Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.2595; (P) 1.2632; (R1) 1.2666; More…

Intraday bias in USD/CAD is turned neutral as it retreated after hitting 1.2700. Another rise is mildly in favor as long as 1.2553 minor support holds. Pull back from 1.2964 should have completed with three waves down to 1.2448. Above 1.2700 will target 1.2812 resistance first, and then 1.2963. On the downside, below 1.2553 minor support will turn bias back to the downside for 1.2448 instead.

In the bigger picture, focus stays on 38.2% retracement of 1.4667 (2020 high) to 1.2005 (2021 low) at 1.3022. Sustained break there should confirm that the down trend from 1.4667 has completed after defending 1.2061 long term cluster support. Further rise would then be seen towards 61.8% retracement at 1.3650. However, rejection by 1.3022 will maintain medium term bearishness. Break of 1.2005 will resume the down trend form 1.4667 and that carries larger bearish implications too.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.2661; (P) 1.2693; (R1) 1.2723; More…

Range trading continues in USD/CAD and intraday bias remains neutral for the moment. Further rally is mildly in favor with 1.2634 support intact. On the upside, break of 1.2795 will resume the rally from 1.2448 to 1.2963 resistance next. However, break of 1.2634 support will turn bias back to the downside for 1.2448 support instead.

In the bigger picture, focus stays on 38.2% retracement of 1.4667 (2020 high) to 1.2005 (2021 low) at 1.3022. Sustained break there should confirm that the down trend from 1.4667 has completed after defending 1.2061 long term cluster support. Further rise would then be seen towards 61.8% retracement at 1.3650. However, rejection by 1.3022 will maintain medium term bearishness. Break of 1.2005 will resume the down trend from 1.4667 and that carries larger bearish implications too.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.3405; (P) 1.3430; (R1) 1.3454; More….

Intraday bias in USD/CAD stays neutral for the moment. Price actions from 1.3976 are seen as a triangle consolidation pattern. Above 1.3666 will target 1.3860 resistance first. Firm break of 1.3860 will argue that larger up trend is ready to resume through 1.3976 high. Nevertheless, sustained break of 1.3229 will dampen this view and turn near term outlook bearish.

In the bigger picture, rise from 1.2005 (2021 low) is expected to resume through 1.3976 after consolidation from there completes. On decisive break of 1.3976, next target will be 1.4667/89 long term resistance zone. This will remain the favored case as long as 38.2% retracement of 1.2005 to 1.3976 at 1.3233 holds.

USD/CAD edged lower to 1.3479 last week but recovered since then. Yet, upside is capped below 1.3625 resistance. Initial bias stays neutral this week first. On the downside, below 1.3479 will resume the corrective fall from 1.3897. But downside should be contained by 1.3378 support, which is close to 61.8% retracement of 1.3091 to 1.3897 at 1.3399, to bring rebound. On the upside, break of 1.3625 resistance will indicate short term bottoming, and turn bias back to the upside for stronger rise.

In the bigger picture, rise from 1.3091 is seen as the fifth leg of the whole rise from 1.2005 (2021 low). Further rally is expected as long as 1.3378 support holds, to 61.8% projection of 1.2401 to 1.3976 from 1.3091 at 1.4064. However, decisive break of 1.3378 will dampen this view and bring deeper fall back to 1.3091 instead.

In the longer term picture, price actions from 1.4689 (2016 high) are seen as a consolidation pattern only, which might have completed at 1.2005. That is, up trend from 0.9506 (2007 low) is expected to resume at a later stage. This will remain the favored case as 55 M EMA (now at 1.3126) holds.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.2498; (P) 1.2544; (R1) 1.2630; More…

USD/CAD rebounded strongly after dipping to 1.2457 and intraday bias is turned neutral. On the upside, break of 1.2675 will resume the rebound from 1.2401 towards 1.2899 resistance. On the downside, below 1.2457 will bring retest of 1.2401 support.

In the bigger picture, focus stays on 38.2% retracement of 1.4667 (2020 high) to 1.2005 (2021 low) at 1.3022. Sustained break there should confirm that the down trend from 1.4667 has completed after defending 1.2061 long term cluster support. Further rise would then be seen towards 61.8% retracement at 1.3650. However, rejection by 1.3022 will maintain medium term bearishness. Break of 1.2005 will resume the down trend from 1.4667 and that carries larger bearish implications too.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.3263; (P) 1.3284; (R1) 1.3300; More….

