Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.2527; (P) 1.2558; (R1) 1.2616; More…

USD/CAD’s rebound from 1.2448 extends higher today. Break of 1.2619 support argues that pull back from 1.2963 has completed with three waves down to 1.2448. Intraday bias stays on the upside for 1.2812 resistance first, and then 1.2963. On the downside, below 1.2553 minor support will mix up the near term outlook and turn intraday bias neutral.

In the bigger picture, focus stays on 38.2% retracement of 1.4667 (2020 high) to 1.2005 (2021 low) at 1.3022. Sustained break there should confirm that the down trend from 1.4667 has completed after defending 1.2061 long term cluster support. Further rise would then be seen towards 61.8% retracement at 1.3650. However, rejection by 1.3022 will maintain medium term bearishness. Break of 1.2005 will resume the down trend form 1.4667 and that carries larger bearish implications too.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.3332; (P) 1.3375; (R1) 1.3398; More…

USD/CAD drops sharply today but stays above 1.3301 minor support. Intraday bias remains neutral first. As long as 1.3301 holds, we’d still expect another rally. Break of 1.3467 will resume the rise from 1.3068 to retest 1.3664 high. However, decisive break of 1.3301 will suggest that such rebound from 1.3068 has completed with three waves up to 1.2467. That will carry larger bearish implications and should turn bias to the downside for 1.3068/3112 key support zone.

In the bigger picture, structure of the medium term rise from 1.2061 (2017 low) to 1.3664 is not clearly impulsive. Hence, we’d stay cautious on strong resistance from 61.8% retracement of 1.4689 (2016 high) to 1.2061 at 1.3685 and 1.3793 resistance to limit upside, and bring medium term topping. But in any case, medium term outlook will stay bullish as long as channel support (now at 1.3139) holds. Sustained break of 1.3793 will pave the way to retest 1.4689 (2015 high). Firm break of the channel support should confirm reversal target 1.2061 low again.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.3569; (P) 1.3597; (R1) 1.3621; More….

While USD/CAD is losing some downside momentum as seen in 4 H MACD, further decline is still mildly in favor as pull back from 1.3784 extends. Nevertheless, outlook will stay bullish as long as 1.3378 support holds. On the upside, above 1.3675 minor resistance will turn bias back to the upside for retesting 1.3784 next.

In the bigger picture, current development revives the case that corrective pattern from 1.3976 (2022 high) has completed with three waves down to 1.3091. Decisive break of 1.3976 high will confirm resumption of up trend from 1.2005 (2021 low). Next target will be 61.8% projection of 1.2401 to 1.3976 from 1.3091 at 1.4064. This will now remain the favored case as long as 1.3378 support holds.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.3316; (P) 1.3338; (R1) 1.3376; More…

USD/CAD’s break of 1.3340 resistance completes a head and shoulder bottom pattern (ls: 1.3180, h: 1.3068, rs: 1.3112). And the pull back from 1.3664 should have completed at 1.3068. Intraday bias stays on the upside for retesting 1.3664 and then 1.3685 fibonacci level. On the downside, break of 1.3273 minor support will dampen this view and turn bias back to the downside for 1.3112 support instead.

In the bigger picture, structure of the medium term rise from 1.2061 (2017 low) to 1.3664 is not clearly impulsive. Hence, we’d stay cautious on strong resistance from 61.8% retracement of 1.4689 (2016 high) to 1.2061 at 1.3685 and 1.3793 resistance to limit upside, and bring medium term topping. But in any case, medium term outlook will stay bullish as long as channel support (now at 1.3118) holds. Sustained break of 1.3793 will pave the way to retest 1.4689 (2015 high). Firm break of the channel support should confirm reversal target 1.2061 low again.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.2586; (P) 1.2637; (R1) 1.2714; More…

USD/CAD’s rise from 1.2448 resumed after brief retreat and intraday bias back on the upside for 1.2812 resistance first. Break there will target 1.2963 high next. On the downside, below 1.2558 minor support will turn bias back to the downside for 1.2448 instead.

