USD/CAD Weekly Outlook

USD/CAD’s late rebound last week suggests that pull back from 1.3693 has completed at 1.3378. Initial bias is back on the upside for retesting 1.3693 high next. Strong resistance could be seen there to limit upside on first attempt. On the downside, below 1.3415 support will resume the fall from 1.3693 through 1.3378 to 61.8% retracement of 1.3091 to 1.3693 at 1.3321.

In the bigger picture, no change in the view that price actions from 1.3976 (2022 high) are a corrective pattern to up trend from 1.2005 (2021 low). The question is whether it has completed with three waves down to 1.3091, or still extending. But even in case of extension, downside should be contained by 50% retracement of 1.2005 to 1.3796 at 1.2991. Meanwhile, firm break of 1.3693 should validate the former case, and target 1.3976 and above.

In the longer term picture, price actions from 1.4689 (2016 high) are seen as a consolidation pattern only, which might have completed at 1.2005. That is, up trend from 0.9506 (2007 low) is expected to resume at a later stage. This will remain the favored case as 55 M EMA (now at 1.3082) holds.

USD/CAD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.3466; (P) 1.3491; (R1) 1.3511; More….

No change in USD/CAD as consolidation from 1.3378 is extending. Intraday bias stays neutral. Further decline remains mildly in favor. Break of 1.3378 will resume the fall from 1.3693, as another leg in the corrective pattern from 1.3976 high, to 61.8% retracement of 1.3091 to 1.3693 at 1.3321. However, firm break of 1.3548 will turn bias back to the upside for retesting 1.3693 instead.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 1.3976 are viewed as a corrective pattern to the up trend from 1.2005 (2021 low). Deeper decline could be seen as the pattern is now extending. But downside should be contained by 50% retracement of 1.2005 to 1.3796 at 1.2991. Rise from 1.2005 is still expected to resume after the correction completes.

USD/CAD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.3480; (P) 1.3512; (R1) 1.3528; More….

Outlook in USD/CAD remains unchanged as consolidation from 1.3378 is in progress. Further decline remains mildly in favor. Break of 1.3378 will resume the fall from 1.3693, as another leg in the corrective pattern from 1.3976 high, to 61.8% retracement of 1.3091 to 1.3693 at 1.3321. However, firm break of 1.3548 will turn bias back to the upside for retesting 1.3693 instead.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 1.3976 are viewed as a corrective pattern to the up trend from 1.2005 (2021 low). Deeper decline could be seen as the pattern is now extending. But downside should be contained by 50% retracement of 1.2005 to 1.3796 at 1.2991. Rise from 1.2005 is still expected to resume after the correction completes.

USD/CAD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.3442; (P) 1.3467; (R1) 1.3480; More….

Intraday bias in USD/CAD remains neutral for the moment. Break of 1.3378 will resume the fall from 1.3693, as another leg in the corrective pattern from 1.3976 high, to 61.8% retracement of 1.3091 to 1.3693 at 1.3321. However, firm break of 1.3548 will turn bias back to the upside for retesting 1.3693 instead.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 1.3976 are viewed as a corrective pattern to the up trend from 1.2005 (2021 low). Deeper decline could be seen as the pattern is now extending. But downside should be contained by 50% retracement of 1.2005 to 1.3796 at 1.2991. Rise from 1.2005 is still expected to resume after the correction completes.

USD/CAD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.3442; (P) 1.3467; (R1) 1.3480; More….

USD/CAD is staying in consolidation from 1.3378 and intraday bias remains neutral. Risk will stay on the downside as long as 1.3548 resistance holds. Break of 1.3378 will resume the fall from 1.3693, as another leg in the corrective pattern from 1.3976 high, to 61.8% retracement of 1.3091 to 1.3693 at 1.3321. However, firm break of 1.3548 will turn bias back to the upside for retesting 1.3693 instead.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 1.3976 are viewed as a corrective pattern to the up trend from 1.2005 (2021 low). Deeper decline could be seen as the pattern is now extending. But downside should be contained by 50% retracement of 1.2005 to 1.3796 at 1.2991. Rise from 1.2005 is still expected to resume after the correction completes.

