USD/CAD’s rise from 1.3091 resumed last week and surged to 1.3784, before retreating. Initial bias stays neutral this week first, and more consolidations could be seen below 1.3784. While deeper pull back cannot be ruled out, outlook will stay bullish as long as 1.3378 support holds. Above 1.3778 will resume the rally from 1.3091 and target 100% projection of 1.3091 to 1.3693 from 1.3378 at 1.3980.

In the bigger picture, current development revives the case that corrective pattern from 1.3976 (2022 high) has completed with three waves down to 1.3091. Decisive break of 1.3976 high will confirm resumption of up trend from 1.2005 (2021 low). Next target will be 61.8% projection of 1.2401 to 1.3976 from 1.3091 at 1.4064. This will now remain the favored case as long as 1.3378 support holds.

In the longer term picture, price actions from 1.4689 (2016 high) are seen as a consolidation pattern only, which might have completed at 1.2005. That is, up trend from 0.9506 (2007 low) is expected to resume at a later stage. This will remain the favored case as 55 M EMA (now at 1.3100) holds.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.3353; (P) 1.3428; (R1) 1.3491; More….

Intraday bias in USD/CAD remains on the upside at this point. Current development argues that correction from 1.3976 has completed with three waves down to 1.3091. Further rally would be seen to 1.3653 resistance next. Break there will further confirm this case and target 1.3976 high. On the downside, though, below 1.3318 minor support will mix up the outlook and turn intraday bias neutral again first.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 1.3976 are viewed as a corrective fall only. Upon completion, rise from 1.2005 (2021 low) would resume through 1.3976 towards 1.4667/89 long term resistance zone. In case of another fall, downside should be contained by 61.8% retracement of 1.2005 to 1.3976 at 1.2758.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.3608; (P) 1.3645; (R1) 1.3672; More….

Intraday bias in USD/CAD stays neutral and consolidation from 1.3699 could extend further. The favored case is still that correction from 1.3976 has completed at 1.3224. Above 1.3699 will resume the rebound from there to 1.3807 resistance, and then retesting 1.3976 high. However, break of 1.3383 support will dampen this case and bring retest of 1.3224 low instead.

In the bigger picture, as long as 1.3222 cluster support (38.2% retracement of 1.2005 to 1.3976 at 1.3223) holds, larger up trend from 1.2005 (2021 low) is still expected to resume through 1.3976 high at a later stage. However, firm break of 1.3222/3 will indicate that the trend might have reversed. Deeper fall would be seen to next cluster support at 1.2726 (61.8% retracement at 1.2758).

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.4394; (P) 1.4477; (R1) 1.4617; More….

USD/CAD is staying in consolidation from 1.4667 and intraday bias remains neutral first. Deeper pull back cannot be ruled out. But downside should be contained above 61.8% retracement of 1.3202 to 1.4667 at 1.3762 to bring rebound. On the upside, sustained break of 1.4689 will confirm larger up trend resumption.

In the bigger picture, rise from 1.2061 is likely resuming whole up trend from 0.9056 (2007 low). Decisive break of 1.4689 will confirm this bullish case. Next medium term target is 161.8% projection of 1.2061 to 1.3664 from 1.2951 at 1.5545. Rejection form 1.4689 will bring some consolidations first. But outlook will remain bullish as long as 1.3664 resistance turned support holds, even in case of deep pull back.

USD/CAD surged to as high as 1.3521 last week but formed a temporary top there and retreated. Initial bias remains neutral this week for some consolidations first. Downside of retreat should be contained by 1.3399 minor support to bring another rally. Prior break of 1.3467 resistance indicates resumption of rise from 1.3068. On the upside, break of 1.3521 will extend the rise to retest 1.3664 high.

In the bigger picture, USD/CAD is staying well inside medium term rising channel (support at 1.3235). Thus, the up trend from 1.2061 (2017 low) should be in progress. On the upside, decisive break of 61.8% retracement of 1.4689 (2016 high) to 1.2061 at 1.3685 will pave the way to 78.6% retracement at 1.4127 next. This will remain the favored case as long as 1.3068 support holds.

