USD/CAD’s correction from 1.2916 continued last week and dipped lower. But still, with 1.2598 resistance turned support intact, near term outlook remains bullish. Initial bias stays neutral this week first. Break of 1.2916 will extend the rise from 1.2061 to 38.2% retracement of 1.4689 to 1.2061 at 1.3065. However, sustained break of 1.2598 will argue that rebound from 1.2061 has completed after hitting 55 week EMA (now at 1.2916). Near term outlook will be turned bearish in this case.

In the bigger picture, USD/CAD should have defended 50% retracement of 0.9406 (2011 low) to 1.4689 (2016 high) at 1.2048. And with 1.2048 intact, we’d favor the case that fall from 1.4689 is a correction. Rise from 1.2061 medium term bottom should now target 38.2% retracement of 1.4689 to 1.2061 at 1.3065. Firm break there will target 1.3793 key resistance next (61.8% retracement at 1.3685). We’ll now hold on to this bullish view as long as 1.2450 support holds.

In the longer term picture, current development argues that correction from 1.4689 has completed with three waves down to 1.2061 already. And larger up trend from 0.9056 (2007 low) is still in progress. Firm break of 1.3794 resistance should now indicate up trend resumption through 1.4689 high.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.2779; (P) 1.2827; (R1) 1.2856; More….

USD/CAD is staying in consolidation from 1.2916 temporary top and intraday bias remains neutral. In case of deeper fall downside should be contained well above 1.2598 resistance turned support and bring rally resumption. Medium term trend in USD/CAD should have reversed. Break of 1.2916 will extend the rise from 1.2061 to 38.2% retracement of 1.4689 to 1.2061 at 1.3065.

In the bigger picture, USD/CAD should have defended 50% retracement of 0.9406 (2011 low) to 1.4689 (2016 high) at 1.2048. And with 1.2048 intact, we’d favor the case that fall from 1.4689 is a correction. Rise from 1.2061 medium term bottom should now target 38.2% retracement of 1.4689 to 1.2061 at 1.3065. Firm break there will target 1.3793 key resistance next (61.8% retracement at 1.3685). We’ll now hold on to this bullish view as long as 1.2450 support holds.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.2841; (P) 1.2876; (R1) 1.2898; More….

Intraday bias in USD/CAD remains neutral for the moment as consolidation from 1.2916 temporary top is expecting. In case of deeper fall downside should be contained well above 1.2598 resistance turned support and bring rally resumption. Medium term trend in USD/CAD should have reversed. Break of 1.2916 will extend the rise from 1.2061 to 38.2% retracement of 1.4689 to 1.2061 at 1.3065.

In the bigger picture, USD/CAD should have defended 50% retracement of 0.9406 (2011 low) to 1.4689 (2016 high) at 1.2048. And with 1.2048 intact, we’d favor the case that fall from 1.4689 is a correction. Rise from 1.2061 medium term bottom should now target 38.2% retracement of 1.4689 to 1.2061 at 1.3065. Firm break there will target 1.3793 key resistance next (61.8% retracement at 1.3685). We’ll now hold on to this bullish view as long as 1.2450 support holds.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.2835; (P) 1.2875; (R1) 1.2927; More….

USD/CAD is still limited below 1.2916 temporary top and intraday bias remains neutral for the moment. More consolidative trading cannot be ruled out. But downside should be contained well above 1.2598 resistance turned support and bring rally resumption. Medium term trend in USD/CAD should have reversed. Break of 1.2916 will extend the rise from 1.2061 to 38.2% retracement of 1.4689 to 1.2061 at 1.3065.

In the bigger picture, USD/CAD should have defended 50% retracement of 0.9406 (2011 low) to 1.4689 (2016 high) at 1.2048. And with 1.2048 intact, we’d favor the case that fall from 1.4689 is a correction. Rise from 1.2061 medium term bottom should now target 38.2% retracement of 1.4689 to 1.2061 at 1.3065. Firm break there will target 1.3793 key resistance next (61.8% retracement at 1.3685). We’ll now hold on to this bullish view as long as 1.2450 support holds.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.2809; (P) 1.2835; (R1) 1.2858; More….

