.4285. On the downside, below 1.3776 minor support will turn intraday bias neutral first. But outlook will remain bullish as long as 1.3501 support holds.

In the bigger picture, up trend from 1.2005 (2021 low) is still in progress. Based on current impulsive momentum, it could be resuming long term up trend from 0.9056 (2007 low). Whether it is or it isn’t, retest of 1.4689 (2016 high) should be seen next. This will now remain the favored case as long as 1.3222 resistance turned support holds.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.2498; (P) 1.2558; (R1) 1.2593; More…

Intraday bias in USD/CAD stays on the downside a this point. Fall from 1.3075 should target 1.2401 support first. Decisive break of 1.2401 support will argue that whole rebound from 1.2005 has completed, after rejection by 1.3022 fibonacci resistance. Deeper fall would then be seen to retest this low. On the upside, above 1.2685 minor resistance will turn bias back to the upside for stronger recovery.

In the bigger picture, focus stays on 38.2% retracement of 1.4667 (2020 high) to 1.2005 (2021 low) at 1.3022. Sustained break there should confirm that the down trend from 1.4667 has completed after defending 1.2061 long term cluster support. Further rise would then be seen towards 61.8% retracement at 1.3650. However, rejection by 1.3022 will maintain medium term bearishness. Break of 1.2005 will resume the down trend from 1.4667 and that carries larger bearish implications too.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.3336; (P) 1.3365; (R1) 1.3410; More….

Immediate focus stays on 1.3386 resistance in USD/CAD. Sustained break of 1.3386 will argue that whole correction from 1.3976 has completed with three waves down to 1.3091. Further rally would then be seen to 1.3653 resistance next. Nevertheless, rejection by 1.3386, followed by break of 1.3260 minor support, should resume larger decline through 1.3091 low.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 1.3976 are viewed as a corrective fall only. Upon completion, rise from 1.2005 (2021 low) would resume through 1.3976 towards 1.4667/89 long term resistance zone. In case of another fall, downside should be contained by 61.8% retracement of 1.2005 to 1.3976 at 1.2758.

USD/CAD’s rally resumed last week and reached as high as 1.3860. But a temporary top was formed with subsequent retreat. Initial bias is neutral this week for consolidations first. Downside of retreat should be contained by 1.3664 resistance turned support to bring another rally. Break of 1.3860 will target 1.3976 high.

In the bigger picture, the up trend from 1.2005 (2021 low) is still in progress. Break of 1.3976 will confirm resumption and target 61.8% projection of 1.2401 to 1.3976 from 1.3261 at 1.4234. Firm break there will pave the way to long term resistance zone at 1.4667/89 (2016, 2020 highs). On the downside, break of 1.3261 support is needed to confirm medium term topping. Otherwise, outlook will remain bullish even in case of deep pull back.

In the longer term picture, price actions from 1.4689 (2016 high) are seen as a consolidation pattern only, which might have completed at 1.2005. That is, up trend from 0.9506 (2007 low) is expected to resume at a later stage. This will remain the favored case as 55 month EMA (now at 1.3003) holds.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.2594; (P) 1.2619; (R1) 1.2636; More…

USD/CAD recovered quickly after dipping to 1.2519 and intraday bias is turned neutral again. On the upside, break of 1.2675 will flip bias back to the upside for 1.2899 resistance instead. On the downside, below 1.2519 will bring retest of 1.2401 support.

In the bigger picture, focus stays on 38.2% retracement of 1.4667 (2020 high) to 1.2005 (2021 low) at 1.3022. Sustained break there should confirm that the down trend from 1.4667 has completed after defending 1.2061 long term cluster support. Further rise would then be seen towards 61.8% retracement at 1.3650. However, rejection by 1.3022 will maintain medium term bearishness. Break of 1.2005 will resume the down trend from 1.4667 and that carries larger bearish implications too.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.2747; (P) 1.2811; (R1) 1.2848; More….

Intraday bias in USD/CAD remains on the downside for the moment. Current down trend should target 100% projection of 1.3389 to 1.2928 from 1.3172 at 1.2711 next. Break will target 161.8% projection at 1.2426. On the upside, above 1.2868 minor resistance will turn intraday bias neutral and bring consolidations first, before staging another fall.

In the bigger picture, fall from 1.4667 is seen as the third leg of the corrective pattern from 1.4689 (2016 high). Further decline should be seen back to 1.2061 (2017 low). In any case, break of 1.3389 resistance is needed to indicate medium term bottoming. Otherwise, outlook will remain bearish in case of rebound.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.2788; (P) 1.2810; (R1) 1.2838; More…

Intraday bias in USD/CAD stays neutral at this point. As long as 1.2762 support holds, further rally is expected. On the upside, above 1.2846 minor resistance will bring retest of 1.2963 resistance first. Break there will resume the rise from 1.2005 to 1.3022 key medium term fibonacci level. Sustained break of 1.3022 will carry larger bullish implications. Next target will be 100% projection of 1.2005 to 1.2947 from 1.2286 at 1.3228. However, break of 1.2762 will turn bias back to the downside for 1.2604 support instead.

