USD/CAD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.2440; (P) 1.2465; (R1) 1.2498; More….

At this point, pull back from 1.2598 short term top is expected to extend lower to 38.2% retracement of 1.2061 to 1.2598 at 1.2393, or even further to 61.8% retracement at 1.2266. But we’ll look for bottoming sign below 1.2266. On the upside, break of 1.2529 minor resistance will resume the rise from 1.2061 for 1.2777 resistance.

In the bigger picture, USD/CAD should have defended 50% retracement of 0.9406 (2011 low) to 1.4869 (2016 high) at 1.2048. And with 1.2048 intact, we’d favor the case that fall from 1.4689 is a correction. Break of 1.2777 will further affirm this bullish case. That is, larger up trend from 0.9406 is not completed. And in that case, USD/CAD should target 1.3793 resistance next. However, on the other hand, firm break of 1.2048 will indicate that fall from 1.4689 is at least a medium term down trend and should target 61.8% retracement at 1.1424 and below.

USD/CAD 4 Hours Chart

USD/CAD Daily Chart

USD/CAD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.2431; (P) 1.2481; (R1) 1.2509; More….

USD/CAD’s break of 1.2448 minor support suggest that a short term top is formed at 1.2598, after failing to sustain above 55 day EMA. Intraday bias is turned back to the downside for 38.2% retracement of 1.2061 to 1.2598 at 1.2393, or even further to 61.8% retracement at 1.2266. But we’ll look for bottoming sign below 1.2266. On the upside, break of 1.2598 will resume the rise from 1.2061 for 1.2777 resistance.

In the bigger picture, USD/CAD should have defended 50% retracement of 0.9406 (2011 low) to 1.4869 (2016 high) at 1.2048. And with 1.2048 intact, we’d favor the case that fall from 1.4689 is a correction. Break of 1.2777 will further affirm this bullish case. That is, larger up trend from 0.9406 is not completed. And in that case, USD/CAD should target 1.3793 resistance next. However, on the other hand, firm break of 1.2048 will indicate that fall from 1.4689 is at least a medium term down trend and should target 61.8% retracement at 1.1424 and below.

USD/CAD 4 Hours Chart

USD/CAD Daily Chart

USD/CAD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.2531; (P) 1.2544; (R1) 1.2564; More….

For the moment, further rise is in favor with 1.2448 minor support intact. Rally from 1.2061 would target 1.2777 resistance first. Decisive break there will target key medium term fibonacci level at target 38.2% retracement of 1.4689 to 1.2061 at 1.3065. On the downside, break of 1.2448 will indicate short term topping and turn bias back to the downside for retesting 1.2061 low.

In the bigger picture, USD/CAD should have defended 50% retracement of 0.9406 (2011 low) to 1.4869 (2016 high) at 1.2048. And with 1.2048 intact, we’d favor the case that fall from 1.4689 is a correction. Break of 1.2777 will further affirm this bullish case. That is, larger up trend from 0.9406 is not completed. And in that case, USD/CAD should target 1.3793 resistance next. However, on the other hand, firm break of 1.2048 will indicate that fall from 1.4689 is at least a medium term down trend and should target 61.8% retracement at 1.1424 and below.

USD/CAD 4 Hours Chart

USD/CAD Daily Chart

USD/CAD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.2531; (P) 1.2544; (R1) 1.2564; More….

USD/CAD continues to lose upside momentum as seen in 4 hour MACD. But with 1.2448 minor support intact, further rise is in favor. Rally from 1.2061 would target 1.2777 resistance first. Decisive break there will target key medium term fibonacci level at target 38.2% retracement of 1.4689 to 1.2061 at 1.3065. On the downside, break of 1.2448 will indicate short term topping and turn bias back to the downside for retesting 1.2061 low.

In the bigger picture, USD/CAD should have defended 50% retracement of 0.9406 (2011 low) to 1.4869 (2016 high) at 1.2048. And with 1.2048 intact, we’d favor the case that fall from 1.4689 is a correction. Break of 1.2777 will further affirm this bullish case. That is, larger up trend from 0.9406 is not completed. And in that case, USD/CAD should target 1.3793 resistance next. However, on the other hand, firm break of 1.2048 will indicate that fall from 1.4689 is at least a medium term down trend and should target 61.8% retracement at 1.1424 and below.