USD/CAD is staying in consolidation below 1.2916 temporary top and intraday bias remains neutral at this point. Downside of retreat should be contained above 1.2598 resistance turned support and bring rally resumption. Medium term trend in USD/CAD should have reversed. Break of 1.2916 will extend the rise from 1.2061 to 38.2% retracement of 1.4689 to 1.2061 at 1.3065.

In the bigger picture, USD/CAD should have defended 50% retracement of 0.9406 (2011 low) to 1.4689 (2016 high) at 1.2048. And with 1.2048 intact, we’d favor the case that fall from 1.4689 is a correction. Rise from 1.2061 medium term bottom should now target 38.2% retracement of 1.4689 to 1.2061 at 1.3065. Firm break there will target 1.3793 key resistance next (61.8% retracement at 1.3685). We’ll now hold on to this bullish view as long as 1.2450 support holds.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.2766; (P) 1.2841; (R1) 1.2881; More….

Intraday bias in USD/CAD remains neutral for consolidation below 1.2916 temporary top. Downside of retreat should be contained above 1.2598 resistance turned support and bring rally resumption. Medium term trend in USD/CAD should have reversed. Break of 1.2916 will extend the rise from 1.2061 to 38.2% retracement of 1.4689 to 1.2061 at 1.3065.

In the bigger picture, USD/CAD should have defended 50% retracement of 0.9406 (2011 low) to 1.4689 (2016 high) at 1.2048. And with 1.2048 intact, we’d favor the case that fall from 1.4689 is a correction. Rise from 1.2061 medium term bottom should now target 38.2% retracement of 1.4689 to 1.2061 at 1.3065. Firm break there will target 1.3793 key resistance next (61.8% retracement at 1.3685). We’ll now hold on to this bullish view as long as 1.2450 support holds.

USD/CAD surged to as high as 1.2916 last week but formed a temporary top there and retreated. Initial bias is turned neutral for some consolidations this week first. Downside of retreat should be contained above 1.2598 resistance turned support and bring rally resumption. Medium term trend in USD/CAD should have reversed Break of 1.2916 will extend the rise from 1.2061 to 38.2% retracement of 1.4689 to 1.2061 at 1.3065.

In the bigger picture, USD/CAD should have defended 50% retracement of 0.9406 (2011 low) to 1.4689 (2016 high) at 1.2048. And with 1.2048 intact, we’d favor the case that fall from 1.4689 is a correction. Rise from 1.2061 medium term bottom should now target 38.2% retracement of 1.4689 to 1.2061 at 1.3065. Firm break there will target 1.3793 key resistance next (61.8% retracement at 1.3685). We’ll now hold on to this bullish view as long as 1.2450 support holds.

In the longer term picture, current development argues that correction from 1.4689 has completed with three waves down to 1.2061 already. And larger up trend from 0.9056 (2007 low) is still in progress. Firm break of 1.3794 resistance should now indicate up trend resumption through 1.4689 high.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.2795; (P) 1.2826; (R1) 1.2877; More….

USD/CAD’s rally continues today and reaches as high as 1.2884 so far. Intraday bias remains on the upside for 38.2% retracement of 1.4689 to 1.2061 at 1.3065 next. As noted before, medium term down trend from 1.4689 high could have reversed. Sustained break of 1.3065 will pave the way to 1.3793 key medium term resistance next. On the downside, below 1.2780 minor support will turn intraday bias neutral first. But downside of retreat should be contained by 1.2598 resistance turned support and bring rise resumption.

In the bigger picture, USD/CAD should have defended 50% retracement of 0.9406 (2011 low) to 1.4869 (2016 high) at 1.2048. And with 1.2048 intact, we’d favor the case that fall from 1.4689 is a correction. Break of 1.2777 further affirms this bullish case. That is, larger up trend from 0.9406 is not completed. And USD/CAD should now target 1.3793 key resistance next. However, on the other hand, firm break of 1.2048 will indicate that fall from 1.4689 is at least a medium term down trend and should target 61.8% retracement at 1.1424 and below.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.2679; (P) 1.2748; (R1) 1.2864; More….

