USD/CAD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.3648; (P) 1.3667; (R1) 1.3698; More….

USD/CAD lost some upside momentum as seen in 4 hour MACD. But with 1.3529 minor support intact, further rise is still expected. Current rally is part of the larger rise from 1.2460 and should target next medium term fibonacci level at 1.3838 ahead. Meanwhile, break of 1.3529 will indicate short term topping and bring lengthier consolidation.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 1.4689 medium term top are seen as a correction pattern. The first leg has completed at 1.2460. The second leg from 1.2460 is likely still in progress and could target 61.8% retracement of 1.4689 to 1.2460 at 1.3838. We’d look for reversal signal there to start the third leg. However, break of 1.3222 support will argue that the third leg has already started and should at least bring a retest of 1.2460 low. Meanwhile, sustained trading above 1.3838 would pave the way to retest 1.4689 high.

USD/CAD 4 Hours Chart

USD/CAD Daily Chart

USD/CAD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.3612; (P) 1.3654; (R1) 1.3685; More….

Intraday bias in USD/CAD remains on the upside for the moment. Medium term rise from 1.2460 is still in progress and should target next medium term fibonacci level at 1.3838 ahead. on the downside, break of 1.3529 minor support will turn bias neutral and bring consolidation. But for now, outlook will remain bullish as long as 1.3222 support holds.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 1.4689 medium term top are seen as a correction pattern. The first leg has completed at 1.2460. The second leg from 1.2460 is likely still in progress and could target 61.8% retracement of 1.4689 to 1.2460 at 1.3838. We’d look for reversal signal there to start the third leg. However, break of 1.3222 support will argue that the third leg has already started and should at least bring a retest of 1.2460 low. Meanwhile, sustained trading above 1.3838 would pave the way to retest 1.4689 high.

USD/CAD 4 Hours Chart

USD/CAD Daily Chart

USD/CAD Weekly Outlook

USD/CAD rose strongly to as high as 1.3693 last week. The break of 1.3598 resistance confirms resumption of medium term rise from 1.2460. Further rally would now be seen to next medium term fibonacci level at 1.3838 ahead.

USD/CAD 4 Hours Chart

Initial bias in USD/CAD remains on the upside this week. Current rise from 1.3222 should now target 1.3838 fibonacci level. Rise from 1.2460 is having a corrective structure. Hence, we’d look for topping signal above 1.3898. On the downside, below 1.3529 minor support will turn bias neutral and bring consolidation. But for now, outlook will remain bullish as long as 1.3222 support holds.

USD/CAD Daily Chart

In the bigger picture, price actions from 1.4689 medium term top are seen as a correction pattern. The first leg has completed at 1.2460. The second leg from 1.2460 is likely still in progress and could target 61.8% retracement of 1.4689 to 1.2460 at 1.3838. We’d look for reversal signal there to start the third leg. However, break of 1.3222 support will argue that the third leg has already started and should at least bring a retest of 1.2460 low. Meanwhile, sustained trading above 1.3838 would pave the way to retest 1.4689 high.

USD/CAD Weekly Chart

In the longer term picture, rise from 0.9056 (2007 low) is viewed as a long term up trend. It’s taking a breath after hitting 1.4689. But such rise expected to resume later to test 1.6196 down the road.

USD/CAD Monthly Chart

USD/CAD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.3568; (P) 1.3568; (R1) 1.3647; More….

USD/CAD’s rise resumed after brief consolidation and reaches 1.3669 so far. Intraday bias is back on the upside. Whole medium term rise from 1.2460 is still in progress and should target next medium term fibonacci level at 1.3838. On the downside, below 1.3529 minor support will turn bias neutral and bring consolidation before staging another rise.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 1.4689 medium term top are seen as a correction pattern. The first leg has completed at 1.2460. The second leg from 1.2460 is likely still in progress and could target 61.8% retracement of 1.4689 to 1.2460 at 1.3838. We’d look for reversal signal there to start the third leg. However, break of 1.2968 will argue that the third leg has already started and should at least bring a retest of 1.2460 low. Meanwhile, sustained trading above 1.3838 would pave the way to retest 1.4689 high.

USD/CAD 4 Hours Chart

USD/CAD Daily Chart

USD/CAD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.3568; (P) 1.3568; (R1) 1.3647; More….