In the bigger picture, focus will be on 38.2% retracement of 1.4667 (2020 high) to 1.2005 (2021 low) at 1.3022. Sustained break there should confirm that the down trend from 1.4667 has completed after defending 1.2061 long term cluster support. Further rise would then be seen towards 61.8% retracement at 1.3650. On the downside, however, break of 1.2286 will turn focus back to 1.2005 low again.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.2633; (P) 1.2694; (R1) 1.2731; More…

USD/CAD recovers mildly but stays in range of 1.2648/2795. Intraday bias remains neutral for the moment. With 1.2648 minor support intact, further rise is mildly in favor. On the upside, break of 1.2795 will resume the rally from 1.2448 to 1.2963 resistance next. However, break of 1.2648 will turn bias back to the downside for 1.2448 support instead.

In the bigger picture, focus stays on 38.2% retracement of 1.4667 (2020 high) to 1.2005 (2021 low) at 1.3022. Sustained break there should confirm that the down trend from 1.4667 has completed after defending 1.2061 long term cluster support. Further rise would then be seen towards 61.8% retracement at 1.3650. However, rejection by 1.3022 will maintain medium term bearishness. Break of 1.2005 will resume the down trend from 1.4667 and that carries larger bearish implications too.

USD/CAD’s down trend extended to as low as 1.2706 last week. But a temporary low was formed after hitting 100% projection of 1.3389 to 1.2928 from 1.3172 at 1.2711. Initial bias is turned neutral for some consolidations first. Upside of recovery should be limited by 1.2928 support turned resistance to bring fall resumption. On the downside, firm break of 1.2706 will target 161.8% projection at 1.2426.

In the bigger picture, fall from 1.4667 is seen as the third leg of the corrective pattern from 1.4689 (2016 high). Further decline should be seen back to 1.2061 (2017 low). In any case, break of 1.3389 resistance is needed to indicate medium term bottoming. Otherwise, outlook will remain bearish in case of rebound.

In the longer term picture, we’re viewing price actions from 1.4689 as a consolidation pattern. Thus, up trend from 0.9506 (2007 low) is still expected to resume at a later stay. This will remain the favored case as long as 1.2061 support holds, which is close to 50% retracement of 0.9406 to 1.4689 at 1.2048.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.3397; (P) 1.3436; (R1) 1.3507; More…

Intraday bias in USD/CAD remains neutral at this point. On the upside, break of 1.3540 will resume the rise from 1.3176. That will also revive that case that whole fall from 1.3897 has completed. Nevertheless, firm break of 1.3342 support will argue that rebound from 1.3176 has completed at 1.3540, and target this low for resuming whole fall from 1.3897.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 1.3976 (2022 high) are viewed as a corrective pattern only. In case of another fall, strong support should emerge above 1.2947 resistance turned support to bring rebound. Overall, larger up trend from 1.2005 (2021 low) is still expected to resume through 1.3976 at a later stage.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.2832; (P) 1.2886; (R1) 1.2921; More….

USD/CAD’s down trend extends to as low as 1.2852 so far. 61.8% projection of 1.3389 to 1.2928 from 1.3172 at 1.2887 is already met but there is no sign of bottoming yet. Intraday bias stays on the downside for 100% projection at 1.2711 next. On the upside, above 1.2941 minor resistance will turn intraday bias neutral and bring consolidations first, before staging another fall.

In the bigger picture, fall from 1.4667 is seen as the third leg of the corrective pattern from 1.4689 (2016 high). Rejection by 55 week EMA is keeping outlook bearish. Such decline should now target 1.2061 (2017 low). In any case, break of 1.3389 resistance is needed to indicate medium term bottoming. Otherwise, outlook will remain bearish in case of rebound.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.3229; (P) 1.3252; (R1) 1.3273; More….

Range trading continues in USD/CAD and intraday bias stays neutral for the moment. Outlook is unchanged that a short term bottom was formed at 1.3115, and further rise is mildly in favor. Break of 1.3284 will resume the rebound from 1.3115 to 55 D EMA (now at 1.3374).