In the bigger picture, focus stays on 38.2% retracement of 1.4667 (2020 high) to 1.2005 (2021 low) at 1.3022. Sustained break there should confirm that the down trend from 1.4667 has completed after defending 1.2061 long term cluster support. Further rise would then be seen towards 61.8% retracement at 1.3650. However, rejection by 1.3022 will maintain medium term bearishness. Break of 1.2005 will resume the down trend form 1.4667 and that carries larger bearish implications too.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.3291; (P) 1.3319; (R1) 1.3338; More…

While deeper decline might be seen in USD/CAD with 1.3426 minor resistance intact, strong support is still expected from 1.3224 key support level to bring rebound. On the upside, above 1.3426 minor resistance will turn intraday bias back to the upside for 1.3519 resistance. However, decisive break of 1.3224 would carry larger bearish implication.

In the bigger picture, as long as 1.3222 cluster support (38.2% retracement of 1.2005 to 1.3976 at 1.3223) holds, larger up trend from 1.2005 (2021 low) is still expected to resume through 1.3976 high at a later stage. However, firm break of 1.3222/3 will indicate that the trend might have reversed. Deeper fall would be seen to next cluster support at 1.2726 (61.8% retracement at 1.2758).

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.2377; (P) 1.2401; (R1) 1.2434; More…

Intraday bias in USD/CAD remains neutral as consolidation from 1.2286 is still extending. Outlook is unchanged that in case of stronger recovery, upside should be limited by 1.2497 resistance. On the downside, break of 1.2286 will resume the fall from 1.2947 to 161.8% projection of 1.2947 to 1.2492 from 1.2894 at 1.2158 next. However, firm break of 1.2497 will turn bias back to the upside for stronger rebound.

In the bigger picture, the rejection by 38.2% retracement of 1.4667 to 1.2005 at 1.3022 argues that rebound from 1.2005 is merely a corrective rise, which is complete. More importantly, the down trend from 1.4667 (2020 high) is not over yet. Sustained break of 1.2005 will extend the down trend to next long term fibonacci level at 61.8% retracement of 0.9406 to 1.4689 at 1.1424. In any case, outlook will not turn bullish as long as 1.2947 resistance holds.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.2953; (P) 1.3016; (R1) 1.3092; More…

Intraday bias in USD/CAD remains on the upside and rise from 1.2005 should be resuming. Sustained trading above 1.3022 fibonacci level will carry larger bullish implications. Next target is 100% projection of 1.2005 to 1.2947 from 1.2401 at 1.3343. For now, outlook will stay bullish as long as 1.2859 support holds, in case of retreat.

In the bigger picture, focus stays on 38.2% retracement of 1.4667 (2020 high) to 1.2005 (2021 low) at 1.3022. Sustained break there should confirm that the down trend from 1.4667 has completed after defending 1.2061 long term cluster support. Further rise would then be seen towards 61.8% retracement at 1.3650. However, rejection by 1.3022 will maintain medium term bearishness.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.3277; (P) 1.3334; (R1) 1.3393; More….

Intraday bias in USD/CAD stays neutral for the moment. Outlook is unchanged too. The choppy decline from 1.3704 might still extend lower, but strong support is expected to 1.3224 key support to bring rebound. On the upside, above 1.3519 resistance will confirm short term bottoming, and turn intraday bias back to the upside for retesting 1.3704 resistance. However, decisive break of 1.3224 would carry larger bearish implication.

In the bigger picture, as long as 1.3222 cluster support (38.2% retracement of 1.2005 to 1.3976 at 1.3223) holds, larger up trend from 1.2005 (2021 low) is still expected to resume through 1.3976 high at a later stage. However, firm break of 1.3222/3 will indicate that the trend might have reversed. Deeper fall would be seen to next cluster support at 1.2726 (61.8% retracement at 1.2758).

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.3677; (P) 1.3711; (R1) 1.3765; More….

Outlook in USD/CAD remains unchanged and intraday bias stays neutral first. Further rally is expected with 1.3650 support intact. On the upside, break of 1.3860 will resume the rally from 1.3261 to retest 1.3976 high. However, firm break of 1.3650 will mix up the near term outlook and bring deeper pullback to 55 day EMA (now at 1.3576).

