Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.3171; (P) 1.3205; (R1) 1.3233; More….

Intraday bias in USD/CAD remains on the downside at this point. Fall from 1.3976 is developing at least a a deeper correction. Further fall should be seen to 100% projection of 1.3860 to 1.3299 from 1.3653 at 1.3092 next. On the upside, above 1.3353 minor resistance will turn intraday bias neutral and bring consolidations first, before staging another decline.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 1.3976 are still viewed as a correction to up trend from 1.2005 (2021 low), but chance of trend reversal is increasing with current decline. But in either case, sustained trading below 38.2% retracement of 1.2005 to 1.3976 at 1.3233 will pave the way to 61.8% retracement at 1.2758. Risk will stay on the downside as long as 1.3653 resistance holds, even in case of strong rebound.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.3908; (P) 1.3939; (R1) 1.3986; More….

USD/CAD recovered after dipping to 1.3866 but stays below 1.4140 resistance. Intraday bias is neutral first and outlook is unchanged. Corrective pattern from 1.4667 might extend but downside should be contained by 61.8% retracement of 1.3202 to 1.4667 at 1.3762 to bring rebound. On the upside, break of 1.4140 resistance will indicate completion of the correction. Intraday bias will be turned back to the upside for retesting 1.4667. However, sustained break of 1.3762 will bring deeper fall to 1.3664 key support next.

In the bigger picture, at this point, we’re still seeing rise from 1.2061 (2017 low) as resuming up trend from 0.9056 (2007 low). Decisive break of 1.4689 (2016 high) will confirm this bullish case. Next medium term target is 161.8% projection of 1.2061 to 1.3664 from 1.2951 at 1.5545. Rejection by 1.4689 will bring some consolidations first. But outlook will remain bullish as long as 1.3664 resistance turned support holds, even in case of deep pull back.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.2531; (P) 1.2562; (R1) 1.2595; More…

Intraday bias in USD/CAD remains neutral at this point and some consolidations could be seen. Further rise remains in favor as long as 1.2485 resistance turned support holds. On the upside, break of 1.2805 will extend the rise from 1.2005 to 1.3022 medium term fibonacci level next. On the downside, however, break of 1.2485 will bring deeper fall back to next cluster support at 1.2301 (61.8% retracement of 1.2005 to 1.2805 at 1.2311).

In the bigger picture, fall from 1.4667 is seen as the third leg of the corrective pattern from 1.4689 (2016 high). It should have completed after hitting 1.2061 (2017 low) and 50% retracement of 0.9406 to 1.4689 at 1.2048. Sustained break of 38.2% retracement of 1.4667 to 1.2005 at 1.3022 will pave the way to 61.8% retracement at 1.3650 and above. Overall, medium term outlook remains neutral at worst with 1.2048/61 support zone intact.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.2720; (P) 1.2798; (R1) 1.2857; More….

Intraday bias in USD/CAD remains neutral first. Rebound from 1.2588 short term bottom is expected to extend higher as long as 1.2684 minor support holds. Break of 1.2880 will target 1.2994 support turned resistance. However, break of 1.2684 minor support will argue that the rebound has completed and bring retest of 1.2588 low.

In the bigger picture, fall from 1.4667 is seen as the third leg of the corrective pattern from 1.4689 (2016 high). Further decline should be seen back to 1.2061 (2017 low). In any case, break of 1.3389 resistance is needed to indicate medium term bottoming. Otherwise, outlook will remain bearish in case of rebound.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.3313; (P) 1.3348; (R1) 1.3374; More…

USD/CAD drops sharply in early US session but stays well above 1.3247 minor support so far. Intraday bias remains neutral first. Further rise is expected as long as 1.3247 minor support holds. On the upside, above 1.3382 will extend the rebound from 1.3016 to 1.3564/3664 resistance zone. However, firm break of 1.3247 will turn bias back to the downside for 1.3016 instead.

In the bigger picture, key cluster support of 1.3068 (38.2% retracement of 1.2061 to 1.3664 at 1.3052) remains intact. Medium term rise from 1.2061 low is in favor to resume sooner or later. Firm break of 61.8% retracement of 1.4689 (2016 high) to 1.2061 at 1.3685 will confirm and target 1.4689 high. However, sustained break of 1.3052/68 will confirm completion of up trend from 1.2061 (2017 low). Further fall should be seen to 61.8% retracement at 1.2673 next.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.3659; (P) 1.3698; (R1) 1.3752; More….