USD/CAD 4 Hours Chart

USD/CAD Daily Chart

USD/CAD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.2489; (P) 1.2537; (R1) 1.2612; More….

Further rise is expected in USD/CAD with 1.2448 minor support intact even though upside momentum isn’t convincing. Rally from 1.2061 would target 1.2777 resistance first. Decisive break there will target key medium term fibonacci level at target 38.2% retracement of 1.4689 to 1.2061 at 1.3065. On the downside, break of 1.2448 will indicate short term topping and turn bias back to the downside.

In the bigger picture, USD/CAD should have defended 50% retracement of 0.9406 (2011 low) to 1.4869 (2016 high) at 1.2048. And with 1.2048 intact, we’d favor the case that fall from 1.4689 is a correction. Break of 1.2777 will further affirm this bullish case. That is, larger up trend from 0.9406 is not completed. And in that case, USD/CAD should target 1.3793 resistance next. However, on the other hand, firm break of 1.2048 will indicate that fall from 1.4689 is at least a medium term down trend and should target 61.8% retracement at 1.1424 and below.

USD/CAD 4 Hours Chart

USD/CAD Daily Chart

USD/CAD Weekly Outlook

USD/CAD’s rebound from 1.2061 extended 1.2598 last week even though upside momentum isn’t convincing. As long as 1.2448 minor support holds, further rally is expected this week to 1.2777 resistance first. Decisive break there will target key medium term fibonacci level at target 38.2% retracement of 1.4689 to 1.2061 at 1.3065. On the downside, break of 1.2448 will indicate short term topping and turn bias back to the downside.

In the bigger picture, USD/CAD should have defended 50% retracement of 0.9406 (2011 low) to 1.4869 (2016 high) at 1.2048. And with 1.2048 intact, we’d favor the case that fall from 1.4689 is a correction. Break of 1.2777 will further affirm this bullish case. That is, larger up trend from 0.9406 is not completed. And in that case, USD/CAD should target 1.3793 resistance next. However, on the other hand, firm break of 1.2048 will indicate that fall from 1.4689 is at least a medium term down trend and should target 61.8% retracement at 1.1424 and below.

In the longer term picture, the long term outlook is turned a bit mixed. As noted above, 50% retracement of 0.9406 to 1.4869 at 1.2048 is a key level to determine whether up trend from 0.9056 (2007) has already completed.

USD/CAD 4 Hours Chart

USD/CAD Daily Chart

USD/CAD Weekly Chart

USD/CAD Monthly Chart

USD/CAD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.2489; (P) 1.2537; (R1) 1.2612; More….

Intraday bias in USD/CAD remains on the upside. Current rise from 1.2061 should target 1.2777 resistance next. Decisive break there will target key medium term fibonacci level at target 38.2% retracement of 1.4689 to 1.2061 at 1.3065. On the downside, below 1.2448 minor support will turn intraday bias neutral again.

In the bigger picture, current development argues that USD/CAD has defended 50% retracement of 0.9406 (2011 low) to 1.4869 (2016 high) at 1.2048. And with 1.2048 intact, we’d favor the case that fall from 1.4689 is a correction. Break of 1.2777 will further affirm this bullish case. That is, larger up trend from 0.9406 is not completed. However, on the other hand, firm break of 1.2048 will indicate that fall from 1.4689 is at least a medium term down trend and should target 61.8% retracement at 1.1424 and below.

USD/CAD 4 Hours Chart

USD/CAD Daily Chart

USD/CAD Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.2449; (P) 1.2474; (R1) 1.2499; More….

Break of 1.2537 suggests that rebound form 1.2061 has resumed. Intraday bias is back on the upside for 1.2777 resistance next. Decisive break there will target key medium term fibonacci level at target 38.2% retracement of 1.4689 to 1.2061 at 1.3065. On the downside, below 1.2448 minor support will turn intraday bias neutral again.

In the bigger picture, current development argues that USD/CAD has defended 50% retracement of 0.9406 (2011 low) to 1.4869 (2016 high) at 1.2048. And with 1.2048 intact, we’d favor the case that fall from 1.4689 is a correction. Break of 1.2777 will further affirm this bullish case. That is, larger up trend from 0.9406 is not completed. However, on the other hand, firm break of 1.2048 will indicate that fall from 1.4689 is at least a medium term down trend and should target 61.8% retracement at 1.1424 and below.