In the longer term picture, corrective fall from 1.4689 (2015 high) should have completed with three waves down to 1.2061, just ahead of 50% retracement of 0.9406 (2011 low) to 1.4689 (2015 high) at 1.2048. The development keeps long term up trend from 0.9406 and that from 0.9056 (2007 low) intact. For now, there is still prospect of extending the long term up trend through 1.4689.

USD/CAD extend the consolidation from 1.3860 last week. Initial bias remains neutral first. Further rally is expected as long as 1.3629 support holds. Firm break of 1.3860 will target 1.3976 high. However, break of 1.3629 will mix up the near term outlook and bring deeper pullback to 55 day EMA (now at 1.3578).

In the bigger picture, the up trend from 1.2005 (2021 low) is still in progress. Break of 1.3976 will confirm resumption and target 61.8% projection of 1.2401 to 1.3976 from 1.3261 at 1.4234. Firm break there will pave the way to long term resistance zone at 1.4667/89 (2016, 2020 highs). On the downside, break of 1.3261 support is needed to confirm medium term topping. Otherwise, outlook will remain bullish even in case of deep pull back.

In the longer term picture, price actions from 1.4689 (2016 high) are seen as a consolidation pattern only, which might have completed at 1.2005. That is, up trend from 0.9506 (2007 low) is expected to resume at a later stage. This will remain the favored case as 55 month EMA (now at 1.3003) holds.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.3442; (P) 1.3467; (R1) 1.3480; More….

Intraday bias in USD/CAD remains neutral for the moment. Break of 1.3378 will resume the fall from 1.3693, as another leg in the corrective pattern from 1.3976 high, to 61.8% retracement of 1.3091 to 1.3693 at 1.3321. However, firm break of 1.3548 will turn bias back to the upside for retesting 1.3693 instead.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 1.3976 are viewed as a corrective pattern to the up trend from 1.2005 (2021 low). Deeper decline could be seen as the pattern is now extending. But downside should be contained by 50% retracement of 1.2005 to 1.3796 at 1.2991. Rise from 1.2005 is still expected to resume after the correction completes.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.2738; (P) 1.2785; (R1) 1.2810; More….

Intraday bias in USD/CAD remains neutral and some consolidations could be seen. Rebound from 1.2588 short term bottom is in favor to continue as long as 1.2684 minor support holds. Break of 1.2880 will target 1.2994 support turned resistance. However, break of 1.2684 minor support will argue that the rebound has completed and bring retest of 1.2588 low.

In the bigger picture, fall from 1.4667 is seen as the third leg of the corrective pattern from 1.4689 (2016 high). Further decline should be seen back to 1.2061 (2017 low). In any case, break of 1.3389 resistance is needed to indicate medium term bottoming. Otherwise, outlook will remain bearish in case of rebound.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.2783; (P) 1.2804; (R1) 1.2840; More….

Intraday bias in USD/CAD remains neutral for some more consolidations. Upside of recovery should be limited by 1.2928 support turned resistance and bring another fall. On the downside, break of 1.2768 will target 100% projection of 1.3389 to 1.2928 from 1.3172 at 1.2711 next. Break will target 161.8% projection at 1.2426.

In the bigger picture, fall from 1.4667 is seen as the third leg of the corrective pattern from 1.4689 (2016 high). Further decline should be seen back to 1.2061 (2017 low). In any case, break of 1.3389 resistance is needed to indicate medium term bottoming. Otherwise, outlook will remain bearish in case of rebound.

USD/CAD gyrated lower last week as correction from 1.3329 extended. Outlook is unchanged as further fall could be seen this week to 55 day EMA (now at 1.3192) and below. But downside should be contained above 1.3104 resistance turned support to bring rise resumption. On the upside, above 1.3278 minor resistance will turn bias back to the upside. Sustained break of 1.3327 should confirm completion of consolidation pattern from 1.3664. Further rise should be seen to retest 1.3664 high.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 1.3664 (2018 high) is seen as a corrective move that has probably completed. Rise from 1.2061 (2017 low) might be ready to resume. Decisive break of 61.8% retracement of 1.4689 (2016 high) to 1.2061 at 1.3685 will pave the way to retest 1.4689 high. However, break of 1.3104 resistance turned support will extend the corrective with another fall through 1.2951 before completion.