A temporary top is in place at 1.3647 after USD/CAD fails to sustain above 1.3598 key resistance. Intraday bias is turned neutral first. Some consolidations should be seen but downside of retreat would be contained by 1.3410 support to bring another rally. Break of 1.3647 will extend the whole medium rise from 1.2460 to next medium term fibonacci level at 1.3838. However, break of 1.3410 will turn bias back to the downside for 1.3222 support instead.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 1.4689 medium term top are seen as a correction pattern. The first leg has completed at 1.2460. The second leg from 1.2460 is likely still in progress and could target 61.8% retracement of 1.4689 to 1.2460 at 1.3838. We’d look for reversal signal there to start the third leg. However, break of 1.2968 will argue that the third leg has already started and should at least bring a retest of 1.2460 low. Meanwhile, sustained trading above 1.3838 would pave the way to retest 1.4689 high.

USD/CAD 4 Hours Chart

USD/CAD Daily Chart

USD/CAD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.3502; (P) 1.3564; (R1) 1.3635; More….

Intraday bias in USD/CAD remains on the upside for the moment. Sustained break of 1.3598 will confirm resumption of medium term rise from 1.2460. In that case, USD/CAD should target next medium term fibonacci level at 1.3838. On the downside, below 1.3524 minor support will turn bias neutral and bring retreat. But downside should be contained well above 1.3222 support and bring another rise.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 1.4689 medium term top are seen as a correction pattern. The first leg has completed at 1.2460. The second leg from 1.2460 is likely still in progress and could target 61.8% retracement of 1.4689 to 1.2460 at 1.3838. We’d look for reversal signal there to start the third leg. However, break of 1.2968 will argue that the third leg has already started and should at least bring a retest of 1.2460 low. Meanwhile, sustained trading above 1.3838 would pave the way to retest 1.4689 high.

USD/CAD 4 Hours Chart

USD/CAD Daily Chart

USD/CAD Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.3432; (P) 1.3476; (R1) 1.3543; More….

USD/CAD’s rise continues today. The break of 1.3598 key resistance indicates resumption of medium term rise from 1.2460. Intraday bias remains on the upside and USD/CAD should target next medium term fibonacci level at 1.3838. On the downside, below 1.3524 minor support will turn bias neutral and bring retreat. But downside should be contained well above 1.3222 support and bring another rise.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 1.4689 medium term top are seen as a correction pattern. The first leg has completed at 1.2460. The second leg from 1.2460 is likely still in progress and could target 61.8% retracement of 1.4689 to 1.2460 at 1.3838. We’d look for reversal signal there to start the third leg. However, break of 1.2968 will argue that the third leg has already started and should at least bring a retest of 1.2460 low. Meanwhile, sustained trading above 1.3838 would pave the way to retest 1.4689 high.

USD/CAD 4 Hours Chart

USD/CAD Daily Chart

USD/CAD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.3432; (P) 1.3476; (R1) 1.3543; More….

USD/CAD’s rally extends after brief retreat and drew support from 4 hour 55 EMA. The break of 1.3543 resistance confirms resumption of rise from 1.2968. Intraday bias stays on the upside for 1.3598. Firm break there will resume whole rally from 1.2460 to next medium term fibonacci level at 1.3838. On the downside, break of 1.3410 support is needed to indicate short term topping. Otherwise, outlook will remain bullish in case of retreat.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 1.4689 medium term top are seen as a correction pattern. The first leg has completed at 1.2460. The second leg from 1.2460 is likely still in progress and could target 61.8% retracement of 1.4689 to 1.2460 at 1.3838. We’d look for reversal signal there to start the third leg. However, break of 1.2968 will argue that the third leg has already started and should at least bring a retest of 1.2460 low. Meanwhile, sustained trading above 1.3838 would pave the way to retest 1.4689 high.

USD/CAD 4 Hours Chart

USD/CAD Daily Chart

USD/CAD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.3459; (P) 1.3492; (R1) 1.3527; More….

With 1.3456 minor support intact, intraday bias remains mildly on the upside for 1.3534 resistance. Break will target 1.3598 high next. Decisive break there will confirm resumption whole medium term rally from 12.460 and target next medium term fibonacci level at 1.3838. . On the downside, below 1.3456 minor support will turn intraday bias neutral and bring consolidation. But retreat should be contained well above 1.3222 support and bring another rally.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 1.4689 medium term top are seen as a correction pattern. The first leg has completed at 1.2460. The second leg from 1.2460 is likely still in progress and could target 61.8% retracement of 1.4689 to 1.2460 at 1.3838. We’d look for reversal signal there to start the third leg. However, break of 1.2968 will argue that the third leg has already started and should at least bring a retest of 1.2460 low. Meanwhile, sustained trading above 1.3838 would pave the way to retest 1.4689 high.