Intraday bias in USD/CAD stays neutral and outlook is unchanged. Further rally is expected with 1.3650 support intact. On the upside, break of 1.3860 will resume the rally from 1.3261 to retest 1.3976 high. However, firm break of 1.3650 will mix up the near term outlook and bring deeper pullback to 55 day EMA (now at 1.3572) first.

In the bigger picture, the up trend from 1.2005 (2021 low) is still in progress. Break of 1.3976 will confirm resumption and target 61.8% projection of 1.2401 to 1.3976 from 1.3261 at 1.4234. Firm break there will pave the way to long term resistance zone at 1.4667/89 (2016, 2020 highs). On the downside, break of 1.3261 support is needed to confirm medium term topping. Otherwise, outlook will remain bullish even in case of deep pull back.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.3386; (P) 1.3462; (R1) 1.3511; More….

USD/CAD’s fall from 1.3860 is in progress and intraday bias remains on the downside. This decline is seen as the third leg of the corrective pattern from 1.3976. Deeper fall would be seen to 1.3224/61 support zone. But strong support should be seen around there to bring rebound. Still, break of 1.3563 resistance is needed to indicate completion of the decline first. Or further fall will remain in favor in case of recovery.

In the bigger picture, the up trend from 1.2005 (2021 low) is still in progress. Break of 1.3976 will confirm resumption and target 61.8% projection of 1.2401 to 1.3976 from 1.3261 at 1.4234. Firm break there will pave the way to long term resistance zone at 1.4667/89 (2016, 2020 highs). On the downside, sustained break of 55 week EMA (now at 1.3282) is needed to confirm medium term topping. Otherwise, outlook will remain bullish even in case of deep pull back.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.3101; (P) 1.3126; (R1) 1.3172; More….

Intraday bias in USD/CAD is turned neutral with a temporary low formed at 1.3081. Further decline is expected as long as 1.3259 resistance holds. Below 1.3081 will target 1.2994 low first. Break will resume the larger fall from 1.4667. However, break of 1.3259 resistance will extend the consolidation pattern from 1.2994 with another rising leg. Intraday bias will be turned back to the upside for 1.3418 instead.

In the bigger picture, fall from 1.4667 is seen as the third leg of the corrective pattern from 1.4689 (2016 high). Sustained break of 61.8% retracement of 1.2061 to 1.4667 at 1.3056 will target a test on 1.2061 (2017 low). But we’d expect loss of downside momentum as it approaches this key support. On the upside, firm break of 1.3715 resistance will argue that this falling leg has completed and turn focus back to 1.4667/89 resistance zone.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.3758; (P) 1.3828; (R1) 1.3952; More…

Intraday bias in USD/CAD stays neutral for consolidation below 1.3976. Outlook will stay bullish as long as 1.3501 support holds. Firm break of 1.3976 will resume larger up trend, and target 200% projection of 1.2005 to 1.2947 from 1.2401 at 1.4285.

In the bigger picture, up trend from 1.2005 (2021 low) is still in progress. Based on current impulsive momentum, it could be resuming long term up trend from 0.9056 (2007 low). Whether it is or it isn’t, retest of 1.4689 (2016 high) should be seen next. This will now remain the favored case as long as 1.3222 resistance turned support holds.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.3198; (P) 1.3228; (R1) 1.3252; More….

Intraday bias USD/CAD remains neutral for the moment and outlook is unchanged. A short term bottom was formed at 1.3115, and further rise is mildly in favor. Break of 1.3284 will resume the rebound from 1.3115 to 55 D EMA (now at 1.3373).

In the bigger picture, price actions from 1.3976 are still viewed as a correction to up trend from 1.2005 (2021 low). Risk will stay on the downside as long as 1.3299 support turned resistance holds. Next target is 61.8% retracement of 1.2005 to 1.3976 at 1.2758. However, sustained trading above 1.3229 will raise the chance that the correction has completed and turn focus back to 1.3653 resistance.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.2747; (P) 1.2816; (R1) 1.2861; More….