USD/CAD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.3441; (P) 1.3466; (R1) 1.3509; More….

Intraday bias in USD/CAD remains neutral as consolidation from 1.3378 is extending. Risk will stay on the downside as long as 1.3548 resistance holds. Break of 1.3378 will resume the fall from 1.3693, as another leg in the corrective pattern from 1.3976 high, to 61.8% retracement of 1.3091 to 1.3693 at 1.3321.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 1.3976 are viewed as a corrective pattern to the up trend from 1.2005 (2021 low). Deeper decline could be seen as the pattern is now extending. But downside should be contained by 50% retracement of 1.2005 to 1.3796 at 1.2991. Rise from 1.2005 is still expected to resume after the correction completes.

USD/CAD Weekly Outlook

USD/CAD’s deep decline last week argues that rise from 1.3091 might have completed at 1.3693 already. Fall from there is probably another leg in the corrective pattern from 1.3976 high. Initial bias stays neutral this week for consolidation above 1.3378 temporary low. But risk stays on the downside as long as 1.3548 resistance holds. Below 1.3378 will target 61.8% retracement of 1.3091 to 1.3693 at 1.3321.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 1.3976 are viewed as a corrective pattern to the up trend from 1.2005 (2021 low). Deeper decline could be seen as the pattern is now extending. But downside should be contained by 50% retracement of 1.2005 to 1.3796 at 1.2991. Rise from 1.2005 is still expected to resume after the correction completes.

In the longer term picture, price actions from 1.4689 (2016 high) are seen as a consolidation pattern only, which might have completed at 1.2005. That is, up trend from 0.9506 (2007 low) is expected to resume at a later stage. This will remain the favored case as 55 M EMA (now at 1.3082) holds.

USD/CAD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.3412; (P) 1.3446; (R1) 1.3495; More….

Intraday bias in USD/CAD is turned neutral for now, as it recovered after dipping to 1.3378. Some consolidations are expected by another fall is in favor. Below 1.3378 will target 61.8% retracement of 1.3091 to 1.3693 at 1.3321. Sustained break there will target 1.3091 support next. Nevertheless, break of 1.3548 resistance will turn bias back to the upside for 1.3693 resistance instead.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 1.3976 are viewed as a corrective pattern to the up trend from 1.2005 (2021 low). Deeper decline could be seen as the pattern is now extending. But downside should be contained by 50% retracement of 1.2005 to 1.3796 at 1.2991. Rise from 1.2005 is still expected to resume after the correction completes.

USD/CAD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.3390; (P) 1.3442; (R1) 1.3499; More….

Intraday bias in USD/CAD remains on the downside for the moment. Current fall from 1.3693 is seen as another falling leg in the corrective pattern from 1.3976. Deeper decline would be seen to 61.8% retracement of 1.3091 to 1.3693 at 1.3321. Sustained break there will target 1.3091 support next. On the upside, above 1.3492 minor resistance will turn intraday bias neutral and bring consolidations first, before staging another decline.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 1.3976 are viewed as a corrective pattern to the up trend from 1.2005 (2021 low). Deeper decline could be seen as the pattern is now extending. But downside should be contained by 50% retracement of 1.2005 to 1.3796 at 1.2991. Rise from 1.2005 is still expected to resume after the correction completes.

USD/CAD Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.3462; (P) 1.3496; (R1) 1.3519; More….

Intraday bias in USD/CAD stays on the downside at this point. Current fall from 1.3693 is seen as another falling leg in the corrective pattern from 1.3976. Deeper decline would be seen to 61.8% retracement of 1.3091 to 1.3693 at 1.3321. Sustained break there will target 1.3091 support next. On the upside, above 1.3492 minor resistance will turn intraday bias neutral and bring consolidations first, before staging another decline.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 1.3976 are viewed as a corrective pattern to the up trend from 1.2005 (2021 low). Deeper decline could be seen as the pattern is now extending. But downside should be contained by 50% retracement of 1.2005 to 1.3796 at 1.2991. Rise from 1.2005 is still expected to resume after the correction completes.