USD/CAD 4 Hours Chart

USD/CAD Daily Chart

USD/CAD Weekly Outlook

USD/CAD’s strong rally and break of 1.3455 resistance argues that consolidation pattern from 1.3534 is completed at 1.3222 already. Rises from 1.2968 and 1.2460 are likely resuming. Further upside should be seen to 1.3598 and then 1.3838 fibonacci level ahead.

USD/CAD 4 Hours Chart

Initial bias in USD/CAD remains on the upside this week for 1.3534 resistance first. Break will target 1.3598 key resistance next. Firm break there will confirm resumption of whole rise from 1.2460 to next medium term fibonacci level at 1.3838. On the downside, below 1.3456 minor support will turn intraday bias neutral and bring consolidation. But retreat should be contained well above 1.3222 support and bring another rally.

USD/CAD Daily Chart

In the bigger picture, price actions from 1.4689 medium term top are seen as a correction pattern. The first leg has completed at 1.2460. The second leg from 1.2460 is likely still in progress and could target 61.8% retracement of 1.4689 to 1.2460 at 1.3838. We’d look for reversal signal there to start the third leg. However, break of 1.2968 will argue that the third leg has already started and should at least bring a retest of 1.2460 low. Meanwhile, sustained trading above 1.3838 would pave the way to retest 1.4689 high.

USD/CAD Weekly Chart

In the longer term picture, rise from 0.9056 (2007 low) is viewed as a long term up trend. It’s taking a breath after hitting 1.4689. But such rise expected to resume later to test 1.6196 down the road.

USD/CAD Monthly Chart

USD/CAD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.3450; (P) 1.3474; (R1) 1.3494; More….

Intraday bias in USD/CAD remains mildly on the upside for 1.3399 minor support intact. Rallies from 1.2968 and 1.2460 are possibly resuming. Break of 1.3534 resistance will confirm this bullish case and target 1.3598 high first. Decisive break there will pave the way to next medium term fibonacci level at 1.3838. On the downside, below 1.3399 minor support will turn bias neutral and bring consolidation before staging another rally.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 1.4689 medium term top are seen as a correction pattern. The first leg has completed at 1.2460. The second leg from 1.2460 is likely still in progress and could target 61.8% retracement of 1.4689 to 1.2460 at 1.3838. We’d look for reversal signal there to start the third leg. However, break of 1.2968 will argue that the third leg has already started and should at least bring a retest of 1.2460 low. Meanwhile, sustained trading above 1.3838 would pave the way to retest 1.4689 high.

USD/CAD 4 Hours Chart

USD/CAD Daily Chart

USD/CAD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.3328; (P) 1.3364; (R1) 1.3416; More….

Intraday bias in USD/CAD remains on the upside for the moment. The break of 1.3455 resistance confirmed that consolidation from 1.3534 has completed with three waves down to 1.3222. And the rises from 1.1968, and that from 1.2460 are possibly resuming. Further rally would be seen to retest 1.3598 high first. Decisive break there will pave the way to next medium term fibonacci level at 1.3838. On the downside, below 1.3399 minor support will turn bias neutral and bring consolidation before staging another rally.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 1.4689 medium term top are seen as a correction pattern. The first leg has completed at 1.2460. The second leg from 1.2460 is likely still in progress and could target 61.8% retracement of 1.4689 to 1.2460 at 1.3838. We’d look for reversal signal there to start the third leg. However, break of 1.2968 will argue that the third leg has already started and should at least bring a retest of 1.2460 low. Meanwhile, sustained trading above 1.3838 would pave the way to retest 1.4689 high.

USD/CAD 4 Hours Chart

USD/CAD Daily Chart

USD/CAD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.3328; (P) 1.3364; (R1) 1.3416; More….

USD/CAD’s rise from 1.3222 continues and reaches as high as 1.3421 so far. Intraday bias remains on the upside for 1.3455 resistance. As noted before, correction from 1.3534 is likely finished with three waves down to 1.3222.FIrm break of 1.3455 will confirm this bullish case and send USD/CAD to 1.3598 resistance. In that case, whole rise from 1.2460 is likely resuming too. On the downside, below 1.3337 minor support will bring another fall. But we’d expect strong support from 61.8% retracement of 1.2968 to 1.3534 at 1.3184 to contain downside and bring rebound.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 1.4689 medium term top are seen as a correction pattern. The first leg has completed at 1.2460. The second leg from 1.2460 is likely still in progress and could target 61.8% retracement of 1.4689 to 1.2460 at 1.3838. We’d look for reversal signal there to start the third leg. However, break of 1.2968 will argue that the third leg has already started and should at least bring a retest of 1.2460 low. Meanwhile, sustained trading above 1.3838 would pave the way to retest 1.4689 high.