Intraday bias in USD/CAD is turned neutral again as rebound from 1.2728 failed well below 1.2996 resistance. For now, we’re still favoring the bullish case that rise from 1.2061 is still in progress. However, above 1.2996 will affirm this year and target 1.3124 and above. However, break of 1.2728 will now dampen our bullish view and turn focus back to 1.2526 support instead.

In the bigger picture, current development suggests that rebound from 1.2061 has not completed yet. Focus is back on 38.2% retracement of 1.4689 to 1.2061 at 1.3065. Sustained trading above there will confirm medium term bullish reversal. That is, down trend from 1.4689 has completed at 1.2061 already. In that case, next target will be 61.8% retracement at 1.3685. However, break of 1.2526 support will dampen this bullish view again. And, focus will be back on 1.2061 key support level, which is close to 50% retracement of 0.9406 (2011 low) to 1.4689 (2015 high) at 1.2048

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.2763; (P) 1.2788; (R1) 1.2811; More….

USD/CAD is staying in consolidation from 1.2880 temporary top and intraday bias remains neutral for the moment. Rebound from 1.2588 is still expected to continue. On the upside, above 1.2880 will target 1.2994 support turned resistance. However, break of 1.2684 minor support will argue that the rebound has completed and bring retest of 1.2588 low.

In the bigger picture, fall from 1.4667 is seen as the third leg of the corrective pattern from 1.4689 (2016 high). Further decline should be seen back to 1.2061 (2017 low). In any case, break of 1.3389 resistance is needed to indicate medium term bottoming. Otherwise, outlook will remain bearish in case of rebound.

USD/CAD stayed in consolidation below 1.3075 last week and outlook is unchanged. Initial bias remains neutral this week first, and further rally is in favor with 1.2712 support intact. On the upside, break of 1.3075 will resume the rise from 1.2401. Sustained trading above 1.3022 fibonacci level will carry larger bullish implications. Next target will be 100% projection of 1.2005 to 1.2947 from 1.2401 at 1.3343. On the downside, however, break of 1.2712 support will indicate rejection by 1.3022 key fibonacci resistance, and bring deeper decline back to 1.2401 support.

In the bigger picture, focus stays on 38.2% retracement of 1.4667 (2020 high) to 1.2005 (2021 low) at 1.3022. Sustained break there should confirm that the down trend from 1.4667 has completed after defending 1.2061 long term cluster support. Further rise would then be seen towards 61.8% retracement at 1.3650. However, rejection by 1.3022 will maintain medium term bearishness. Break of 1.2005 will resume the down trend from 1.4667 and that carries larger bearish implications too.

In the longer term picture, price actions from 1.4689 (2016 high) are seen as a consolidation pattern only. That is, up trend from 0.9506 (2007 low) is still expected to resume at a later stage. This will remain the favored case as long as 1.2061 support holds, which is close to 50% retracement of 0.9406 to 1.4689 at 1.2048. However, firm break of 1.2061 support will argue that USD/CAD has already started a long term down trend. Next target is 61.8% retracement of 0.9406 to 1.4689 at 1.1424.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.3256; (P) 1.3295; (R1) 1.3361; More…

Intraday bias in USD/CAD remains mildly on the upside for the moment. Rebound from 1.3176 short term bottom should extend to 38.2% retracement of 1.3897 to 1.3176 at 1.3451. On the downside, break of 1.3176 is needed to confirm resumption of the fall from 1.3897. Otherwise, risk is mildly on the upside in case of retreat.

In the bigger picture, outlook is mixed up by deeper then expected fall from 1.3897. But after all, price actions from 1.3976 (2022 high) are viewed as a corrective pattern that’s in progress. Larger up trend from 1.2005 (2021 low) is still expected to resume at a later stage as long as 1.2947 resistance turned support holds.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.3210; (P) 1.3251; (R1) 1.3315; More…

USD/CAD’s rebound from 1.3016 resumed after brief consolidation and intraday bias is back on the upside. Further rise should be seen to 1.3432/3564 resistance zone. On the downside, however, break of 1.3177 support will turn bias back to the downside for retesting 1.3016 low instead.