In the longer term picture, outlook remains unchanged that price actions from 1.4689 (2016 high) are forming a corrective pattern. As long as 1.2061 support holds. Up trend from 0.9406 (2011 low) is in favor to resume through 1.4689 at a later stage.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.3280; (P) 1.3300; (R1) 1.3317; More…

USD/CAD drops sharply after more upbeat than expected BoC statement. But it’s staying above 1.3190 support. Intraday bias remains neutral first. As long as 1.3190 holds, further rise is still expected in the pair. On the upside, break of 1.3327 will resume the rise from 1.3042 to 1.3347/82 resistance zone. Firm break there will suggest completion of consolidation from 1.3664. However, break of 1.3190 will indicate completion of the rebound and turn bias back to the downside for 1.3042 support.

In the bigger picture, 38.2% retracement of 1.2061 to 1.364 at 1.3052 remains intact. Medium term rise from 1.2061 low is in favor to resume sooner or later. Firm break of 61.8% retracement of 1.4689 (2016 high) to 1.2061 at 1.3685 will confirm and target 1.4689 high. However, sustained break of 1.3052 will confirm completion of up trend from 1.2061 (2017 low). Further fall should be seen to 61.8% retracement at 1.2673 next.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.3475; (P) 1.3538; (R1) 1.3577; More…

Intraday bias in USD/CAD remains neutral and outlook is unchanged. Further rally is expected as long as 1.3439 support holds. Break of 1.3605 will resume the rise from 1.3176 and target 100% projection of 1.3176 to 1.3540 from 1.3357 at 1.3721 next. However, firm break of 1.3439 will argue that rebound from 1.3176 has completed, and bring deeper fall to 1.3357 support next.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 1.3976 (2022 high) are viewed as a corrective pattern only. In case of another fall, strong support should emerge above 1.2947 resistance turned support to bring rebound. Overall, larger up trend from 1.2005 (2021 low) is still expected to resume through 1.3976 at a later stage.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.3590; (P) 1.3633; (R1) 1.3695; More….

USD/CAD’s rally from 1.3224 resumed by breaking 1.3644 and intraday bias is back on the upside. Current development is in line with the case that correction from 1.3976 has completed at 1.3224. Further rise should be seen to 1.3807 resistance first, and then 1.3976. For now, this will remain the favored case as long as 1.3383 support holds, in case of retreat.

In the bigger picture, as long as 1.3222 cluster support (38.2% retracement of 1.2005 to 1.3976 at 1.3223) holds, larger up trend from 1.2005 (2021 low) is still expected to resume through 1.3976 high at a later stage. However, firm break of 1.3222/3 will indicate that the trend might have reversed. Deeper fall would be seen to next cluster support at 1.2726 (61.8% retracement at 1.2758).

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.3326; (P) 1.3361; (R1) 1.3387; More….

USD/CAD is staying in consolidation from 1.3233 and intraday bias remains neutral first. Further decline is expected as long as 1.3459 resistance holds. On the downside, break of 1.3233 will resume the fall from 1.4667 and target long term fibonacci level at 1.3056. However, firm break of 1.3459 will indicate short term bottoming, and turn bias back to the upside for 1.3715 resistance instead.

In the bigger picture, the rise from 1.2061 (2017 low) could have completed at 1.4667 after failing 1.4689 (2016 high). Fall from 1.4667 could be the third leg of the corrective pattern from 1.4689. Deeper fall is expected to 61.8% retracement of 1.2061 to 1.4667 at 1.3056 and possibly below. This will now remain the favored case as long as 1.3715 resistance holds. However, sustained break of 1.3715 will turn focus back to 1.4689 key resistance.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.3589; (P) 1.3627; (R1) 1.3648; More….

Intraday bias in USD/CAD remains neutral at this point as range trading continues. On the upside, above 1.43699 will target 1.3784 first. Break there will will resume larger rise from 1.3091 to retest 1.3976 high. On the downside, below 1.3568 will bring another falling leg to extend the near term corrective pattern from 1.3784 instead.

In the bigger picture, current development revives the case that corrective pattern from 1.3976 (2022 high) has completed with three waves down to 1.3091. Decisive break of 1.3976 high will confirm resumption of up trend from 1.2005 (2021 low). Next target will be 61.8% projection of 1.2401 to 1.3976 from 1.3091 at 1.4064. This will now remain the favored case as long as 1.3378 support holds.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.2959; (P) 1.3019; (R1) 1.3059; More…

USD/CAD’s decline from 1.3225 is still in progress and deep fall might be seen. But we’d expect downside to be contained well above 1.2886 to bring rally resumption. We’re holding on to the view that corrective fall from 1.3385 has completed at 1.2886 already. On the upside, above 1.3077 minor resistance will turn bias back to the upside for 1.3225 first. Break will resume the rebound from 1.2886 to retest 1.3385 high.