USD/CAD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.3462; (P) 1.3496; (R1) 1.3519; More….

USD/CAD’s break of 1.3488 support argues that rise from 1.3091 might have completed at 1.3693. Intraday bias is mildly on the downside at this point. Sustained trading below 55 D EMA (now at 1.3467) will target 61.8% retracement of 1.3091 to 1.3693 at 1.3321, as another leg of the corrective pattern from 1.3976. Nevertheless, break of 1.3693 will revive near term bullishness for 1.3860/3876 resistance zone.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 1.3976 are viewed as a corrective pattern. Strong support from 55 D EMA (now at 1.3467) will solidify the case that it has completed with three waves down to 1.3091 already. Break of 1.3976 will target 61.8% projection of 1.2005 to 1.3976 from 1.3091 at 1.4309. However, sustained break of 55 D EMA will indicate that the pattern is extending with another falling leg before completion.

USD/CAD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.3497; (P) 1.3524; (R1) 1.3553; More….

Intraday bias in USD/CAD stays neutral for the moment. Further rally is still expected as long as 1.3488 support holds. On the upside, break of 1.3693 will resume the rise from 1.3091 and target 1.3860 resistance next. However, firm break of 1.3488 will bring deeper fall to 61.8% retracement of 1.3091 to 1.3693 at 1.3321.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 1.3976 are viewed as a corrective pattern. Strong support from 55 D EMA (now at 1.3465) will solidify the case that it has completed with three waves down to 1.3091 already. Break of 1.3976 will target 61.8% projection of 1.2005 to 1.3976 from 1.3091 at 1.4309. However, sustained break of 55 D EMA will indicate that the pattern is extending with another falling leg before completion.

USD/CAD Weekly Outlook

USD/CAD’s correction from 1.3693 extended lower last week but stayed above 1.3488 support. Initial bias remains neutral first and further rally is expected. Break of 1.3693 will resume the rise from 1.3091 and target 1.3860 resistance next. However, firm break of 1.3488 will bring deeper fall to 61.8% retracement of 1.3091 to 1.3693 at 1.3321.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 1.3976 are viewed as a corrective pattern. Strong support from 55 D EMA (now at 1.3465) will solidify the case that it has completed with three waves down to 1.3091 already. Break of 1.3976 will target 61.8% projection of 1.2005 to 1.3976 from 1.3091 at 1.4309. However, sustained break of 55 D EMA will indicate that the pattern is extending with another falling leg before completion.

In the longer term picture, price actions from 1.4689 (2016 high) are seen as a consolidation pattern only, which might have completed at 1.2005. That is, up trend from 0.9506 (2007 low) is expected to resume at a later stage. This will remain the favored case as 55 M EMA (now at 1.3082) holds.

USD/CAD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.3481; (P) 1.3519; (R1) 1.3544; More….

Intraday bias in USD/CAD stays neutral for the moment. Overall, further rally is expected as long as 1.3488 support holds. Above 1.3693 will resume the rally from 1.3091 to 1.3860 resistance, and then 1.3976 high. However, firm break of 1.3488 will turn bias to the downside for deeper decline.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 1.3976 are viewed as a corrective pattern. Strong support from 55 D EMA (now at 1.3465) will solidify the case that it has completed with three waves down to 1.3091 already. Break of 1.3976 will target 61.8% projection of 1.2005 to 1.3976 from 1.3091 at 1.4309. However, sustained break of 55 D EMA will indicate that the pattern is extending with another falling leg before completion.

USD/CAD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.3518; (P) 1.3552; (R1) 1.3584; More….

Intraday bias in USD/CAD stays neutral as correction from 1.3693 is extending. Overall, further rally is expected as long as 1.3488 support holds. Above 1.3693 will resume the rally from 1.3091 to 1.3860 resistance, and then 1.3976 high. However, firm break of 1.3488 will turn bias to the downside for deeper decline.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 1.3976 are viewed as a corrective pattern only. Upon completion, rise from 1.2005 (2021 low) would resume through 1.3976. Next target is 61.8% projection of 1.2005 to 1.3976 from 1.3091 at 1.4309. For now, this will remain the favored case as long as 55 D EMA (now at 1.3465) holds.