Intraday bias in USD/CAD remains neutral and outlook is unchanged. On the upside, break of 1.3386 and sustained trading above 55 D EMA (now at 1.3359) will argue that whole corrective pattern from 1.3976 has completed with three waves down to 1.3115. Further rally should then be seen to 1.3653 resistance next. Nevertheless, break of 1.3202 support will bring retest of 1.3115 low instead.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 1.3976 are viewed as a correction to up trend from 1.2005 (2021 low) only. Hence, the up trend is in favor to resume through 1.3976 at a later stage. Nevertheless, another fall below 1.3115 will extending the decline from 1.3976 to 61.8% retracement of 1.2005 to 1.3976 at 1.2758, and raise the chance of bearish trend reversal.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.3251; (P) 1.3325; (R1) 1.3398; More…

Intraday bias in USD/CAD remains neutral for consolidation below 1.3444 temporary top. As long as 1.3160 minor support holds, further rally is still expected. On the upside, break of 1.3444 will turn bias back to the upside. Larger rally from 1.2061 should target 1.3685 fibonacci level next.

In the bigger picture, up trend from 1.2061 (2017 low) is still in progress and should target to 61.8% retracement of 1.4689 (2016 high) to 1.2061 at 1.3685. This will remain the preferred case as long as channel support (now at 1.2949) holds.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.3337; (P) 1.3385; (R1) 1.3410; More…

USD/CAD’s fall resumed after brief recovery and intraday bias is turned back to the downside. Current development suggests that choppy rise from 1.3068 has completed at 1.3564, on bearish divergence condition in daily MACD. Sustained trading below 1.3357 support should confirm this bearish case and target 1.3274support next. More importantly, that could also have medium term channel support taken out, which carries larger bearish implications too. However, break of 1.3430 resistance will revive near term bullishness and turn bias back to retest 1.3564.

In the bigger picture, USD/CAD is staying well inside medium term rising channel (support at 1.3335). Thus, the up trend from 1.2061 (2017 low) could be in progress. On the upside, decisive break of 61.8% retracement of 1.4689 (2016 high) to 1.2061 at 1.3685 will pave the way to 78.6% retracement at 1.4127 next. This will remain the favored case as long as 1.3068 support holds. However, sustained break of the channel support will be the first sign of medium term reversal. Firm break of 1.3068 would confirm.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.3188; (P) 1.3212; (R1) 1.3252; More…

Intraday bias in USD/CAD remains on the upside at this point. Current rise from 1.3042 should target 1.3347/82 resistance zone. Firm break there will suggest completion of consolidation from 1.3664. On the downside, below 1.3159 minor support will turn intraday bias neutral again first. For now, further rally would remain in favor as long as 1.3042 support holds.

In the bigger picture, 38.2% retracement of 1.2061 to 1.364 at 1.3052 remains intact. Medium term rise from 1.2061 low is in favor to resume sooner or later. Firm break of 61.8% retracement of 1.4689 (2016 high) to 1.2061 at 1.3685 will confirm and target 1.4689 high. However, sustained break of 1.3052 will confirm completion of up trend from 1.2061 (2017 low). Further fall should be seen to 61.8% retracement at 1.2673 next.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.3051; (P) 1.3065; (R1) 1.3086; More….

USD/CAD rises sharply to as high as 1.3140 and break of 1.3104 suggests resumption of rebound from 1.2951. Intraday bias is back on the upside. Sustained trading above 55 day EMA (now at 1.3126) will pave the way to 1.3327 resistance. Considering bullish convergence condition in daily MACD, the corrective fall from 1.3664 might be finished as a triangle at 1.2951. Decisive break of 1.3327 will confirm this bullish case. For now, further rise will remain in favor as long as 1.3036 support holds, in case of retreat.

In the bigger picture, rise from 1.2061 (2017 low) could have completed at 1.3664, after failing 61.8% retracement of 1.4689 (2016 high) to 1.2061 at 1.3685. However, structure of price actions from 1.3664 argues that it’s probably just a corrective move. Hence, while further fall is expected, downside should be contained by 50% retracement of 1.2061 to 1.3664 at 1.2863.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.3023; (P) 1.3059; (R1) 1.3081; More….