In the bigger picture, strong rebound ahead of 38.2% retracement of 1.2061 to 1.3385 at 1.2879 key fibonacci level retains medium term bullishness. That is, rise from 2017 low at 1.2061 is still in progress. Break of 1.3384 should target 61.8% retracement of 1.4689 (2015 high) to 1.2061 (2017 low) at 1.3685. On the downside, as long as 1.2886 support holds, outlook will now remain bullish.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.2625; (P) 1.2680; (R1) 1.2710; More…

Intraday bias in USD/CAD remains on the downside for 1.2401 support. Firm break there will argue that whole rebound from 1.2005 has completed. Deeper fall would then be seen to retest this low. On the upside, though, above 1.2884 minor resistance will revive near term bullishness and turn bias back to the upside for 1.3075 high.

In the bigger picture, focus stays on 38.2% retracement of 1.4667 (2020 high) to 1.2005 (2021 low) at 1.3022. Sustained break there should confirm that the down trend from 1.4667 has completed after defending 1.2061 long term cluster support. Further rise would then be seen towards 61.8% retracement at 1.3650. However, rejection by 1.3022 will maintain medium term bearishness. Break of 1.2005 will resume the down trend from 1.4667 and that carries larger bearish implications too.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.2263; (P) 1.2293; (R1) 1.2311; More…

Intraday bias in USD/CAD stays on the downside at this point. Current down trend form 1.4667 should target 100% projection of 1.2880 to 1.2363 from 1.2653 at 1.2136 next. On the upside, above 1.2383 minor resistance will turn intraday bias neutral first. But recovery should be limited below 1.2653 resistance to bring fall resumption.

In the bigger picture, fall from 1.4667 is seen as the third leg of the corrective pattern from 1.4689 (2016 high). Further decline should be seen back to 1.2061 (2017 low). In any case, sustained break of 1.2653 resistance is needed to be the first sign of medium term bottoming. Otherwise, outlook will remain bearish in case of strong rebound.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.2788; (P) 1.2810; (R1) 1.2838; More…

Intraday bias in USD/CAD stays neutral at this point. As long as 1.2762 support holds, further rally is expected. On the upside, above 1.2846 minor resistance will bring retest of 1.2963 resistance first. Break there will resume the rise from 1.2005 to 1.3022 key medium term fibonacci level. Sustained break of 1.3022 will carry larger bullish implications. Next target will be 100% projection of 1.2005 to 1.2947 from 1.2286 at 1.3228. However, break of 1.2762 will turn bias back to the downside for 1.2604 support instead.

In the bigger picture, focus will be on 38.2% retracement of 1.4667 (2020 high) to 1.2005 (2021 low) at 1.3022. Sustained break there should confirm that the down trend from 1.4667 has completed after defending 1.2061 long term cluster support. Further rise would then be seen towards 61.8% retracement at 1.3650. On the downside, however, break of 1.2286 will turn focus back to 1.2005 low again.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.3479; (P) 1.3516; (R1) 1.3548; More….

Range trading continues in USD/CAD and intraday bias remains neutral first. Another fall is in favor with 1.3563 minor resistance intact. On the downside, break of 1.3405 will resume the decline from 1.3860, as the third leg of the corrective pattern from 1.3976, to 1.3224/61 support zone. Strong support should be seen around there to bring rebound. Meanwhile, firm break of 1.3563 will turn bias back to the upside for 1.3860 resistance instead.

In the bigger picture, the up trend from 1.2005 (2021 low) is still in progress. Break of 1.3976 will confirm resumption and target 61.8% projection of 1.2401 to 1.3976 from 1.3261 at 1.4234. Firm break there will pave the way to long term resistance zone at 1.4667/89 (2016, 2020 highs). On the downside, sustained break of 55 week EMA (now at 1.3282) is needed to confirm medium term topping. Otherwise, outlook will remain bullish even in case of deep pull back.