USD/CAD 4 Hours Chart

USD/CAD Daily Chart

USD/CAD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.3277; (P) 1.3299; (R1) 1.3337; More….

Intraday bias in USD/CAD remains mildly on the upside for the moment. As noted before, correction from 1.3534 is likely finished with three waves down to 1.3222. Further rise should be seen to 1.3455 next. Break there will confirm this bullish case and send USD/CAD to 1.3598 resistance. In that case, whole rise from 1.2460 is likely resuming too. On the downside, below 1.3261 minor support will bring another fall. But we’d expect strong support from 61.8% retracement of 1.2968 to 1.3534 at 1.3184 to contain downside and bring rebound.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 1.4689 medium term top are seen as a correction pattern. The first leg has completed at 1.2460. The second leg from 1.2460 is likely still in progress and could target 61.8% retracement of 1.4689 to 1.2460 at 1.3838. We’d look for reversal signal there to start the third leg. However, break of 1.2968 will argue that the third leg has already started and should at least bring a retest of 1.2460 low. Meanwhile, sustained trading above 1.3838 would pave the way to retest 1.4689 high.

USD/CAD 4 Hours Chart

USD/CAD Daily Chart

USD/CAD Weekly Outlook

USD/CAD dipped to as low as 1.3222 last week but recovered strongly since then. The is no change in the view that price actions from 1.3534 are forming a consolidation pattern. Therefore, rise from 1.2968 and 1.2460 are not completed yet. Further rally would be seen through 1.3598 after consolidation from 1.3534 is confirmed to be finished.

USD/CAD 4 Hours Chart

Strong rebound from 1.3222 and break of 1.3309 suggests that consolidation from 1.3534 is completed. Initial bias is back on the upside this week for 1.3455 resistance first. Break should confirm this case and resume the rise from 1.2968 to 1.3598 next. Break there will confirm resumption of whole rise from 1.2460 to next medium term fibonacci level at 1.3838. On the downside, in case of another fall, we’d expect strong support from 61.8% retracement of 1.2968 to 1.3534 at 1.3184 to contain downside and bring rebound.

USD/CAD Daily Chart

In the bigger picture, price actions from 1.4689 medium term top are seen as a correction pattern. The first leg has completed at 1.2460. The second leg from 1.2460 is likely still in progress and could target 61.8% retracement of 1.4689 to 1.2460 at 1.3838. We’d look for reversal signal there to start the third leg. However, break of 1.2968 will argue that the third leg has already started and should at least bring a retest of 1.2460 low. Meanwhile, sustained trading above 1.3838 would pave the way to retest 1.4689 high.

USD/CAD Weekly Chart

In the longer term picture, rise from 0.9056 (2007 low) is viewed as a long term up trend. It’s taking a breath after hitting 1.4689. But such rise expected to resume later to test 1.6196 down the road.

USD/CAD Monthly Chart

USD/CAD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.3207; (P) 1.3272; (R1) 1.3311; More….

USD/CAD’s fall extends to as low as 1.3225 so far and intraday bias remains on the downside. Firm break of 1.3263 support confirms resumption of whole fall from 1.3534. At this point, such decline is still viewed as a correction. hence we’d expect strong support from 1.3184 cluster level to contain downside (61.8% retracement of 1.2968 to 1.3534 at 1.3184, 100% projection of 1.3534 to 1.3263 from 1.3455 at 1.3814 too). Break of 1.3309 minor resistance will indicate short term bottoming and turn bias back to the downside for 1.3455. However, sustained break of 1.3184 will dampen our view and could bring deeper fall back to 1.2968 key support level.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 1.4689 medium term top are seen as a correction pattern. The first leg has completed at 1.2460. The second leg from 1.2460 is likely still in progress and could target 61.8% retracement of 1.4689 to 1.2460 at 1.3838. We’d look for reversal signal there to start the third leg. However, break of 1.2968 will argue that the third leg has already started and should at least bring a retest of 1.2460 low. Meanwhile, sustained trading above 1.3838 would pave the way to retest 1.4689 high.

USD/CAD 4 Hours Chart

USD/CAD Daily Chart

USD/CAD Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.3305; (P) 1.3331; (R1) 1.3353; More….