Intraday bias in USD/CAD remains neutral for consolidation above 1.2994 temporary low. Outlook will remain bearish as long as 1.3239 resistance holds. On the downside, break of 1.2994 should target 161.8% projection of 1.4048 to 1.3315 from 1.3715 at 1.2529. However, on the upside, firm break of 1.3239 will confirm short term bottoming, and turn bias to the upside for stronger rebound.

In the bigger picture, fall from 1.4667 is seen as the third leg of the corrective pattern from 1.4689 (2016 high). Sustained break of 61.8% retracement of 1.2061 to 1.4667 at 1.3056 will target a test on 1.2061 (2017 low). But we’d expect loss of downside momentum as it approaches this key support. On the upside, though, break out 1.3715 resistance is needed to confirm completion of the fall. Otherwise, outlook will stay bearish.

USD/CAD edged lower to 1.3016 last week but couldn’t sustain below 1.3052/68 cluster support yet. Initial bias remains neutral this week first. Deeper fall is in favor with 1.3143 minor resistance intact. Sustain trading below 1.3052/68 cluster support should confirm medium term reversal. Deeper decline should then be seen to 1.2781 support next. Nevertheless, break of 1.3143 resistance will confirm short term bottoming and bring stronger rebound.

In the bigger picture, the case of bearish reversal continues to build up. Decisive break of 1.3068 cluster support (38.2% retracement of 1.2061 to 1.3664 at 1.3052) will confirm completion of up trend from 1.2061 (2017 low). Further fall should be seen to 61.8% retracement at 1.2673 next. On the upside, sustained break of 61.8% retracement of 1.4689 (2016 high) to 1.2061 at 1.3685, is needed to confirm resumption of up trend from 1.2061 (2017 low). Otherwise, risk will stay on the downside.

In the longer term picture, outlook remains unchanged that price actions from 1.4689 (2016 high) are forming a corrective pattern. Rejection by 1.3793 resistance would raise the chance of lengthier extension, with risk of dropping through 1.2061 low before completion.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.3549; (P) 1.3579; (R1) 1.3634; More….

Intraday bias in USD/CAD remains neutral for the moment. With 1.3485 support intact, further rally is still expected. On the upside, above 1.3624 minor resistance will turn bias to the upside for 1.3715 resistance first. Break will extend the rebound from 1.3315 to 38.2% retracement of 1.4667 to 1.3315 at 1.3831. On the downside, however, break of 1.3485 will argue that the rebound has completed and turn bias back to the downside for retesting 1.3315 low.

In the bigger picture, the rise from 1.2061 (2017 low) could have completed at 1.4667 after failing 1.4689 (2016 high). Fall from 1.4667 could be the third leg of the corrective pattern from 1.4689. Deeper fall is expected to 61.8% retracement at 1.3056 and possibly below. This will now remain the favored case as long as 1.3855 support turned resistance holds. However, sustained break of 1.3855 will turn focus back to 1.4689 key resistance.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.3521; (P) 1.3580; (R1) 1.3609; More….

Intraday bias in USD/CAD is turned neutral first with current retreat. But further rally is expected as long as 1.3509 support holds. On the upside, decisive break of 1.3653 resistance there will confirm that correction from 1.3976 has completed, and target a test on this high. On the downside, however, break of 1.3509 support will indicate short term topping, and turn bias to the downside for some correction first.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 1.3976 are viewed as a corrective pattern only. Upon completion, rise from 1.2005 (2021 low) would resume through 1.3976. Next target is 61.8% projection of 1.2005 to 1.3976 from 1.3091 at 1.4309. For now, this will remain the favored case as long as 55 D EMA (now at 1.3387) holds.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.3532; (P) 1.3579; (R1) 1.3606; More…

Intraday bias in USD/CAD remains on the downside at this point. Current fall from 1.3897 is in progress, and should target 1.3378 support next. On the upside, though, above 1.3625 minor resistance will turn intraday bias neutral again first.