USD/CAD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.3534; (P) 1.3563; (R1) 1.3583; More….

USD/CAD is extending the consolidation from 1.3693 and intraday bias stays neutral. Further rally is expected as long as 1.3488 support holds. Above 1.3693 will resume the rally from 1.3091 to 1.3860 resistance, and then 1.3976 high.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 1.3976 are viewed as a corrective pattern only. Upon completion, rise from 1.2005 (2021 low) would resume through 1.3976. Next target is 61.8% projection of 1.2005 to 1.3976 from 1.3091 at 1.4309. For now, this will remain the favored case as long as 55 D EMA (now at 1.3463) holds.

USD/CAD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.3545; (P) 1.3592; (R1) 1.3623; More….

Outlook in USD/CAD remains unchanged and intraday bias stays neutral. Consolidation from 1.3693 would extend and deeper pull back might be seen. But further rally is expected as long as 1.3488 support holds. Above 1.3693 will resume the rally from 1.3091 to 1.3860 resistance, and then 1.3976 high.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 1.3976 are viewed as a corrective pattern only. Upon completion, rise from 1.2005 (2021 low) would resume through 1.3976. Next target is 61.8% projection of 1.2005 to 1.3976 from 1.3091 at 1.4309. For now, this will remain the favored case as long as 55 D EMA (now at 1.3456) holds.

USD/CAD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.3601; (P) 1.3647; (R1) 1.3685; More….

Intraday bias in USD/CAD stays neutral at this point. More consolidations could be seen below 1.3693 temporary top. But further rally is expected as long as 1.3488 support holds. Above 1.3693 will resume the rally from 1.3091 to 1.3860 resistance, and then 1.3976 high.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 1.3976 are viewed as a corrective pattern only. Upon completion, rise from 1.2005 (2021 low) would resume through 1.3976. Next target is 61.8% projection of 1.2005 to 1.3976 from 1.3091 at 1.4309. For now, this will remain the favored case as long as 55 D EMA (now at 1.3445) holds.

USD/CAD Weekly Outlook

USD/CAD’s rally from 1.3091 resumed last week but retreated after hitting 1.3693. Initial bias remains neutral this week for some consolidations first. Outlook is unchanged that correction from 1.3976 has completed at 1.3091. Further rally is expected as long as 1.3488 support holds. Above 1.3693 will resume the rally from 1.3091 to 1.3860 resistance, and then 1.3976 high.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 1.3976 are viewed as a corrective pattern only. Upon completion, rise from 1.2005 (2021 low) would resume through 1.3976. Next target is 61.8% projection of 1.2005 to 1.3976 from 1.3091 at 1.4309. For now, this will remain the favored case as long as 55 D EMA (now at 1.3445) holds.

In the longer term picture, price actions from 1.4689 (2016 high) are seen as a consolidation pattern only, which might have completed at 1.2005. That is, up trend from 0.9506 (2007 low) is expected to resume at a later stage. This will remain the favored case as 55 M EMA (now at 1.3082) holds.

USD/CAD Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.3648; (P) 1.3671; (R1) 1.3711; More….

Intraday bias in USD/CAD is turned neutral with today’s retreat, and some consolidations could be seen below 1.3693. But the favored case is still that correction from 1.3976 has completed at 1.3091. Further rally is expected as long as 1.3488 support holds. Above 1.3693 will resume the rally from 1.3091 to 1.3860 resistance, and then 1.3976 high.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 1.3976 are viewed as a corrective pattern only. Upon completion, rise from 1.2005 (2021 low) would resume through 1.3976. Next target is 61.8% projection of 1.2005 to 1.3976 from 1.3091 at 1.4309. For now, this will remain the favored case as long as 55 D EMA (now at 1.3436) holds.