USD/CAD 4 Hours Chart

USD/CAD Daily Chart

USD/CAD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.2449; (P) 1.2474; (R1) 1.2499; More….

Intraday bias in USD/CAD remains neutral at this point. With 1.2326 minor support intact, further rise is expected. Above 1.2537 will target 1.2777 resistance first. Decisive break of 1.2777 will target 38.2% retracement of 1.4689 to 1.2061 at 1.3065 next. However, break of 1.2326 will dampen our bullish view and turn bias back to the downside for 1.2061 instead.

In the bigger picture, current development argues that USD/CAD has defended 50% retracement of 0.9406 (2011 low) to 1.4869 (2016 high) at 1.2048. And with 1.2048 intact, we’d favor the case that fall from 1.4689 is a correction. Break of 1.2777 will further affirm this bullish case. That is, larger up trend from 0.9406 is not completed. However, on the other hand, firm break of 1.2048 will indicate that fall from 1.4689 is at least a medium term down trend and should target 61.8% retracement at 1.1424 and below.

USD/CAD 4 Hours Chart

USD/CAD Daily Chart

USD/CAD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.2464; (P) 1.2501; (R1) 1.2522; More….

A temporary top is formed at 1.2537 in USD/CAD and intraday bias is turned neutral first. With 1.2326 minor support intact, further rise is expected. Above 1.2537 will target 1.2777 resistance first. Decisive break of 1.2777 will target 38.2% retracement of 1.4689 to 1.2061 at 1.3065 next. However, break of 1.2326 will dampen our bullish view and turn bias back to the downside for 1.2061 instead.

In the bigger picture, current development argues that USD/CAD has defended 50% retracement of 0.9406 (2011 low) to 1.4869 (2016 high) at 1.2048. And with 1.2048 intact, we’d favor the case that fall from 1.4689 is a correction. Break of 1.2777 will further affirm this bullish case. That is, larger up trend from 0.9406 is not completed. However, on the other hand, firm break of 1.2048 will indicate that fall from 1.4689 is at least a medium term down trend and should target 61.8% retracement at 1.1424 and below.

USD/CAD 4 Hours Chart

USD/CAD Daily Chart

USD/CAD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.2473; (P) 1.2499; (R1) 1.2533; More….

USD/CAD’s rebound from 1.2061 is still in progress. Intraday bias remains on the upside for 1.2777 resistance first. As noted before, current development argues that the pair has successfully defended 1.2048 fibonacci level. Decisive break of 1.2777 will target 38.2% retracement of 1.4689 to 1.2061 at 1.3065 next. However, break of 1.2326 will dampen this bullish view and turn bias back to the downside for 1.2061 instead.

In the bigger picture, current development argues that USD/CAD has defended 50% retracement of 0.9406 (2011 low) to 1.4869 (2016 high) at 1.2048. And with 1.2048 intact, we’d favor the case that fall from 1.4689 is a correction. Break of 1.2777 will further affirm this bullish case. That is, larger up trend from 0.9406 is not completed. However, on the other hand, firm break of 1.2048 will indicate that fall from 1.4689 is at least a medium term down trend and should target 61.8% retracement at 1.1424 and below.

USD/CAD 4 Hours Chart

USD/CAD Daily Chart

USD/CAD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.2410; (P) 1.2471; (R1) 1.2525; More….

Intraday bias in USD/CAD remains on the upside as the rebound from 1.2061 is still in progress. Current development argues that the pair has successfully defended 1.2048 fibonacci level. Further rise should be seen to 1.2777 resistance first. Decisive break there will target 38.2% retracement of 1.4689 to 1.2061 at 1.3065 next. However, break of 1.2326 will dampen this bullish view and turn bias back to the downside for 1.2061 instead.

In the bigger picture, current development argues that USD/CAD has defended 50% retracement of 0.9406 (2011 low) to 1.4869 (2016 high) at 1.2048. And with 1.2048 intact, we’d favor the case that fall from 1.4689 is a correction. Break of 1.2777 will further affirm this bullish case. That is, larger up trend from 0.9406 is not completed. However, on the other hand, firm break of 1.2048 will indicate that fall from 1.4689 is at least a medium term down trend and should target 61.8% retracement at 1.1424 and below.