In the bigger picture, price actions from 1.3976 are still viewed as a correction to up trend from 1.2005 (2021 low). Risk will stay on the downside as long as 1.3299 support turned resistance holds. Next target is 61.8% retracement of 1.2005 to 1.3976 at 1.2758. However, sustained trading above 1.3229 will raise the chance that the correction has completed and turn focus back to 1.3653 resistance.

USD/CAD’s up trend resumed last week and rose to as high as 1.3222. But it then retreated sharply since then. Initial bias is neutral this week first. Further rise will remains in favor as long as 1.2935 support holds. Break of 1.3222 will target 100% projection of 1.2005 to 1.2947 from 1.2401 at 1.3343. However, firm break of 1.2935 will dampen this bullish case and turn bias to the downside for 1.2818 support.

In the bigger picture, down trend from 1.4667 (2020 high) should have completed at 1.2005, after defending 1.2061 long term cluster support. Rise from there should target 61.8% retracement of 1.4667 to 1.2005 (2021 low) at 1.3650. This will remain the favored case now as long as 1.2516 support holds.

In the longer term picture, price actions from 1.4689 (2016 high) are seen as a consolidation pattern only. That is, up trend from 0.9506 (2007 low) is still expected to resume at a later stage. This will remain the favored case as long as 1.2061 support holds, which is close to 50% retracement of 0.9406 to 1.4689 at 1.2048. However, firm break of 1.2061 support will argue that USD/CAD has already started a long term down trend. Next target is 61.8% retracement of 0.9406 to 1.4689 at 1.1424.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.2760; (P) 1.2804; (R1) 1.2828; More…

Intraday bias in USD/CAD remains neutral for the moment. As long as 1.2762 support holds, further rally is expected. On the upside, break of 1.2963 will resume the rise from 1.2005 to 1.3022 key medium term fibonacci level. Sustained break of 1.3022 will carry larger bullish implications. Next target will be 100% projection of 1.2005 to 1.2947 from 1.2286 at 1.3228. However, break of 1.2762 will turn bias back to the downside for 1.2604 support instead.

In the bigger picture, focus will be on 38.2% retracement of 1.4667 (2020 high) to 1.2005 (2021 low) at 1.3022. Sustained break there should confirm that the down trend from 1.4667 has completed after defending 1.2061 long term cluster support. Further rise would then be seen towards 61.8% retracement at 1.3650. On the downside, however, break of 1.2286 will turn focus back to 1.2005 low again.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.2691; (P) 1.2721; (R1) 1.2753; More….

USD/CAD is staying in consolidation from 1.2668 temporary low and intraday bias remains neutral. In case of another recovery, upside should be limited by 1.2928 support turned resistance. On the downside, break of 1.2688 will resume recent down trend for 161.8% projection of 1.3389 to 1.2928 from 1.3172 at 1.2426.

In the bigger picture, fall from 1.4667 is seen as the third leg of the corrective pattern from 1.4689 (2016 high). Further decline should be seen back to 1.2061 (2017 low). In any case, break of 1.3389 resistance is needed to indicate medium term bottoming. Otherwise, outlook will remain bearish in case of rebound.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.2482; (P) 1.2515; (R1) 1.2540; More…

Range trading continues in USD/CAD and intraday bias remains neutral for the moment. As long as 1.2605 resistance holds, further decline is expected. On the downside, break of 1.2421 will resume the fall from 1.2805 to 1.2301 cluster support (61.8% retracement of 1.2005 to 1.2805 at 1.2311). On the upside, break of 1.2605 will turn bias back to the upside for retesting 1.2805 high instead.

In the bigger picture, fall from 1.4667 is seen as the third leg of the corrective pattern from 1.4689 (2016 high). It should have completed after hitting 1.2061 (2017 low) and 50% retracement of 0.9406 to 1.4689 at 1.2048. Sustained break of 38.2% retracement of 1.4667 to 1.2005 at 1.3022 will pave the way to 61.8% retracement at 1.3650 and above. Overall, medium term outlook remains neutral at worst with 1.2048/61 support zone intact.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.3683; (P) 1.3746; (R1) 1.3808; More….

Immediate focus is now on 1.3494/3501 support in USD/CAD. Sustained break there will complete a head and shoulder top pattern (ls: 1.3832; h: 1.3976; rs: 1.3807). Outlook will be turned bearish for deeper fall to 1.3207 cluster support (61.8% retracement of 1.2726 to 1.3976 at 1.3204. On the upside, above 1.3807 minor resistance will bring retest of 1.3976 high.

In the bigger picture, up trend from 1.2005 (2021 low) is still in progress. Based on current impulsive momentum, it could be resuming long term up trend from 0.9056 (2007 low). Whether it is or it isn’t, retest of 1.4689 (2016 high) should be seen next. This will now remain the favored case as long as 1.3222 resistance turned support holds.