In the bigger picture, focus stays on 1.3068 cluster support (38.2% retracement of 1.2061 to 1.3664 at 1.3052). Decisive break there will confirm completion of up trend from 1.2061 (2017 low). Further fall should be seen to 61.8% retracement at 1.2673 next. Strong rebound from there will retain medium term bullish. But sustained break of 61.8% retracement of 1.4689 (2016 high) to 1.2061 at 1.3685, is needed to confirm resumption of up trend from 1.2061 (2017 low). Otherwise, risk will stay on the downside.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.3832; (P) 1.3865; (R1) 1.3890; More…

USD/CAD retreated quickly after edging higher to 1.3897 and intraday bias is turned neutral again. Downside of retreat should be contained by 1.3739 support to bring another rally. On the upside, above 1.3897 will target 1.3976 resistance. Decisive break there will resume larger up trend to 1.4064 projection level.

In the bigger picture, corrective pattern from 1.3976 (2022 high) should have completed with three waves down to 1.3091. Decisive break of 1.3976 high will confirm resumption of up trend from 1.2005 (2021 low). Next target will be 61.8% projection of 1.2401 to 1.3976 from 1.3091 at 1.4064. This will now remain the favored case as long as 1.3568 support holds.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.3418; (P) 1.3538; (R1) 1.3606; More…

USD/CAD’s pull back from 1.3665 short term top is still in progress. Intraday bias stays on the downside for 38.2% retracement of 1.2781 to 1.3664 at 1.3327. We’d expect downside to be contained there, which is close to 55 day EMA, to bring rebound. On the upside, above 1.3566 minor resistance will turn bias neutral first. But after all, firm break of 1.3664 is now needed to confirm up trend resumption. Otherwise, risk will stay on the upside even in case of recovery.

In the bigger picture, up trend from 1.2061 (2017 low) is still in progress and should target 61.8% retracement of 1.4689 (2016 high) to 1.2061 at 1.3685. At this point, the structure is not clearly impulsive yet. Hence, we’d be cautious on topping between 1.3685/3793. But in any case, medium term outlook will stay bullish as long as channel support (now at 1.2993) holds. Sustained break of 1.3793 will pave the way to retest 1.4689 (2015 high).

USD/CAD’s rally from 1.3091 continued last week despite some interim retreat. Initial bias is now on the upside this week for 1.3653 resistance. Decisive break there will confirm that correction from 1.3976 has completed, a target a test on this high. On the downside, however, break of 1.3509 support will indicate short term topping, and turn bias to the downside for some correction first.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 1.3976 are viewed as a corrective pattern only. Upon completion, rise from 1.2005 (2021 low) would resume through 1.3976. Next target is 61.8% projection of 1.2005 to 1.3976 from 1.3091 at 1.4309. For now, this will remain the favored case as long as 55 D EMA (now at 1.3387) holds.

In the longer term picture, price actions from 1.4689 (2016 high) are seen as a consolidation pattern only, which might have completed at 1.2005. That is, up trend from 0.9506 (2007 low) is expected to resume at a later stage. This will remain the favored case as 55 M EMA (now at 1.3044) holds.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.3820; (P) 1.3919; (R1) 1.4105; More….

USD/CAD surges to as high as 1.4164 so far and intraday bias remains on the upside. Next target is 261.8% projection of 1.2951 to 1.3329 from 1.3202 at 1.4192. Sustained break there will pave the way to medium term projection at 1.4554. On the downside, below 1.3960 minor support will turn intraday bias neutral and bring consolidations, before staging another rally.

In the bigger picture, rise from 1.2061 (2016 low) is still in progress. Next upside target is 100% projection of 1.2061 to 1.3664 from 1.2951 at 1.4554, which is close to 1.4689 (2016 high). Initial resistance could be seen between 1.4554/4689 to bring pull back. Decisive break there will confirm long term up trend resumption.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.3459; (P) 1.3480; (R1) 1.3521; More….

Intraday bias in USD/CAD is back on the upside with break of 1.3501 resistance. Intraday bias is back on the upside. As noted before, corrective fall from 1.3976 should have completed with three waves down to 1.3091. Further rally would be seen to retest 1.3653 resistance next. Break there will further confirm this case and target 1.3976 high. For now, further rally is expected as long as 1.3371 support holds, in case of retreat.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 1.3976 are viewed as a corrective fall only. Upon completion, rise from 1.2005 (2021 low) would resume through 1.3976 towards 1.4667/89 long term resistance zone. In case of another fall, downside should be contained by 61.8% retracement of 1.2005 to 1.3976 at 1.2758.