In the bigger picture, corrective pattern from 1.3976 (2022 high) should have completed with three waves down to 1.3091. Decisive break of 1.3976 high will confirm resumption of up trend from 1.2005 (2021 low). Next target is 61.8% projection of 1.2401 to 1.3976 from 1.3091 at 1.4064. This will remain the favored case as long as 1.3378 support holds.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.2464; (P) 1.2491; (R1) 1.2528; More…

Downside momentum is diminishing in USD/CAD as seen in 4 hour MACD. But with 1.2569 resistance intact, further decline is still expected. As noted before, the whole pattern from 1.2005 might be finished three waves to 1.2963. Further fall would be seen to 1.2286 support, possibly further to retest 1.2005 low. Nevertheless, on the upside, break of 1.2569 minor resistance will indicate short term bottoming and turn bias back to the upside for stronger rebound.

In the bigger picture, focus will be on 38.2% retracement of 1.4667 (2020 high) to 1.2005 (2021 low) at 1.3022. Sustained break there should confirm that the down trend from 1.4667 has completed after defending 1.2061 long term cluster support. Further rise would then be seen towards 61.8% retracement at 1.3650. However, rejection by 1.3022 will maintain medium term bearishness. Break of 1.2005 will resume the down trend form 1.4667 and that carries larger bearish implications too.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.3441; (P) 1.3466; (R1) 1.3509; More….

Intraday bias in USD/CAD remains neutral as consolidation from 1.3378 is extending. Risk will stay on the downside as long as 1.3548 resistance holds. Break of 1.3378 will resume the fall from 1.3693, as another leg in the corrective pattern from 1.3976 high, to 61.8% retracement of 1.3091 to 1.3693 at 1.3321.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 1.3976 are viewed as a corrective pattern to the up trend from 1.2005 (2021 low). Deeper decline could be seen as the pattern is now extending. But downside should be contained by 50% retracement of 1.2005 to 1.3796 at 1.2991. Rise from 1.2005 is still expected to resume after the correction completes.

USD/CAD’s decline from 1.3897 extend to as low as 1.3486 last week and there is no sign of bottoming yet. Initial bias stays on the downside this week for 1.3378 support next, which is close to 61.8% retracement of 1.3091 to 1.3897 at 1.3399. Strong support could be seen there to bring rebound. Meanwhile, on the upside, above 1.3625 minor resistance will turn intraday bias neutral again first.

In the bigger picture, rise from 1.3091 is seen as the fifth leg of the whole rise from 1.2005 (2021 low). Further rally is expected as long as 1.3378 support holds, to 61.8% projection of 1.2401 to 1.3976 from 1.3091 at 1.4064. However, decisive break of 1.3378 will dampen this view and bring deeper fall back to 1.3091 instead.

In the longer term picture, price actions from 1.4689 (2016 high) are seen as a consolidation pattern only, which might have completed at 1.2005. That is, up trend from 0.9506 (2007 low) is expected to resume at a later stage. This will remain the favored case as 55 M EMA (now at 1.3126) holds.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.2832; (P) 1.2886; (R1) 1.2921; More….

Intraday bias in USD/CAD remains on the downside at this point. Current down trend should target 100% projection of 1.3389 to 1.2928 from 1.3172 at 1.2711 next. On the upside, above 1.2941 minor resistance will turn intraday bias neutral and bring consolidations first, before staging another fall.

In the bigger picture, fall from 1.4667 is seen as the third leg of the corrective pattern from 1.4689 (2016 high). Rejection by 55 week EMA is keeping outlook bearish. Such decline should now target 1.2061 (2017 low). In any case, break of 1.3389 resistance is needed to indicate medium term bottoming. Otherwise, outlook will remain bearish in case of rebound.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.3407; (P) 1.3437; (R1) 1.3489; More….

Intraday bias in USD/CAD remains neutral and outlook is unchanged. Another decline cannot be ruled out with 1.3552 resistance intact. But still, fall from 1.3860 is seen as the third leg of the corrective pattern from 1.3976. In case of another decline, down side should be contained by 1.3224/61 support zone to bring rebound. Break of 1.3552 should turn bias back to the upside for stronger rally.

In the bigger picture, the up trend from 1.2005 (2021 low) is still in progress. Break of 1.3976 will confirm resumption and target 61.8% projection of 1.2401 to 1.3976 from 1.3261 at 1.4234. Firm break there will pave the way to long term resistance zone at 1.4667/89 (2016, 2020 highs). On the downside, sustained break of 55 W EMA (now at 1.3282) is needed to confirm medium term topping. Otherwise, outlook will remain bullish even in case of deep pull back.