USD/CAD 4 Hours Chart

USD/CAD Daily Chart

USD/CAD Weekly Outlook

USD/CAD’s rebound from 1.2061 extended higher last week. The development argues that the pair has successfully defended 1.2048 fibonacci level. Further rise is expected this week as long as 1.2326 minor support holds, for 1.2777 resistance first. Decisive break there will target 38.2% retracement of 1.4689 to 1.2061 at 1.3065 next. However, break of 1.2326 will dampen this bullish view and turn bias back to the downside for 1.2061 instead.

In the bigger picture, current development argues that USD/CAD has defended 50% retracement of 0.9406 (2011 low) to 1.4869 (2016 high) at 1.2048. And with 1.2048 intact, we’d favor the case that fall from 1.4689 is a correction. Break of 1.2777 will further affirm this bullish case. That is, larger up trend from 0.9406 is not completed. However, on the other hand, firm break of 1.2048 will indicate that fall from 1.4689 is at least a medium term down trend and should target 61.8% retracement at 1.1424 and below.

In the longer term picture, the long term outlook is turned a bit mixed. As noted above, 50% retracement of 0.9406 to 1.4869 at 1.2048 is a key level to determine whether up trend from 0.9056 (2007) has already completed.

USD/CAD 4 Hours Chart

USD/CAD Daily Chart

USD/CAD Weekly Chart

USD/CAD Monthly Chart

USD/CAD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.2388; (P) 1.2453; (R1) 1.2492; More….

With 1.2326 minor support intact, further rally is expected in USD/CAD. The pair should have successfully defended key long term fibonacci level at 2.1048. Rise from 1.2061 should extend to 1.2777 resistance first. Decisive break there will target 38.2% retracement of 1.4689 to 1.2061 at 1.3065 next. However, break of 1.2326 will dampen this bullish view and turn bias back to the downside for 1.2061 instead.

In the bigger picture, focus remains on 50% retracement of 0.9406 (2011 low) to 1.4869 (2016 high) at 1.2048. As long as this level holds, we’d still favor that case that fall from 1.4689 is a correction. Rebound from 1.2048 could extend the larger up trend from 0.9406. However, firm break of 1.2048 will indicate that fall from 1.4689 is at least a medium term down trend and should target 61.8% retracement at 1.1424 and below.

USD/CAD 4 Hours Chart

USD/CAD Daily Chart

USD/CAD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.2380; (P) 1.2431; (R1) 1.2528; More….

USD/CAD’s rebound from 1.2061 extended to as high as 1.2503 so far. The strong break of 1.2412 support turned resistance and upside acceleration carries bullish implications. The pair should have now successfully defended key long term fibonacci level at 2.1048. Near term outlook is turned bullish for 1.2777 resistance first. Decisive break there will target 38.2% retracement of 1.4689 to 1.2061 at 1.3065 next. And, this will be the preferred case as long as 1.2326 support holds.

In the bigger picture, focus remains on 50% retracement of 0.9406 (2011 low) to 1.4869 (2016 high) at 1.2048. As long as this level holds, we’d still favor that case that fall from 1.4689 is a correction. Rebound from 1.2048 could extend the larger up trend from 0.9406. However, firm break of 1.2048 will indicate that fall from 1.4689 is at least a medium term down trend and should target 61.8% retracement at 1.1424 and below.

USD/CAD 4 Hours Chart

USD/CAD Daily Chart

USD/CAD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.2311; (P) 1.2362; (R1) 1.2394; More….

At this point, USD/CAD is still holding on to 1.2412 support turned resistance. Intraday bias remains neutral first. We’d remain cautious on strong support from 1.2048 to bring sustainable rebound. But still, break of 1.2412 support turned resistance is needed to be the first sign of trend reversal. Otherwise, outlook will remain bearish. Firm break of 1.2048 will pave the way to next fibonacci level at 1.1424. Break of 1.2412 will bring stronger rise back to 55 day EMA (now at 1.2520) and above.

In the bigger picture, focus remains on 50% retracement of 0.9406 to 1.4869 at 1.2048. As long as this level holds, we’d still favor that case that fall from 1.4689 is a correction. Rebound from 1.2048 could extend the larger up trend from 0.9406. However, firm break of 1.2048 will indicate that fall from 1.4689 is at least a medium term down trend and should target 61.8% retracement at 1.1424 and below.

USD/CAD 4 Hours Chart

USD/CAD Daily Chart

USD/CAD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.2326; (P) 1.2355; (R1) 1.2399; More….