USD/CAD surges to as high as 1.2816 so far. The breach of 1.2777 resistance affirms our view of medium term reversal. Intraday bias remains on the upside. Sustained break of 1.2777 will pave the way to 38.2% retracement of 1.4689 to 1.2061 at 1.3065 next. On the downside, below 1.2692 minor support will turn intraday bias neutral and bring consolidations. But outlook will remain bullish as long as 1.2450 support holds.

In the bigger picture, USD/CAD should have defended 50% retracement of 0.9406 (2011 low) to 1.4869 (2016 high) at 1.2048. And with 1.2048 intact, we’d favor the case that fall from 1.4689 is a correction. Break of 1.2777 will further affirm this bullish case. That is, larger up trend from 0.9406 is not completed. And in that case, USD/CAD should target 1.3793 key resistance next. However, on the other hand, firm break of 1.2048 will indicate that fall from 1.4689 is at least a medium term down trend and should target 61.8% retracement at 1.1424 and below.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.2633; (P) 1.2662; (R1) 1.2704; More….

USD/CAD’s rally is still in progress and intraday bias remains on the upside. Rebound from 1.2061 is targeting 1.2777 resistance first. Decisive break there will confirm medium term reversal and target 38.2% retracement of 1.4689 to 1.2061 at 1.3065 next. On the downside, below 1.2621 minor support will turn intraday bias neutral first. But outlook will remain bullish as long as 1.2450 support holds.

In the bigger picture, USD/CAD should have defended 50% retracement of 0.9406 (2011 low) to 1.4869 (2016 high) at 1.2048. And with 1.2048 intact, we’d favor the case that fall from 1.4689 is a correction. Break of 1.2777 will further affirm this bullish case. That is, larger up trend from 0.9406 is not completed. And in that case, USD/CAD should target 1.3793 key resistance next. However, on the other hand, firm break of 1.2048 will indicate that fall from 1.4689 is at least a medium term down trend and should target 61.8% retracement at 1.1424 and below.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.2619; (P) 1.2639; (R1) 1.2665; More….

At this point, intraday bias remains on the upside for further rally. Current rebound from 1.2061 should extend to 1.2777 resistance first. Decisive break there will confirm medium term reversal and target 38.2% retracement of 1.4689 to 1.2061 at 1.3065 next. On the downside, break of 1.2450 support is needed to indicate completion of the rebound. Otherwise, outlook will remain mildly bullish in case of retreat.

In the bigger picture, USD/CAD should have defended 50% retracement of 0.9406 (2011 low) to 1.4869 (2016 high) at 1.2048. And with 1.2048 intact, we’d favor the case that fall from 1.4689 is a correction. Break of 1.2777 will further affirm this bullish case. That is, larger up trend from 0.9406 is not completed. And in that case, USD/CAD should target 1.3793 key resistance next. However, on the other hand, firm break of 1.2048 will indicate that fall from 1.4689 is at least a medium term down trend and should target 61.8% retracement at 1.1424 and below.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.2519; (P) 1.2575; (R1) 1.2679; More….

Intraday bias in USD/CAD remains on the upside for the moment. Rebound from 1.2061 has just resumed and should target 1.2777 resistance first. Decisive break there will confirm medium term reversal and target 38.2% retracement of 1.4689 to 1.2061 at 1.3065 next. On the downside, break of 1.2432 support is needed to indicate completion of the rebound. Otherwise, outlook will remain mildly bullish in case of retreat.

In the bigger picture, USD/CAD should have defended 50% retracement of 0.9406 (2011 low) to 1.4869 (2016 high) at 1.2048. And with 1.2048 intact, we’d favor the case that fall from 1.4689 is a correction. Break of 1.2777 will further affirm this bullish case. That is, larger up trend from 0.9406 is not completed. And in that case, USD/CAD should target 1.3793 key resistance next. However, on the other hand, firm break of 1.2048 will indicate that fall from 1.4689 is at least a medium term down trend and should target 61.8% retracement at 1.1424 and below.