In the bigger picture, the up trend from 1.2005 (2021 low) is still in progress. Break of 1.3976 will confirm resumption and target 61.8% projection of 1.2401 to 1.3976 from 1.3261 at 1.4234. Firm break there will pave the way to long term resistance zone at 1.4667/89 (2016, 2020 highs). On the downside, break of 1.3261 support is needed to confirm medium term topping. Otherwise, outlook will remain bullish even in case of deep pull back.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.3236; (P) 1.3288; (R1) 1.3347; More…

USD/CAD’s breach of 1.3329 minor resistance suggests resumption of rise from 1.3068. Intraday bias is cautiously on the upside for now. As noted before, we’re holding on to the view that decline from 1.3664 has completed with three waves down to 1.3068 already, on bullish convergence condition in 4 hour MACD, just ahead of medium term channel support. Break of 1.3375 resistance should confirm this bullish case and target a test on 1.3664 high. However, break of 1.3196 will now dampen our view and turn bias back to the downside for 1.3068 support instead.

In the bigger picture, structure of the medium term rise from 1.2061 (2017 low) to 1.3664 is not clearly impulsive. Hence, we’d stay cautious on strong resistance from 61.8% retracement of 1.4689 (2016 high) to 1.2061 at 1.3685 and 1.3793 resistance to limit upside, and bring medium term topping. But in any case, medium term outlook will stay bullish as long as channel support (now at 1.3086) holds. Sustained break of 1.3793 will pave the way to retest 1.4689 (2015 high). Firm break of the channel support should confirm reversal target 1.2061 low again.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.3210; (P) 1.3231; (R1) 1.3245; More…

Intraday bias in USD/CAD remains neutral for consolidations. Downside Downside should be contained by 1.3159 minor support to bring another rally. On the upside, above 1.3270 will target 1.3347/82 resistance zone. Firm break there will suggest completion of consolidation from 1.3664. However, break of 1.3159 will indicate completion of the rebound and turn bias back to the downside for 1.3042 support.

In the bigger picture, 38.2% retracement of 1.2061 to 1.364 at 1.3052 remains intact. Medium term rise from 1.2061 low is in favor to resume sooner or later. Firm break of 61.8% retracement of 1.4689 (2016 high) to 1.2061 at 1.3685 will confirm and target 1.4689 high. However, sustained break of 1.3052 will confirm completion of up trend from 1.2061 (2017 low). Further fall should be seen to 61.8% retracement at 1.2673 next.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.3694; (P) 1.3739; (R1) 1.3824; More…

USD/CAD’s break of 1.3730 minor resistance suggests that pullback from 1.3845 has completed at 1.3613. Intraday bias is back on the upside for retesting 1.3845 first. Firm break there will resume larger rise from 1.3176 towards 1.3976 key resistance next. For now, risk will stay on the upside as long as 1.3613 support holds, in case of retreat.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 1.3976 (2022 high) are viewed as a corrective pattern only. In case of another fall, strong support should emerge above 1.2947 resistance turned support to bring rebound. Firm break of 1.3976 will confirm up resumption of whole up trend from 1.2005 (2021 low). Next target is 61.8% projection of 1.2401 to 1.3976 from 1.3176 at 1.4149.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.2545; (P) 1.2567; (R1) 1.2601; More…

USD/CAD is staying in consolidation from 1.2421 and intraday bias remains neutral first. As long as 1.2605 resistance holds, further decline is expected. On the downside, break of 1.2421 will resume the fall from 1.2805 to 1.2301 cluster support (61.8% retracement of 1.2005 to 1.2805 at 1.2311). On the upside, break of 1.2605 will turn bias back to the upside for retesting 1.2805 high instead.

In the bigger picture, fall from 1.4667 is seen as the third leg of the corrective pattern from 1.4689 (2016 high). It should have completed after hitting 1.2061 (2017 low) and 50% retracement of 0.9406 to 1.4689 at 1.2048. Sustained break of 38.2% retracement of 1.4667 to 1.2005 at 1.3022 will pave the way to 61.8% retracement at 1.3650 and above. Overall, medium term outlook remains neutral at worst with 1.2048/61 support zone intact.

USD/CAD rose further to 1.3077 last week but failed to sustain above 1.3022 fibonacci level and retreated. Initial bias remains neutral this week first. On the upside, break of 1.3077 and sustained trading above 1.3022 fibonacci level will carry larger bullish implications. Next target is 100% projection of 1.2005 to 1.2947 from 1.2401 at 1.3343. However, break of 1.2859 minor support will turn bias back to the downside for 1.2516 support instead.

In the bigger picture, focus stays on 38.2% retracement of 1.4667 (2020 high) to 1.2005 (2021 low) at 1.3022. Sustained break there should confirm that the down trend from 1.4667 has completed after defending 1.2061 long term cluster support. Further rise would then be seen towards 61.8% retracement at 1.3650. However, rejection by 1.3022 will maintain medium term bearishness.