Intraday bias in USD/CAD remains neutral as consolidation from 1.2061 is still in progress. At this point, we’d remain cautious on strong support from 1.2048 to bring sustainable rebound. But still, break of 1.2439 support turned resistance is needed to be the first sign of trend reversal. Otherwise, outlook will remain bearish. Firm break of 1.2048 will pave the way to next fibonacci level at 1.1424. Break of 1.2412 will bring stronger rise back to 55 day EMA (now at 1.2531) and above.

In the bigger picture, focus remains on 50% retracement of 0.9406 to 1.4869 at 1.2048. As long as this level holds, we’d still favor that case that fall from 1.4689 is a correction. Rebound from 1.2048 could extend the larger up trend from 0.9406. However, firm break of 1.2048 will indicate that fall from 1.4689 is at least a medium term down trend and should target 61.8% retracement at 1.1424 and below.

USD/CAD 4 Hours Chart

USD/CAD Daily Chart

USD/CAD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.2274; (P) 1.2313; (R1) 1.2374; More….

Intraday bias in USD/CAD remains neutral as consolidation from 1.2061 is still in progress. At this point, we’d remain cautious on strong support from 1.2048 to bring sustainable rebound. But still, break of 1.2439 support turned resistance is needed to be the first sign of trend reversal. Otherwise, outlook will remain bearish. Firm break of 1.2048 will pave the way to next fibonacci level at 1.1424. Break of 1.2412 will bring stronger rise back to 55 day EMA (now at 1.2531) and above.

In the bigger picture, focus remains on 50% retracement of 0.9406 to 1.4869 at 1.2048. As long as this level holds, we’d still favor that case that fall from 1.4689 is a correction. Rebound from 1.2048 could extend the larger up trend from 0.9406. However, firm break of 1.2048 will indicate that fall from 1.4689 is at least a medium term down trend and should target 61.8% retracement at 1.1424 and below.

USD/CAD 4 Hours Chart

USD/CAD Daily Chart

USD/CAD Weekly Outlook

USD/CAD edged higher last week and consolidation from 1.2061 extended. Overall outlook is unchanged though. Initial bias remains neutral this week first. We’d remain cautious on strong support from 1.2048 to bring sustainable rebound. But still, break of 1.2439 support turned resistance is needed to be the first sign of trend reversal. Otherwise, outlook will remain bearish. Firm break of 1.2048 will pave the way to next fibonacci level at 1.1424. Break of 1.2412 will bring stronger rise back to 55 day EMA (now at 1.2538) and above.

In the bigger picture, focus remains on 50% retracement of 0.9406 to 1.4869 at 1.2048. As long as this level holds, we’d still favor that case that fall from 1.4689 is a correction. Rebound from 1.2048 could extend the larger up trend from 0.9406. However, firm break of 1.2048 will indicate that fall from 1.4689 is at least a medium term down trend and should target 61.8% retracement at 1.1424 and below.

In the longer term picture, the long term outlook is turned a bit mixed with the current downside acceleration. As noted above, 50% retracement of 0.9406 to 1.4869 at 1.2048 is a key level to determine whether up trend from 0.9056 (2007) has already completed.

USD/CAD 4 Hours Chart

USD/CAD Daily Chart

USD/CAD Weekly Chart

USD/CAD Monthly Chart

USD/CAD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.2308; (P) 1.2338; (R1) 1.2356; More….

USD/CAD is still bounded in corrective trading from 1.2061 and intraday bias remains neutral first. On the one hand, we’d remain cautious on strong support from 1.2049 key fibonacci level to bring sustainable rebound. On the other hand, break of 1.2412 support turned resistance is needed to be the first sign of trend reversal. Otherwise, outlook will remain bearish. Firm break of 1.2049 key fibonacci level will pave the way to next fibonacci level at 1.1424.

In the bigger picture, current downside acceleration is raising the chance that whole long term rise from 0.9406 (2011 low), and that from 0.9056 (2007 low) is completed at 1.4689. Focus is now on 50% retracement of 0.9406 to 1.4869 at 1.2048. As long as this level holds, we’d still favor that case that fall from 1.4689 is a correction. However, firm break of 1.2048 will indicate that fall fro 1.4689 is at least a medium term down trend and should target 61.8% retracement at 1.1424 and below.

USD/CAD 4 Hours Chart

USD/CAD Daily Chart