USD/CAD’s break of 1.2598 last week indicates that rebound from 1.2061 has resumed. Initial bias is back on the upside this week for 1.2777 resistance first. Decisive break there will confirm medium term reversal and target 38.2% retracement of 1.4689 to 1.2061 at 1.3065 next. On the downside, break of 1.2432 support is needed to indicate completion of the rebound. Otherwise, outlook will remain mildly bullish in case of retreat.

In the bigger picture, USD/CAD should have defended 50% retracement of 0.9406 (2011 low) to 1.4869 (2016 high) at 1.2048. And with 1.2048 intact, we’d favor the case that fall from 1.4689 is a correction. Break of 1.2777 will further affirm this bullish case. That is, larger up trend from 0.9406 is not completed. And in that case, USD/CAD should target 1.3793 key resistance next. However, on the other hand, firm break of 1.2048 will indicate that fall from 1.4689 is at least a medium term down trend and should target 61.8% retracement at 1.1424 and below.

In the longer term picture, the long term outlook is turned a bit mixed. As noted above, 50% retracement of 0.9406 to 1.4869 at 1.2048 is a key level to determine whether up trend from 0.9056 (2007) has already completed.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.2458; (P) 1.2476; (R1) 1.2502; More….

USD/CAD rebound strongly in early US session. But it’s still bounded in range below 1.2598. Intraday bias remains neutral first. On the upside, break of 1.2598 will extend the rebound from 1.2061 to 1.2777 resistance next. In case of another fall, downside should be contained by 38.2% retracement of 1.2061 to 1.2598 at 1.2393 to bring rally resumption.

In the bigger picture, USD/CAD should have defended 50% retracement of 0.9406 (2011 low) to 1.4869 (2016 high) at 1.2048. And with 1.2048 intact, we’d favor the case that fall from 1.4689 is a correction. Break of 1.2777 will further affirm this bullish case. That is, larger up trend from 0.9406 is not completed. And in that case, USD/CAD should target 1.3793 resistance next. However, on the other hand, firm break of 1.2048 will indicate that fall from 1.4689 is at least a medium term down trend and should target 61.8% retracement at 1.1424 and below.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.2458; (P) 1.2476; (R1) 1.2502; More….

At this point, USD/CAD is staying in consolidation from 1.2598 and intraday bias remains neutral for the moment. In case of deeper fall, downside should be contained by 38.2% retracement of 1.2061 to 1.2598 at 1.2393 to bring rally resumption. On the upside, break of 1.2598 will extend the rebound from 1.2061 to 1.2777 resistance next.

In the bigger picture, USD/CAD should have defended 50% retracement of 0.9406 (2011 low) to 1.4869 (2016 high) at 1.2048. And with 1.2048 intact, we’d favor the case that fall from 1.4689 is a correction. Break of 1.2777 will further affirm this bullish case. That is, larger up trend from 0.9406 is not completed. And in that case, USD/CAD should target 1.3793 resistance next. However, on the other hand, firm break of 1.2048 will indicate that fall from 1.4689 is at least a medium term down trend and should target 61.8% retracement at 1.1424 and below.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.2437; (P) 1.2485; (R1) 1.2513; More….

Intraday bias in USD/CAD remains neutral for the moment. Consolidation from 1.2598 is still in progress. In case of deeper fall, we’d now expect downside to be contained by 38.2% retracement of 1.2061 to 1.2598 at 1.2393 to bring rally resumption. On the upside, break of 1.2598 will extend the rebound from 1.2061 to 1.2777 resistance next.

In the bigger picture, USD/CAD should have defended 50% retracement of 0.9406 (2011 low) to 1.4869 (2016 high) at 1.2048. And with 1.2048 intact, we’d favor the case that fall from 1.4689 is a correction. Break of 1.2777 will further affirm this bullish case. That is, larger up trend from 0.9406 is not completed. And in that case, USD/CAD should target 1.3793 resistance next. However, on the other hand, firm break of 1.2048 will indicate that fall from 1.4689 is at least a medium term down trend and should target 61.8% retracement at 1.1424 and below.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.2491; (P) 1.2541; (R1) 1.2569; More….