In the longer term picture, price actions from 1.4689 (2016 high) are seen as a consolidation pattern only. That is, up trend from 0.9506 (2007 low) is still expected to resume at a later stage. This will remain the favored case as long as 1.2061 support holds, which is close to 50% retracement of 0.9406 to 1.4689 at 1.2048. However, firm break of 1.2061 support will argue that USD/CAD has already started a long term down trend. Next target is 61.8% retracement of 0.9406 to 1.4689 at 1.1424.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.3551; (P) 1.3574; (R1) 1.3615; More…

No change in USD/CAD’s outlook and intraday bias stays neutral at this point. Below 1.3479 will resume the corrective fall from 1.3897. But downside should be contained by 1.3378 support, which is close to 61.8% retracement of 1.3091 to 1.3897 at 1.3399, to bring rebound. On the upside, break of 1.3625 resistance will indicate short term bottoming, and turn bias back to the upside for stronger rise.

In the bigger picture, rise from 1.3091 is seen as the fifth leg of the whole rise from 1.2005 (2021 low). Further rally is expected as long as 1.3378 support holds, to 61.8% projection of 1.2401 to 1.3976 from 1.3091 at 1.4064. However, decisive break of 1.3378 will dampen this view and bring deeper fall back to 1.3091 instead.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.3391; (P) 1.3419; (R1) 1.3457; More…

USD/CAD’s rebound from 1.3176 resumed and hits as high as 1.3478 so far. Intraday bias is back on the upside. Next target is 1.3617 cluster resistance (61.8% retracement of 1.3897 to 1.3176 at 1.3622). On the downside, break of 1.3339 minor support is needed to indicate completion of the rebound. Otherwise, further rally will remain in favor in case of retreat.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 1.3976 (2022 high) are viewed as a corrective pattern only. While fall from 1.3897 could still extend through 1.3091, strong support should emerge above 1.2947 resistance turned support to bring rebound. Overall, larger up trend from 1.2005 (2021 low) is still expected to resume at a later stage.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.2578; (P) 1.2612; (R1) 1.2656; More…

Immediate focus is on 1.2519 minor support in USD/CAD. Break there will target 1.2401 support first. Firm break there will resume larger decline from 1.2899 to retest 1.2005 low. On the upside, though, break of 1.2675 will flip bias back to the upside for 1.2899 resistance instead.

In the bigger picture, focus stays on 38.2% retracement of 1.4667 (2020 high) to 1.2005 (2021 low) at 1.3022. Sustained break there should confirm that the down trend from 1.4667 has completed after defending 1.2061 long term cluster support. Further rise would then be seen towards 61.8% retracement at 1.3650. However, rejection by 1.3022 will maintain medium term bearishness. Break of 1.2005 will resume the down trend from 1.4667 and that carries larger bearish implications too.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.3225; (P) 1.3267; (R1) 1.3309; More….

Intraday bias in USD/CAD remains neutral for consolidation above 1.3164 temporary low. Upside of recovery should be limited by 1.3387 support turned resistance and bring fall resumption. We hold on to the view that corrective rise from 1.2460 has completed at 1.3793 already and deeper decline is expected. Below 1.3164 will target 1.2968 support first. Break there should confirm our view and target 1.2460 and below.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 1.4689 medium term top are seen as a correction pattern. The first leg has completed at 1.2460. Rise from 1.2460 is seen as the second leg and has completed at 1.3793, ahead of 61.8% retracement of 1.4689 to 1.2460 at 1.3838. Break of 1.3222 should now indicate the start of the third leg while further break of 1.2968 should confirm. In that case, USD/CAD should decline through 1.2460 support to 50% retracement of 0.9406 to 1.4869 at 1.2048.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.3519; (P) 1.3536; (R1) 1.3550; More…

No change in USD/CAD’s outlook and intraday bias stays on the upside. Further rise should be seen to retest 1.3605 resistance first. Firm break there will resume whole rally from 1.3176. On the downside, however, break of 1.3458 minor support will turn bias back to the downside or 1.3419 instead.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 1.3976 (2022 high) are viewed as a corrective pattern only. In case of another fall, strong support should emerge above 1.2947 resistance turned support to bring rebound. Overall, larger up trend from 1.2005 (2021 low) is still expected to resume through 1.3976 at a later stage.