USD/CAD’s fall accelerates in early US session and reaches as low as 1.3270 so far. Intraday bias remains on the downside for 1.3263 support. Break there will confirm resumption of whole decline from 1.3534 and target 1.3184 cluster level. (61.8% retracement of 1.2968 to 1.3534 at 1.3184, 100% projection of 1.3534 to 1.3263 from 1.3455 at 1.3814 too). As such decline is seen as a correction, we’d expect strong support from 1.3184 to contain downside and bring rebound. On the upside, above 1.3356 minor resistance will turn intraday bias neutral first. But for now, deeper decline is expected as long as 1.3455 resistance holds.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 1.4689 medium term top are seen as a correction pattern. The first leg has completed at 1.2460. The second leg from 1.2460 is likely still in progress and could target 61.8% retracement of 1.4689 to 1.2460 at 1.3838. We’d look for reversal signal there to start the third leg. However, break of 1.2968 will argue that the third leg has already started and should at least bring a retest of 1.2460 low. Meanwhile, sustained trading above 1.3838 would pave the way to retest 1.4689 high.

USD/CAD 4 Hours Chart

USD/CAD Daily Chart

USD/CAD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.3305; (P) 1.3331; (R1) 1.3353; More….

Intraday bias in USD/CAD remains on the downside for the moment. Corrective fall from 1.3534 is resuming and break of 1.3263 will confirm. In that case, we’d expect strong support from 1.3184 cluster level (61.8% retracement of 1.2968 to 1.3534 at 1.3184, 100% projection of 1.3534 to 1.3263 from 1.3455 at 1.3814 too) to contain downside and bring rebound. On the upside, break of 1.3455 will turn bias back to the upside for 1.3534 resistance.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 1.4689 medium term top are seen as a correction pattern. The first leg has completed at 1.2460. The second leg from 1.2460 is likely still in progress and could target 61.8% retracement of 1.4689 to 1.2460 at 1.3838. We’d look for reversal signal there to start the third leg. However, break of 1.2968 will argue that the third leg has already started and should at least bring a retest of 1.2460 low. Meanwhile, sustained trading above 1.3838 would pave the way to retest 1.4689 high.

USD/CAD 4 Hours Chart

USD/CAD Daily Chart

USD/CAD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.3290; (P) 1.3357; (R1) 1.3393; More….

Intraday bias in USD/CAD is back on the downside after taking out 1.3341 minor support. Correction fall from 1.3534 is resuming for 1.3263 and below. In that case, we’d expect strong support from 1.3184 cluster level (61.8% retracement of 1.2968 to 1.3534 at 1.3184, 100% projection of 1.3534 to 1.3263 from 1.3455 at 1.3814 too) to contain downside and bring rebound. On the upside, break of 1.3455 will turn bias back to the upside for 1.3534 resistance.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 1.4689 medium term top are seen as a correction pattern. The first leg has completed at 1.2460. The second leg from 1.2460 is likely still in progress and could target 61.8% retracement of 1.4689 to 1.2460 at 1.3838. We’d look for reversal signal there to start the third leg. However, break of 1.2968 will argue that the third leg has already started and should at least bring a retest of 1.2460 low. Meanwhile, sustained trading above 1.3838 would pave the way to retest 1.4689 high.

USD/CAD 4 Hours Chart

USD/CAD Daily Chart

USD/CAD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.3354; (P) 1.3392; (R1) 1.3443; More….

Intraday bias in USD/CAD is neutral for the moment but overall outlook is unchanged. Corrective fall from 1.3534 is not completed yet. Below 1.3341 will turn bias to the downside to 1.3263 and below. But in that case, we’d expect strong support from 1.3184 cluster level (61.8% retracement of 1.2968 to 1.3534 at 1.3184, 100% projection of 1.3534 to 1.3263 from 1.3455 at 1.3814 too) to contain downside and bring rebound. On the upside, break of 1.3455 will turn bias back to the upside for 1.3534 resistance.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 1.4689 medium term top are seen as a correction pattern. The first leg has completed at 1.2460. The second leg from 1.2460 is likely still in progress and could target 61.8% retracement of 1.4689 to 1.2460 at 1.3838. We’d look for reversal signal there to start the third leg. However, break of 1.2968 will argue that the third leg has already started and should at least bring a retest of 1.2460 low. Meanwhile, sustained trading above 1.3838 would pave the way to retest 1.4689 high.

USD/CAD 4 Hours Chart

USD/CAD Daily Chart