USD/CAD’s rebound was limited below 1.2598 and weakened again. Intraday bias is turned neutral first. Consolidation from 1.2598 is still in progress. In case of deeper fall, we’d now expect downside to be contained by 38.2% retracement of 1.2061 to 1.2598 at 1.2393 to bring rally resumption. On the upside, break of 1.2598 will extend the rebound from 1.2061 to 1.2777 resistance next.

In the bigger picture, USD/CAD should have defended 50% retracement of 0.9406 (2011 low) to 1.4869 (2016 high) at 1.2048. And with 1.2048 intact, we’d favor the case that fall from 1.4689 is a correction. Break of 1.2777 will further affirm this bullish case. That is, larger up trend from 0.9406 is not completed. And in that case, USD/CAD should target 1.3793 resistance next. However, on the other hand, firm break of 1.2048 will indicate that fall from 1.4689 is at least a medium term down trend and should target 61.8% retracement at 1.1424 and below.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.2467; (P) 1.2512; (R1) 1.2563; More….

USD/CAD’s recovery suggests that pull back from 1.2598 has completed at 1.2432 already. Intraday bias is turned back to retest 1.2598 first. Break will extend the rebound from 1.2061 to 1.2777 resistance next. In case the consolidation from 1.2598 extends with another fall, downside should be contained by 38.2% retracement of 1.2061 to 1.2598 at 1.2393 to bring rally resumption.

In the bigger picture, USD/CAD should have defended 50% retracement of 0.9406 (2011 low) to 1.4869 (2016 high) at 1.2048. And with 1.2048 intact, we’d favor the case that fall from 1.4689 is a correction. Break of 1.2777 will further affirm this bullish case. That is, larger up trend from 0.9406 is not completed. And in that case, USD/CAD should target 1.3793 resistance next. However, on the other hand, firm break of 1.2048 will indicate that fall from 1.4689 is at least a medium term down trend and should target 61.8% retracement at 1.1424 and below.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.2439; (P) 1.2479; (R1) 1.2507; More….

No change in USD/CAD’s outlook. With 1.2529 minor resistance intact, pull back from 1.2598 could extend lower to 38.2% retracement of 1.2061 to 1.2598 at 1.2393, or even further to 61.8% retracement at 1.2266. But we’ll look for bottoming sign below 1.2266. Break of 1.2061 low is not anticipated for now. On the upside, break of 1.2529 minor resistance will resume the rise from 1.2061 for 1.2777 resistance.

In the bigger picture, USD/CAD should have defended 50% retracement of 0.9406 (2011 low) to 1.4869 (2016 high) at 1.2048. And with 1.2048 intact, we’d favor the case that fall from 1.4689 is a correction. Break of 1.2777 will further affirm this bullish case. That is, larger up trend from 0.9406 is not completed. And in that case, USD/CAD should target 1.3793 resistance next. However, on the other hand, firm break of 1.2048 will indicate that fall from 1.4689 is at least a medium term down trend and should target 61.8% retracement at 1.1424 and below.

USD/CAD’s pull back from 1.2598 extended lower last week. As long as 1.2529 minor resistance holds, deeper fall is in favor this week to 38.2% retracement of 1.2061 to 1.2598 at 1.2393, or even further to 61.8% retracement at 1.2266. But we’ll look for bottoming sign below 1.2266. Break of 1.2061 low is not anticipated for now. On the upside, break of 1.2529 minor resistance will resume the rise from 1.2061 for 1.2777 resistance.

In the bigger picture, USD/CAD should have defended 50% retracement of 0.9406 (2011 low) to 1.4869 (2016 high) at 1.2048. And with 1.2048 intact, we’d favor the case that fall from 1.4689 is a correction. Break of 1.2777 will further affirm this bullish case. That is, larger up trend from 0.9406 is not completed. And in that case, USD/CAD should target 1.3793 resistance next. However, on the other hand, firm break of 1.2048 will indicate that fall from 1.4689 is at least a medium term down trend and should target 61.8% retracement at 1.1424 and below.

In the longer term picture, the long term outlook is turned a bit mixed. As noted above, 50% retracement of 0.9406 to 1.4869 at 1.2048 is a key level to determine whether up trend from 0.9056 (2007) has already completed.